Forum: War Ensemble BBS

TROPDISC: Tropical Weather Discussion

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Aug 12 17:57:18 2026

032
AXNT20 KNHC 121756
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Aug 12 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1740 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Invest AL92:An area of showers and thunderstorms associated with
a tropical wave is located about 950 miles west-southwest of the
Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a
tropical depression will likely form while the system moves
westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic. There is a high chance for tropical formation in the
next 48 hours.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is east of the Cape Verde Islands, and is along
22W, moving W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is noted ahead of this wave from 06N to 13.5N between
20W and 28W.

See the Special Features section above for information on a
tropical wave along 38W. Low pressure near 10.3N38W associated
with this wave is likely to develop into a tropical depression
over the next couple of days. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 08.5N to 13.5N between 36W and 41W

The axis of a tropical wave is along 61.5W extending southward
from 18N, moving west at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 13N to 17N between 60W and 63W.

The axis of a tropical wave is along 71.5W S of 22N, crossing
Hispaniola, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is occurring NE of the Hispaniola coastal waters.

The axis of a tropical wave is along 88W, S of 21N, extending
through the Gulf of Honduras southward into the far eastern
Pacific, moving W at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered to numerous moderate
isolated strong convection is noted from 16N to 21.5N and W of
85W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W and extends
southwestward to a 1011 mb low pressure near 10.3N38W to 10N48W.
The ITCZ extends from 10N48W to 11N59W. Aside from the convection
mentioned in the tropical waves section, scattered moderate
convection is noted from 07N to 10N between 44W and 47.5W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

The Atlantic ridge extends westward across Florida into the Gulf
region, where a 1019 mb high is found near 28N84.5W. A surface
trough has moved westward offshore the Yucatan Peninsula and into
the central Bay of Campeche, and is supporting scattered moderate
convection over the western half of the Bay of Campeche south of
19.5N. Light winds prevail across the NE Gulf near the high
center, while gentle to moderate E to SE winds and 2 to 4 ft seas
are elsewhere.

For the forecast, the aforementioned Atlantic ridge will change
little through Sat before weakening Sun. This pattern will produce
mostly gentle to moderate E to SE winds across the basin, with
pulses of fresh winds occurring north and west of the Yucatan
Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each evening and night, as
a diurnal surface trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula
westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected
through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See the Tropical Waves section above for information on convection
impacting the basin.

The pressure gradient between Atlantic high pressure north of the
area and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds
over the central Caribbean south of 17N, with associated rough
seas to 11 ft near the coast of Colombia. Fresh to strong NE winds
are also funneling through the Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate
winds and seas prevail over the remaining waters.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian Low will continue to support fresh to
strong trades over the south-central Caribbean through tonight.
The ridge will begin to strengthen modestly behind a tropical wave
currently moving across the eastern Caribbean by night, leading
to a significant expansion in coverage of strong trade winds over
the central and eastern portions of the basin through Sat. Winds
may increase to gale-force offshore of Colombia Fri night and Sat
night. Looking ahead, an area of showers and thunderstorms
associated with a tropical wave is located about 950 miles west-
southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be conducive for development during the next couple of
days, and a tropical depression will likely form while the system
moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for information on Invest AL92
located over the central Atlantic.

High pressure prevails over the waters N of 14N, anchored by a
1021 mb high centered near 27N50W. Light to gentle winds prevail
over the waters N of 23N and west of 25W, with slight to moderate
seas. Moderate to fresh trade winds are noted S of 23N, with
moderate seas. Offshore Africa, fresh to locally strong NE winds
extend from the Canary Islands to 20N then become moderate across
the Cabo Verde Islands. Seas of 5 to 8 ft prevail across this
area. Saharan Air continues to dominate much of the basin N of 14N
between Africa and 60W.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will sink
slightly southward Thu, then change little through Fri night,
before weakening over the weekend. Winds will freshen from E to W,
and south of 23N early Thu through Sat, behind a tropical wave
moving across the Caribbean. Fresh trades N of Hispaniola and in
the approach to the Windward Passage will pulse to strong speeds
each night. Looking ahead, an area of showers and thunderstorms
associated with a tropical wave is located about 900 miles west-
southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be conducive for development during the next couple of
days, and a tropical depression will likely form while the system
moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic.

$$
KRV

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Aug 12 17:57:18 2026

033
AXNT20 KNHC 121757
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Aug 12 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1740 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Invest AL92:An area of showers and thunderstorms associated with
a tropical wave is located about 950 miles west-southwest of the
Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a
tropical depression will likely form while the system moves
westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic. There is a high chance for tropical formation in the
next 48 hours.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is east of the Cape Verde Islands, and is along
22W, moving W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is noted ahead of this wave from 06N to 13.5N between
20W and 28W.

See the Special Features section above for information on a
tropical wave along 38W. Low pressure near 10.3N38W associated
with this wave is likely to develop into a tropical depression
over the next couple of days. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 08.5N to 13.5N between 36W and 41W

The axis of a tropical wave is along 61.5W extending southward
from 18N, moving west at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 13N to 17N between 60W and 63W.

The axis of a tropical wave is along 71.5W S of 22N, crossing
Hispaniola, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is occurring NE of the Hispaniola coastal waters.

The axis of a tropical wave is along 88W, S of 21N, extending
through the Gulf of Honduras southward into the far eastern
Pacific, moving W at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered to numerous moderate
isolated strong convection is noted from 16N to 21.5N and W of
85W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W and extends
southwestward to a 1011 mb low pressure near 10.3N38W to 10N48W.
The ITCZ extends from 10N48W to 11N59W. Aside from the convection
mentioned in the tropical waves section, scattered moderate
convection is noted from 07N to 10N between 44W and 47.5W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

The Atlantic ridge extends westward across Florida into the Gulf
region, where a 1019 mb high is found near 28N84.5W. A surface
trough has moved westward offshore the Yucatan Peninsula and into
the central Bay of Campeche, and is supporting scattered moderate
convection over the western half of the Bay of Campeche south of
19.5N. Light winds prevail across the NE Gulf near the high
center, while gentle to moderate E to SE winds and 2 to 4 ft seas
are elsewhere.

For the forecast, the aforementioned Atlantic ridge will change
little through Sat before weakening Sun. This pattern will produce
mostly gentle to moderate E to SE winds across the basin, with
pulses of fresh winds occurring north and west of the Yucatan
Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each evening and night, as
a diurnal surface trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula
westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected
through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See the Tropical Waves section above for information on convection
impacting the basin.

The pressure gradient between Atlantic high pressure north of the
area and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds
over the central Caribbean south of 17N, with associated rough
seas to 11 ft near the coast of Colombia. Fresh to strong NE winds
are also funneling through the Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate
winds and seas prevail over the remaining waters.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian Low will continue to support fresh to
strong trades over the south-central Caribbean through tonight.
The ridge will begin to strengthen modestly behind a tropical wave
currently moving across the eastern Caribbean by night, leading
to a significant expansion in coverage of strong trade winds over
the central and eastern portions of the basin through Sat. Winds
may increase to gale-force offshore of Colombia Fri night and Sat
night. Looking ahead, an area of showers and thunderstorms
associated with a tropical wave is located about 950 miles west-
southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be conducive for development during the next couple of
days, and a tropical depression will likely form while the system
moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for information on Invest AL92
located over the central Atlantic.

High pressure prevails over the waters N of 14N, anchored by a
1021 mb high centered near 27N50W. Light to gentle winds prevail
over the waters N of 23N and west of 25W, with slight to moderate
seas. Moderate to fresh trade winds are noted S of 23N, with
moderate seas. Offshore Africa, fresh to locally strong NE winds
extend from the Canary Islands to 20N then become moderate across
the Cabo Verde Islands. Seas of 5 to 8 ft prevail across this
area. Saharan Air continues to dominate much of the basin N of 14N
between Africa and 60W.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will sink
slightly southward Thu, then change little through Fri night,
before weakening over the weekend. Winds will freshen from E to W,
and south of 23N early Thu through Sat, behind a tropical wave
moving across the Caribbean. Fresh trades N of Hispaniola and in
the approach to the Windward Passage will pulse to strong speeds
each night. Looking ahead, an area of showers and thunderstorms
associated with a tropical wave is located about 900 miles west-
southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be conducive for development during the next couple of
days, and a tropical depression will likely form while the system
moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic.

$$
KRV

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Aug 12 22:14:06 2026

841
AXNT20 KNHC 122213
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Aug 13 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): An area of showers and
thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave is located about 950
miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be conducive for development during the
next couple of days, and a tropical depression will likely form
while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the
central tropical Atlantic. There is a high chance for tropical
formation in the next 48 hours.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 24W, from 04N to 18N, moving
W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
noted from 06N to 14N between 22W and 30W. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for some
development of this system during the next several days while it
moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern and
central tropical Atlantic. There is a low chance for tropical
cyclone development in the next 48 hours and a medium chance for
development in the next 7 days.

Please see the Special Features section above for information on
a tropical wave near 40W, and the potential for tropical cyclone
development.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 63W extending southward from
18N, moving west at around 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 13N to 18N between 60W and 64W.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 72W S of 22N, moving west at
10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 17N to 20N
between 72W and 76W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W and extends
southwestward to a 1010 mb low pressure near 10.5N39.5W to
09N48W. The ITCZ extends from 09N48W to 10N60W. Aside from
convection mentioned in the tropical waves section, scattered
moderate convection is noted from 06N to 10N between 44W and 50W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure prevails over the Gulf waters, anchored by a 1019 mb
high near 28N86W. Light to gentle winds and slight seas are in the
vicinity of the high center. Gentle to locally moderate winds, and
slight seas, prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, the weather pattern will produce mostly gentle
to moderate E to SE winds across the basin, with pulses of fresh
winds occurring north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into
the Bay of Campeche each evening and night, as a diurnal surface
trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW
Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected through the forecast
period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between Atlantic high pressure north of the
area and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds
over the south central Caribbean. Rough seas prevail over these
waters. Moderate to fresh winds, and moderate seas, prevail over
the north central Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds, and
moderate seas, prevail over the remaining waters.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian Low will continue to support fresh to
strong trades over the south-central Caribbean through tonight.
The ridge will begin to strengthen modestly behind a tropical wave
currently moving across the eastern Caribbean, leading to a
significant expansion in coverage of strong trade winds over the
central and eastern portions of the basin through Sat. Winds may
increase to gale-force offshore of Colombia by Fri night. Looking
ahead, an area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a
tropical wave is located about 950 miles west-southwest of the
Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a
tropical depression will likely form while the system moves
westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for information on Invest AL92
located over the central Atlantic.

High pressure prevails over the waters N of 20N, anchored by a
1021 mb high centered near 28N52W. Light to gentle winds prevail
over the waters N of 23N and west of 25W, with slight to moderate
seas. Fresh to strong winds, and moderate to rough seas, are
associated with invest AL92. Moderate to fresh trade winds are
noted elsewhere S of 23N, with moderate seas. Offshore Africa,
fresh to locally strong NE winds extend from the Canary Islands to
20N then become moderate across the Cabo Verde Islands. Moderate
seas prevail across this area.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will sink
slightly southward Thu, then change little through Fri night,
before weakening over the weekend. Winds will freshen from E to W,
and south of 23N early Thu through Sat, behind a tropical wave
moving across the Caribbean. Fresh trades N of Hispaniola and in
the approach to the Windward Passage will pulse to strong speeds
each night. Looking ahead, an area of showers and thunderstorms
associated with a tropical wave is located about 950 miles west-
southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be conducive for development during the next couple of
days, and a tropical depression will likely form while the system
moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic.

$$
AL

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Aug 12 22:14:08 2026

842
AXNT20 KNHC 122213
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Aug 13 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): An area of showers and
thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave is located about 950
miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be conducive for development during the
next couple of days, and a tropical depression will likely form
while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the
central tropical Atlantic. There is a high chance for tropical
formation in the next 48 hours.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 24W, from 04N to 18N, moving
W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
noted from 06N to 14N between 22W and 30W. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for some
development of this system during the next several days while it
moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern and
central tropical Atlantic. There is a low chance for tropical
cyclone development in the next 48 hours and a medium chance for
development in the next 7 days.

Please see the Special Features section above for information on
a tropical wave near 40W, and the potential for tropical cyclone
development.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 63W extending southward from
18N, moving west at around 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 13N to 18N between 60W and 64W.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 72W S of 22N, moving west at
10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 17N to 20N
between 72W and 76W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W and extends
southwestward to a 1010 mb low pressure near 10.5N39.5W to
09N48W. The ITCZ extends from 09N48W to 10N60W. Aside from
convection mentioned in the tropical waves section, scattered
moderate convection is noted from 06N to 10N between 44W and 50W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure prevails over the Gulf waters, anchored by a 1019 mb
high near 28N86W. Light to gentle winds and slight seas are in the
vicinity of the high center. Gentle to locally moderate winds, and
slight seas, prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, the weather pattern will produce mostly gentle
to moderate E to SE winds across the basin, with pulses of fresh
winds occurring north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into
the Bay of Campeche each evening and night, as a diurnal surface
trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW
Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected through the forecast
period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between Atlantic high pressure north of the
area and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds
over the south central Caribbean. Rough seas prevail over these
waters. Moderate to fresh winds, and moderate seas, prevail over
the north central Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds, and
moderate seas, prevail over the remaining waters.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian Low will continue to support fresh to
strong trades over the south-central Caribbean through tonight.
The ridge will begin to strengthen modestly behind a tropical wave
currently moving across the eastern Caribbean, leading to a
significant expansion in coverage of strong trade winds over the
central and eastern portions of the basin through Sat. Winds may
increase to gale-force offshore of Colombia by Fri night. Looking
ahead, an area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a
tropical wave is located about 950 miles west-southwest of the
Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a
tropical depression will likely form while the system moves
westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for information on Invest AL92
located over the central Atlantic.

High pressure prevails over the waters N of 20N, anchored by a
1021 mb high centered near 28N52W. Light to gentle winds prevail
over the waters N of 23N and west of 25W, with slight to moderate
seas. Fresh to strong winds, and moderate to rough seas, are
associated with invest AL92. Moderate to fresh trade winds are
noted elsewhere S of 23N, with moderate seas. Offshore Africa,
fresh to locally strong NE winds extend from the Canary Islands to
20N then become moderate across the Cabo Verde Islands. Moderate
seas prevail across this area.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will sink
slightly southward Thu, then change little through Fri night,
before weakening over the weekend. Winds will freshen from E to W,
and south of 23N early Thu through Sat, behind a tropical wave
moving across the Caribbean. Fresh trades N of Hispaniola and in
the approach to the Windward Passage will pulse to strong speeds
each night. Looking ahead, an area of showers and thunderstorms
associated with a tropical wave is located about 950 miles west-
southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be conducive for development during the next couple of
days, and a tropical depression will likely form while the system
moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic.

$$
AL

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 13 04:26:34 2026

290
AXNT20 KNHC 130426
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Aug 13 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between subtropical
high pressure centered toward Bermuda and lower pressure over
northern South America will tighten late this week, increasing
trade winds and forcing gales to develop Fri evening in the Gulf
of Venezuela and offshore Colombia. Gales will prevail Fri night
then diminish Sat. Very rough seas will build near and downwind of
these gales in the southwest Caribbean Fri night into early Sat.
Please see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!8ddFJFngHCsLj1ZTIRU54rYcDIVjKi-mjOOoZL763ZbuYr5JwLkd8BYX20vNEhlno-1IxjMf4gFy9hQS4U4R8ctKDiQ$ for further details.

Invest AL92: Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of
organization in association with a tropical wave located in the
Central Tropical Atlantic midway between the Lesser Antilles and
the west coast of Africa, with an axis along 40W. This system
currently has some strong winds and rough seas impacting waters
from 09N to 15N between 38W and 42W. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be conducive for further development, and a tropical
depression will likely form during the next day or two while the
system moves westward or west- northwestward across the central
tropical Atlantic. There is high chance for tropical formation in
the next 48 hours.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 28W, from 05N to 18N, a few
hundred miles SW of the Cabo Verde Islands, moving west at around
15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to 14N
between 24W and 32W, and some strong SW winds are noted on the SE
side of the system. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
generally conducive for some development, and a tropical
depression could form late this week or this weekend while the
wave moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern and
central tropical Atlantic. There is a low chance for tropical
cyclone development in the next 48 hours and a medium chance for
development in the next 7 days.

The axis of an eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 65W,
extending across Puerto Rico southward to Venezuela, moving
westward at about 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 13N to 17N between 63W and 66W.

The axis of a central Caribbean tropical wave is along 75W,
southward across far eastern Cuba to northern Colombia, moving
westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is impacting the Windward Passage, between Cuba and
Jamaica, and nearby waters.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near new and extends
southwestward to a 1010 mb low pressure near 11N40W to 09N48W. The
ITCZ extends from 09N48W to 09N59W. Convection near these
features is primarily associated with the tropical wave and
special feature described in the sections above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure prevails over the Gulf waters, anchored by a 1019 mb
high near 28N86W. Light to gentle winds and slight seas are in the
vicinity of the high center. Mainly moderate SE winds, with slight
to moderate seas, prevail elsewhere. A diurnal surface trough has
moved NW and offshore the Yucatan Peninsula this evening,
triggering scattered moderate convection along it.

For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge extending westward across
Florida and into the north-central Gulf will change little
through Sat before weakening Sun. This pattern will produce mostly
gentle to moderate E to SE winds across the basin, with pulses of
fresh winds occurring north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and
into the Bay of Campeche each evening and night, as a diurnal
surface trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across
the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected through the
forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section for information on a Gale Warning
that has been issued for portion of the south-central basin
effective Fri night.

The pressure gradient between Atlantic high pressure north of the
area and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds
over the south central Caribbean. Rough seas prevail over these
waters. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas, prevail over
the north-central and eastern Caribbean. Gentle to moderate
winds and moderate seas prevail over the remaining waters.

For the forecast, an area of showers and thunderstorms
associated with a tropical wave located over the central Atlantic
near 40W is showing some signs of organization tonight.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for
development during the next couple of days, and a tropical
depression will likely form while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic, and
reaches the Lesser Antilles Sat.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for information on Invest AL92
located over the central tropical Atlantic.

High pressure prevails over the waters N of 20N, anchored by a
1021 mb high centered near 28N51W. Mainly gentle winds prevail
over the waters N of 23N and west of 25W, with slight to moderate
seas. Moderate to fresh trade winds are noted elsewhere S of 23N,
with moderate seas. Offshore Africa, fresh to locally strong NE
winds extend from the Canary Islands to 20N then become moderate
across the Cabo Verde Islands. Moderate seas prevail across this
area.

For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic ridge extends
along 27N tonight and will sink slightly southward Thu, then
change little through Fri night, before weakening over the
weekend. Winds will freshen from E to W, and south of 23N, tonight
through Sat, behind a tropical wave currently across the eastern
Caribbean. Fresh trades N of Hispaniola and in the approach to the
Windward Passage will pulse to strong speeds each night.

$$
Konarik

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 13 04:26:34 2026

289
AXNT20 KNHC 130426
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Aug 13 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between subtropical
high pressure centered toward Bermuda and lower pressure over
northern South America will tighten late this week, increasing
trade winds and forcing gales to develop Fri evening in the Gulf
of Venezuela and offshore Colombia. Gales will prevail Fri night
then diminish Sat. Very rough seas will build near and downwind of
these gales in the southwest Caribbean Fri night into early Sat.
Please see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!4h2wzqZuysPQzokLK19F8TllK7EUjX1MhZR1B_oQGwhlcK-T-govMc6z-uE6ZQvfyDOw5Oediw0fkgZhJGnTgKnKU-0$ for further details.

Invest AL92: Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of
organization in association with a tropical wave located in the
Central Tropical Atlantic midway between the Lesser Antilles and
the west coast of Africa, with an axis along 40W. This system
currently has some strong winds and rough seas impacting waters
from 09N to 15N between 38W and 42W. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be conducive for further development, and a tropical
depression will likely form during the next day or two while the
system moves westward or west- northwestward across the central
tropical Atlantic. There is high chance for tropical formation in
the next 48 hours.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 28W, from 05N to 18N, a few
hundred miles SW of the Cabo Verde Islands, moving west at around
15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to 14N
between 24W and 32W, and some strong SW winds are noted on the SE
side of the system. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
generally conducive for some development, and a tropical
depression could form late this week or this weekend while the
wave moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern and
central tropical Atlantic. There is a low chance for tropical
cyclone development in the next 48 hours and a medium chance for
development in the next 7 days.

The axis of an eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 65W,
extending across Puerto Rico southward to Venezuela, moving
westward at about 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 13N to 17N between 63W and 66W.

The axis of a central Caribbean tropical wave is along 75W,
southward across far eastern Cuba to northern Colombia, moving
westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is impacting the Windward Passage, between Cuba and
Jamaica, and nearby waters.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near new and extends
southwestward to a 1010 mb low pressure near 11N40W to 09N48W. The
ITCZ extends from 09N48W to 09N59W. Convection near these
features is primarily associated with the tropical wave and
special feature described in the sections above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure prevails over the Gulf waters, anchored by a 1019 mb
high near 28N86W. Light to gentle winds and slight seas are in the
vicinity of the high center. Mainly moderate SE winds, with slight
to moderate seas, prevail elsewhere. A diurnal surface trough has
moved NW and offshore the Yucatan Peninsula this evening,
triggering scattered moderate convection along it.

For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge extending westward across
Florida and into the north-central Gulf will change little
through Sat before weakening Sun. This pattern will produce mostly
gentle to moderate E to SE winds across the basin, with pulses of
fresh winds occurring north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and
into the Bay of Campeche each evening and night, as a diurnal
surface trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across
the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected through the
forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section for information on a Gale Warning
that has been issued for portion of the south-central basin
effective Fri night.

The pressure gradient between Atlantic high pressure north of the
area and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds
over the south central Caribbean. Rough seas prevail over these
waters. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas, prevail over
the north-central and eastern Caribbean. Gentle to moderate
winds and moderate seas prevail over the remaining waters.

For the forecast, an area of showers and thunderstorms
associated with a tropical wave located over the central Atlantic
near 40W is showing some signs of organization tonight.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for
development during the next couple of days, and a tropical
depression will likely form while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic, and
reaches the Lesser Antilles Sat.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for information on Invest AL92
located over the central tropical Atlantic.

High pressure prevails over the waters N of 20N, anchored by a
1021 mb high centered near 28N51W. Mainly gentle winds prevail
over the waters N of 23N and west of 25W, with slight to moderate
seas. Moderate to fresh trade winds are noted elsewhere S of 23N,
with moderate seas. Offshore Africa, fresh to locally strong NE
winds extend from the Canary Islands to 20N then become moderate
across the Cabo Verde Islands. Moderate seas prevail across this
area.

For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic ridge extends
along 27N tonight and will sink slightly southward Thu, then
change little through Fri night, before weakening over the
weekend. Winds will freshen from E to W, and south of 23N, tonight
through Sat, behind a tropical wave currently across the eastern
Caribbean. Fresh trades N of Hispaniola and in the approach to the
Windward Passage will pulse to strong speeds each night.

$$
Konarik

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 13 10:01:54 2026

412
AXNT20 KNHC 131001
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Aug 13 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0920 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between subtropical
high pressure across the western Atlantic along 27N and lower
pressure over northern South America will tighten late this week,
behind a passing tropical wave, increasing trade winds across the
eastern and central Caribbean, and forcing gales to develop Fri
evening in the Gulf of Venezuela and offshore Colombia. Gales will
prevail Fri night then diminish below gale-force Sat morning.
Very rough seas to 15 ft will build near and downwind of these
gales in the southwest Caribbean Fri night into early Sat. Please
see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!9SJmdFHFpIMFkFTTSPdQGL-SPeppcIWaOfGDTv_Jn-ijB35EDlpO3f_P3-OTVbNuZgZkcSqXs9bLSluWm2kPRv3sUK0$ for further details.

Invest AL92: Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of
organization in association with a tropical wave located in the
Central Tropical Atlantic along 43W, midway between the Lesser
Antilles and the west coast of Africa. 1011 mb low pressure is
analyzed there near 11N42W. Overnight satellite scatterometer data
showed strong winds north of the low to 20N, between 37W and 48W,
with rough seas to 10 ft. Environmental conditions are forecast
to be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression
will likely form during the next day or so while the system moves
westward or west- northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic. However, by Friday, upper-level winds are likely to
become too strong for development as the system approaches the
Lesser Antilles. There is high chance for tropical formation in
the next 48 hours.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 27W-28W, from 06N to 19N,
moving west at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is noted from 08N to 13N between 26W and 33W. Overnight
satellite scatterometer data showed strong SW to W winds noted on
the S side of the system. Environmental conditions are forecast
to be generally conducive for some development, and a tropical
depression could form late this week or this weekend while the
wave moves westward or west- northwestward across the eastern and
central tropical Atlantic. There is a low chance for tropical
cyclone development in the next 48 hours and a medium chance for
development in the next 7 days.

The axis of a Caribbean tropical wave is along 67W-68W, extending
from Venezuela across the eastern Dominican Republic, moving
westward at about 15 kt. Scattered moderate to strong convection
is noted from 14N to 25N between 67W and 72W.

The axis of a central Caribbean tropical wave is along 77W,
southward across eastern Cuba to northwestern Colombia, moving
westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
impacting the Windward Passage, between Cuba and Jamaica, and
nearby waters.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W and extends
southwestward to 10.5N29W to 1011 mb low pressure near 11N42W to
07N51W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted
from 05.5N to 11N E of 19W. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, convection
near these features is primarily associated with the tropical
wave and special feature described above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure prevails over the northern Gulf waters, anchored by
a 1018 mb high near 27N85W. Light to gentle winds and slight seas
prevail across the NE Gulf. Mainly moderate E to S winds, with
slight to moderate seas, prevail elsewhere. A diurnal surface
trough has moved offshore the Yucatan Peninsula and into the
central Bay of Campeche overnight, triggering scattered moderate
convection along it. Behind the trough, fresh SE winds prevail.

For the forecast, high pressure across the NE Gulf will change
little through Sat before weakening Sun and Mon. This pattern will
produce mostly gentle to moderate E to SE winds across the basin,
with pulses of fresh winds occurring north and west of the
Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each evening and
night, as a diurnal surface trough migrates from the Yucatan
Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are
expected through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section for information on a Gale Warning
that has been issued for portion of the south-central basin
effective Fri night.

The pressure gradient between western Atlantic high pressure along
27N and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds
over the south central Caribbean S of 17N. Rough seas to 8 ft prevail
over these waters. Fresh to locally strong trade winds and
moderate seas to 6 ft prevail over the northeast Caribbean behind
the tropical wave across the eastern Dominican Republic. Gentle
to moderate winds and moderate seas prevail over the remaining
waters.

For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge will gradually strengthen
across the Caribbean basin, behind a tropical wave currently
moving across the eastern Caribbean, leading to a significant
expansion in coverage of strong trade winds over the eastern and
central portions of the basin, today through Sat. Winds are
expected to increase to gale-force offshore of Colombia and in the
Gulf of Venezuela Fri night. Looking ahead, an area of showers
and thunderstorms associated with a strong tropical wave located
over the central Atlantic near 42W is showing some signs of
organization. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for development during the next day or so, and a
tropical depression will likely form while the system moves
westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic. However, by Friday, upper-level winds are likely to
become too strong for development as the system approaches the
Lesser Antilles. This system is forecast to reach the Lesser
Antilles Sat morning, and reach 70W Sun morning.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for information on Invest AL92
located over the central tropical Atlantic.

High pressure prevails over the waters N of 18N, anchored by a
1022 mb high centered near 28N50W, extending westward to SE
Florida, and northeastward to a 1024 mb high near 35N26W. Mainly
gentle winds prevail over the waters N of 24N and west of 23W,
with slight to moderate seas. Moderate to fresh trade winds are
noted S of 23N and W of 48W, with moderate seas. Invest AL92 is
currently passing due south of the 1022 mb high center, and
producing a broad swath of fresh to strong winds S of 20N between
37W and 48W. Offshore Africa, fresh to locally strong NE winds
extend from the Canary Islands to 20N then become moderate to
locally fresh across the Cabo Verde Islands to 30W. Moderate to
locally rough seas prevail across this area. Dry and stable
Saharan Air continues to dominate much of the basin S of 24N to
14N, between Africa and the NE Caribbean.

For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic ridge will
sink slightly southward Fri and Fri night, before weakening over
the weekend into early next week. S of 23N, trade winds will
freshen from E to W today through Sat, behind a tropical wave
currently across the eastern Caribbean. Fresh trades N of
Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward Passage will pulse
to strong speeds each night. Looking ahead, Invest AL92 is
forecast to reach the Lesser Antilles Sat morning, and reach 70W
Sun morning.

$$
Stripling

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 13 10:01:56 2026

413
AXNT20 KNHC 131001
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Aug 13 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0920 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between subtropical
high pressure across the western Atlantic along 27N and lower
pressure over northern South America will tighten late this week,
behind a passing tropical wave, increasing trade winds across the
eastern and central Caribbean, and forcing gales to develop Fri
evening in the Gulf of Venezuela and offshore Colombia. Gales will
prevail Fri night then diminish below gale-force Sat morning.
Very rough seas to 15 ft will build near and downwind of these
gales in the southwest Caribbean Fri night into early Sat. Please
see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!-y_MYRy3cNpIVpbccFlibQU-NWArOwLJUO7hbLGcByf-FyCv6dQQF0HEUh7LPVmLNPhkOBrIz_CkVZWJuxMvWHklAW8$ for further details.

Invest AL92: Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of
organization in association with a tropical wave located in the
Central Tropical Atlantic along 43W, midway between the Lesser
Antilles and the west coast of Africa. 1011 mb low pressure is
analyzed there near 11N42W. Overnight satellite scatterometer data
showed strong winds north of the low to 20N, between 37W and 48W,
with rough seas to 10 ft. Environmental conditions are forecast
to be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression
will likely form during the next day or so while the system moves
westward or west- northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic. However, by Friday, upper-level winds are likely to
become too strong for development as the system approaches the
Lesser Antilles. There is high chance for tropical formation in
the next 48 hours.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 27W-28W, from 06N to 19N,
moving west at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is noted from 08N to 13N between 26W and 33W. Overnight
satellite scatterometer data showed strong SW to W winds noted on
the S side of the system. Environmental conditions are forecast
to be generally conducive for some development, and a tropical
depression could form late this week or this weekend while the
wave moves westward or west- northwestward across the eastern and
central tropical Atlantic. There is a low chance for tropical
cyclone development in the next 48 hours and a medium chance for
development in the next 7 days.

The axis of a Caribbean tropical wave is along 67W-68W, extending
from Venezuela across the eastern Dominican Republic, moving
westward at about 15 kt. Scattered moderate to strong convection
is noted from 14N to 25N between 67W and 72W.

The axis of a central Caribbean tropical wave is along 77W,
southward across eastern Cuba to northwestern Colombia, moving
westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
impacting the Windward Passage, between Cuba and Jamaica, and
nearby waters.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W and extends
southwestward to 10.5N29W to 1011 mb low pressure near 11N42W to
07N51W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted
from 05.5N to 11N E of 19W. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, convection
near these features is primarily associated with the tropical
wave and special feature described above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure prevails over the northern Gulf waters, anchored by
a 1018 mb high near 27N85W. Light to gentle winds and slight seas
prevail across the NE Gulf. Mainly moderate E to S winds, with
slight to moderate seas, prevail elsewhere. A diurnal surface
trough has moved offshore the Yucatan Peninsula and into the
central Bay of Campeche overnight, triggering scattered moderate
convection along it. Behind the trough, fresh SE winds prevail.

For the forecast, high pressure across the NE Gulf will change
little through Sat before weakening Sun and Mon. This pattern will
produce mostly gentle to moderate E to SE winds across the basin,
with pulses of fresh winds occurring north and west of the
Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each evening and
night, as a diurnal surface trough migrates from the Yucatan
Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are
expected through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section for information on a Gale Warning
that has been issued for portion of the south-central basin
effective Fri night.

The pressure gradient between western Atlantic high pressure along
27N and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds
over the south central Caribbean S of 17N. Rough seas to 8 ft prevail
over these waters. Fresh to locally strong trade winds and
moderate seas to 6 ft prevail over the northeast Caribbean behind
the tropical wave across the eastern Dominican Republic. Gentle
to moderate winds and moderate seas prevail over the remaining
waters.

For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge will gradually strengthen
across the Caribbean basin, behind a tropical wave currently
moving across the eastern Caribbean, leading to a significant
expansion in coverage of strong trade winds over the eastern and
central portions of the basin, today through Sat. Winds are
expected to increase to gale-force offshore of Colombia and in the
Gulf of Venezuela Fri night. Looking ahead, an area of showers
and thunderstorms associated with a strong tropical wave located
over the central Atlantic near 42W is showing some signs of
organization. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for development during the next day or so, and a
tropical depression will likely form while the system moves
westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic. However, by Friday, upper-level winds are likely to
become too strong for development as the system approaches the
Lesser Antilles. This system is forecast to reach the Lesser
Antilles Sat morning, and reach 70W Sun morning.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for information on Invest AL92
located over the central tropical Atlantic.

High pressure prevails over the waters N of 18N, anchored by a
1022 mb high centered near 28N50W, extending westward to SE
Florida, and northeastward to a 1024 mb high near 35N26W. Mainly
gentle winds prevail over the waters N of 24N and west of 23W,
with slight to moderate seas. Moderate to fresh trade winds are
noted S of 23N and W of 48W, with moderate seas. Invest AL92 is
currently passing due south of the 1022 mb high center, and
producing a broad swath of fresh to strong winds S of 20N between
37W and 48W. Offshore Africa, fresh to locally strong NE winds
extend from the Canary Islands to 20N then become moderate to
locally fresh across the Cabo Verde Islands to 30W. Moderate to
locally rough seas prevail across this area. Dry and stable
Saharan Air continues to dominate much of the basin S of 24N to
14N, between Africa and the NE Caribbean.

For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic ridge will
sink slightly southward Fri and Fri night, before weakening over
the weekend into early next week. S of 23N, trade winds will
freshen from E to W today through Sat, behind a tropical wave
currently across the eastern Caribbean. Fresh trades N of
Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward Passage will pulse
to strong speeds each night. Looking ahead, Invest AL92 is
forecast to reach the Lesser Antilles Sat morning, and reach 70W
Sun morning.

$$
Stripling

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 13 18:00:10 2026

060
AXNT20 KNHC 131759
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Aug 13 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between subtropical
high pressure across the western Atlantic along 27N and lower
pressure over northern South America will tighten late this week,
behind a passing tropical wave, increasing trade winds across the
eastern and central Caribbean, and forcing gales to develop Fri
evening in the Gulf of Venezuela and offshore Colombia. Gales will
prevail Fri night then diminish below gale-force Sat morning.
Very rough seas to 15 ft will build near and downwind of these
gales in the southwest Caribbean Fri night into early Sat. Please
see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!7WCFflE8GAtCWKiZtAVtBs04nYXzuW2KGDdbNkuMeLulqdTuakv8-c5hdUmvAjXfL0b3dmXez07_hxy9uR8GIV6vx4A$ for further details.

Invest AL92: Showers and thunderstorms have become less organized
in association with a tropical wave located along 45W. In
addition, recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the
system does not have a closed circulation, but did show strong
winds north of the low to 20N, between 37W and 50W, with rough
seas to 10 ft. This system is expected to move into a region of
strong upper-level winds and dry air, and the development chances
appear to be decreasing. This system currently has a medium chance
of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48 hours. Interests in
the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of this system as
gusty winds and areas of heavy rain are possible Friday night and
Saturday, regardless of development.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 28W, from 06N to 20N, moving
west at around 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 08N to 14N between 25W and 35W. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be generally conducive for gradual development, and a
tropical depression could form late this week or this weekend
while the wave moves westward or west-northwestward across the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic.

The axis of a Caribbean tropical wave extends from NW Venezuela
across the western Dominican Republic, moving westward at about 15
kt. Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted from 15N to
25N between 67W and 73W.

The axis of a central Caribbean tropical wave is along 79W,
southward across central Cuba to Panama, moving westward at
around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is impacting the waters
between Cuba and Jamaica, and also W of Jamaica to about 82W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 15N17W and extends
southwestward through a 1010 mb low pressure near 11N45W to
06N56W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted
from 06N to 12N and E of 21W. Elsewhere across the Atlantic,
convection near these features is primarily associated with the
tropical waves and special feature described above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure prevails over the northern Gulf waters, anchored by
a 1018 mb high near 27N86W. Light to gentle winds and slight seas
prevail across the NE Gulf. Mainly moderate E to S winds, with
slight to moderate seas, prevail elsewhere. A diurnal surface
trough has moved offshore the Yucatan Peninsula and into the
central Bay of Campeche, triggering scattered moderate convection
along the northern end of the trough axis. Behind the trough,
fresh SE winds prevail.

For the forecast, a weak high pressure should remain over the N
Gulf for the next several days. A nightly surface trough will move
westward off of the Yucatan peninsula into the SW Gulf, causing
fresh to locally strong NE winds. Elsewhere, winds and seas should
be quiescent for the next several days.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section for information on a Gale Warning
that has been issued for portion of the south-central basin
effective Fri night.

The pressure gradient between western Atlantic high pressure along
27N and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds
over the south central Caribbean S of 17N. Rough seas to 8 ft prevail
over these waters. Fresh to locally strong trade winds and
moderate seas to 6 ft prevail over the northeast Caribbean behind
the tropical wave across the eastern Dominican Republic. Gentle
to moderate winds and moderate seas prevail over the remaining
waters.

For the forecast, a strong tropical wave along 70W along with the
Bermuda High north of the region will enhance the trades over the
central Caribbean tonight through Sat. Peak winds should reach
gale force just north of Colombia and Venezuela tonight through
Sat morning. Additionally, another strong tropical wave - noted as
Invest AL92 - should start impacting the Leeward Islands
beginning tomorrow evening. Winds strong to near gale force along
with scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected from
tomorrow night through Sat night for the Leeward Islands. As
Invest AL92 moves westward, the enhanced winds will shift toward
through N central Caribbean and the Greater Antilles including the
Windward Passage from Sat night through Sun night. Afterwards the
tropical wave may weaken, as it moves toward the W Caribbean.
Note that if Invest AL92 forms into a tropical cyclone, the winds
and waves expected may be higher than indicated here.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for information on Invest AL92
located over the central tropical Atlantic.

High pressure prevails over the waters N of 18N, anchored by a
1024 mb high centered near 28N46W, extending westward to SE
Florida, and northeastward to a 1027 mb high near 35N27W. Mainly
gentle winds prevail over the waters N of 24N and west of 30W,
with slight to moderate seas. Moderate to fresh trade winds are
noted S of 24N and W of 30W, with moderate seas. Invest AL92 is
currently passing due south of the 1024 mb high center, and is
producing a broad swath of fresh to strong winds S of 20N between
37W and 50W. Offshore Africa, fresh to locally strong NE winds
extend from the Canary Islands to 20N then become moderate to
locally fresh across the Cabo Verde Islands to 30W. Moderate to
locally rough seas prevail across this area. Upper level troughing
supports widely scattered moderate convection N of 25N between 60W
and 80W. Dry and stable Saharan Air continues to dominate much of
the basin S of 24N to 14N, between Africa and the NE Caribbean.

For the forecast west of 55W, ridging along 27N with the Bermuda
High combined with two tropical waves passing through the
Caribbean will cause fresh to strong NE to E winds south of 22N
from tonight through Sun night. Elsewhere winds are expected to
remain light to moderate for the next few days. Looking ahead, a
weak cold front will slowly push across our northern border east
of 70W Sun, causing a wind shift to northeast but with little
change in wind speeds on Sun and Mon north of 28N.

$$
Adams

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 13 18:00:10 2026

061
AXNT20 KNHC 131759
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Aug 13 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between subtropical
high pressure across the western Atlantic along 27N and lower
pressure over northern South America will tighten late this week,
behind a passing tropical wave, increasing trade winds across the
eastern and central Caribbean, and forcing gales to develop Fri
evening in the Gulf of Venezuela and offshore Colombia. Gales will
prevail Fri night then diminish below gale-force Sat morning.
Very rough seas to 15 ft will build near and downwind of these
gales in the southwest Caribbean Fri night into early Sat. Please
see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!-fJF1syGCLNaasXIhNk3w1RVvu3RvENj9Or-rRRn2Qu-c5-VXHr75mHYpXsCx40ZmK_IX1Q1WRB6r5h9s1wvjG82I94$ for further details.

Invest AL92: Showers and thunderstorms have become less organized
in association with a tropical wave located along 45W. In
addition, recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the
system does not have a closed circulation, but did show strong
winds north of the low to 20N, between 37W and 50W, with rough
seas to 10 ft. This system is expected to move into a region of
strong upper-level winds and dry air, and the development chances
appear to be decreasing. This system currently has a medium chance
of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48 hours. Interests in
the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of this system as
gusty winds and areas of heavy rain are possible Friday night and
Saturday, regardless of development.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 28W, from 06N to 20N, moving
west at around 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 08N to 14N between 25W and 35W. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be generally conducive for gradual development, and a
tropical depression could form late this week or this weekend
while the wave moves westward or west-northwestward across the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic.

The axis of a Caribbean tropical wave extends from NW Venezuela
across the western Dominican Republic, moving westward at about 15
kt. Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted from 15N to
25N between 67W and 73W.

The axis of a central Caribbean tropical wave is along 79W,
southward across central Cuba to Panama, moving westward at
around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is impacting the waters
between Cuba and Jamaica, and also W of Jamaica to about 82W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 15N17W and extends
southwestward through a 1010 mb low pressure near 11N45W to
06N56W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted
from 06N to 12N and E of 21W. Elsewhere across the Atlantic,
convection near these features is primarily associated with the
tropical waves and special feature described above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure prevails over the northern Gulf waters, anchored by
a 1018 mb high near 27N86W. Light to gentle winds and slight seas
prevail across the NE Gulf. Mainly moderate E to S winds, with
slight to moderate seas, prevail elsewhere. A diurnal surface
trough has moved offshore the Yucatan Peninsula and into the
central Bay of Campeche, triggering scattered moderate convection
along the northern end of the trough axis. Behind the trough,
fresh SE winds prevail.

For the forecast, a weak high pressure should remain over the N
Gulf for the next several days. A nightly surface trough will move
westward off of the Yucatan peninsula into the SW Gulf, causing
fresh to locally strong NE winds. Elsewhere, winds and seas should
be quiescent for the next several days.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section for information on a Gale Warning
that has been issued for portion of the south-central basin
effective Fri night.

The pressure gradient between western Atlantic high pressure along
27N and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds
over the south central Caribbean S of 17N. Rough seas to 8 ft prevail
over these waters. Fresh to locally strong trade winds and
moderate seas to 6 ft prevail over the northeast Caribbean behind
the tropical wave across the eastern Dominican Republic. Gentle
to moderate winds and moderate seas prevail over the remaining
waters.

For the forecast, a strong tropical wave along 70W along with the
Bermuda High north of the region will enhance the trades over the
central Caribbean tonight through Sat. Peak winds should reach
gale force just north of Colombia and Venezuela tonight through
Sat morning. Additionally, another strong tropical wave - noted as
Invest AL92 - should start impacting the Leeward Islands
beginning tomorrow evening. Winds strong to near gale force along
with scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected from
tomorrow night through Sat night for the Leeward Islands. As
Invest AL92 moves westward, the enhanced winds will shift toward
through N central Caribbean and the Greater Antilles including the
Windward Passage from Sat night through Sun night. Afterwards the
tropical wave may weaken, as it moves toward the W Caribbean.
Note that if Invest AL92 forms into a tropical cyclone, the winds
and waves expected may be higher than indicated here.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for information on Invest AL92
located over the central tropical Atlantic.

High pressure prevails over the waters N of 18N, anchored by a
1024 mb high centered near 28N46W, extending westward to SE
Florida, and northeastward to a 1027 mb high near 35N27W. Mainly
gentle winds prevail over the waters N of 24N and west of 30W,
with slight to moderate seas. Moderate to fresh trade winds are
noted S of 24N and W of 30W, with moderate seas. Invest AL92 is
currently passing due south of the 1024 mb high center, and is
producing a broad swath of fresh to strong winds S of 20N between
37W and 50W. Offshore Africa, fresh to locally strong NE winds
extend from the Canary Islands to 20N then become moderate to
locally fresh across the Cabo Verde Islands to 30W. Moderate to
locally rough seas prevail across this area. Upper level troughing
supports widely scattered moderate convection N of 25N between 60W
and 80W. Dry and stable Saharan Air continues to dominate much of
the basin S of 24N to 14N, between Africa and the NE Caribbean.

For the forecast west of 55W, ridging along 27N with the Bermuda
High combined with two tropical waves passing through the
Caribbean will cause fresh to strong NE to E winds south of 22N
from tonight through Sun night. Elsewhere winds are expected to
remain light to moderate for the next few days. Looking ahead, a
weak cold front will slowly push across our northern border east
of 70W Sun, causing a wind shift to northeast but with little
change in wind speeds on Sun and Mon north of 28N.

$$
Adams

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 13 22:20:42 2026

999
AXNT20 KNHC 132220
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Aug 14 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient will tighten
between subtropical high pressure across the western Atlantic
along 27N and the Colombian low on Friday. The tightening pressure
gradient will increase winds in the south central Caribbean, with
winds pulsing to gale force off Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela on Friday night. Very rough seas to 13 ft will build
near and downwind of these gales in the southwest Caribbean Fri
night into early Sat. Please see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!9PE8bs7VG5JqkihVyFCELK80F3ZgWHwIxG9S1F3IKqvNIHqUZN28aibSbF84E263oxHLYCLkX266YVjrKQwz5hpL-JQ$ for further details.

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms have become less organized in
association with a tropical wave located about 1000 miles east of
the Lesser Antilles. In addition, recent satellite-derived wind
data indicate that the system does not have a closed circulation.
This system is expected to move into a region of strong upper-
level winds and dry air, and the development chances appear to be
decreasing. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the
progress of this system as gusty winds and areas of heavy rain are
possible Friday night and Saturday, regardless of development.
There is a medium chance for tropical cyclone development in the
next 48 hours.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 29W, from 02N to 20N, moving
west at around 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is noted from 08N to 15N between 29W and 36W.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive
for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form late
this week or this weekend while the wave moves westward or west-
northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
There is a low chance for tropical development of this system in
the next 48 hours, and a medium chance for development in the next
7 days.

Please see SPECIAL FEATURES section above for more on a tropical
wave with axis near 46W.

The axis of a Caribbean tropical wave is near 71W, moving
westward at about 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated
strong convection is noted from 15N to 20N between 68W and 72W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W and extends
southwestward to 10N33W to 14N44W then to 06.5N56W. Aside from
convection noted in the tropical waves and SPECIAL FEATURES
section above, scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
noted from 06N to 15N between 13W and 22W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure prevails over the northern Gulf waters, anchored by
a 1020 mb high near 27N86W. Light to gentle winds and slight seas
prevail across the NE Gulf in the vicinity of the high center.
Gentle to moderate winds, and slight seas, prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge that extends westward across
Florida and into the Gulf region will change little through Sat
before weakening Sun and Mon. This pattern will produce mostly
gentle to moderate E to SE winds across the basin. Pulses of
fresh winds are expected north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula
and into the Bay of Campeche each evening and night, as a diurnal
surface trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across
the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected through the
forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section for information on a Gale Warning
that has been issued for portion of the south-central basin
effective Fri night.

The pressure gradient between western Atlantic high pressure and
the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds over the
central Caribbean waters. Moderate seas prevail over these waters.
Fresh to locally strong trade winds and moderate seas are over
the eastern Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds, and slight to
moderate seas, prevail over the remaining waters.

For the forecast, tradewinds will increase over the central
Caribbean tonight through Sat. Peak winds should reach gale force
just north of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela Fri night into
Sat morning. A strong tropical wave- Invest AL92 - should start
impacting the Leeward Islands beginning tomorrow evening. Strong
to near gale force along with areas of heavy rain are expected Fri
night and Sat. These weather conditions will shift westward
toward the central Caribbean and the Greater Antilles, including
the Windward Passage from Sat night through Mon. Afterwards the
tropical wave may weaken, as it moves toward the W Caribbean.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for information on Invest AL92
located over the central tropical Atlantic.

A surface trough extends over the SW N Atlantic from 30N63W to
the central Bahamas. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is in the vicinity of the trough. High pressure
dominates the remainder of the discussion waters N of 20N,
anchored by a 1024 mb high centered near 28N47W. Light to gentle
winds, and slight seas are in the vicinity of the high center,
mainly N of 24N between 30W and 60W. Fresh to strong winds, and
rough seas, generated by AL92 are from 12N to 17N between 41W and
50W. Fresh to strong winds are also found near the Canary Islands
SE toward the coast of Africa. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate
winds, and moderate seas, prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong NE to E winds are
expected south of 22N tonight through Sun night. Elsewhere, winds
are expected to remain light to moderate for the next few days.
A weak cold front will slowly push across our northern border
east of 70W Sun, causing a wind shift to northeast but with little
change in wind speeds on Sun and Mon north of 28N.

$$
AL

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 13 22:20:42 2026

998
AXNT20 KNHC 132220
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Aug 14 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient will tighten
between subtropical high pressure across the western Atlantic
along 27N and the Colombian low on Friday. The tightening pressure
gradient will increase winds in the south central Caribbean, with
winds pulsing to gale force off Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela on Friday night. Very rough seas to 13 ft will build
near and downwind of these gales in the southwest Caribbean Fri
night into early Sat. Please see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!8r8vZtMtTK6l-O4ivuVTAGYlR5SGhR8eSJYm6D6Y1H-pxud1sNF-txwQ0FdzKDp69Py1XNTYGQUUA5YC27BhfSoHg0Q$ for further details.

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms have become less organized in
association with a tropical wave located about 1000 miles east of
the Lesser Antilles. In addition, recent satellite-derived wind
data indicate that the system does not have a closed circulation.
This system is expected to move into a region of strong upper-
level winds and dry air, and the development chances appear to be
decreasing. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the
progress of this system as gusty winds and areas of heavy rain are
possible Friday night and Saturday, regardless of development.
There is a medium chance for tropical cyclone development in the
next 48 hours.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 29W, from 02N to 20N, moving
west at around 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is noted from 08N to 15N between 29W and 36W.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive
for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form late
this week or this weekend while the wave moves westward or west-
northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
There is a low chance for tropical development of this system in
the next 48 hours, and a medium chance for development in the next
7 days.

Please see SPECIAL FEATURES section above for more on a tropical
wave with axis near 46W.

The axis of a Caribbean tropical wave is near 71W, moving
westward at about 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated
strong convection is noted from 15N to 20N between 68W and 72W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W and extends
southwestward to 10N33W to 14N44W then to 06.5N56W. Aside from
convection noted in the tropical waves and SPECIAL FEATURES
section above, scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
noted from 06N to 15N between 13W and 22W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure prevails over the northern Gulf waters, anchored by
a 1020 mb high near 27N86W. Light to gentle winds and slight seas
prevail across the NE Gulf in the vicinity of the high center.
Gentle to moderate winds, and slight seas, prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge that extends westward across
Florida and into the Gulf region will change little through Sat
before weakening Sun and Mon. This pattern will produce mostly
gentle to moderate E to SE winds across the basin. Pulses of
fresh winds are expected north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula
and into the Bay of Campeche each evening and night, as a diurnal
surface trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across
the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected through the
forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section for information on a Gale Warning
that has been issued for portion of the south-central basin
effective Fri night.

The pressure gradient between western Atlantic high pressure and
the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds over the
central Caribbean waters. Moderate seas prevail over these waters.
Fresh to locally strong trade winds and moderate seas are over
the eastern Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds, and slight to
moderate seas, prevail over the remaining waters.

For the forecast, tradewinds will increase over the central
Caribbean tonight through Sat. Peak winds should reach gale force
just north of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela Fri night into
Sat morning. A strong tropical wave- Invest AL92 - should start
impacting the Leeward Islands beginning tomorrow evening. Strong
to near gale force along with areas of heavy rain are expected Fri
night and Sat. These weather conditions will shift westward
toward the central Caribbean and the Greater Antilles, including
the Windward Passage from Sat night through Mon. Afterwards the
tropical wave may weaken, as it moves toward the W Caribbean.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for information on Invest AL92
located over the central tropical Atlantic.

A surface trough extends over the SW N Atlantic from 30N63W to
the central Bahamas. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is in the vicinity of the trough. High pressure
dominates the remainder of the discussion waters N of 20N,
anchored by a 1024 mb high centered near 28N47W. Light to gentle
winds, and slight seas are in the vicinity of the high center,
mainly N of 24N between 30W and 60W. Fresh to strong winds, and
rough seas, generated by AL92 are from 12N to 17N between 41W and
50W. Fresh to strong winds are also found near the Canary Islands
SE toward the coast of Africa. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate
winds, and moderate seas, prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong NE to E winds are
expected south of 22N tonight through Sun night. Elsewhere, winds
are expected to remain light to moderate for the next few days.
A weak cold front will slowly push across our northern border
east of 70W Sun, causing a wind shift to northeast but with little
change in wind speeds on Sun and Mon north of 28N.

$$
AL

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Aug 14 03:56:18 2026

164
AXNT20 KNHC 140355
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Aug 14 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient will tighten
between subtropical high pressure across the western Atlantic
along 27N and the Colombian low on Friday. This will increase
winds in the south central Caribbean, with winds pulsing to gale
force off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela on Friday night.
Very rough seas to 13 ft will build near and downwind of these
gales in the southwest Caribbean Fri night into early Sat.

Please see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!9nKaO92SnaeUZ6S5kJDJjDJkMnQwH4_mdvoldyZ-d6gIeFI6bhozHhAVCOvCX9SGzODi0GXpgAaRYEqgS-85470NpQ8$ for further details.

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
about 800 miles east of the Lesser Antilles have continued to
become less organized. This system is moving into a region of
increasing upper-level winds and dry air, and the possibility of
development appears to be decreasing. Regardless of development,
interests in the Lesser Antilles should continue to monitor the
progress of this system since gusty winds and areas of heavy rain
are possible across these islands Friday night and Saturday.

There is a medium chance for tropical cyclone development in the
next 48 hours.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 31W, from 02N to 20N, moving
west at around 10-15 kt. Scattered showers are noted in the wave's
environment. Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally
conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression
could form late this week or this weekend while the wave moves
westward or west-northwestward across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic. There is a low chance for tropical development
of this system in the next 48 hours, and a medium chance for
development in the next 7 days.

Please see SPECIAL FEATURES section above for more on a tropical
wave with axis near 47W.

The axis of a Caribbean tropical wave is near 73W, moving
westward at about 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate to strong
convection is noted over northern Venezuela and Colombia as well
as adjacent waters S of 12N. from 15N to 20N between 68W and 72W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W and extends
southwestward to 09N55W. Aside from convection noted in the
tropical waves and SPECIAL FEATURES section above, scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is noted S of 13N between
33W-38W and W of 49W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure prevails over the northern Gulf waters, anchored by
a 1018 mb high near 27N86W. Light to gentle winds and slight seas
prevail across the NE Gulf in the vicinity of the high center.
Gentle to moderate winds, and slight seas, prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, the ridge will change little through Sat before
weakening Sun and Mon. This pattern will produce mostly gentle to
moderate E to SE winds across the basin, with pulses of fresh
winds occurring north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into
the Bay of Campeche each evening and night, as a surface trough
migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf.
Slight to moderate seas are expected through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section for information on the Gale Warning
in effect for the south-central basin effective Fri night.

The pressure gradient between western Atlantic high pressure and
the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds over the
central Caribbean waters. Moderate seas prevail over these waters.
Fresh to strong trade winds and moderate seas are over the
eastern Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds, and slight to
moderate seas, prevail over the remaining waters.

For the forecast, the tropical wave combined with the Bermuda
High north of the region will enhance the trades over the central
Caribbean through Sat. Peak winds should reach gale-force just
north of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela Fri night into Sat
morning. Additionally, another strong tropical wave, Invest AL92,
should start impacting the Leeward Islands beginning tomorrow
evening. Strong to near gale-force winds along with areas of heavy
rain are expected Fri night and Sat. These weather conditions
will shift westward toward the central Caribbean and the Greater
Antilles, including the Windward Passage from Sat night through
Mon. Afterwards, the tropical wave may weaken, as it moves toward
the W Caribbean. Note that if Invest AL92 forms into a tropical
cyclone, the winds and waves expected may be higher than indicated
here.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for information on Invest AL92
located over the central tropical Atlantic.

A surface trough extends over the SW N Atlantic from 30N63W to
the central Bahamas. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is in the vicinity of the trough. High pressure
dominates the remainder of the discussion waters N of 20N,
anchored by a 1024 mb high centered near 27N55W. Light to gentle
winds, and slight seas are in the vicinity of the high center,
mainly N of 24N between 30W and 60W. Fresh to strong winds, and
rough seas, generated by Invest AL92 are from 12N to 17N between
41W and 50W. Fresh to strong winds are also found near the Canary
Islands SE toward the coast of Africa. Elsewhere, gentle to
moderate winds, and moderate seas, prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge combined with
two tropical waves passing through the Caribbean Sea will cause
fresh to strong NE to E winds south of 22N through Sun night.
Elsewhere, winds are expected to remain light to moderate for the
next few days. A weak cold front will slowly push across our
northern border east of 70W Sun, causing a wind shift to northeast
but with little change in wind speeds on Sun and Mon north of
28N.

$$
ERA

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Aug 14 03:56:20 2026

165
AXNT20 KNHC 140356
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Aug 14 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0345 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient will tighten
between subtropical high pressure across the western Atlantic
along 27N and the Colombian low on Friday. This will increase
winds in the south central Caribbean, with winds pulsing to gale
force off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela on Friday night.
Very rough seas to 13 ft will build near and downwind of these
gales in the southwest Caribbean Fri night into early Sat.

Please see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!6Eo5RC4InKBxPERMO2m-0qO7ROEanUYqdwb5HgwctbZnZvJW5QZd7UJzlNhtSgrsq4mZnPyrDIZETMSEfLvx1hIBbF4$ for further details.

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
about 800 miles east of the Lesser Antilles have continued to
become less organized. This system is moving into a region of
increasing upper-level winds and dry air, and the possibility of
development appears to be decreasing. Regardless of development,
interests in the Lesser Antilles should continue to monitor the
progress of this system since gusty winds and areas of heavy rain
are possible across these islands Friday night and Saturday.

There is a medium chance for tropical cyclone development in the
next 48 hours.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 31W, from 02N to 20N, moving
west at around 10-15 kt. Scattered showers are noted in the wave's
environment. Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally
conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression
could form late this week or this weekend while the wave moves
westward or west-northwestward across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic. There is a low chance for tropical development
of this system in the next 48 hours, and a medium chance for
development in the next 7 days.

Please see SPECIAL FEATURES section above for more on a tropical
wave with axis near 47W.

The axis of a Caribbean tropical wave is near 73W, moving
westward at about 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate to strong
convection is noted over northern Venezuela and Colombia as well
as adjacent waters S of 12N. from 15N to 20N between 68W and 72W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W and extends
southwestward to 09N55W. Aside from convection noted in the
tropical waves and SPECIAL FEATURES section above, scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is noted S of 13N between
33W-38W and W of 49W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure prevails over the northern Gulf waters, anchored by
a 1018 mb high near 27N86W. Light to gentle winds and slight seas
prevail across the NE Gulf in the vicinity of the high center.
Gentle to moderate winds, and slight seas, prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, the ridge will change little through Sat before
weakening Sun and Mon. This pattern will produce mostly gentle to
moderate E to SE winds across the basin, with pulses of fresh
winds occurring north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into
the Bay of Campeche each evening and night, as a surface trough
migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf.
Slight to moderate seas are expected through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section for information on the Gale Warning
in effect for the south-central basin effective Fri night.

The pressure gradient between western Atlantic high pressure and
the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds over the
central Caribbean waters. Moderate seas prevail over these waters.
Fresh to strong trade winds and moderate seas are over the
eastern Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds, and slight to
moderate seas, prevail over the remaining waters.

For the forecast, the tropical wave combined with the Bermuda
High north of the region will enhance the trades over the central
Caribbean through Sat. Peak winds should reach gale-force just
north of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela Fri night into Sat
morning. Additionally, another strong tropical wave, Invest AL92,
should start impacting the Leeward Islands beginning tomorrow
evening. Strong to near gale-force winds along with areas of heavy
rain are expected Fri night and Sat. These weather conditions
will shift westward toward the central Caribbean and the Greater
Antilles, including the Windward Passage from Sat night through
Mon. Afterwards, the tropical wave may weaken, as it moves toward
the W Caribbean. Note that if Invest AL92 forms into a tropical
cyclone, the winds and waves expected may be higher than indicated
here.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for information on Invest AL92
located over the central tropical Atlantic.

A surface trough extends over the SW N Atlantic from 30N63W to
the central Bahamas. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is in the vicinity of the trough. High pressure
dominates the remainder of the discussion waters N of 20N,
anchored by a 1024 mb high centered near 27N55W. Light to gentle
winds, and slight seas are in the vicinity of the high center,
mainly N of 24N between 30W and 60W. Fresh to strong winds, and
rough seas, generated by Invest AL92 are from 12N to 17N between
41W and 50W. Fresh to strong winds are also found near the Canary
Islands SE toward the coast of Africa. Elsewhere, gentle to
moderate winds, and moderate seas, prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge combined with
two tropical waves passing through the Caribbean Sea will cause
fresh to strong NE to E winds south of 22N through Sun night.
Elsewhere, winds are expected to remain light to moderate for the
next few days. A weak cold front will slowly push across our
northern border east of 70W Sun, causing a wind shift to northeast
but with little change in wind speeds on Sun and Mon north of
28N.

$$
ERA

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Aug 14 10:55:48 2026

423
AXNT20 KNHC 141055
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Aug 14 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1050 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: Today, the pressure gradient will tighten
between subtropical high pressure across the western Atlantic
along 27N and the Colombian low. This will accelerate winds in
the south-central Caribbean, with winds pulsing to gale-force off
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela on tonight. Very rough seas
to 13 ft will build near and downwind of these gales in the
southwest Caribbean tonight and Sat night. Please see the latest
NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at
website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!-PvKaPZgWwmbuMdN2-65r0Cwk15wuLwYT1wMC0b5sGyOQTGMYczWtWt9itwsKm8XQ-7AJ43QUrga14AWmagNxvZLXP4$ for further
details.

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
about 650 miles east of the Lesser Antilles or near 50W have
continued to become less organized. This system is moving into a
region of increasing upper-level winds and dry air, and the
possibility of development is decreasing. Regardless of
development, interests in the Lesser Antilles should continue to
monitor the progress of this system since gusty winds and areas of
heavy rain are possible across these islands Friday night and
Saturday. There is a low chance for tropical cyclone development
in the next 48 hours.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 33W, from 06N to 20N, moving
west at around 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 06N
to 13N between 33W and 41W. Environmental conditions are forecast
to be generally conducive for gradual development, and a tropical
depression could form late this week or this weekend while the
wave moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern and
central tropical Atlantic. There is a low chance for tropical
development of this system in the next 48 hours, and a medium
chance for development in the next 7 days.

Please see SPECIAL FEATURES section above for more on a tropical
wave with axis near 50W.

The axis of a Caribbean tropical wave is near 74W, moving
westward at about 15 to 20 kt. Most of the convection associated
with the wave has dissipated.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W and extends
southwestward to 11N30W to 11N50W to 09N56W. Aside from
convection noted in the tropical waves and SPECIAL FEATURES
section above, scattered moderate to isolated strong convection
is from 07N to 16N between 13W and 25W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure prevails over the northern Gulf waters, anchored by
a 1019 mb high near 27N85W. Light to gentle winds and slight seas
prevail across the NE Gulf in the vicinity of the high center.
Moderate to fresh E to SE winds associated with a surface trough
are ongoing over the SW Gulf waters along with moderate seas to 6
ft. Gentle to moderate winds, and slight seas, prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, surface ridging will change little through Sat
before weakening Sun and Mon. This pattern will produce mostly
gentle to moderate E to SE winds across the basin, with pulses of
fresh winds occurring north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and
into the Bay of Campeche each evening and night, as a surface
trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW
Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected through the forecast
period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section for information on the Gale Warning
in effect for the south-central basin effective tonight.

The pressure gradient between western Atlantic high pressure and
the Colombian low is supporting fresh to near gale-force winds
over the central Caribbean waters. Moderate to rough seas are
ongoing over these waters. Fresh to strong trade winds and
moderate seas are over the eastern Caribbean. Gentle to moderate
winds, and slight to moderate seas, prevail over the remaining
waters.

For the forecast, a tropical wave along 74W combined with the
Bermuda High north of the region will enhance the trades over the
central Caribbean through Sat. Peak winds should reach gale-force
just north of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela tonight and
Sat night. A second tropical wave along 50W, Invest AL92, should
start impacting the Leeward Islands this evening. Strong to near
gale-force winds along with areas of heavy rain are expected
tonight and Sat. These weather conditions will shift westward
toward the central Caribbean and the Greater Antilles, including
the Windward Passage from Sat night through Mon. Afterwards, the
tropical wave may weaken, as it moves toward the W Caribbean. Note
that if Invest AL92 forms into a tropical cyclone, the winds and
waves expected may be higher than indicated here.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for information on Invest AL92
located over the central tropical Atlantic.

Surface ridging associated with the Azores High dominates the
entire subtropical Atlantic waters supporting moderate to fresh E
to SE winds S of 25N W of 30W along with moderate seas. N of 25N,
winds are moderate or weaker and seas slight to moderate.
Otherwise, fresh to strong winds are occurring near the Canary
Islands SE toward the coast of Africa.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge combined with
two tropical waves passing through the Caribbean Sea will cause
fresh to strong NE to E winds south of 22N through Sun night.
Elsewhere, winds are expected to remain light to moderate for the
next few days. Looking ahead, a weak cold front will slowly push
across our northern border east of 70W Sun, causing a wind shift
to northeast but with little change in wind speeds on Sun and Mon
north of 28N. The front will stall late on Monday before
dissipating by midweek.

$$
Ramos

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Aug 14 10:55:52 2026

424
AXNT20 KNHC 141055
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Aug 14 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1050 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: Today, the pressure gradient will tighten
between subtropical high pressure across the western Atlantic
along 27N and the Colombian low. This will accelerate winds in
the south-central Caribbean, with winds pulsing to gale-force off
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela on tonight. Very rough seas
to 13 ft will build near and downwind of these gales in the
southwest Caribbean tonight and Sat night. Please see the latest
NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at
website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!-beKH7qJa04TfFC8ZvbZ3uA0BvgXV52zsflLTnd6ri7idnE5XixF1WUO0kLMwixmjdxApZ9hlonaz86mBgcnyOEgXRg$ for further
details.

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
about 650 miles east of the Lesser Antilles or near 50W have
continued to become less organized. This system is moving into a
region of increasing upper-level winds and dry air, and the
possibility of development is decreasing. Regardless of
development, interests in the Lesser Antilles should continue to
monitor the progress of this system since gusty winds and areas of
heavy rain are possible across these islands Friday night and
Saturday. There is a low chance for tropical cyclone development
in the next 48 hours.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 33W, from 06N to 20N, moving
west at around 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 06N
to 13N between 33W and 41W. Environmental conditions are forecast
to be generally conducive for gradual development, and a tropical
depression could form late this week or this weekend while the
wave moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern and
central tropical Atlantic. There is a low chance for tropical
development of this system in the next 48 hours, and a medium
chance for development in the next 7 days.

Please see SPECIAL FEATURES section above for more on a tropical
wave with axis near 50W.

The axis of a Caribbean tropical wave is near 74W, moving
westward at about 15 to 20 kt. Most of the convection associated
with the wave has dissipated.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W and extends
southwestward to 11N30W to 11N50W to 09N56W. Aside from
convection noted in the tropical waves and SPECIAL FEATURES
section above, scattered moderate to isolated strong convection
is from 07N to 16N between 13W and 25W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure prevails over the northern Gulf waters, anchored by
a 1019 mb high near 27N85W. Light to gentle winds and slight seas
prevail across the NE Gulf in the vicinity of the high center.
Moderate to fresh E to SE winds associated with a surface trough
are ongoing over the SW Gulf waters along with moderate seas to 6
ft. Gentle to moderate winds, and slight seas, prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, surface ridging will change little through Sat
before weakening Sun and Mon. This pattern will produce mostly
gentle to moderate E to SE winds across the basin, with pulses of
fresh winds occurring north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and
into the Bay of Campeche each evening and night, as a surface
trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW
Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected through the forecast
period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section for information on the Gale Warning
in effect for the south-central basin effective tonight.

The pressure gradient between western Atlantic high pressure and
the Colombian low is supporting fresh to near gale-force winds
over the central Caribbean waters. Moderate to rough seas are
ongoing over these waters. Fresh to strong trade winds and
moderate seas are over the eastern Caribbean. Gentle to moderate
winds, and slight to moderate seas, prevail over the remaining
waters.

For the forecast, a tropical wave along 74W combined with the
Bermuda High north of the region will enhance the trades over the
central Caribbean through Sat. Peak winds should reach gale-force
just north of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela tonight and
Sat night. A second tropical wave along 50W, Invest AL92, should
start impacting the Leeward Islands this evening. Strong to near
gale-force winds along with areas of heavy rain are expected
tonight and Sat. These weather conditions will shift westward
toward the central Caribbean and the Greater Antilles, including
the Windward Passage from Sat night through Mon. Afterwards, the
tropical wave may weaken, as it moves toward the W Caribbean. Note
that if Invest AL92 forms into a tropical cyclone, the winds and
waves expected may be higher than indicated here.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for information on Invest AL92
located over the central tropical Atlantic.

Surface ridging associated with the Azores High dominates the
entire subtropical Atlantic waters supporting moderate to fresh E
to SE winds S of 25N W of 30W along with moderate seas. N of 25N,
winds are moderate or weaker and seas slight to moderate.
Otherwise, fresh to strong winds are occurring near the Canary
Islands SE toward the coast of Africa.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge combined with
two tropical waves passing through the Caribbean Sea will cause
fresh to strong NE to E winds south of 22N through Sun night.
Elsewhere, winds are expected to remain light to moderate for the
next few days. Looking ahead, a weak cold front will slowly push
across our northern border east of 70W Sun, causing a wind shift
to northeast but with little change in wind speeds on Sun and Mon
north of 28N. The front will stall late on Monday before
dissipating by midweek.

$$
Ramos

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Aug 14 17:19:40 2026

603
AXNT20 KNHC 141719
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Aug 14 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: Today, the pressure gradient will tighten
between subtropical high pressure across the western Atlantic
along 27N and the Colombian low. This will accelerate winds in
the south-central Caribbean, with winds pulsing to gale-force off
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela on tonight. Very rough seas
to 15 ft will build near and downwind of these gales in the
southwest Caribbean tonight and again Sat night. Please see the
latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane
Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!8MONeSt3zAskoCTFFjq-RI_2Vx6DYqph625OqegraaFiNBg7qdS4nx7CofhIf4suRmfB-Wz8lFeDHkBAtVH7GmEPlqQ$
for further details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A new tropical wave has been introduced along 19W from 05N to 20N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is seen
from 09N to 16N and E of 26W.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 34W, from 05N to 20N, moving
west at around 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 06N
to 14N between 35W and 42W. Environmental conditions are forecast
to be generally conducive for gradual development, and a tropical
depression could form this weekend or early next week while the
wave moves westward or west-northwestward across the central
tropical Atlantic. There is a low chance for tropical development
of this system in the next 48 hours, and a medium chance for
development in the next 7 days.

A tropical wave has been analyzed from 06N55W to near 20N51W,
moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated
strong convection is occurring from 06N to 17N between 50W and
62W. This system is moving into a region of increasing upper-level
winds and dry air, and the potential of development continues to
decrease. There is now a low chance of this system developing into
a tropical cyclone. Even though development is unlikely, gusty
winds and areas of heavy rain are possible across portions of the
Lesser Antilles tonight and on Saturday.

The axis of a Caribbean tropical wave is near 75W, moving
westward at about 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is seen
with this wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 22N17W and extends
southwestward to 10N38W to 12N52W and then to 09N56W. Convection
is discussed in the Tropical Waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure prevails over the northern Gulf waters, anchored by
a 1020 mb high near 27N86W. Light to gentle winds and slight seas
prevail across the NE Gulf in the vicinity of the high center.
Moderate to fresh E to SE winds associated with a surface trough
are ongoing over the SW Gulf waters along with moderate seas to 6
ft. Gentle to moderate winds, and slight seas, prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge extends westward across
Florida and into the Gulf region, and will change little through
Sat before weakening Sun and Mon. This pattern will produce mostly
gentle to moderate E to SE winds across the basin, with pulses of
fresh winds occurring north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and
into the Bay of Campeche each evening and night, as a surface
trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW
Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected through the forecast
period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section for information on the Gale Warning
in effect for the south-central basin effective tonight.

The pressure gradient between western Atlantic high pressure and
the Colombian low is supporting fresh to near gale-force winds
over the central Caribbean waters. Moderate to rough seas are
ongoing over these waters. Fresh to strong trade winds and
moderate seas are over the eastern Caribbean. Gentle to moderate
winds and slight to moderate seas prevail over the remaining
waters.

For the forecast, a tropical wave, with axis along 75W, combined
with the Bermuda High north of the region will enhance the trades
over the central Caribbean through Sat. Peak winds should reach
gale- force just north of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
tonight and Sat night. A second tropical wave, with axis along
52W, Invest AL92, should start impacting the Leeward Islands
tonight and Sat. Strong to near gale-force winds, rough seas and
areas of heavy rain are expected with the passage of the latter
wave. These weather conditions will shift westward toward the
central Caribbean and the Greater Antilles, including the Windward
Passage from Sat night through Mon. Afterwards, the tropical wave
may weaken, as it moves toward the W Caribbean.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Special Features section above for information on Invest AL92
located over the central tropical Atlantic.

Surface ridging associated with the Azores High dominates the
entire subtropical Atlantic waters supporting moderate to fresh E
to SE winds S of 25N and W of 30W along with moderate seas. N of
25N, winds are moderate or weaker and seas slight to moderate.
Otherwise, fresh to strong winds are occurring near the Canary
Islands SE toward the coast of Africa. Upper level divergence
associated with an upper level trough continues to support
scattered showers and thunderstorms across the Bahamas and along
the east coast of FL.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge, combined with
the passage of two tropical through the Caribbean Sea will cause
fresh to strong NE to E winds south of 22N through Sun night.
Elsewhere, winds are expected to remain light to moderate for the
next few days. Looking ahead, a weak cold front will slowly push
across the northern forecast border east of 70W on Sun, causing a
wind shift to the NW and then N but with little change in wind
speeds on Sun and Mon north of 28N. The front will stall late on
Monday before dissipating by midweek.

$$
Adams

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Aug 14 22:43:48 2026

234
AXNT20 KNHC 142243
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Aug 15 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2215 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: Tonight the pressure gradient will
tighten between the Bermuda High sitting anomalously equatorward
at 27N60W and the Colombian Low. This will accelerate winds in
the south-central Caribbean, with winds reaching to gale-force
off Colombia and over the Gulf of Venezuela tonight and tomorrow
morning . Very rough seas to near 15 ft will build near and
downwind of these gales in the southwest Caribbean tonight. Please
see the latest NWS Offshore Zone Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAOFFNT3.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!7XReNsKGqWeS5-eO1egk3xTLgsUsT3UAEinq02DZRyTGKyYuurOcDMGs7bU0W-caqY03Sx5Y5aOKyWfui_1gt2umd-A$ for further details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 20W from 05N to 20N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Isolated moderate convection is seen
from 08N-12N and east of 27W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave axis lies along 35W, from 05N to
20N, moving west at around 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate and
isolated strong convection is from 08N-13N between 37W-43W.
While environmental conditions are conducive for some
development over the next few days, the system - denoted as Invest
AL94 - could encounter strong upper-level winds next week,
decreasing its chances for development. There is a low chance for
tropical development of this system in the next 48 hours, and a
medium chance for development in the next 7 days.

Another central Atlantic tropical wave has been analyzed along 56W
from 06N to 20N, moving westward at around 15-20 kt. Scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection is occurring from 09N-15N
between 53W-61W. This system - denoted as Invest AL92 - is moving
into a region of increasing upper-level winds and dry air, and
the potential of development continues to decrease. Even though
development is highly unlikely, strong gusty winds and areas of
heavy rain are possible across portions of the Lesser Antilles
tonight and on Saturday. There is a low chance for tropical
development of this system both in the next 48 hours and the next
7 days.

The axis of a Caribbean tropical wave is near 78W, moving
westward at about 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is seen
with this wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 22N17W and extends
southwestward to 10N38W to 12N52W and then to 09N56W. Convection
is discussed in the Tropical Waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1022 mb high is centered over the northern Gulf, near 28N89W,
leading toward gentle to moderate winds prevailing across the
forecast waters. Seas are 1-4 ft. Scattered moderate convection is
noted within 60 NM of a surface trough extending from 24N90W to
28N82W.

High pressure prevails over the northern Gulf waters, anchored by
a 1020 mb high near 27N86W. Light to gentle winds and slight seas
prevail across the NE Gulf in the vicinity of the high center.
Moderate to fresh E to SE winds associated with a surface trough
are ongoing over the SW Gulf waters along with moderate seas to 6
ft. Gentle to moderate winds, and slight seas, prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, a high pressure center will remain over the
north- central Gulf this weekend, then moves SE while weakening
some by Mon. This pattern will produce mostly gentle to moderate E
to SE winds across the basin, with pulses of fresh winds
occurring north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay
of Campeche each evening and night, as a surface trough migrates
from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to
moderate seas are expected through the forecast period. Looking
ahead, by midweek next week winds may increase to fresh speeds
over the NW and west-central Gulf as the pressure gradient
tightens between the high pressure and lower pressures over north-
central Mexico.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section for information on the Gale Warning
in effect for the south-central basin effective tonight.

The pressure gradient between western Atlantic high pressure and
the Colombian low is supporting fresh to near gale-force trades
accompanied by seas 7-11 ft over the central Caribbean waters.
Fresh to strong trade winds and moderate seas are occurring over
the Lesser Antilles. Gentle to moderate winds prevail over the
remaining waters with seas 3-6 ft. Isolated moderate deep
convection is occurring north of 16N west of 81W in the NW
Caribbean.

For the forecast, a tropical wave, with axis along 78W, combined
with the Bermuda-Azores High located north of the region will
continue to support fresh to strong winds over most of the east
and central Caribbean this weekend. Peak winds to minimal gale
force are expected offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of Venezuela
tonight and Sat night. A second and stronger tropical wave, with
axis along 55W, Invest AL92, will impact the Leeward Islands
tonight and Sat. Even though development is highly unlikely,
strong gusty winds, rough seas and areas of heavy rain are
possible across portions of the Lesser Antilles tonight and on
Saturday. These weather conditions are forecast to shift westward
toward the central and SW Caribbean, including the Greater
Antilles and the Windward Passage from Sat night through Mon.
Afterwards, the tropical wave may weaken, as it moves toward the W
Caribbean.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Ridging associated with the Bermuda and Azores Highs is situated
more equatorward than usual, siting along 28N80W to a 1025 mb high
at 27N60W to 31N43W. Winds associated with a vigorous tropical
wave - Invest AL92 - are fresh to strong from 12N-19N between
51W-63W with seas 7-11 ft. Fresh to strong trades are occurring
just north of Hispaniola with seas 5-7 ft. Along the coast of
Western Sahara and through the Canary Islands, NE winds are fresh
to strong with seas 6-8 ft. Elsewhere the trades are moderate or
weaker with seas 3-6 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda-Azores High, combined
with the passage of two tropical through the Caribbean Sea will
cause fresh to strong NE to E winds south of 22N through Sun
night. Elsewhere, winds are expected to remain light to moderate
for the next few days. Looking ahead, a weak cold front will
slowly push across the northern forecast border east of 70W on
Sun, causing a wind shift to the NW and then N but with little
change in wind speeds on Sun and Mon north of 28N. The front will
stall late on Monday before dissipating by midweek.

$$
Landsea

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Aug 14 22:43:50 2026

235
AXNT20 KNHC 142243
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Aug 15 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2215 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: Tonight the pressure gradient will
tighten between the Bermuda High sitting anomalously equatorward
at 27N60W and the Colombian Low. This will accelerate winds in
the south-central Caribbean, with winds reaching to gale-force
off Colombia and over the Gulf of Venezuela tonight and tomorrow
morning . Very rough seas to near 15 ft will build near and
downwind of these gales in the southwest Caribbean tonight. Please
see the latest NWS Offshore Zone Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAOFFNT3.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!8i4jsIs6gALAIdz5xv6enJsedc0mfqo-cLhPaQVjiNQwzrMFEdieBYzhll0kMp6r4XLPq-ZAzfqfn9wLKR3zodx_axg$ for further details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 20W from 05N to 20N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Isolated moderate convection is seen
from 08N-12N and east of 27W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave axis lies along 35W, from 05N to
20N, moving west at around 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate and
isolated strong convection is from 08N-13N between 37W-43W.
While environmental conditions are conducive for some
development over the next few days, the system - denoted as Invest
AL94 - could encounter strong upper-level winds next week,
decreasing its chances for development. There is a low chance for
tropical development of this system in the next 48 hours, and a
medium chance for development in the next 7 days.

Another central Atlantic tropical wave has been analyzed along 56W
from 06N to 20N, moving westward at around 15-20 kt. Scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection is occurring from 09N-15N
between 53W-61W. This system - denoted as Invest AL92 - is moving
into a region of increasing upper-level winds and dry air, and
the potential of development continues to decrease. Even though
development is highly unlikely, strong gusty winds and areas of
heavy rain are possible across portions of the Lesser Antilles
tonight and on Saturday. There is a low chance for tropical
development of this system both in the next 48 hours and the next
7 days.

The axis of a Caribbean tropical wave is near 78W, moving
westward at about 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is seen
with this wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 22N17W and extends
southwestward to 10N38W to 12N52W and then to 09N56W. Convection
is discussed in the Tropical Waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1022 mb high is centered over the northern Gulf, near 28N89W,
leading toward gentle to moderate winds prevailing across the
forecast waters. Seas are 1-4 ft. Scattered moderate convection is
noted within 60 NM of a surface trough extending from 24N90W to
28N82W.

High pressure prevails over the northern Gulf waters, anchored by
a 1020 mb high near 27N86W. Light to gentle winds and slight seas
prevail across the NE Gulf in the vicinity of the high center.
Moderate to fresh E to SE winds associated with a surface trough
are ongoing over the SW Gulf waters along with moderate seas to 6
ft. Gentle to moderate winds, and slight seas, prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, a high pressure center will remain over the
north- central Gulf this weekend, then moves SE while weakening
some by Mon. This pattern will produce mostly gentle to moderate E
to SE winds across the basin, with pulses of fresh winds
occurring north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay
of Campeche each evening and night, as a surface trough migrates
from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to
moderate seas are expected through the forecast period. Looking
ahead, by midweek next week winds may increase to fresh speeds
over the NW and west-central Gulf as the pressure gradient
tightens between the high pressure and lower pressures over north-
central Mexico.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section for information on the Gale Warning
in effect for the south-central basin effective tonight.

The pressure gradient between western Atlantic high pressure and
the Colombian low is supporting fresh to near gale-force trades
accompanied by seas 7-11 ft over the central Caribbean waters.
Fresh to strong trade winds and moderate seas are occurring over
the Lesser Antilles. Gentle to moderate winds prevail over the
remaining waters with seas 3-6 ft. Isolated moderate deep
convection is occurring north of 16N west of 81W in the NW
Caribbean.

For the forecast, a tropical wave, with axis along 78W, combined
with the Bermuda-Azores High located north of the region will
continue to support fresh to strong winds over most of the east
and central Caribbean this weekend. Peak winds to minimal gale
force are expected offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of Venezuela
tonight and Sat night. A second and stronger tropical wave, with
axis along 55W, Invest AL92, will impact the Leeward Islands
tonight and Sat. Even though development is highly unlikely,
strong gusty winds, rough seas and areas of heavy rain are
possible across portions of the Lesser Antilles tonight and on
Saturday. These weather conditions are forecast to shift westward
toward the central and SW Caribbean, including the Greater
Antilles and the Windward Passage from Sat night through Mon.
Afterwards, the tropical wave may weaken, as it moves toward the W
Caribbean.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Ridging associated with the Bermuda and Azores Highs is situated
more equatorward than usual, siting along 28N80W to a 1025 mb high
at 27N60W to 31N43W. Winds associated with a vigorous tropical
wave - Invest AL92 - are fresh to strong from 12N-19N between
51W-63W with seas 7-11 ft. Fresh to strong trades are occurring
just north of Hispaniola with seas 5-7 ft. Along the coast of
Western Sahara and through the Canary Islands, NE winds are fresh
to strong with seas 6-8 ft. Elsewhere the trades are moderate or
weaker with seas 3-6 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda-Azores High, combined
with the passage of two tropical through the Caribbean Sea will
cause fresh to strong NE to E winds south of 22N through Sun
night. Elsewhere, winds are expected to remain light to moderate
for the next few days. Looking ahead, a weak cold front will
slowly push across the northern forecast border east of 70W on
Sun, causing a wind shift to the NW and then N but with little
change in wind speeds on Sun and Mon north of 28N. The front will
stall late on Monday before dissipating by midweek.

$$
Landsea

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 15 04:32:02 2026

921
AXNT20 KNHC 150431
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Aug 15 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0430 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: the pressure gradient has tighten between
the surface ridging over the W Atlantic and the Colombian Low.
This is accelerating winds in the south-central Caribbean,
reaching gale-force off Colombia and over the Gulf of Venezuela
through tomorrow morning, then again on Sat night through Sun
morning. Very rough seas to near 15 ft will build near and
downwind of these winds.

Please see the latest NWS Offshore Zone Forecast issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAOFFNT3.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!_FdfoIJff5Hdf05i4Lrc2RTbBU1DE0UoL64ZWM8nvg71fyx1Ey2ibuSy1qEFpMmmyuKk_-U6SZnFl3H9ecINE0uV81Y$ for further details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 22W from 05N to 20N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers are noted in the
wave environment.

A central Atlantic tropical wave axis lies along 37W, from 05N to
20N, moving west at around 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted W of the wave to 42W. While environmental
conditions are conducive for some development over the next few
days, the system is expected to encounter strong upper-level winds
next week, decreasing its chances for development. There is a
medium chance for tropical development of this system in the next
7 days.

Another central Atlantic tropical wave has been analyzed along 58W
from 06N to 20N, moving westward at around 15-20 kt. Scattered
showers are noted in the wave environment.

The axis of a Caribbean tropical wave is near 81W, moving
westward at about 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is noted
with this wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N17W and extends
southwestward to 08N58W. Convection is discussed in the Tropical
Waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1020 mb high is centered over the northern Gulf, near 28N89W,
leading toward gentle to moderate winds prevailing across the
forecast waters. Seas are 1-4 ft. Scattered moderate convection is
noted within 60 NM of a surface trough extending from 24N90W to
28N82W.

For the forecast, the high pressure center will remain over the
north-central Gulf this weekend, then moves SE while weakening
some by Mon. This pattern will produce mostly gentle to moderate E
to SE winds across the basin. Pulses of fresh winds will be occurring
north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of
Campeche each evening and night, as a surface trough migrates from
the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to
moderate seas are expected through the forecast period. By
midweek next week winds may increase to fresh speeds over the NW
and west-central Gulf as the pressure gradient tightens between
the high pressure and lower pressures over north-central Mexico.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section for information on the Gale Warning
in effect for the south-central basin tonight.

Outside of the gale area, fresh to strong trade winds and
moderate seas are occurring over the Lesser Antilles. Gentle to
moderate winds prevail over the remaining waters with seas 3-6 ft.
Scattered moderate convection is occurring north of 16N west of
81W in the NW Caribbean.

For the forecast, fresh to strong winds over most of the east and
central Caribbean will prevail through this weekend. Peak winds
to minimal gale force are expected offshore Colombia, and in the
Gulf of Venezuela tonight and Sat night. A tropical wave, with
axis along 58W, Invest AL92, will impact the Leeward Islands
tonight and Sat. Even though development is highly unlikely,
strong gusty winds, rough seas and areas of heavy rain are
possible across portions of the Lesser Antilles tonight and on
Saturday. These weather conditions are forecast to shift westward
toward the central and SW Caribbean, including the Greater
Antilles and the Windward Passage from Sat night through Mon.
Afterwards, the tropical wave may weaken, as it moves toward the W
Caribbean.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Ridging prevails across the basin, anchored by a 1025 mb high at
26N63W. Winds associated with a tropical wave, Invest AL92, are
fresh to strong from 10N-19N between 51W-63W with seas 8-12 ft.
Fresh to strong trades are occurring just north of Hispaniola with
seas 5-7 ft. Along the coast of Western Sahara and through the
Canary Islands, NE winds are fresh to strong with seas 6-8 ft.
Elsewhere the trades are moderate or weaker with seas 3-6 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda-Azores High, combined
with the passage of two tropical waves through the Caribbean Sea
will cause fresh to strong NE to E winds south of 22N through Sun
night. Elsewhere, winds are expected to remain light to moderate
for the next few days. A weak cold front will slowly push across
the northern forecast border east of 70W on Sun, causing a wind
shift to the NW and then N but with little change in wind speeds
on Sun and Mon north of 28N. The front will stall late on Monday
before dissipating by midweek.

$$
ERA

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 15 04:32:02 2026

920
AXNT20 KNHC 150431
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Aug 15 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0430 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: the pressure gradient has tighten between
the surface ridging over the W Atlantic and the Colombian Low.
This is accelerating winds in the south-central Caribbean,
reaching gale-force off Colombia and over the Gulf of Venezuela
through tomorrow morning, then again on Sat night through Sun
morning. Very rough seas to near 15 ft will build near and
downwind of these winds.

Please see the latest NWS Offshore Zone Forecast issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAOFFNT3.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!995lypZz7KaBT_W0u5RW9iD-npzPfwH-NXhb3xeY9WJpNZtTzgVevqVTwwxOnmaCTGPh9Kv_5mTedOmvyfomn0pDFJk$ for further details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 22W from 05N to 20N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers are noted in the
wave environment.

A central Atlantic tropical wave axis lies along 37W, from 05N to
20N, moving west at around 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted W of the wave to 42W. While environmental
conditions are conducive for some development over the next few
days, the system is expected to encounter strong upper-level winds
next week, decreasing its chances for development. There is a
medium chance for tropical development of this system in the next
7 days.

Another central Atlantic tropical wave has been analyzed along 58W
from 06N to 20N, moving westward at around 15-20 kt. Scattered
showers are noted in the wave environment.

The axis of a Caribbean tropical wave is near 81W, moving
westward at about 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is noted
with this wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N17W and extends
southwestward to 08N58W. Convection is discussed in the Tropical
Waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1020 mb high is centered over the northern Gulf, near 28N89W,
leading toward gentle to moderate winds prevailing across the
forecast waters. Seas are 1-4 ft. Scattered moderate convection is
noted within 60 NM of a surface trough extending from 24N90W to
28N82W.

For the forecast, the high pressure center will remain over the
north-central Gulf this weekend, then moves SE while weakening
some by Mon. This pattern will produce mostly gentle to moderate E
to SE winds across the basin. Pulses of fresh winds will be occurring
north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of
Campeche each evening and night, as a surface trough migrates from
the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to
moderate seas are expected through the forecast period. By
midweek next week winds may increase to fresh speeds over the NW
and west-central Gulf as the pressure gradient tightens between
the high pressure and lower pressures over north-central Mexico.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section for information on the Gale Warning
in effect for the south-central basin tonight.

Outside of the gale area, fresh to strong trade winds and
moderate seas are occurring over the Lesser Antilles. Gentle to
moderate winds prevail over the remaining waters with seas 3-6 ft.
Scattered moderate convection is occurring north of 16N west of
81W in the NW Caribbean.

For the forecast, fresh to strong winds over most of the east and
central Caribbean will prevail through this weekend. Peak winds
to minimal gale force are expected offshore Colombia, and in the
Gulf of Venezuela tonight and Sat night. A tropical wave, with
axis along 58W, Invest AL92, will impact the Leeward Islands
tonight and Sat. Even though development is highly unlikely,
strong gusty winds, rough seas and areas of heavy rain are
possible across portions of the Lesser Antilles tonight and on
Saturday. These weather conditions are forecast to shift westward
toward the central and SW Caribbean, including the Greater
Antilles and the Windward Passage from Sat night through Mon.
Afterwards, the tropical wave may weaken, as it moves toward the W
Caribbean.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Ridging prevails across the basin, anchored by a 1025 mb high at
26N63W. Winds associated with a tropical wave, Invest AL92, are
fresh to strong from 10N-19N between 51W-63W with seas 8-12 ft.
Fresh to strong trades are occurring just north of Hispaniola with
seas 5-7 ft. Along the coast of Western Sahara and through the
Canary Islands, NE winds are fresh to strong with seas 6-8 ft.
Elsewhere the trades are moderate or weaker with seas 3-6 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda-Azores High, combined
with the passage of two tropical waves through the Caribbean Sea
will cause fresh to strong NE to E winds south of 22N through Sun
night. Elsewhere, winds are expected to remain light to moderate
for the next few days. A weak cold front will slowly push across
the northern forecast border east of 70W on Sun, causing a wind
shift to the NW and then N but with little change in wind speeds
on Sun and Mon north of 28N. The front will stall late on Monday
before dissipating by midweek.

$$
ERA

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 15 11:00:52 2026

202
AXNT20 KNHC 151059
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Aug 15 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1050 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient remains tighten
between surface ridging over the W Atlantic and the Colombian
Low. This is accelerating winds in the south-central Caribbean,
supporting gale-force NE to E winds off Colombia and over the
Gulf of Venezuela this morning. Expect gale-force winds again
tonight through early Sun morning along with rough to very rough
seas to near 15 ft near and downwind of these winds. Please read
the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane
Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!_UyN8LZvGgOtkX4eAh4wyYwnbn7Oe6oNa9-WeWumWe7AbFJPDDpR5t43NnfKaZ3bqzKveYsx_wtZehseknvtDopjSu4$
and the latest NWS Offshore Zone Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAOFFNT3.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!_UyN8LZvGgOtkX4eAh4wyYwnbn7Oe6oNa9-WeWumWe7AbFJPDDpR5t43NnfKaZ3bqzKveYsx_wtZehseknvt0lzVuvQ$ for further details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave extends from 04N to 20N with axis near 23W, moving
westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 06N to
14N between 22W and 32W.

A tropical wave extends from 04N to 20N with axis near 39W, moving
west at around 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 06N to 14N between 38W and 48W.

A tropical wave is in the E Caribbean south of 20N with axis near
62W, moving westward at around 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection extends from 08N to 17N between 56W and 66W.

A tropical wave is in the far W Caribbean with axis near 83W,
moving westward at about 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
in the Gulf of Honduras.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N16W and extends
southwestward to 09N48W. Convection is discussed in the Tropical
Waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1021 mb high is centered over the NE Gulf, supporting gentle to
moderate winds across the forecast waters. Seas are 1-4 ft.
Scattered moderate convection is noted offshore Veracruz
associated with a surface trough.

For the forecast, a center of high pressure will remain over the
north-central Gulf this weekend, then moves SE while weakening
some by Mon. This pattern will produce mostly gentle to moderate E
to SE winds across the basin, with pulses of fresh winds
occurring north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay
of Campeche each night, as a surface trough migrates from the
Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period. Looking ahead, by
midweek next week winds may increase to fresh speeds over the NW
and west- central Gulf as the pressure gradient tightens between
the high pressure and lower pressures over north- central Mexico.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section for information on the Gale Warning
in effect for the south-central basin. See the Tropical Waves
section for more info on winds and convection.

Outside of the gale area, fresh to strong trade winds and
moderate seas are occurring over the Lesser Antilles. Gentle to
moderate winds prevail over the remaining waters with seas 3-6 ft.

For the forecast, the tropical wave over the far western Caribbean
combined with the Bermuda-Azores High located north of the region
will continue to support fresh to near gale-force winds over most
of the east and central Caribbean this weekend. Peak winds to
minimal gale-force are expected offshore Colombia, and in the
Gulf of Venezuela again tonight. A second and stronger tropical
wave, with axis near 62W, Invest AL92 , will continue to impact
the Leeward Islands today. Even though development is highly
unlikely, strong gusty winds, rough seas and areas of heavy rain
are likely across portions of the Lesser Antilles today. These
weather conditions are forecast to shift westward toward the
central and SW Caribbean, including the Greater Antilles and the
Windward Passage from tonight through Mon. Afterwards, the
tropical wave may weaken, as it moves toward the W Caribbean.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Ridging prevails across the basin, anchored by a 1023 mb high SE
of Bermuda. Along the coast of Western Sahara and through the
Canary Islands, NE winds are fresh with seas 6-7 ft. Elsewhere
the trades are moderate or weaker with seas 3-6 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda-Azores High, combined
with the passage of two tropical through the Caribbean Sea will
cause fresh to strong NE to E winds south of 22N through Sun night
with near gale-force NE winds likely across the approaches and in
the Windward Passage late this afternoon through early Sun
morning. Looking ahead, a cold front will slowly push across the
northern forecast border east of 70W late on Sun, causing a wind
shift to the NW and then N with fresh to locally strong wind
speeds ahead of the front on Sun and Mon north of 28N. The front
will stall on Monday before dissipating Tue.

$$
Ramos

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 15 11:00:52 2026

203
AXNT20 KNHC 151100
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Aug 15 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1050 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient remains tighten
between surface ridging over the W Atlantic and the Colombian
Low. This is accelerating winds in the south-central Caribbean,
supporting gale-force NE to E winds off Colombia and over the
Gulf of Venezuela this morning. Expect gale-force winds again
tonight through early Sun morning along with rough to very rough
seas to near 15 ft near and downwind of these winds. Please read
the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane
Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!7zUKXrsal9pObmegI9QNa3aMSWeHiGBIkF6gT815jfZo6-okE_IPHakuUr-XlHtST4j7fe1l_L26SvmtMpZXFLaNpII$
and the latest NWS Offshore Zone Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAOFFNT3.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!7zUKXrsal9pObmegI9QNa3aMSWeHiGBIkF6gT815jfZo6-okE_IPHakuUr-XlHtST4j7fe1l_L26SvmtMpZXdpb5_qM$ for further details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave extends from 04N to 20N with axis near 23W, moving
westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 06N to
14N between 22W and 32W.

A tropical wave extends from 04N to 20N with axis near 39W, moving
west at around 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 06N to 14N between 38W and 48W.

A tropical wave is in the E Caribbean south of 20N with axis near
62W, moving westward at around 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection extends from 08N to 17N between 56W and 66W.

A tropical wave is in the far W Caribbean with axis near 83W,
moving westward at about 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
in the Gulf of Honduras.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N16W and extends
southwestward to 09N48W. Convection is discussed in the Tropical
Waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1021 mb high is centered over the NE Gulf, supporting gentle to
moderate winds across the forecast waters. Seas are 1-4 ft.
Scattered moderate convection is noted offshore Veracruz
associated with a surface trough.

For the forecast, a center of high pressure will remain over the
north-central Gulf this weekend, then moves SE while weakening
some by Mon. This pattern will produce mostly gentle to moderate E
to SE winds across the basin, with pulses of fresh winds
occurring north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay
of Campeche each night, as a surface trough migrates from the
Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period. Looking ahead, by
midweek next week winds may increase to fresh speeds over the NW
and west- central Gulf as the pressure gradient tightens between
the high pressure and lower pressures over north- central Mexico.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section for information on the Gale Warning
in effect for the south-central basin. See the Tropical Waves
section for more info on winds and convection.

Outside of the gale area, fresh to strong trade winds and
moderate seas are occurring over the Lesser Antilles. Gentle to
moderate winds prevail over the remaining waters with seas 3-6 ft.

For the forecast, the tropical wave over the far western Caribbean
combined with the Bermuda-Azores High located north of the region
will continue to support fresh to near gale-force winds over most
of the east and central Caribbean this weekend. Peak winds to
minimal gale-force are expected offshore Colombia, and in the
Gulf of Venezuela again tonight. A second and stronger tropical
wave, with axis near 62W, Invest AL92 , will continue to impact
the Leeward Islands today. Even though development is highly
unlikely, strong gusty winds, rough seas and areas of heavy rain
are likely across portions of the Lesser Antilles today. These
weather conditions are forecast to shift westward toward the
central and SW Caribbean, including the Greater Antilles and the
Windward Passage from tonight through Mon. Afterwards, the
tropical wave may weaken, as it moves toward the W Caribbean.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Ridging prevails across the basin, anchored by a 1023 mb high SE
of Bermuda. Along the coast of Western Sahara and through the
Canary Islands, NE winds are fresh with seas 6-7 ft. Elsewhere
the trades are moderate or weaker with seas 3-6 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda-Azores High, combined
with the passage of two tropical through the Caribbean Sea will
cause fresh to strong NE to E winds south of 22N through Sun night
with near gale-force NE winds likely across the approaches and in
the Windward Passage late this afternoon through early Sun
morning. Looking ahead, a cold front will slowly push across the
northern forecast border east of 70W late on Sun, causing a wind
shift to the NW and then N with fresh to locally strong wind
speeds ahead of the front on Sun and Mon north of 28N. The front
will stall on Monday before dissipating Tue.

$$
Ramos

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 15 17:12:40 2026

291
AXNT20 KNHC 151712
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Aug 15 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient remains tighten
between surface ridging over the W Atlantic and the Colombian
Low. This will again favor increasing winds in the south-central
Caribbean, supporting gale-force NE to E winds off Colombia this
evening and early Sunday morning. Expect rough to very rough seas
to near 15 ft near and downwind of these winds. Please read the
latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center
at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!9Md5rgS0EsvOUhfEaXFUzaKGw-mW2gb9MpbkiCSmg1cqecVjr_T1YrZYQ0j6RQJybpqUzlMLyBbm-OnYwwUqNqPyWDY$ and the
latest NWS Offshore Zone Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAOFFNT3.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!9Md5rgS0EsvOUhfEaXFUzaKGw-mW2gb9MpbkiCSmg1cqecVjr_T1YrZYQ0j6RQJybpqUzlMLyBbm-OnYwwUqNK1vu2U$ for further details.

Heavy Precipitation in South Central America and Colombia: Two
tropical waves will propagate into Central America over the next
several days, and will interact with enhanced divergence aloft and
an active monsoon trough. The first tropical wave is located over
the western Caribbean and over Panama. As this wave continues
westward, expect heavy precipitation to continue in Costa Rica,
the Darien region and into Choc-Colombia on Saturday and into
Sunday. By Sunday, the second tropical wave enters the west
Caribbean. Long fetch westerly flow is expected to occur from
Sunday into Monday, favoring an increase in available moisture
into Colombia. The heaviest precipitation is expected in Costa
Rica throughout the day on Saturday and into early Sunday morning,
while the heaviest precipitation in Panama, the Darien Region,
and Choc- Colombia occurs Sunday into Monday. There is some
uncertainty on how far south the heaviest rainfall could reach,
particularly due to how far south the available moisture and the
westerly flow enters the region. Please refer to the WPC
International Desk and local weather services for more
information.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave extends from 05N to 20N with axis near 27W,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
from 06N to 14N between 22W and 32W.

A tropical wave extends from 04N to 20N with axis near 41W,
moving west at around 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 05N to 14N between 40W and 49W.

A tropical wave is in the E Caribbean south of 20N with axis near
64W, moving westward at around 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection extends from 10N to 17N between 60W and 67W.

A tropical wave is in the far W Caribbean with axis near 85W,
moving westward at about 15 kt. The wave appears to enhance
convection over Panama, Costa Rica, and far southern Nicaragua.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W and extends
southwestward to 07N45W. Convection is discussed in the Tropical
Waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1021 mb high is centered over the northern Gulf, supporting
gentle to moderate winds across the forecast waters. Seas are 1-4
ft. Scattered moderate convection is noted in the Bay of Campeche
associated with a surface trough. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are also developing across the central Gulf, driven
by convergent surface winds.

For the forecast, a high pressure center will remain over the
north-central Gulf this weekend, then moves SE while weakening
some by Mon. This pattern will produce mostly gentle to moderate E
to SE winds across the basin, with pulses of fresh winds
occurring north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay
of Campeche each night, as a surface trough migrates from the
Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period. Looking ahead, by
midweek next week winds may increase to fresh speeds over the NW
and west-central Gulf as the pressure gradient tightens between
the high pressure and lower pressures over north-central Mexico.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section for information on the Gale Warning
in effect for the south-central basin. See the Tropical Waves
section for more info on winds and convection in the E Caribbean.

Outside of the gale area, fresh to strong trade winds and
rough seas are occurring over much of the Caribbean S of 18N.
Moderate to locally fresh E winds prevail over the remaining
waters with seas 3-6 ft. A surface trough along the eastern
Yucatan Peninsula supports scattered moderate convection from the
Gulf of Honduras up along the Yucatan coast.

For the forecast, a ridge N of the area combined with the
Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong winds over
most of the east and central Caribbean this weekend. Peak winds to
minimal gale-force are expected offshore Colombia tonight. A
strong tropical wave, with axis near 64W, Invest AL92 , will
continue to impact the eastern Caribbean today. Even though
development is highly unlikely, strong gusty winds, rough seas and
areas of heavy rain are still possible across portions of the
Lesser Antilles today. These weather conditions are forecast to
shift westward toward the central and SW Caribbean, including the
Greater Antilles and the Windward Passage from tonight through
Mon. Afterwards, the tropical wave may weaken, as it moves toward
the W Caribbean.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Ridging prevails across the basin, anchored by a 1023 mb high SE
of Bermuda. Along the coast of Western Sahara and through the
Canary Islands, NE winds are fresh with seas 6-7 ft. Elsewhere
the trades are moderate or weaker with seas 3-6 ft. Scattered
moderate convection is occurring along and N of 30N between 55W
and 75W as a cold front approaches the discussion waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda-Azores High, combined
with the passage of two tropical through the Caribbean Sea will
cause fresh to strong NE to E winds south of 22N including the
approaches and in the Windward Passage from late this afternoon
through Sun night. Looking ahead, a cold front will slowly push
across the northern forecast border east of 70W late on Sun,
causing a wind shift to the NW and then N with fresh to locally
strong wind speeds ahead of the front on Sun and Mon north of 28N.
The front will stall on Monday before dissipating Tue.

$$
Adams

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 15 17:12:40 2026

175
AXNT20 KNHC 151712
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Aug 15 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient remains tighten
between surface ridging over the W Atlantic and the Colombian
Low. This will again favor increasing winds in the south-central
Caribbean, supporting gale-force NE to E winds off Colombia this
evening and early Sunday morning. Expect rough to very rough seas
to near 15 ft near and downwind of these winds. Please read the
latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center
at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!9q1U9cmISf8jWKQ5fhhM9AKYXlzvr2FYcxM5CGwOvdLpnCXmQgxQ7BmM70GNaLqtRuNApyR-0FD-VytUs8CuitheqWk$ and the
latest NWS Offshore Zone Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAOFFNT3.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!9q1U9cmISf8jWKQ5fhhM9AKYXlzvr2FYcxM5CGwOvdLpnCXmQgxQ7BmM70GNaLqtRuNApyR-0FD-VytUs8CuOiVTZUo$ for further details.

Heavy Precipitation in South Central America and Colombia: Two
tropical waves will propagate into Central America over the next
several days, and will interact with enhanced divergence aloft and
an active monsoon trough. The first tropical wave is located over
the western Caribbean and over Panama. As this wave continues
westward, expect heavy precipitation to continue in Costa Rica,
the Darien region and into Choc-Colombia on Saturday and into
Sunday. By Sunday, the second tropical wave enters the west
Caribbean. Long fetch westerly flow is expected to occur from
Sunday into Monday, favoring an increase in available moisture
into Colombia. The heaviest precipitation is expected in Costa
Rica throughout the day on Saturday and into early Sunday morning,
while the heaviest precipitation in Panama, the Darien Region,
and Choc- Colombia occurs Sunday into Monday. There is some
uncertainty on how far south the heaviest rainfall could reach,
particularly due to how far south the available moisture and the
westerly flow enters the region. Please refer to the WPC
International Desk and local weather services for more
information.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave extends from 05N to 20N with axis near 27W,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
from 06N to 14N between 22W and 32W.

A tropical wave extends from 04N to 20N with axis near 41W,
moving west at around 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 05N to 14N between 40W and 49W.

A tropical wave is in the E Caribbean south of 20N with axis near
64W, moving westward at around 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection extends from 10N to 17N between 60W and 67W.

A tropical wave is in the far W Caribbean with axis near 85W,
moving westward at about 15 kt. The wave appears to enhance
convection over Panama, Costa Rica, and far southern Nicaragua.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W and extends
southwestward to 07N45W. Convection is discussed in the Tropical
Waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1021 mb high is centered over the northern Gulf, supporting
gentle to moderate winds across the forecast waters. Seas are 1-4
ft. Scattered moderate convection is noted in the Bay of Campeche
associated with a surface trough. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are also developing across the central Gulf, driven
by convergent surface winds.

For the forecast, a high pressure center will remain over the
north-central Gulf this weekend, then moves SE while weakening
some by Mon. This pattern will produce mostly gentle to moderate E
to SE winds across the basin, with pulses of fresh winds
occurring north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay
of Campeche each night, as a surface trough migrates from the
Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period. Looking ahead, by
midweek next week winds may increase to fresh speeds over the NW
and west-central Gulf as the pressure gradient tightens between
the high pressure and lower pressures over north-central Mexico.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section for information on the Gale Warning
in effect for the south-central basin. See the Tropical Waves
section for more info on winds and convection in the E Caribbean.

Outside of the gale area, fresh to strong trade winds and
rough seas are occurring over much of the Caribbean S of 18N.
Moderate to locally fresh E winds prevail over the remaining
waters with seas 3-6 ft. A surface trough along the eastern
Yucatan Peninsula supports scattered moderate convection from the
Gulf of Honduras up along the Yucatan coast.

For the forecast, a ridge N of the area combined with the
Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong winds over
most of the east and central Caribbean this weekend. Peak winds to
minimal gale-force are expected offshore Colombia tonight. A
strong tropical wave, with axis near 64W, Invest AL92 , will
continue to impact the eastern Caribbean today. Even though
development is highly unlikely, strong gusty winds, rough seas and
areas of heavy rain are still possible across portions of the
Lesser Antilles today. These weather conditions are forecast to
shift westward toward the central and SW Caribbean, including the
Greater Antilles and the Windward Passage from tonight through
Mon. Afterwards, the tropical wave may weaken, as it moves toward
the W Caribbean.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Ridging prevails across the basin, anchored by a 1023 mb high SE
of Bermuda. Along the coast of Western Sahara and through the
Canary Islands, NE winds are fresh with seas 6-7 ft. Elsewhere
the trades are moderate or weaker with seas 3-6 ft. Scattered
moderate convection is occurring along and N of 30N between 55W
and 75W as a cold front approaches the discussion waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda-Azores High, combined
with the passage of two tropical through the Caribbean Sea will
cause fresh to strong NE to E winds south of 22N including the
approaches and in the Windward Passage from late this afternoon
through Sun night. Looking ahead, a cold front will slowly push
across the northern forecast border east of 70W late on Sun,
causing a wind shift to the NW and then N with fresh to locally
strong wind speeds ahead of the front on Sun and Mon north of 28N.
The front will stall on Monday before dissipating Tue.

$$
Adams

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 15 22:55:26 2026

763
AXNT20 KNHC 152255
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Aug 16 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2245 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient remains tighten
between surface ridging over the western Atlantic and relatively
lower pressure in northern South America. This will again favor
increasing winds in the south-central Caribbean, supporting gale-
force northeast to east winds off Colombia this evening and into
early on Sun morning. Expect rough to very rough seas to near 15
ft near and downwind of these winds. Please read the latest HIGH
SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website
- https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!9WIX6XHEGuDYsqaNGQ9ZPp99s1oZZPoyv8q15fQCIwt9U3wFbXuxrO9qC7SHHdpgtKcj8fXQwXxVn1MUWT-FALlm0IY$ and the latest
NWS Offshore Zone Forecast issued by the National Hurricane
Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAOFFNT3.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!9WIX6XHEGuDYsqaNGQ9ZPp99s1oZZPoyv8q15fQCIwt9U3wFbXuxrO9qC7SHHdpgtKcj8fXQwXxVn1MUWT-Fp-ILnwE$
for further details.

Heavy Precipitation in South Central America and Colombia: Two
tropical waves will propagate into Central America over the next
several days. The wave will interact with enhanced divergence
aloft and an active monsoon trough. The first tropical wave is
located over eastern Honduras and western Nicaragua, or near 86W.
As this wave continues westward, expect heavy precipitation to
continue in Costa Rica, the Darien region and into Choc-Colombia
on into Sun. On Sun, the second tropical wave will enter the
western Caribbean and strengthen the cyclonic rotation over
Panama and Colombia that will favor an increase in available
moisture into Colombia and moist easterly flow into the eastern
portion of Costa Rica. The heaviest precipitation is expected in
Costa Rica through the rest of today and into early on Sun, while
the heaviest precipitation is expected in southwest Panama, the
Darien Region, and Choc-Colombia Sun into Monday. There is some
uncertainty on how far south the heaviest rainfall could reach,
particularly due to how far south the available moisture and the
westerly flow enters the region. Please refer to the WPC
International Desk and local weather services for more
information.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 28W from
05N to 21N. It is moving westward near 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is ahead of the wave to near 33W from 09N to 11W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 43W from
04N to 21N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms are west of the wave to near 47W and from
09N to 15N.

An eastern Caribbean strong tropical wave is along 66W/67W south
of 21N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. An area of numerous
moderate to isolated strong convection is present from 14N to 18N
between 64W and 70W.

A far western Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 86W south of
22N. It is moving westward at about 15 kt. Numerous moderate to
isolated strong convection is increasing over the southwestern
portion of basin in the wake of the wave, where the eastern
segment of the East Pacific monsoon trough is present. The
convection is of the numerous moderate to isolated strong type
confined to south of 13N from 80W westward to over most of Costa
Rica and Panamas as well as southern Nicaragua.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 21N17W, and
extends southwestward to 15N21W, and to 12N27W to 13N37W and
southwestward to 08N47W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to
08N53W and to near 09N60W. Convection is discussed in the
Tropical Waves section above. In addition, numerous moderate to
isolated strong convection is just inland the coast of Africa
from 07N to 15N.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1023 mb high is centered over the north-central Gulf near
29N92W. Its related gradient is generally supporting gentle to
moderate winds across the forecast waters. Seas over the
basin are 2 to 4 ft. A trough extends from near 22N94W to
18N94W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is seen
west of the trough to 97W from 20N to 23N. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are over some sections of the Gulf from 22N to 26N
east of 96W. A westward mid to upper-level disturbance is helping
to sustain this activity.

For the forecast, the high pressure center will remain over the
north-central Gulf through Mon, then move toward the
southeastern part of the Gulf by Tue while weakening some. This
pattern will continue to support mostly gentle to moderate east
to southeast winds across the basin, with pulses of fresh winds
occurring north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the
Bay of Campeche each night, as a surface trough migrates from the
Yucatan Peninsula westward across the southwestern Gulf. Slight
to moderate seas are expected through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section for information on a Gale Warning
that is in effect for waters offshore Colombia.

Outside of the gale area, fresh to strong trade winds and
rough seas are over most of the Caribbean south of about
18N. Moderate to locally fresh trades continue over the
rest of the waters along with seas of 4 to 6 ft.

For the forecast, the combination between high pressure over the
western Atlantic and relatively lower pressures in northern South
America will continue to support fresh to strong winds over most
of the east and central Caribbean this weekend. Peak winds to
minimal gale-force are expected offshore Colombia tonight.
The tropical wave over the western Caribbean near 86W will
continue across some sections of Central America tonight, moving
west into the Pacific on Sun. A strong eastern caribbean
tropical wave, with its axis along 66W/67W will continue to
impact the eastern Caribbean through Sun, with numerous showers
and thunderstorms, some heavy with strong gusty winds. These
weather conditions are forecast to shift westward to the western
Caribbean Sun through Mon night.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

High pressure, anchored by a 1024 mb high south-southwest of
Bermuda near 26N69W continues across the basin. Latest satellite
Ascat scatterometer data indicates fresh northeast winds along
the coast of western Sahara and through the Canary Islands. Seas
are around 6 to 7 ft with these winds. Elsewhere, latest
satellite scatterometer satellite data reveals moderate or
weaker trades. Seas are about 4 to 6 ft with these trades.

Scattered moderate convection is seen from 29N to 30N between
66W and 71W, and from 30N to 31N between 61W and 66W. The base
of a broad upper-level trough translating eastward is north of
31N between 50W and 70W, with impulses riding along it from west
to east. This activity is also south of a stationary front that
is well north of the area.

Of note: An extensive plume of Saharan Air Layer (SAL) is
spreading westward across most of the basin south of about 28N
and just east of South Florida and the Keys as noted in the GOES-
derived Total Precipitable Water (TPW) product. From climatology,
the SAL usually becomes evident around the middle of June, peaking
from late June to mid-August and begins to rapidly diminish
after mid-August.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda-Azores High, combined
with the passage of two tropical through the Caribbean Sea will
cause fresh to strong NE to E winds south of 22N including the
approaches and in the Windward Passage from late this afternoon
through Sun night. Looking ahead, a cold front will slowly push
across the northern forecast border east of 70W late on Sun, and
move across the northern forecast waters on Mon while dissipating
into a trough by Tue. Fresh to strong southwest to west winds
are expected ahead of the front and east of about 70W on Sun and
Sun night.

$$
Aguirre

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 15 22:55:28 2026

764
AXNT20 KNHC 152254
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Aug 16 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2245 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient remains tighten
between surface ridging over the western Atlantic and relatively
lower pressure in northern South America. This will again favor
increasing winds in the south-central Caribbean, supporting gale-
force northeast to east winds off Colombia this evening and into
early on Sun morning. Expect rough to very rough seas to near 15
ft near and downwind of these winds. Please read the latest HIGH
SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website
- https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!_XNJQPokwFC1cQkrg0hhK_GwTtQzAKyBv3lt9gZY_bc-pC6XtQuc43x3mqg3KRnKSru-Eo1qByTebuLLUjWszajO6aY$ and the latest
NWS Offshore Zone Forecast issued by the National Hurricane
Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAOFFNT3.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!_XNJQPokwFC1cQkrg0hhK_GwTtQzAKyBv3lt9gZY_bc-pC6XtQuc43x3mqg3KRnKSru-Eo1qByTebuLLUjWs6oqYbxo$
for further details.

Heavy Precipitation in South Central America and Colombia: Two
tropical waves will propagate into Central America over the next
several days. The wave will interact with enhanced divergence
aloft and an active monsoon trough. The first tropical wave is
located over eastern Honduras and western Nicaragua, or near 86W.
As this wave continues westward, expect heavy precipitation to
continue in Costa Rica, the Darien region and into Choc-Colombia
on into Sun. On Sun, the second tropical wave will enter the
western Caribbean and strengthen the cyclonic rotation over
Panama and Colombia that will favor an increase in available
moisture into Colombia and moist easterly flow into the eastern
portion of Costa Rica. The heaviest precipitation is expected in
Costa Rica through the rest of today and into early on Sun, while
the heaviest precipitation is expected in southwest Panama, the
Darien Region, and Choc-Colombia Sun into Monday. There is some
uncertainty on how far south the heaviest rainfall could reach,
particularly due to how far south the available moisture and the
westerly flow enters the region. Please refer to the WPC
International Desk and local weather services for more
information.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 28W from
05N to 21N. It is moving westward near 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is ahead of the wave to near 33W from 09N to 11W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 43W from
04N to 21N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms are west of the wave to near 47W and from
09N to 15N.

An eastern Caribbean strong tropical wave is along 66W/67W south
of 21N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. An area of numerous
moderate to isolated strong convection is present from 14N to 18N
between 64W and 70W.

A far western Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 86W south of
22N. It is moving westward at about 15 kt. Numerous moderate to
isolated strong convection is increasing over the southwestern
portion of basin in the wake of the wave, where the eastern
segment of the East Pacific monsoon trough is present. The
convection is of the numerous moderate to isolated strong type
confined to south of 13N from 80W westward to over most of Costa
Rica and Panamas as well as southern Nicaragua.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 21N17W, and
extends southwestward to 15N21W, and to 12N27W to 13N37W and
southwestward to 08N47W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to
08N53W and to near 09N60W. Convection is discussed in the
Tropical Waves section above. In addition, numerous moderate to
isolated strong convection is just inland the coast of Africa
from 07N to 15N.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1023 mb high is centered over the north-central Gulf near
29N92W. Its related gradient is generally supporting gentle to
moderate winds across the forecast waters. Seas over the
basin are 2 to 4 ft. A trough extends from near 22N94W to
18N94W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is seen
west of the trough to 97W from 20N to 23N. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are over some sections of the Gulf from 22N to 26N
east of 96W. A westward mid to upper-level disturbance is helping
to sustain this activity.

For the forecast, the high pressure center will remain over the
north-central Gulf through Mon, then move toward the
southeastern part of the Gulf by Tue while weakening some. This
pattern will continue to support mostly gentle to moderate east
to southeast winds across the basin, with pulses of fresh winds
occurring north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the
Bay of Campeche each night, as a surface trough migrates from the
Yucatan Peninsula westward across the southwestern Gulf. Slight
to moderate seas are expected through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section for information on a Gale Warning
that is in effect for waters offshore Colombia.

Outside of the gale area, fresh to strong trade winds and
rough seas are over most of the Caribbean south of about
18N. Moderate to locally fresh trades continue over the
rest of the waters along with seas of 4 to 6 ft.

For the forecast, the combination between high pressure over the
western Atlantic and relatively lower pressures in northern South
America will continue to support fresh to strong winds over most
of the east and central Caribbean this weekend. Peak winds to
minimal gale-force are expected offshore Colombia tonight.
The tropical wave over the western Caribbean near 86W will
continue across some sections of Central America tonight, moving
west into the Pacific on Sun. A strong eastern caribbean
tropical wave, with its axis along 66W/67W will continue to
impact the eastern Caribbean through Sun, with numerous showers
and thunderstorms, some heavy with strong gusty winds. These
weather conditions are forecast to shift westward to the western
Caribbean Sun through Mon night.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

High pressure, anchored by a 1024 mb high south-southwest of
Bermuda near 26N69W continues across the basin. Latest satellite
Ascat scatterometer data indicates fresh northeast winds along
the coast of western Sahara and through the Canary Islands. Seas
are around 6 to 7 ft with these winds. Elsewhere, latest
satellite scatterometer satellite data reveals moderate or
weaker trades. Seas are about 4 to 6 ft with these trades.

Scattered moderate convection is seen from 29N to 30N between
66W and 71W, and from 30N to 31N between 61W and 66W. The base
of a broad upper-level trough translating eastward is north of
31N between 50W and 70W, with impulses riding along it from west
to east. This activity is also south of a stationary front that
is well north of the area.

Of note: An extensive plume of Saharan Air Layer (SAL) is
spreading westward across most of the basin south of about 28N
and just east of South Florida and the Keys as noted in the GOES-
derived Total Precipitable Water (TPW) product. From climatology,
the SAL usually becomes evident around the middle of June, peaking
from late June to mid-August and begins to rapidly diminish
after mid-August.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda-Azores High, combined
with the passage of two tropical through the Caribbean Sea will
cause fresh to strong NE to E winds south of 22N including the
approaches and in the Windward Passage from late this afternoon
through Sun night. Looking ahead, a cold front will slowly push
across the northern forecast border east of 70W late on Sun, and
move across the northern forecast waters on Mon while dissipating
into a trough by Tue. Fresh to strong southwest to west winds
are expected ahead of the front and east of about 70W on Sun and
Sun night.

$$
Aguirre

= = = = = = =
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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 15 23:26:36 2026

626
AXNT20 KNHC 152326
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Aug 16 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient remains tighten
between surface ridging over the western Atlantic and relatively
lower pressure in northern South America. This will again favor
increasing winds in the south-central Caribbean, supporting gale-
force northeast to east winds off Colombia this evening and into
early on Sun morning. Expect rough to very rough seas to near 15
ft near and downwind of these winds. Please read the latest HIGH
SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website
- https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!-U4-EiG-lykGKR-8sgbBSHdL3P8-w6mtdkeOEhJvmxwI74WaSisxv5AHv7ydQpnts-c5u4VD2cSBYVHSMi4QciYUZbE$ and the latest
NWS Offshore Zone Forecast issued by the National Hurricane
Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAOFFNT3.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!-U4-EiG-lykGKR-8sgbBSHdL3P8-w6mtdkeOEhJvmxwI74WaSisxv5AHv7ydQpnts-c5u4VD2cSBYVHSMi4Qr7PEnjI$
for further details.

Heavy Precipitation in South Central America and Colombia: Two
tropical waves will propagate into Central America over the next
several days. The wave will interact with enhanced divergence
aloft and an active monsoon trough. The first tropical wave is
located over eastern Honduras and western Nicaragua, or near 86W.
As this wave continues westward, expect heavy precipitation to
continue in Costa Rica, the Darien region and into Choc-Colombia
on into Sun. On Sun, the second tropical wave will enter the
western Caribbean and strengthen the cyclonic rotation over
Panama and Colombia that will favor an increase in available
moisture into Colombia and moist easterly flow into the eastern
portion of Costa Rica. The heaviest precipitation is expected in
Costa Rica through the rest of today and into early on Sun, while
the heaviest precipitation is expected in southwest Panama, the
Darien Region, and Choc-Colombia Sun into Monday. There is some
uncertainty on how far south the heaviest rainfall could reach,
particularly due to how far south the available moisture and the
westerly flow enters the region. Please refer to the WPC
International Desk and local weather services for more
information.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 28W from
05N to 21N. It is moving westward near 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is ahead of the wave to near 33W from 09N to 11W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 43W from
04N to 21N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms are west of the wave to near 47W and from
09N to 15N.

An eastern Caribbean strong tropical wave is along 66W/67W south
of 21N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. An area of numerous
moderate to isolated strong convection is present from 14N to 18N
between 64W and 70W.

A far western Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 86W south of
22N. It is moving westward at about 15 kt. Numerous moderate to
isolated strong convection is increasing over the southwestern
portion of basin in the wake of the wave, where the eastern
segment of the East Pacific monsoon trough is present. The
convection is of the numerous moderate to isolated strong type
confined to south of 13N from 80W westward to over most of Costa
Rica and Panamas as well as southern Nicaragua.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 21N17W, and
extends southwestward to 15N21W, and to 12N27W to 13N37W and
southwestward to 08N47W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to
08N53W and to near 09N60W. Convection is discussed in the
Tropical Waves section above. In addition, numerous moderate to
isolated strong convection is just inland the coast of Africa
from 07N to 15N.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1023 mb high is centered over the north-central Gulf near
29N92W. Its related gradient is generally supporting gentle to
moderate winds across the forecast waters. Seas over the
basin are 2 to 4 ft. A trough extends from near 22N94W to
18N94W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is seen
west of the trough to 97W from 20N to 23N. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are over some sections of the Gulf from 22N to 26N
east of 96W. A westward moving mid to upper-level disturbance is
helping to sustain this activity.

For the forecast, the high pressure center will remain over the
north-central Gulf through Mon, then move toward the
southeastern part of the Gulf by Tue while weakening some. This
pattern will continue to support mostly gentle to moderate east
to southeast winds across the basin, with pulses of fresh winds
occurring north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the
Bay of Campeche each night, as a surface trough migrates from the
Yucatan Peninsula westward across the southwestern Gulf. Slight
to moderate seas are expected through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Special Features section for information on a Gale Warning
that is in effect for waters offshore Colombia.

Outside of the gale area, fresh to strong trade winds and
rough seas are over most of the Caribbean south of about
18N. Moderate to locally fresh trades continue over the
remainder of the waters along with seas of 4 to 6 ft.

For the forecast, the combination between high pressure over the
western Atlantic and relatively lower pressures in northern South
America will continue to support fresh to strong winds over most
of the east and central Caribbean this weekend. Peak winds to
minimal gale-force are expected offshore Colombia tonight.
The tropical wave over the western Caribbean near 86W will
continue across some sections of Central America tonight, moving
west into the Pacific on Sun. A strong eastern caribbean
tropical wave, with its axis along 66W/67W will continue to
impact the eastern Caribbean through Sun, with numerous showers
and thunderstorms, some heavy with strong gusty winds. These
weather conditions are forecast to shift westward to the western
Caribbean Sun through Mon night.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

High pressure, anchored by a 1024 mb high center south-southwest of
Bermuda near 26N69W continues across the basin. Latest satellite
Ascat scatterometer data indicates fresh northeast winds along the
coast of western Sahara and through the Canary Islands. Seas are
around 6 to 7 ft with these winds. Elsewhere, latest satellite
scatterometer satellite data reveals moderate or weaker trades.
Seas are about 4 to 6 ft with these trades.

Scattered moderate convection is seen from 29N to 30N between
66W and 71W, and from 30N to 31N between 61W and 66W. The base
of a broad upper-level trough translating eastward is north of
31N between 50W and 70W, with impulses riding along it from west
to east. This activity is also south of a stationary front that
is well north of the area.

Of note: An extensive plume of Saharan Air Layer (SAL) is
spreading westward across most of the basin south of about 28N
and just east of South Florida and the Keys as noted in the GOES-
derived Total Precipitable Water (TPW) product. From climatology,
the SAL usually becomes evident around the middle of June, peaking
from late June to mid-August and begins to rapidly diminish
after mid-August.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda-Azores High, combined
with the passage of two tropical through the Caribbean Sea will
cause fresh to strong NE to E winds south of 22N including the
approaches and in the Windward Passage from late this afternoon
through Sun night. Looking ahead, a cold front will slowly push
across the northern forecast border east of 70W late on Sun, and
move across the northern forecast waters on Mon while dissipating
into a trough by Tue. Fresh to strong southwest to west winds
are expected ahead of the front and east of about 70W on Sun and
Sun night.

$$
Aguirre

= = = = = = =
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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 15 23:28:08 2026

914
AXNT20 KNHC 152327
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Aug 16 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient remains tighten
between surface ridging over the western Atlantic and relatively
lower pressure in northern South America. This will again favor
increasing winds in the south-central Caribbean, supporting gale-
force northeast to east winds off Colombia this evening and into
early on Sun morning. Expect rough to very rough seas to near 15
ft near and downwind of these winds. Please read the latest HIGH
SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website
- https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5WL7D83ZLDdoLrp3gEt0ABr1ZBwpxpSMFLqL0uw5yIHOlPSith-iVi-CjiuUoi-gZjfF7xjiobguUX2B1FTn4PUjHRY$ and the latest
NWS Offshore Zone Forecast issued by the National Hurricane
Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAOFFNT3.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5WL7D83ZLDdoLrp3gEt0ABr1ZBwpxpSMFLqL0uw5yIHOlPSith-iVi-CjiuUoi-gZjfF7xjiobguUX2B1FTnEyxrUEw$
for further details.

Heavy Precipitation in South Central America and Colombia: Two
tropical waves will propagate into Central America over the next
several days. The wave will interact with enhanced divergence
aloft and an active monsoon trough. The first tropical wave is
located over eastern Honduras and western Nicaragua, or near 86W.
As this wave continues westward, expect heavy precipitation to
continue in Costa Rica, the Darien region and into Choc-Colombia
on into Sun. On Sun, the second tropical wave will enter the
western Caribbean and strengthen the cyclonic rotation over
Panama and Colombia that will favor an increase in available
moisture into Colombia and moist easterly flow into the eastern
portion of Costa Rica. The heaviest precipitation is expected in
Costa Rica through the rest of today and into early on Sun, while
the heaviest precipitation is expected in southwest Panama, the
Darien Region, and Choc-Colombia Sun into Monday. There is some
uncertainty on how far south the heaviest rainfall could reach,
particularly due to how far south the available moisture and the
westerly flow enters the region. Please refer to the WPC
International Desk and local weather services for more
information.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 28W from
05N to 21N. It is moving westward near 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is ahead of the wave to near 33W from 09N to 11W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 43W from
04N to 21N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms are west of the wave to near 47W and from
09N to 15N.

An eastern Caribbean strong tropical wave is along 66W/67W south
of 21N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. An area of numerous
moderate to isolated strong convection is present from 14N to 18N
between 64W and 70W.

A far western Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 86W south of
22N. It is moving westward at about 15 kt. Numerous moderate to
isolated strong convection is increasing over the southwestern
portion of basin in the wake of the wave, where the eastern
segment of the East Pacific monsoon trough is present. The
convection is of the numerous moderate to isolated strong type
confined to south of 13N from 80W westward to over most of Costa
Rica and Panamas as well as southern Nicaragua.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 21N17W, and
extends southwestward to 15N21W, and to 12N27W to 13N37W and
southwestward to 08N47W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to
08N53W and to near 09N60W. Convection is discussed in the
Tropical Waves section above. In addition, numerous moderate to
isolated strong convection is just inland the coast of Africa
from 07N to 15N.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1023 mb high is centered over the north-central Gulf near
29N92W. Its related gradient is generally supporting gentle to
moderate winds across the forecast waters. Seas over the
basin are 2 to 4 ft. A trough extends from near 22N94W to
18N94W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is seen
west of the trough to 97W from 20N to 23N. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are over some sections of the Gulf from 22N to 26N
east of 96W. A westward moving mid to upper-level disturbance is
helping to sustain this activity.

For the forecast, the high pressure center will remain over the
north-central Gulf through Mon, then move toward the
southeastern part of the Gulf by Tue while weakening some. This
pattern will continue to support mostly gentle to moderate east
to southeast winds across the basin, with pulses of fresh winds
occurring north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the
Bay of Campeche each night, as a surface trough migrates from the
Yucatan Peninsula westward across the southwestern Gulf. Slight
to moderate seas are expected through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See the Special Features section for information on a Gale Warning
that is in effect for the waters offshore Colombia.

Outside of the gale area, fresh to strong trade winds and
rough seas are over most of the Caribbean south of about
18N. Moderate to locally fresh trades continue over the
remainder of the waters along with seas of 4 to 6 ft.

For the forecast, the combination between high pressure over the
western Atlantic and relatively lower pressures in northern South
America will continue to support fresh to strong winds over most
of the east and central Caribbean this weekend. Peak winds to
minimal gale-force are expected offshore Colombia tonight.
The tropical wave over the western Caribbean near 86W will
continue across some sections of Central America tonight, moving
west into the Pacific on Sun. A strong eastern caribbean
tropical wave, with its axis along 66W/67W will continue to
impact the eastern Caribbean through Sun, with numerous showers
and thunderstorms, some heavy with strong gusty winds. These
weather conditions are forecast to shift westward to the western
Caribbean Sun through Mon night.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

High pressure, anchored by a 1024 mb high center south-southwest of
Bermuda near 26N69W continues across the basin. Latest satellite
Ascat scatterometer data indicates fresh northeast winds along the
coast of western Sahara and through the Canary Islands. Seas are
around 6 to 7 ft with these winds. Elsewhere, latest satellite
scatterometer data passes reveal moderate or weaker trades.
Seas are about 4 to 6 ft with these trades.

Scattered moderate convection is seen from 29N to 30N between
66W and 71W, and from 30N to 31N between 61W and 66W. The base
of a broad upper-level trough translating eastward is north of
31N between 50W and 70W, with impulses riding along it from west
to east. This activity is also south of a stationary front that
is well north of the area.

Of note: An extensive plume of Saharan Air Layer (SAL) is
spreading westward across most of the basin south of about 28N
and just east of South Florida and the Keys as noted in the GOES-
derived Total Precipitable Water (TPW) product. From climatology,
the SAL usually becomes evident around the middle of June, peaking
from late June to mid-August, then begins to rapidly diminish after mid-August.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda-Azores High, combined
with the passage of two tropical through the Caribbean Sea will
cause fresh to strong NE to E winds south of 22N including the
approaches and in the Windward Passage from late this afternoon
through Sun night. Looking ahead, a cold front will slowly push
across the northern forecast border east of 70W late on Sun, and
move across the northern forecast waters on Mon while dissipating
into a trough by Tue. Fresh to strong southwest to west winds
are expected ahead of the front and east of about 70W on Sun and
Sun night.

$$
Aguirre

= = = = = = =
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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Aug 16 04:24:38 2026

357
AXNT20 KNHC 160424
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Aug 16 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient remains tighten
between surface ridging over the western Atlantic and lower
pressure in northern South America. This is supporting gale-
force northeast to east winds off Colombia through Sun morning.
Expect rough to very rough seas to near 15 ft near and downwind of
these winds.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by
the National Hurricane Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!_gtUmvIMkUMPBCD8CT2w8d56kr2G13Mf8maaC-7W_z2qr30EV8I3jSHgfvS-Ldf_KQDUgYAltPCJ-03eqwDPfAL0Do8$ for further
details.

Heavy Precipitation in South Central America and Colombia: Two
tropical waves will propagate into Central America over the next
several days. The wave will interact with enhanced divergence
aloft and an active monsoon trough. The first wave is located
near 87W. As this wave continues westward, expect heavy
precipitation to continue in Costa Rica, the Darien region of
Panama and into Choco-Colombia on into Sun. On Sun, the second
tropical wave will enter the western Caribbean and strengthen the
cyclonic rotation over Panama and Colombia that will favor an
increase in available moisture into Colombia and moist easterly
flow into the eastern portion of Costa Rica. The heaviest
precipitation is expected in Costa Rica through early on Sun,
while the heaviest precipitation is expected in southwest Panama,
the Darien Region, and Choco-Colombia Sun into Monday. There is
some uncertainty on how far south the heaviest rainfall could
reach, particularly due to how far south the available moisture
and the westerly flow enters the region.

Please refer to the WPC International Desk and local weather
services for more information.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 30W from
05N to 21N, moving westward near 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is ahead of the wave S of 13N to near 33W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 45W from 04N
to 21N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers are
noted in the wave environment.

An eastern Caribbean strong tropical wave is along 67W south of
21N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is noted within 120 nm on either side of the wave axis.

The northern extension of a tropical wave is analyzed along 87W
and south of 22N, moving westward at 15 kt. The convection
related to this feature is confined to the EPAC waters.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 21N17W, and extends
southwestward to 08N47W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to
08N53W and to near 10N60W. Convection is discussed in the
Tropical Waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1021 mb high is centered over the north-central Gulf near
29N88W. Its related gradient is supporting gentle to moderate
winds across the forecast waters. Seas over the basin are 2 to 4
ft. Fresh winds are occurring north and west of the Yucatan
Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche, as a surface trough
extends across the western coast of the Yucatan Peninsula.

For the forecast, the high pressure center will remain over the north-
central Gulf through Mon, then moves toward the SE Gulf by Tue
while weakening some. This pattern will continue to support
mostly gentle to moderate E to SE winds across the basin, with
pulses of fresh winds occurring north and west of the Yucatan
Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each night, as the diurnal surface trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW
Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected through the forecast
period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See the Special Features section for information on a Gale Warning
in effect for the waters offshore Colombia.

Refer to the section above for details on the tropical waves
moving across the basin.

Outside of the gale area, fresh to strong trade winds and
rough seas are over most of the Caribbean south of 18N. Moderate
to fresh trades continue over the remainder of the waters along
with seas of 4 to 6 ft.

For the forecast, the ridge N of the area combined with the
Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong winds over
most of the east and central Caribbean through Sun. Peak winds to
minimal gale-force are expected offshore Colombia tonight into
early Sun morning. The tropical wave along 67W, will continue to
impact the eastern and portions of the central Caribbean tonight.
Fresh to strong winds, moderate to rough seas and heavy rain will
be associated with the wave, forecast to move across the central
Caribbean through Mon, reaching the NW part of the basin Mon night
into Tue. Another tropical wave will approach the Leeward Islands
by Tue.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

High pressure, anchored by a 1022 mb high center south-southwest
of Bermuda near 26N71W continues across the basin. Latest
satellite Ascat scatterometer data indicates fresh northeast winds
along the coast of western Sahara and through the Canary Islands.
Seas are around 6 to 7 ft with these winds. Elsewhere, latest
satellite scatterometer data passes reveal moderate or weaker
trades. Seas are about 4 to 6 ft with these trades.

Scattered moderate convection is noted N of 28N and W of 53W. A
surface trough is analyzed from 31N59W to 27N64W. The base of a
broad upper-level trough translating eastward is north of 31N
between 50W and 70W, with impulses riding along it from west to
east. This activity is also south of a frontal boundary well
north of the area.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda-Azores High, combined
with the passage of two tropical waves through the Caribbean Sea
will cause fresh to strong NE to E winds south of 22N including
the approaches and in the Windward Passage through Sun night.
A cold front will slowly push across the northern forecast border
east of 70W late on Sun, and move across the northern forecast
waters on Mon while dissipating into a trough by Tue. Fresh to
strong SW to W winds are expected ahead of the front and E of 70W
on Sun and Sun night.

$$
ERA

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Aug 16 04:24:38 2026

358
AXNT20 KNHC 160424
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Aug 16 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient remains tighten
between surface ridging over the western Atlantic and lower
pressure in northern South America. This is supporting gale-
force northeast to east winds off Colombia through Sun morning.
Expect rough to very rough seas to near 15 ft near and downwind of
these winds.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by
the National Hurricane Center at website https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!7hB7GhatuaXu0ZezzAcJezKIE8rccfIS2bbhs9owWxTG2rNk895h-6heP2sxBFFNevaV7oCivSj-wcACAWnSihFGY54$ for further
details.

Heavy Precipitation in South Central America and Colombia: Two
tropical waves will propagate into Central America over the next
several days. The wave will interact with enhanced divergence
aloft and an active monsoon trough. The first wave is located
near 87W. As this wave continues westward, expect heavy
precipitation to continue in Costa Rica, the Darien region of
Panama and into Choco-Colombia on into Sun. On Sun, the second
tropical wave will enter the western Caribbean and strengthen the
cyclonic rotation over Panama and Colombia that will favor an
increase in available moisture into Colombia and moist easterly
flow into the eastern portion of Costa Rica. The heaviest
precipitation is expected in Costa Rica through early on Sun,
while the heaviest precipitation is expected in southwest Panama,
the Darien Region, and Choco-Colombia Sun into Monday. There is
some uncertainty on how far south the heaviest rainfall could
reach, particularly due to how far south the available moisture
and the westerly flow enters the region.

Please refer to the WPC International Desk and local weather
services for more information.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 30W from
05N to 21N, moving westward near 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is ahead of the wave S of 13N to near 33W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 45W from 04N
to 21N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers are
noted in the wave environment.

An eastern Caribbean strong tropical wave is along 67W south of
21N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is noted within 120 nm on either side of the wave axis.

The northern extension of a tropical wave is analyzed along 87W
and south of 22N, moving westward at 15 kt. The convection
related to this feature is confined to the EPAC waters.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 21N17W, and extends
southwestward to 08N47W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to
08N53W and to near 10N60W. Convection is discussed in the
Tropical Waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1021 mb high is centered over the north-central Gulf near
29N88W. Its related gradient is supporting gentle to moderate
winds across the forecast waters. Seas over the basin are 2 to 4
ft. Fresh winds are occurring north and west of the Yucatan
Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche, as a surface trough
extends across the western coast of the Yucatan Peninsula.

For the forecast, the high pressure center will remain over the north-
central Gulf through Mon, then moves toward the SE Gulf by Tue
while weakening some. This pattern will continue to support
mostly gentle to moderate E to SE winds across the basin, with
pulses of fresh winds occurring north and west of the Yucatan
Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each night, as the diurnal surface trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW
Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected through the forecast
period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See the Special Features section for information on a Gale Warning
in effect for the waters offshore Colombia.

Refer to the section above for details on the tropical waves
moving across the basin.

Outside of the gale area, fresh to strong trade winds and
rough seas are over most of the Caribbean south of 18N. Moderate
to fresh trades continue over the remainder of the waters along
with seas of 4 to 6 ft.

For the forecast, the ridge N of the area combined with the
Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong winds over
most of the east and central Caribbean through Sun. Peak winds to
minimal gale-force are expected offshore Colombia tonight into
early Sun morning. The tropical wave along 67W, will continue to
impact the eastern and portions of the central Caribbean tonight.
Fresh to strong winds, moderate to rough seas and heavy rain will
be associated with the wave, forecast to move across the central
Caribbean through Mon, reaching the NW part of the basin Mon night
into Tue. Another tropical wave will approach the Leeward Islands
by Tue.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

High pressure, anchored by a 1022 mb high center south-southwest
of Bermuda near 26N71W continues across the basin. Latest
satellite Ascat scatterometer data indicates fresh northeast winds
along the coast of western Sahara and through the Canary Islands.
Seas are around 6 to 7 ft with these winds. Elsewhere, latest
satellite scatterometer data passes reveal moderate or weaker
trades. Seas are about 4 to 6 ft with these trades.

Scattered moderate convection is noted N of 28N and W of 53W. A
surface trough is analyzed from 31N59W to 27N64W. The base of a
broad upper-level trough translating eastward is north of 31N
between 50W and 70W, with impulses riding along it from west to
east. This activity is also south of a frontal boundary well
north of the area.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda-Azores High, combined
with the passage of two tropical waves through the Caribbean Sea
will cause fresh to strong NE to E winds south of 22N including
the approaches and in the Windward Passage through Sun night.
A cold front will slowly push across the northern forecast border
east of 70W late on Sun, and move across the northern forecast
waters on Mon while dissipating into a trough by Tue. Fresh to
strong SW to W winds are expected ahead of the front and E of 70W
on Sun and Sun night.

$$
ERA

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Aug 16 11:00:02 2026

845
AXNT20 KNHC 161059
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Aug 16 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1050 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Heavy Precipitation in South Central America and Colombia: Two
tropical waves will propagate into Central America over the next
several days. The waves will interact with enhanced divergence
aloft and an active monsoon trough. The first wave is located
near 88W. As this wave continues westward, expect heavy
precipitation to continue in Costa Rica, the Darien region of
Panama and into Choco-Colombia into Sun. The second tropical wave
will enter the western Caribbean tonight into Mon and strengthen
the cyclonic rotation over Panama and Colombia, which will favor
an increase in available moisture into Colombia and moist easterly
flow into the eastern portion of Costa Rica. The heaviest
precipitation is expected in Costa Rica through this morning,
while the heaviest precipitation is expected in southwest Panama,
the Darien Region, and Choco-Colombia late today into Monday.
There is some uncertainty on how far south the heaviest rainfall
could reach, particularly due to how far south the available
moisture and the westerly flow enters the region.

Please refer to the WPC International Desk and local weather
services for more information.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is west of the Cape Verde Islands extending from
07N to 19N with axis near 31W, moving west at 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is from 09N to 15N between 25W and 37W.

A tropical wave is over the central waters, extending from 04N to
20N with axis near 47W, moving west at 15-20 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is from 09N to 14N between 46W and 52W.

A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis near 69W
south of 20N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Numerous moderate tothe approaches to the
Windward Passagestrong convection is from 12N to 19N between 66W
and 73W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N16W, and extends
southwestward to 11N30W to 10N41W. The ITCZ begins near 09N48W
and continues to 07N58W. Aside from the convection discussed in
the Tropical Waves section above, scattered moderate convection
is offshore W Africa from 06N to 14N between 11W and 20W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1021 mb high is over the Florida Panhandle coastal waters
extending a ridge axis southward to 23N. A generally weak pressure
gradient supports light to gentle variable winds and slight seas N
of 23N. Over the SW Gulf, a surface trough moves across the Bay of
Campeche enhancing winds to moderate speeds and building seas from
slight to moderate. Scattered showers are offshore Veracruz, ahead
of the trough.

For the forecast, a center of high pressure will remain over the
north-central Gulf through Mon, then moves toward the SE Gulf by
Tue while weakening some. This pattern will continue to support
mostly gentle to moderate E to SE winds across the basin, with
pulses of fresh winds occurring north and west of the Yucatan
Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each night, as a surface
trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW
Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected through the forecast
period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The main feature over the basin is a tropical wave moving across
Hispaniola and central Caribbean this morning, which is bringging
strong winds, rough seas and heavy showers to this region.
Scattered moderate convection is across the Costa Rica and Panama
offshores associated with the eastern extension of the E Pacific
monsoon. Fresh to strong trade winds are across much of the basin
along with moderate to rough seas, except for moderate to fresh
NE to E winds over the NW Caribbean where seas are moderate. This
is due to a relatively strong gradient of pressure over the region
influenced by high pressure E of the Bahamas. This is also
accelerating the winds across the Windward Passage to strong
speeds, which has built seas to 9 ft.

For the forecast, surface ridging N of the area combined with the
Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong winds over
most of the east, central and SW Caribbean through this evening.
A strong tropical wave, with axis near 68W, will impact the
central Caribbean today through Mon. Fresh to strong winds,
moderate to rough seas and locally heavy rain will be associated
with the wave, forecast to reach the western part of the basin Mon
night into Tue. Another tropical wave will approach the Leeward
Islands by Tue.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

The subtropical Atlantic waters remain under the influence of the Bermuda-Azores High, which is supporting mainly moderate or weaker
winds, except across the Great Bahama Bank, the approaches to the
Windward Passage, and the adjacent waters of Puerto Rico and
Hispaniola S of 23N where winds are moderate to fresh from the E,
except locally strong in the the approaches to the Windward
Passage. Moderate to fresh SW to W winds are also ongoing over the
NE offshore waters N of 28N and E of 74W ahead of an approaching
cold front which is also generating scattered showers and tstms
over this region. Moderate seas are across the western, central
and eastern subtropical Atlantic waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda-Azores High, combined
with the passage of a tropical wave through the Caribbean Sea will
cause fresh to strong NE to E winds south of 22N including the
approaches and in the Windward Passage through tonight. Looking
ahead, a cold front will slowly push across the northern forecast
border east of 70W late today, and move across the northern
forecast waters on Mon while dissipating into a trough by Tue.
Fresh to strong SW to W winds are expected ahead of the front and
E of 70W today and tonight.

$$
Ramos

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Aug 16 11:00:06 2026

880
AXNT20 KNHC 161059
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Aug 16 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1050 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Heavy Precipitation in South Central America and Colombia: Two
tropical waves will propagate into Central America over the next
several days. The waves will interact with enhanced divergence
aloft and an active monsoon trough. The first wave is located
near 88W. As this wave continues westward, expect heavy
precipitation to continue in Costa Rica, the Darien region of
Panama and into Choco-Colombia into Sun. The second tropical wave
will enter the western Caribbean tonight into Mon and strengthen
the cyclonic rotation over Panama and Colombia, which will favor
an increase in available moisture into Colombia and moist easterly
flow into the eastern portion of Costa Rica. The heaviest
precipitation is expected in Costa Rica through this morning,
while the heaviest precipitation is expected in southwest Panama,
the Darien Region, and Choco-Colombia late today into Monday.
There is some uncertainty on how far south the heaviest rainfall
could reach, particularly due to how far south the available
moisture and the westerly flow enters the region.

Please refer to the WPC International Desk and local weather
services for more information.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is west of the Cape Verde Islands extending from
07N to 19N with axis near 31W, moving west at 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is from 09N to 15N between 25W and 37W.

A tropical wave is over the central waters, extending from 04N to
20N with axis near 47W, moving west at 15-20 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is from 09N to 14N between 46W and 52W.

A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis near 69W
south of 20N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Numerous moderate tothe approaches to the
Windward Passagestrong convection is from 12N to 19N between 66W
and 73W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N16W, and extends
southwestward to 11N30W to 10N41W. The ITCZ begins near 09N48W
and continues to 07N58W. Aside from the convection discussed in
the Tropical Waves section above, scattered moderate convection
is offshore W Africa from 06N to 14N between 11W and 20W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1021 mb high is over the Florida Panhandle coastal waters
extending a ridge axis southward to 23N. A generally weak pressure
gradient supports light to gentle variable winds and slight seas N
of 23N. Over the SW Gulf, a surface trough moves across the Bay of
Campeche enhancing winds to moderate speeds and building seas from
slight to moderate. Scattered showers are offshore Veracruz, ahead
of the trough.

For the forecast, a center of high pressure will remain over the
north-central Gulf through Mon, then moves toward the SE Gulf by
Tue while weakening some. This pattern will continue to support
mostly gentle to moderate E to SE winds across the basin, with
pulses of fresh winds occurring north and west of the Yucatan
Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each night, as a surface
trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW
Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected through the forecast
period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The main feature over the basin is a tropical wave moving across
Hispaniola and central Caribbean this morning, which is bringging
strong winds, rough seas and heavy showers to this region.
Scattered moderate convection is across the Costa Rica and Panama
offshores associated with the eastern extension of the E Pacific
monsoon. Fresh to strong trade winds are across much of the basin
along with moderate to rough seas, except for moderate to fresh
NE to E winds over the NW Caribbean where seas are moderate. This
is due to a relatively strong gradient of pressure over the region
influenced by high pressure E of the Bahamas. This is also
accelerating the winds across the Windward Passage to strong
speeds, which has built seas to 9 ft.

For the forecast, surface ridging N of the area combined with the
Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong winds over
most of the east, central and SW Caribbean through this evening.
A strong tropical wave, with axis near 68W, will impact the
central Caribbean today through Mon. Fresh to strong winds,
moderate to rough seas and locally heavy rain will be associated
with the wave, forecast to reach the western part of the basin Mon
night into Tue. Another tropical wave will approach the Leeward
Islands by Tue.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

The subtropical Atlantic waters remain under the influence of the Bermuda-Azores High, which is supporting mainly moderate or weaker
winds, except across the Great Bahama Bank, the approaches to the
Windward Passage, and the adjacent waters of Puerto Rico and
Hispaniola S of 23N where winds are moderate to fresh from the E,
except locally strong in the the approaches to the Windward
Passage. Moderate to fresh SW to W winds are also ongoing over the
NE offshore waters N of 28N and E of 74W ahead of an approaching
cold front which is also generating scattered showers and tstms
over this region. Moderate seas are across the western, central
and eastern subtropical Atlantic waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda-Azores High, combined
with the passage of a tropical wave through the Caribbean Sea will
cause fresh to strong NE to E winds south of 22N including the
approaches and in the Windward Passage through tonight. Looking
ahead, a cold front will slowly push across the northern forecast
border east of 70W late today, and move across the northern
forecast waters on Mon while dissipating into a trough by Tue.
Fresh to strong SW to W winds are expected ahead of the front and
E of 70W today and tonight.

$$
Ramos

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Aug 16 15:59:00 2026

711
AXNT20 KNHC 161556
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Aug 16 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1530 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is west of the Cape Verde Islands extending from
07N to 19N with axis near 33W, moving west at 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is from 10N to 14N between 30W and 35W.

A tropical wave is over the Atlantic central waters, extending
from 04N to 20N with axis near 51W, moving west at 15-20 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is from 12N to 14N between 47W and
52W.

A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis near 72W
south of 20N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Numerous moderate to
isolated strong convection is active from 12N to 18N between 68W
and 77W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W, and extends
southwestward to 13N25W to 12N31W. The ITCZ begins near 12N40W
and continues to 13.5N45W to 12N50W. No significant covection is
evident aside from the convection discussed in the Tropical Waves
section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge extends across the northern Gulf anchored by a 1021 mb
high pressure center over the northwest Gulf near 28N91W.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over the west-
central Gulf, west of a trough that extends across the southwest
Gulf along 94W from 24N94W southward to Coatzacoalcos, Mexico
along the Bay of Campeche. This pattern is supporting moderate SE
winds and 3-5 ft seas east of the trough, and light to gentle
breezes and 1-3 ft seas elsewhere across the Gulf.

For the forecast, the high pressure will prevail across the Gulf waters
through the week. A weak pressure gradient will support mostly
gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A diurnally
induced surface trough will generate fresh to occasionally strong
winds N of the Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These winds
will spread westward away from the Yucatan at night as the trough
migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected
through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Clusters of showers and thunderstorms are active across the
central Caribbean between northwest Venezuela and Hispaniola,
along a tropical wave moving through the region. The pressure
gradient between this feature and the Atlantic ridge centered east
of the Bahamas is supporting strong E winds and 10-12 ft seas
over the north-central Caribbean, and fresh NE to E winds and 7-9
ft elsewhere east of 85W. Fresh to strong NE winds and seas to 9
ft are also active through the Windward Passage to the north coast
of Jamaica. Fresh NE winds and 4-6 ft seas are noted in the lee of
Cuba, with moderate NE winds and 3-5 ft seas elsewhere over the
northwest Caribbean.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the ridge N of
the area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
over the central Caribbean though Mon. The tropical wave in the
central Caribbean is accompanied by active convection which will
create locally higher winds and seas. The wave will continue
westward across the western Caribbean Mon.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

The subtropical Atlantic waters remain under the influence of the Bermuda-Azores High, anchored by 1022 mb high pressure centered
east of the northern Bahamas near 26N73W. Scattered showers and a
few thunderstorms are active between this ridge and Bermuda, on
the southern end of a stationary front north of the area along
32N. Moderate to fresh E winds and 4-6 ft seas are noted between
the ridge and front, specifically from 28N to 30N between 55W and
70W. Moderate to fresh E winds and 5-7 ft seas are noted south of
the ridge, specifically south of 22N and west of 55W, with strong
winds and rough seas near the northern approaches to the Windward
Passage. The eastern Atlantic is dominated by a broad ridge
anchored by 1027 mb high pressure centered over the Azores. Light
to gentle SE to S breezes are evident along the ridge axis from
the Azores to the Bahamas, with 3-4 ft seas. A band of moderate
NE winds and 4-6 ft seas from off northwest Africa to the eastern
Caribbean, except fresh trade winds and 5-7 ft seas in the deep
tropics east of the Lesser Antilles. Gentle breezes and 4-6 ft
seas are noted elsewhere.

For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure gradient between a
ridge along 28N and a tropical wave moving through the central
Caribbean Sea will support fresh to locally strong NE to E winds
south of 22N through tonight. A cold front will move into the
northern waters east of 70W late today. The front will move across
the northern forecast waters on Mon then weaken into a trough by
Tue. Fresh to strong SW to W winds are expected ahead of the front
and E of 70W today and tonight.

$$
Christensen

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Aug 16 15:59:00 2026

710
AXNT20 KNHC 161556
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Aug 16 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1530 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is west of the Cape Verde Islands extending from
07N to 19N with axis near 33W, moving west at 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is from 10N to 14N between 30W and 35W.

A tropical wave is over the Atlantic central waters, extending
from 04N to 20N with axis near 51W, moving west at 15-20 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is from 12N to 14N between 47W and
52W.

A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis near 72W
south of 20N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Numerous moderate to
isolated strong convection is active from 12N to 18N between 68W
and 77W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W, and extends
southwestward to 13N25W to 12N31W. The ITCZ begins near 12N40W
and continues to 13.5N45W to 12N50W. No significant covection is
evident aside from the convection discussed in the Tropical Waves
section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge extends across the northern Gulf anchored by a 1021 mb
high pressure center over the northwest Gulf near 28N91W.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over the west-
central Gulf, west of a trough that extends across the southwest
Gulf along 94W from 24N94W southward to Coatzacoalcos, Mexico
along the Bay of Campeche. This pattern is supporting moderate SE
winds and 3-5 ft seas east of the trough, and light to gentle
breezes and 1-3 ft seas elsewhere across the Gulf.

For the forecast, the high pressure will prevail across the Gulf waters
through the week. A weak pressure gradient will support mostly
gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A diurnally
induced surface trough will generate fresh to occasionally strong
winds N of the Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These winds
will spread westward away from the Yucatan at night as the trough
migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected
through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Clusters of showers and thunderstorms are active across the
central Caribbean between northwest Venezuela and Hispaniola,
along a tropical wave moving through the region. The pressure
gradient between this feature and the Atlantic ridge centered east
of the Bahamas is supporting strong E winds and 10-12 ft seas
over the north-central Caribbean, and fresh NE to E winds and 7-9
ft elsewhere east of 85W. Fresh to strong NE winds and seas to 9
ft are also active through the Windward Passage to the north coast
of Jamaica. Fresh NE winds and 4-6 ft seas are noted in the lee of
Cuba, with moderate NE winds and 3-5 ft seas elsewhere over the
northwest Caribbean.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the ridge N of
the area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
over the central Caribbean though Mon. The tropical wave in the
central Caribbean is accompanied by active convection which will
create locally higher winds and seas. The wave will continue
westward across the western Caribbean Mon.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

The subtropical Atlantic waters remain under the influence of the Bermuda-Azores High, anchored by 1022 mb high pressure centered
east of the northern Bahamas near 26N73W. Scattered showers and a
few thunderstorms are active between this ridge and Bermuda, on
the southern end of a stationary front north of the area along
32N. Moderate to fresh E winds and 4-6 ft seas are noted between
the ridge and front, specifically from 28N to 30N between 55W and
70W. Moderate to fresh E winds and 5-7 ft seas are noted south of
the ridge, specifically south of 22N and west of 55W, with strong
winds and rough seas near the northern approaches to the Windward
Passage. The eastern Atlantic is dominated by a broad ridge
anchored by 1027 mb high pressure centered over the Azores. Light
to gentle SE to S breezes are evident along the ridge axis from
the Azores to the Bahamas, with 3-4 ft seas. A band of moderate
NE winds and 4-6 ft seas from off northwest Africa to the eastern
Caribbean, except fresh trade winds and 5-7 ft seas in the deep
tropics east of the Lesser Antilles. Gentle breezes and 4-6 ft
seas are noted elsewhere.

For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure gradient between a
ridge along 28N and a tropical wave moving through the central
Caribbean Sea will support fresh to locally strong NE to E winds
south of 22N through tonight. A cold front will move into the
northern waters east of 70W late today. The front will move across
the northern forecast waters on Mon then weaken into a trough by
Tue. Fresh to strong SW to W winds are expected ahead of the front
and E of 70W today and tonight.

$$
Christensen

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 17 13:35:54 2026

558
AXNT20 KNHC 170409
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon Aug 17 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0405 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A new tropical wave has been introduced in the eastern Atlantic
along 17W, south of 20N, based on satellite data and tropical
wave guidance. The wave is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is observed from 07N to 18N and east
of 22W.

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is noted along 37W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is noted near
this wave.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 55W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 10N to 14N between 51W and 61W.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 75W, south of 19N, moving
westward at 15 kt. The wave is enhancing convection over Colombia.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal
near 15N17W and continues southwestward to 11N40W. The ITCZ extends
from 11N40W to 11N54W and then from 11N56W to 10N62W. No significant
convection is evident aside from the convection discussed in the
Tropical Waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure dominates the Gulf waters, supporting moderate to
fresh NE-E winds and seas of 2-4 ft south of 25N and east of 95W.
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail. A few
showers are seen in the eastern Bay of Campeche and western Gulf
waters, while dry conditions are prevalent elsewhere.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf waters
through the week. A weak pressure gradient will support mostly
gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A diurnally
induced surface trough will generate fresh to occasionally
strong winds N of the Yucatan peninsula early each evening.
These winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at night
as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas
are expected through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Favorable upper level conditions and tropical moisture combine to
produce scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in the SW
Caribbean and off central Cuba. Meanwhile, a tight pressure
gradient supports fresh to near gale-force easterly trade winds in
the central Caribbean and Windward Passage. This was confirmed by
a recent scatterometer satellite pass. Seas in these waters are
7-10 ft. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
noted in the eastern Caribbean and in the lee of Cuba. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge N of the
area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds over
the central Caribbean though Mon. Fresh to strong winds over the
central basin will resume Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure redevelops E of the Bahamas. A tropical wave in the
central Caribbean will move across the western Caribbean through
Tue before moving W of the region.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from a 1012 mb low pressure system near
33N56W to 29N63W and to 31N71W. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is present north of 25N and between 51W and 72W.
Moderate to locally strong SW-W winds and seas of 5-8 ft are found
north of 26N and between 50W and 65W. The remainder of the SW
North Atlantic is dominated by a ridge that supports moderate to
locally strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas south of 24N
and west of 60W.

The central and eastern tropical Atlantic is under the influence
of a 1026 mb high pressure system centered near the Azores.
Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
noted north of the monsoon trough and ITCZ. Similar winds and seas
are present south of the monsoon trough and ITCZ and west of 31W.

For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure gradient between a
ridge along 28N and a tropical wave moving through the central
Caribbean Sea will support fresh to locally strong NE to E winds
south of 22N through tonight. A cold front extending from 31N56W
to 30N70W will continue to move across the northern forecast
waters on Mon then stall and weaken into a trough by Tue. Fresh to
strong SW to W winds are ahead of the front along with scattered
showers and tstms.

$$
Delgado

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 17 13:35:58 2026

559
AXNT20 KNHC 170409
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon Aug 17 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0405 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A new tropical wave has been introduced in the eastern Atlantic
along 17W, south of 20N, based on satellite data and tropical
wave guidance. The wave is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is observed from 07N to 18N and east
of 22W.

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is noted along 37W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is noted near
this wave.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 55W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 10N to 14N between 51W and 61W.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 75W, south of 19N, moving
westward at 15 kt. The wave is enhancing convection over Colombia.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal
near 15N17W and continues southwestward to 11N40W. The ITCZ extends
from 11N40W to 11N54W and then from 11N56W to 10N62W. No significant
convection is evident aside from the convection discussed in the
Tropical Waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure dominates the Gulf waters, supporting moderate to
fresh NE-E winds and seas of 2-4 ft south of 25N and east of 95W.
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail. A few
showers are seen in the eastern Bay of Campeche and western Gulf
waters, while dry conditions are prevalent elsewhere.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf waters
through the week. A weak pressure gradient will support mostly
gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A diurnally
induced surface trough will generate fresh to occasionally
strong winds N of the Yucatan peninsula early each evening.
These winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at night
as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas
are expected through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Favorable upper level conditions and tropical moisture combine to
produce scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in the SW
Caribbean and off central Cuba. Meanwhile, a tight pressure
gradient supports fresh to near gale-force easterly trade winds in
the central Caribbean and Windward Passage. This was confirmed by
a recent scatterometer satellite pass. Seas in these waters are
7-10 ft. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
noted in the eastern Caribbean and in the lee of Cuba. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge N of the
area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds over
the central Caribbean though Mon. Fresh to strong winds over the
central basin will resume Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure redevelops E of the Bahamas. A tropical wave in the
central Caribbean will move across the western Caribbean through
Tue before moving W of the region.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from a 1012 mb low pressure system near
33N56W to 29N63W and to 31N71W. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is present north of 25N and between 51W and 72W.
Moderate to locally strong SW-W winds and seas of 5-8 ft are found
north of 26N and between 50W and 65W. The remainder of the SW
North Atlantic is dominated by a ridge that supports moderate to
locally strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas south of 24N
and west of 60W.

The central and eastern tropical Atlantic is under the influence
of a 1026 mb high pressure system centered near the Azores.
Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
noted north of the monsoon trough and ITCZ. Similar winds and seas
are present south of the monsoon trough and ITCZ and west of 31W.

For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure gradient between a
ridge along 28N and a tropical wave moving through the central
Caribbean Sea will support fresh to locally strong NE to E winds
south of 22N through tonight. A cold front extending from 31N56W
to 30N70W will continue to move across the northern forecast
waters on Mon then stall and weaken into a trough by Tue. Fresh to
strong SW to W winds are ahead of the front along with scattered
showers and tstms.

$$
Delgado

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 17 13:51:02 2026

890
AXNT20 KNHC 162234
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Aug 17 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is noted along 35W from 06N to
20N, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Convection associated with this
wave has diminished this evening.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 53W from 06N to 22N,
moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 12N to 14N between 50W and 55W.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 73W from Hispaniola to
Colombia, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 12N to 18N between 68W and 77W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W, and extends
southwestward to 13N25W to 12N35W. The ITCZ begins near 12N40W
and continues to 13N45W to 12N50W. Another segment of the ITCZ is
noted from 11N55W to 09N60W. No significant convection is evident
aside from the convection discussed in the Tropical Waves section
above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge extends across the northern Gulf anchored by a 1021 mb
high pressure center just offshore Louisiana. Scattered moderate
convection is present in the west-central Gulf in association with
a surface trough that extends roughly 120 nm offshore from
Tampico, Mexico, to Frontera, Mexico. A diurnal increase of NE
winds to moderate to fresh speeds is occurring in the eastern Bay
of Campeche, otherwise winds are light to gentle. Seas are mainly
1 to 3 ft, with localized 4 ft seas near the Yucatan Channel and
in the Florida Straits.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the week. A weak pressure gradient will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A
diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh to
occasionally strong winds N of the Yucatan peninsula early each
evening. These winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at
night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Tropical Waves section above for details on Central Caribbean
convection because caused by a tropical wave. In the NW basin,
scattered moderate convection is noted between Cuba and Jamaica,
and northward from the Gulf of Honduras to just offshore the
Yucatan Peninsula. The pressure gradient between low pressure to
the south and the Atlantic ridge centered east of the Bahamas is
supporting strong E winds and 10-12 ft seas over the central
Caribbean, and fresh NE to E winds and 7-9 ft seas across most of
the rest of the basin. Moderate NE winds and 3-5 ft seas
elsewhere over the northwest Caribbean north and west of the
Cayman Islands.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge N of the
area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds over
the central Caribbean though Mon. A tropical wave in the central
Caribbean is accompanied by active convection which will create
locally higher winds and seas. The wave will continue westward
across the western Caribbean early this week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A pre-frontal trough has moved S of 31N and extends this evening
from 31N59W to 27N64W. Scattered moderate convection associated
with this trough and the parent cold front are impacting waters N
of 27N between 52W and 72W. Otherwise, the Bermuda-Azores high,
anchored by a 1022 mb high center N of the Bahamas dominates.
Ahead of the aforementioned trough, fresh SW winds and 6 to 8 ft
seas extend E to 50W. Otherwise, moderate seas and moderate or
weaker winds dominate the basin.

For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure gradient between a
ridge along 28N and a tropical wave moving through the central
Caribbean Sea will support fresh to locally strong NE to E winds
south of 22N through tonight. A cold front will move into the
northern waters east of 70W late today. The front will move across
the northern forecast waters on Mon then weaken into a trough by
Tue. Fresh to strong SW to W winds are expected ahead of the front
and E of 70W today and tonight.

$$
Konarik

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 17 13:51:06 2026

891
AXNT20 KNHC 162234
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Aug 17 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is noted along 35W from 06N to
20N, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Convection associated with this
wave has diminished this evening.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 53W from 06N to 22N,
moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 12N to 14N between 50W and 55W.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 73W from Hispaniola to
Colombia, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 12N to 18N between 68W and 77W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W, and extends
southwestward to 13N25W to 12N35W. The ITCZ begins near 12N40W
and continues to 13N45W to 12N50W. Another segment of the ITCZ is
noted from 11N55W to 09N60W. No significant convection is evident
aside from the convection discussed in the Tropical Waves section
above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge extends across the northern Gulf anchored by a 1021 mb
high pressure center just offshore Louisiana. Scattered moderate
convection is present in the west-central Gulf in association with
a surface trough that extends roughly 120 nm offshore from
Tampico, Mexico, to Frontera, Mexico. A diurnal increase of NE
winds to moderate to fresh speeds is occurring in the eastern Bay
of Campeche, otherwise winds are light to gentle. Seas are mainly
1 to 3 ft, with localized 4 ft seas near the Yucatan Channel and
in the Florida Straits.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the week. A weak pressure gradient will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A
diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh to
occasionally strong winds N of the Yucatan peninsula early each
evening. These winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at
night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Tropical Waves section above for details on Central Caribbean
convection because caused by a tropical wave. In the NW basin,
scattered moderate convection is noted between Cuba and Jamaica,
and northward from the Gulf of Honduras to just offshore the
Yucatan Peninsula. The pressure gradient between low pressure to
the south and the Atlantic ridge centered east of the Bahamas is
supporting strong E winds and 10-12 ft seas over the central
Caribbean, and fresh NE to E winds and 7-9 ft seas across most of
the rest of the basin. Moderate NE winds and 3-5 ft seas
elsewhere over the northwest Caribbean north and west of the
Cayman Islands.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge N of the
area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds over
the central Caribbean though Mon. A tropical wave in the central
Caribbean is accompanied by active convection which will create
locally higher winds and seas. The wave will continue westward
across the western Caribbean early this week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A pre-frontal trough has moved S of 31N and extends this evening
from 31N59W to 27N64W. Scattered moderate convection associated
with this trough and the parent cold front are impacting waters N
of 27N between 52W and 72W. Otherwise, the Bermuda-Azores high,
anchored by a 1022 mb high center N of the Bahamas dominates.
Ahead of the aforementioned trough, fresh SW winds and 6 to 8 ft
seas extend E to 50W. Otherwise, moderate seas and moderate or
weaker winds dominate the basin.

For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure gradient between a
ridge along 28N and a tropical wave moving through the central
Caribbean Sea will support fresh to locally strong NE to E winds
south of 22N through tonight. A cold front will move into the
northern waters east of 70W late today. The front will move across
the northern forecast waters on Mon then weaken into a trough by
Tue. Fresh to strong SW to W winds are expected ahead of the front
and E of 70W today and tonight.

$$
Konarik

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 17 14:10:44 2026

361
AXNT20 KNHC 171033
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Aug 17 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1020 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is in the eastern Atlantic along 18W, south of
20N, based on satellite data and tropical wave guidance. The wave
is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is observed from 07N to 18N between 13W and 25W.

A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic with axis near 38W,
extending from 02N to 18N, and moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is from 08N to 10N between 35W and 40W.

A tropical wave is E of the Lesser Antilles with axis near 57W,
south of 18N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 10N to 18N between 51W and 61W.

A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis near 78W, south
of 20N, and moving westward at 15 kt. Numerous moderate to strong
convection is ahead of the wave axis and over the Nicaragua, Costa
Rica and Panama offshore waters.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through 18N16W and
continues southwestward to 13N30W to 11N43W. The ITCZ extends
from 11N43W and continues to 14N52W to 11N61W. No significant
convection is evident aside from the convection discussed in the
Tropical Waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure dominates the Gulf waters, supporting light to
gentle variable winds and slight seas N of 24N. Moderate to
locally fresh NE to E winds are in the SW basin due to a westward
moving through in the Bay of Campeche, which is also supporting
moderate seas to 6 ft. Moderate NE to E winds are also in the
Florida Straits and the approaches to the Yucatan Channel.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the week. A weak pressure gradient will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A
diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh to
occasionally strong winds N of the Yucatan peninsula early each
evening. These winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at
night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A tropical wave over the SW Caribbean is supporting heavy showers
and tstms across the Central America offshore waters and is also
associated with fresh to strong winds affecting most of the
central and portions of the SW Caribbean where seas are rough to
10 ft. Elsewhere, winds are moderate to fresh from the NE to E and
seas are moderate, including the Windward Passage. Gentle to
moderate NE to E winds are elsewhere in the NW Caribbean, except
for fresh winds in the lee side of Cuba.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the ridge N of
the area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
over the central Caribbean though late today. Fresh to strong
winds over the central basin will resume Wed night through Fri
night as high pressure redevelops E of the Bahamas. A tropical
wave with axis near 78W will continue to move across the western
Caribbean through Tue before moving W of the region.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from a 1009 mb low pressure system near
33N54W to 31N54W to 27N63W to 31N71W. Fresh to strong SW winds are
ahead of the front N of 28N and E of 58W. Scattered showers and
tstms are within 240 nm ahead of the front. The central and
eastern subtropical Atlantic is under the influence of a 1026 mb
high pressure system centered N of the Azores, which is supporting
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas, except for moderate to
fresh NE winds E of 20W.

For the forecast west of 55W, surface ridging along 27N and the
passage of a pair of tropical waves across the Caribbean Sea will
modulate moderate to fresh NE to E winds south of 23N through the
forecast period. Otherwise, the cold front will continue to move
across the northern forecast waters today then stall and weaken
into a trough by Tue. Fresh to strong SW to W winds ahead of the
front will diminish by this evening. However, shower activity
associated with the front and its remnants is forecast through
Thu.

$$
Ramos

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 17 14:10:48 2026

490
AXNT20 KNHC 171033
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Aug 17 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1020 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is in the eastern Atlantic along 18W, south of
20N, based on satellite data and tropical wave guidance. The wave
is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is observed from 07N to 18N between 13W and 25W.

A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic with axis near 38W,
extending from 02N to 18N, and moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is from 08N to 10N between 35W and 40W.

A tropical wave is E of the Lesser Antilles with axis near 57W,
south of 18N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 10N to 18N between 51W and 61W.

A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis near 78W, south
of 20N, and moving westward at 15 kt. Numerous moderate to strong
convection is ahead of the wave axis and over the Nicaragua, Costa
Rica and Panama offshore waters.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through 18N16W and
continues southwestward to 13N30W to 11N43W. The ITCZ extends
from 11N43W and continues to 14N52W to 11N61W. No significant
convection is evident aside from the convection discussed in the
Tropical Waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure dominates the Gulf waters, supporting light to
gentle variable winds and slight seas N of 24N. Moderate to
locally fresh NE to E winds are in the SW basin due to a westward
moving through in the Bay of Campeche, which is also supporting
moderate seas to 6 ft. Moderate NE to E winds are also in the
Florida Straits and the approaches to the Yucatan Channel.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the week. A weak pressure gradient will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A
diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh to
occasionally strong winds N of the Yucatan peninsula early each
evening. These winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at
night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A tropical wave over the SW Caribbean is supporting heavy showers
and tstms across the Central America offshore waters and is also
associated with fresh to strong winds affecting most of the
central and portions of the SW Caribbean where seas are rough to
10 ft. Elsewhere, winds are moderate to fresh from the NE to E and
seas are moderate, including the Windward Passage. Gentle to
moderate NE to E winds are elsewhere in the NW Caribbean, except
for fresh winds in the lee side of Cuba.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the ridge N of
the area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
over the central Caribbean though late today. Fresh to strong
winds over the central basin will resume Wed night through Fri
night as high pressure redevelops E of the Bahamas. A tropical
wave with axis near 78W will continue to move across the western
Caribbean through Tue before moving W of the region.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from a 1009 mb low pressure system near
33N54W to 31N54W to 27N63W to 31N71W. Fresh to strong SW winds are
ahead of the front N of 28N and E of 58W. Scattered showers and
tstms are within 240 nm ahead of the front. The central and
eastern subtropical Atlantic is under the influence of a 1026 mb
high pressure system centered N of the Azores, which is supporting
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas, except for moderate to
fresh NE winds E of 20W.

For the forecast west of 55W, surface ridging along 27N and the
passage of a pair of tropical waves across the Caribbean Sea will
modulate moderate to fresh NE to E winds south of 23N through the
forecast period. Otherwise, the cold front will continue to move
across the northern forecast waters today then stall and weaken
into a trough by Tue. Fresh to strong SW to W winds ahead of the
front will diminish by this evening. However, shower activity
associated with the front and its remnants is forecast through
Thu.

$$
Ramos

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 17 16:15:30 2026

428
AXNT20 KNHC 171614
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon Aug 17 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1600 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern tropical wave has its axis along south of 19N. It is
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 07N to 18N between 13W and 25W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 38W, extending
from 02N to 18N, and moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is from 08N to 10N between 35W and 40W.

Another central tropical wave is east of the Lesser Antilles with
its axis near 56W, south of 18N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt.
Scattered moderate to isolated convection is within 240 nm west of
the wave from 12N to 15N.

A Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 75W south of 19N.
It is moving westward at about 15 kt. Numerous moderate to strong
convection is ahead of the wave axis and over the Nicaragua,
Costa Rica and Panama offshore waters.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through 18N16W and
continues southwestward to 12N20W and to 12N30W to 12N35W to
10N42W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 12N50W and to 13N57W.
No significant convection is evident aside from the convection
discussed in the Tropical Waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure dominates the Gulf waters, supporting light to
gentle variable winds and slight seas north of 24N. Moderate
northeast to east winds are over the central and eastern Bay of
Campeche due to a westward moving trough that is now in the
central Bay of Campeche. Seas to around 6 ft are over the waters
where these winds are present. Moderate northeast to east winds
are over the lower Straits of Florida and the approaches to the
Yucatan Channel.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the week. A weak pressure gradient will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A
diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh to
occasionally strong winds north of the Yucatan peninsula early
each evening. These winds will spread westward away from the
Yucatan at night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight
to moderate seas are expected through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Numerous showers and thunderstorms are noted over the western
Caribbean Sea from 15N to 18N west of 82W to just inland Honduras
and Nicaragua Similar convection is confined to the southwestern
Caribbean south of 12N between 74W and 81W, including most of
Panama and just inland northwest Colombia. Fresh to strong trades
cover most of the central portion of the basin and the eastern
portion of the western portion. Seas are 8 to 10 ft with these
trades. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trades are exist elsewhere
along with moderate seas. Fresh northeast winds are in the
Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate trades are over the remainder
of the western portion of the sea, except for fresh east winds in
the lee side of Cuba.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge north of
the area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
over the central Caribbean though late today. The area of high
pressure will then weaken through midweek, loosening the pressure
gradient with resultant winds diminishing slightly. High pressure
will build north of the area once again the second half of the
week, tightening the pressure gradient, and strengthening winds
over the central Caribbean.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from a 1010 mb gale center north of the
area near 34N52W southwestward to 31N54W to 29N57W and to 28N64W
to 28N68W and northwestward to 31N74W, transitioning to
stationary front north of there. Latest satellite scatterometer
data shows fresh to strong southwest winds north of 28N east of
front to near 49W. Seas are 6 to 9 ft with these winds. Scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms are present within 180 nm
east-southeast of the front north of 25N, and within 120 nm south
of the front between 62W and 66W and also between 70W and 73W.

The central and eastern subtropical Atlantic is under the
influence of a 1028 mb high pressure center located north of
the Azores. Its related gradient is s supporting moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas, except for moderate to fresh
northeast winds east of 20W.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
will stall and weaken into a trough by Tue. Moderate winds in the
vicinity of the front will diminish tonight. Otherwise, a weak
pressure gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds,
locally moderate, across much of the area north of 22N through
the week. Moderate to locally fresh winds can be expected south
of about 22N.

$$
Aguirre

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 17 16:15:30 2026

474
AXNT20 KNHC 171614
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon Aug 17 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1600 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern tropical wave has its axis along south of 19N. It is
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 07N to 18N between 13W and 25W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 38W, extending
from 02N to 18N, and moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is from 08N to 10N between 35W and 40W.

Another central tropical wave is east of the Lesser Antilles with
its axis near 56W, south of 18N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt.
Scattered moderate to isolated convection is within 240 nm west of
the wave from 12N to 15N.

A Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 75W south of 19N.
It is moving westward at about 15 kt. Numerous moderate to strong
convection is ahead of the wave axis and over the Nicaragua,
Costa Rica and Panama offshore waters.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through 18N16W and
continues southwestward to 12N20W and to 12N30W to 12N35W to
10N42W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 12N50W and to 13N57W.
No significant convection is evident aside from the convection
discussed in the Tropical Waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure dominates the Gulf waters, supporting light to
gentle variable winds and slight seas north of 24N. Moderate
northeast to east winds are over the central and eastern Bay of
Campeche due to a westward moving trough that is now in the
central Bay of Campeche. Seas to around 6 ft are over the waters
where these winds are present. Moderate northeast to east winds
are over the lower Straits of Florida and the approaches to the
Yucatan Channel.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the week. A weak pressure gradient will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A
diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh to
occasionally strong winds north of the Yucatan peninsula early
each evening. These winds will spread westward away from the
Yucatan at night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight
to moderate seas are expected through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Numerous showers and thunderstorms are noted over the western
Caribbean Sea from 15N to 18N west of 82W to just inland Honduras
and Nicaragua Similar convection is confined to the southwestern
Caribbean south of 12N between 74W and 81W, including most of
Panama and just inland northwest Colombia. Fresh to strong trades
cover most of the central portion of the basin and the eastern
portion of the western portion. Seas are 8 to 10 ft with these
trades. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trades are exist elsewhere
along with moderate seas. Fresh northeast winds are in the
Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate trades are over the remainder
of the western portion of the sea, except for fresh east winds in
the lee side of Cuba.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge north of
the area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
over the central Caribbean though late today. The area of high
pressure will then weaken through midweek, loosening the pressure
gradient with resultant winds diminishing slightly. High pressure
will build north of the area once again the second half of the
week, tightening the pressure gradient, and strengthening winds
over the central Caribbean.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from a 1010 mb gale center north of the
area near 34N52W southwestward to 31N54W to 29N57W and to 28N64W
to 28N68W and northwestward to 31N74W, transitioning to
stationary front north of there. Latest satellite scatterometer
data shows fresh to strong southwest winds north of 28N east of
front to near 49W. Seas are 6 to 9 ft with these winds. Scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms are present within 180 nm
east-southeast of the front north of 25N, and within 120 nm south
of the front between 62W and 66W and also between 70W and 73W.

The central and eastern subtropical Atlantic is under the
influence of a 1028 mb high pressure center located north of
the Azores. Its related gradient is s supporting moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas, except for moderate to fresh
northeast winds east of 20W.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
will stall and weaken into a trough by Tue. Moderate winds in the
vicinity of the front will diminish tonight. Otherwise, a weak
pressure gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds,
locally moderate, across much of the area north of 22N through
the week. Moderate to locally fresh winds can be expected south
of about 22N.

$$
Aguirre

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 17 22:15:42 2026

473
AXNT20 KNHC 172214
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Aug 18 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2130 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern tropical wave has its axis along 19N. It is moving
westward at about 10 kt. Convection previously associated with
this wave has diminished this evening

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 38W, extending
from 02N to 18N, and moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No
significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.

Another central tropical wave is east of the Lesser Antilles with
its axis near 58W, south of 20N, moving westward at around 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is within 240 nm west of the wave
from 11N to 17N.

A Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 77W south of 19N.
It is moving westward at about 10 kt. Numerous moderate
convection is ahead of the wave axis and over the Nicaragua, Costa
Rica, and Panama offshore waters.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through 17N16W and
continues southwestward to 12N25W to 11N39W, where it transitions
to the ITCZ, then continues to 11N50W and to 11N57W. No
significant convection is evident aside from the convection
discussed in the Tropical Waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure of 1021 mb, centered offshore Louisiana, dominates
the Gulf waters, supporting mainly gentle winds and slight seas.
offshore the Florida Panhandle moderate W winds have developed in
associated with a trough N of the area. Moderate to fresh NE to N
winds are over the central and eastern Bay of Campeche due to a
westward moving trough that along the west coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula. Seas to around 6 ft are over the waters where these
winds are present.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the week. A weak pressure gradient will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A
diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh winds N of
the Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These winds will spread
westward away from the Yucatan at night as the trough migrates
into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected through the
forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Numerous moderate convection is noted in the NW basin W of 82W, in
association with the interaction of a tropical wave to the SE and
a surface trough over the Yucatan Peninsula. See the Tropical
Waves section above for information on further convection caused
by the tropical wave as well as additional thunderstorms entering
the eastern basin in association with a second tropical wave.
Fresh to locally strong trades and rough seas dominate the central
basin, with moderate to fresh trades in the eastern and southwest
basin, along with moderate seas. In the NW basin, away from
convection where locally higher winds and seas are likely, gentle
winds and slight seas prevail.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge N of the
area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds over
the central Caribbean through this evening. The area of high
pressure will then weaken through midweek, loosening the pressure
gradient with resultant winds diminishing slightly. High pressure
will build N of the area once again the second half of the week
into the weekend, tightening the pressure gradient, and
strengthening winds over the central Caribbean.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from a 1010 mb low center north of the area
near 35N50W southwestward to 31N51W to 27N60W to 27N70W and
northwestward to 31N74W. East of the front, to about 45W, and N of
27N, scattered moderate convection and fresh to strong SW winds
prevail. To the W, south of the boundary to 25N, scattered
moderate convection also is ongoing.

The central and eastern subtropical Atlantic is under the
influence of a 1028 mb high pressure center located north of
the Azores. Its related gradient is supporting moderate or weaker
winds and moderate seas.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
will stall and weaken into a trough by Tue. Winds in the vicinity
of the front will diminish tonight. Otherwise, a weak pressure
gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds, locally
moderate, across much of the area N of 22N through the week.
Moderate to locally fresh winds can be expected S of 22N.

$$
Konarik

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 17 22:15:48 2026

743
AXNT20 KNHC 172214
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Aug 18 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2130 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern tropical wave has its axis along 19N. It is moving
westward at about 10 kt. Convection previously associated with
this wave has diminished this evening

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 38W, extending
from 02N to 18N, and moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No
significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.

Another central tropical wave is east of the Lesser Antilles with
its axis near 58W, south of 20N, moving westward at around 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is within 240 nm west of the wave
from 11N to 17N.

A Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 77W south of 19N.
It is moving westward at about 10 kt. Numerous moderate
convection is ahead of the wave axis and over the Nicaragua, Costa
Rica, and Panama offshore waters.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through 17N16W and
continues southwestward to 12N25W to 11N39W, where it transitions
to the ITCZ, then continues to 11N50W and to 11N57W. No
significant convection is evident aside from the convection
discussed in the Tropical Waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure of 1021 mb, centered offshore Louisiana, dominates
the Gulf waters, supporting mainly gentle winds and slight seas.
offshore the Florida Panhandle moderate W winds have developed in
associated with a trough N of the area. Moderate to fresh NE to N
winds are over the central and eastern Bay of Campeche due to a
westward moving trough that along the west coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula. Seas to around 6 ft are over the waters where these
winds are present.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the week. A weak pressure gradient will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A
diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh winds N of
the Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These winds will spread
westward away from the Yucatan at night as the trough migrates
into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected through the
forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Numerous moderate convection is noted in the NW basin W of 82W, in
association with the interaction of a tropical wave to the SE and
a surface trough over the Yucatan Peninsula. See the Tropical
Waves section above for information on further convection caused
by the tropical wave as well as additional thunderstorms entering
the eastern basin in association with a second tropical wave.
Fresh to locally strong trades and rough seas dominate the central
basin, with moderate to fresh trades in the eastern and southwest
basin, along with moderate seas. In the NW basin, away from
convection where locally higher winds and seas are likely, gentle
winds and slight seas prevail.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge N of the
area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds over
the central Caribbean through this evening. The area of high
pressure will then weaken through midweek, loosening the pressure
gradient with resultant winds diminishing slightly. High pressure
will build N of the area once again the second half of the week
into the weekend, tightening the pressure gradient, and
strengthening winds over the central Caribbean.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from a 1010 mb low center north of the area
near 35N50W southwestward to 31N51W to 27N60W to 27N70W and
northwestward to 31N74W. East of the front, to about 45W, and N of
27N, scattered moderate convection and fresh to strong SW winds
prevail. To the W, south of the boundary to 25N, scattered
moderate convection also is ongoing.

The central and eastern subtropical Atlantic is under the
influence of a 1028 mb high pressure center located north of
the Azores. Its related gradient is supporting moderate or weaker
winds and moderate seas.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
will stall and weaken into a trough by Tue. Winds in the vicinity
of the front will diminish tonight. Otherwise, a weak pressure
gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds, locally
moderate, across much of the area N of 22N through the week.
Moderate to locally fresh winds can be expected S of 22N.

$$
Konarik

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Aug 18 04:36:18 2026

480
AXNT20 KNHC 180434
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Tue Aug 18 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0432 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern tropical wave has its axis along 19.5N. It is
moving westward at about 10 kt. Isolated convection is depicted
from 07N to 12N between 16W and 21W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 38W, extending
from 02N to 18N, and moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No
significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.

Another central tropical wave is approaching the Lesser Antilles
with its axis near 59.5W, south of 19N, moving westward at around
15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 12N to 20N
between 56W and 62W.

A Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 78W south of 20N. It
is moving westward at about 10 kt. Numerous moderate convection
is depicted south of 14N and west of 75W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through 16N17W and
continues southwestward to 11N21W to 10N43W, where it transitions
to the ITCZ, then continues to 11.5N55W. Isolated moderate
convection is depicted from 10N to 13N between 26W and 34W and
between 44.5W and 53W. Additional convection is discussed in the
Tropical Waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure of 1018 mb, centered near 26N85W, dominates the
Gulf waters, supporting mainly gentle winds and slight seas.
Offshore the Florida Panhandle moderate SW to W winds have
developed in associated with a trough N of the area. Moderate to
fresh N to NE winds are over the central and eastern Bay of
Campeche due to a westward moving trough that is along the west
coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. Seas 2 to 4 ft over the waters
where these winds are present.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the week. A weak pressure gradient will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A
diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh to locally
strong winds north and west of the Yucatan peninsula early each
evening. These winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at
night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Numerous moderate convection is noted in the NW basin W of 83W,
in association with the interaction of a tropical wave to the SE
and a surface trough over the Yucatan Peninsula. See the Tropical
Waves section above for information on further convection caused
by the tropical wave as well as additional thunderstorms entering
the eastern basin in association with a second tropical wave.
Fresh to locally strong trades and rough seas dominate the central
basin, with moderate to fresh trades in the eastern and southwest
basin, along with moderate seas. In the NW basin, away from
convection where locally higher winds and seas are likely, gentle
winds and slight seas prevail.

For the forecast, the subtropical ridge centered north of the
Caribbean waters will support fresh to strong easterly trade winds
and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean through much of
the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
will prevail in the north-central and eastern Caribbean into the
weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from a 1014 mb low center north of the area
near 33N53W southwestward to 31N53.5W to 27N61W and northwestward
to 31N74W. East of the front, to about 46W, and N of 27N,
scattered moderate convection and fresh to strong SW winds
prevail. To the W, south of the boundary to 24.5N, scattered
moderate convection also is ongoing.

The central and eastern subtropical Atlantic is under the
influence of a 1028 mb high pressure center located north of
the Azores. Its related gradient is supporting moderate or weaker
winds and moderate seas.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
stall and weaken into a trough by Tue. Fresh to locally strong
winds in the vicinity of the front will diminish tonight.
Otherwise, a weak pressure gradient will support mainly light to
gentle winds, locally moderate, across much of the area N of 22N
through the week. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds can be
expected S of 22N.

$$
KRV

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Aug 18 04:36:18 2026

479
AXNT20 KNHC 180434
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Tue Aug 18 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0432 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern tropical wave has its axis along 19.5N. It is
moving westward at about 10 kt. Isolated convection is depicted
from 07N to 12N between 16W and 21W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 38W, extending
from 02N to 18N, and moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No
significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.

Another central tropical wave is approaching the Lesser Antilles
with its axis near 59.5W, south of 19N, moving westward at around
15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 12N to 20N
between 56W and 62W.

A Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 78W south of 20N. It
is moving westward at about 10 kt. Numerous moderate convection
is depicted south of 14N and west of 75W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through 16N17W and
continues southwestward to 11N21W to 10N43W, where it transitions
to the ITCZ, then continues to 11.5N55W. Isolated moderate
convection is depicted from 10N to 13N between 26W and 34W and
between 44.5W and 53W. Additional convection is discussed in the
Tropical Waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure of 1018 mb, centered near 26N85W, dominates the
Gulf waters, supporting mainly gentle winds and slight seas.
Offshore the Florida Panhandle moderate SW to W winds have
developed in associated with a trough N of the area. Moderate to
fresh N to NE winds are over the central and eastern Bay of
Campeche due to a westward moving trough that is along the west
coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. Seas 2 to 4 ft over the waters
where these winds are present.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the week. A weak pressure gradient will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A
diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh to locally
strong winds north and west of the Yucatan peninsula early each
evening. These winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at
night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Numerous moderate convection is noted in the NW basin W of 83W,
in association with the interaction of a tropical wave to the SE
and a surface trough over the Yucatan Peninsula. See the Tropical
Waves section above for information on further convection caused
by the tropical wave as well as additional thunderstorms entering
the eastern basin in association with a second tropical wave.
Fresh to locally strong trades and rough seas dominate the central
basin, with moderate to fresh trades in the eastern and southwest
basin, along with moderate seas. In the NW basin, away from
convection where locally higher winds and seas are likely, gentle
winds and slight seas prevail.

For the forecast, the subtropical ridge centered north of the
Caribbean waters will support fresh to strong easterly trade winds
and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean through much of
the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
will prevail in the north-central and eastern Caribbean into the
weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from a 1014 mb low center north of the area
near 33N53W southwestward to 31N53.5W to 27N61W and northwestward
to 31N74W. East of the front, to about 46W, and N of 27N,
scattered moderate convection and fresh to strong SW winds
prevail. To the W, south of the boundary to 24.5N, scattered
moderate convection also is ongoing.

The central and eastern subtropical Atlantic is under the
influence of a 1028 mb high pressure center located north of
the Azores. Its related gradient is supporting moderate or weaker
winds and moderate seas.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
stall and weaken into a trough by Tue. Fresh to locally strong
winds in the vicinity of the front will diminish tonight.
Otherwise, a weak pressure gradient will support mainly light to
gentle winds, locally moderate, across much of the area N of 22N
through the week. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds can be
expected S of 22N.

$$
KRV

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Aug 18 09:34:22 2026

745
AXNT20 KNHC 180933
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Aug 18 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0925 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern tropical wave has its axis along 24N, south of 19N,
moving westward at about 10 kt. A few showers are noted near the
wave axis.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 40W, south of
18N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is
associated with this wave at this time.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 62W, south
of 19N, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is observed south of 19N and between 57W and 67W.

A SW Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 80W, south of
20N, moving westward at about 10 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is present south of 15N and west of
75W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

Th monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 11N30W and
to 09N46W. The ITCZ extends from 09N46W to 10N58W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is evident from 06N to 15N
and east of 37W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Weak high pressure across the Gulf waters support moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas across much of the basin.

For the forecast, a weak high pressure pattern will support mostly
gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A diurnally
induced surface trough will generate fresh to locally strong winds
north and west of the Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These
winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at night as the
trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are
expected through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean is
supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8
ft across much of the basin, especially south of 18N. Light to
gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are found elsewhere.

For the forecast, the subtropical ridge centered north of the
Caribbean waters will support fresh to strong easterly trade
winds and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean through
much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas will prevail in the north-central and eastern
Caribbean into the weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds
and slight to moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from a 1013 mb low center north of the area
near 37N49W southwestward to 31N51W to 26N63W and northwestward
to 31N71W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
noted ahead of the front. Moderate to fresh SW-S winds and seas of
5-8 ft are noted north of 26N and ahead of the front to 44W. The
remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad
subtropical ridge that sustains moderate or lighter winds and
moderate seas. However, fresh northerly winds and seas of 5-8 ft
are found in the far eastern Atlantic off NW Mauritania and
southern Western Sahara.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
stall and weaken into a trough today into tonight. Fresh winds in
the vicinity of the front will diminish today. Otherwise, a weak
pressure gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds,
locally moderate, across much of the area N of 22N through the
week and into the weekend. Moderate to locally fresh easterly
winds can be expected S of 22N.

$$
Delgado

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Aug 18 09:34:28 2026

858
AXNT20 KNHC 180933
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Aug 18 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0925 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern tropical wave has its axis along 24N, south of 19N,
moving westward at about 10 kt. A few showers are noted near the
wave axis.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 40W, south of
18N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is
associated with this wave at this time.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 62W, south
of 19N, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is observed south of 19N and between 57W and 67W.

A SW Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 80W, south of
20N, moving westward at about 10 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is present south of 15N and west of
75W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

Th monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 11N30W and
to 09N46W. The ITCZ extends from 09N46W to 10N58W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is evident from 06N to 15N
and east of 37W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Weak high pressure across the Gulf waters support moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas across much of the basin.

For the forecast, a weak high pressure pattern will support mostly
gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A diurnally
induced surface trough will generate fresh to locally strong winds
north and west of the Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These
winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at night as the
trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are
expected through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean is
supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8
ft across much of the basin, especially south of 18N. Light to
gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are found elsewhere.

For the forecast, the subtropical ridge centered north of the
Caribbean waters will support fresh to strong easterly trade
winds and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean through
much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas will prevail in the north-central and eastern
Caribbean into the weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds
and slight to moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from a 1013 mb low center north of the area
near 37N49W southwestward to 31N51W to 26N63W and northwestward
to 31N71W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
noted ahead of the front. Moderate to fresh SW-S winds and seas of
5-8 ft are noted north of 26N and ahead of the front to 44W. The
remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad
subtropical ridge that sustains moderate or lighter winds and
moderate seas. However, fresh northerly winds and seas of 5-8 ft
are found in the far eastern Atlantic off NW Mauritania and
southern Western Sahara.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
stall and weaken into a trough today into tonight. Fresh winds in
the vicinity of the front will diminish today. Otherwise, a weak
pressure gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds,
locally moderate, across much of the area N of 22N through the
week and into the weekend. Moderate to locally fresh easterly
winds can be expected S of 22N.

$$
Delgado

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Aug 18 15:26:24 2026

272
AXNT20 KNHC 181525
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Aug 18 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern tropical wave has its axis along 26N, south of 19N,
moving westward at about 10 kt. No significant convection is
evident near this tropical wave.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 42W, south of
18N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is
associated with this wave at this time.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 64W, south
of 19N, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is observed from 15N to 18N and between 59W and 67W.

A southwest Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 83W, south
of 20N, moving westward at about 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is evident from 10N to 15N west of 80W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

Th monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 20N16W and continues southwestward to 11N40W. The
ITCZ extends from 11N44W to 08N55W to 10N60W. Scattered moderate
to isolated strong convection is evident from 11N to 15N and east
of 37W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Weak high pressure across the Gulf waters support moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas across much of the basin.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the week. A weak pressure pattern will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A
diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh to locally
strong winds north and west of the Yucatan peninsula early each
evening. These winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at
night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean is
supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8
ft across much of the basin, especially south of 18N. Light to
gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are found elsewhere.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge N of the area
and the Colombian low will support will support fresh to strong
trade winds and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean
through much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas will prevail in the north-central and eastern
Caribbean into the weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds
and slight to moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from a 1014 mb low center north of the area
near 37N48W southwestward to 29N55W to 1015 mb low pressure near
28N64W, then northwestward to 31N72W. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is noted along and ahead of the front.
Moderate to fresh SW-S winds and seas of 5-8 ft are noted north
of 28N and ahead of the front to 45W. The remainder of the
tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge that
sustains moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas. However,
fresh northerly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are found in the far
eastern Atlantic off NW Mauritania and southern Western Sahara.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front will
weaken into a trough by tonight. A weak pressure gradient will
support mainly light to gentle winds, locally moderate, across
much of the area N of 22N through the week and into the weekend.
Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds can be expected S of 22N.

$$
Christensen

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Aug 18 15:26:38 2026

282
AXNT20 KNHC 181525
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Aug 18 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern tropical wave has its axis along 26N, south of 19N,
moving westward at about 10 kt. No significant convection is
evident near this tropical wave.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 42W, south of
18N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is
associated with this wave at this time.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 64W, south
of 19N, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is observed from 15N to 18N and between 59W and 67W.

A southwest Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 83W, south
of 20N, moving westward at about 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is evident from 10N to 15N west of 80W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

Th monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 20N16W and continues southwestward to 11N40W. The
ITCZ extends from 11N44W to 08N55W to 10N60W. Scattered moderate
to isolated strong convection is evident from 11N to 15N and east
of 37W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Weak high pressure across the Gulf waters support moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas across much of the basin.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the week. A weak pressure pattern will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A
diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh to locally
strong winds north and west of the Yucatan peninsula early each
evening. These winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at
night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean is
supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8
ft across much of the basin, especially south of 18N. Light to
gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are found elsewhere.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge N of the area
and the Colombian low will support will support fresh to strong
trade winds and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean
through much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas will prevail in the north-central and eastern
Caribbean into the weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds
and slight to moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from a 1014 mb low center north of the area
near 37N48W southwestward to 29N55W to 1015 mb low pressure near
28N64W, then northwestward to 31N72W. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is noted along and ahead of the front.
Moderate to fresh SW-S winds and seas of 5-8 ft are noted north
of 28N and ahead of the front to 45W. The remainder of the
tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge that
sustains moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas. However,
fresh northerly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are found in the far
eastern Atlantic off NW Mauritania and southern Western Sahara.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front will
weaken into a trough by tonight. A weak pressure gradient will
support mainly light to gentle winds, locally moderate, across
much of the area N of 22N through the week and into the weekend.
Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds can be expected S of 22N.

$$
Christensen

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Aug 18 23:30:08 2026

640
AXNT20 KNHC 182328
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Aug 19 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 26N, south
of 17N, moving westward at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is about the wave from 07N to 13N between 23W and 30W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 44W, south of
18N, moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is
associated with this wave at this time.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 65W, south
of 19N, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is observed over Venezuela from 03N to 10.5N between
60W and 67W.

A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 86W, south
of 20N, moving westward at about 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted, mostly over land, from 09N to 16N between 80W
and 87W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

Th monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 10N33W to 11N43W.
The ITCZ extends from 08N52W to 12N64W. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is evident from 05N to 14N and east of
22W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 11N to 14N
between 30W and 38W. Widely scattered moderate convection is noted
from 07N to 10N between 51W and 62W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Weak high pressure centered across the Gulf waters south of the
mouth of the Mississippi River supports moderate W-NW winds across
the NE Gulf, and mainly moderate NE to E winds across the
southern Gulf. Slight seas to 3 ft dominate the basin. An upper
level low across the NW Gulf of combining with a low level wind
surge moving across the western Bay of Campeche to produce
squattered moderate convection there. Meanwhile, scattered to
locally numerous moderate to strong afternoon convection has
fired up across the western portions of the Yucatan Peninsula and
the adjacent Gulf waters, and is gradually shifting westward.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the remainder of the week into the weekend. A weak
pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to moderate winds
across much of the basin. A diurnally induced surface trough will
generate fresh to locally strong winds north and west of the
Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These winds will spread
westward away from the Yucatan at night as the trough migrates
into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected through the
forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The subtropical ridge recently north of the Caribbean has shifted
eastward as a frontal system has moved southward of 30N and become
stationary along about 27N, from east of the Bahamas into the
central Atlantic. The remnants of the ridge extend from the
central Atlantic to N of Puerto Rico along 22N. This weakened
pressure pattern is supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade
winds and seas of 5-8 ft from 68W into Central America, with light
to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are found elsewhere.
Thunderstorms area active across the coastal waters and inland
from Costa Rica to NE Honduras, behind a tropical wave.

For the forecast, central Atlantic high pressure will begin to
build westward and into the Bahamas tonight through Fri. The
pressure gradient between this ridge N of the basin and the
Colombian low will support fresh to strong trade winds and rough
seas offshore of Colombia tonight, then expand across much of the
south- central Caribbean through the remainder of the forecast
period. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail in
the north- central and eastern Caribbean into the weekend.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas
are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front enters the local waters near 31N50W and extends
southwestward to a 1015 mb low center near 28N64.5W then continues
to near 27N72W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
noted along within 150 nm S and SE of the front and low. Moderate
to locally fresh SW winds and seas of 4-7 ft are noted south of
the front to 24N between 44W and 70W. The remainder of the
tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad ridge centered on a 1027
mb high near 40W32W, that extends southwestward to just north of
the NE Caribbean. Trade winds across the Atlantic S of 22N and W
of 30W are moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas. However,
fresh northerly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are found in the far
eastern Atlantic off NW Mauritania and southern Western Sahara.
Saharan Air continues to dominate the Atlantic basin N of 15N and
east of the Caribbean, as well as the southern Bahamas, NW
Caribbean and into the SE Gulf of America.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front will weaken
into a trough tonight and gradually dissipate as it lifts
northward through Thu. Central Atlantic high pressure will then
build westward into the area. A weak pressure gradient will
support mainly light to gentle winds, locally moderate, across
much of the area N of 22N through the week and into the weekend.
Moderate to locally fresh easterly trade winds can be expected S
of 22N.

$$
Stripling

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Aug 18 23:30:08 2026

639
AXNT20 KNHC 182328
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Aug 19 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 26N, south
of 17N, moving westward at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is about the wave from 07N to 13N between 23W and 30W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 44W, south of
18N, moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is
associated with this wave at this time.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 65W, south
of 19N, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is observed over Venezuela from 03N to 10.5N between
60W and 67W.

A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 86W, south
of 20N, moving westward at about 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted, mostly over land, from 09N to 16N between 80W
and 87W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

Th monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 10N33W to 11N43W.
The ITCZ extends from 08N52W to 12N64W. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is evident from 05N to 14N and east of
22W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 11N to 14N
between 30W and 38W. Widely scattered moderate convection is noted
from 07N to 10N between 51W and 62W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Weak high pressure centered across the Gulf waters south of the
mouth of the Mississippi River supports moderate W-NW winds across
the NE Gulf, and mainly moderate NE to E winds across the
southern Gulf. Slight seas to 3 ft dominate the basin. An upper
level low across the NW Gulf of combining with a low level wind
surge moving across the western Bay of Campeche to produce
squattered moderate convection there. Meanwhile, scattered to
locally numerous moderate to strong afternoon convection has
fired up across the western portions of the Yucatan Peninsula and
the adjacent Gulf waters, and is gradually shifting westward.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the remainder of the week into the weekend. A weak
pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to moderate winds
across much of the basin. A diurnally induced surface trough will
generate fresh to locally strong winds north and west of the
Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These winds will spread
westward away from the Yucatan at night as the trough migrates
into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected through the
forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The subtropical ridge recently north of the Caribbean has shifted
eastward as a frontal system has moved southward of 30N and become
stationary along about 27N, from east of the Bahamas into the
central Atlantic. The remnants of the ridge extend from the
central Atlantic to N of Puerto Rico along 22N. This weakened
pressure pattern is supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade
winds and seas of 5-8 ft from 68W into Central America, with light
to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are found elsewhere.
Thunderstorms area active across the coastal waters and inland
from Costa Rica to NE Honduras, behind a tropical wave.

For the forecast, central Atlantic high pressure will begin to
build westward and into the Bahamas tonight through Fri. The
pressure gradient between this ridge N of the basin and the
Colombian low will support fresh to strong trade winds and rough
seas offshore of Colombia tonight, then expand across much of the
south- central Caribbean through the remainder of the forecast
period. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail in
the north- central and eastern Caribbean into the weekend.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas
are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front enters the local waters near 31N50W and extends
southwestward to a 1015 mb low center near 28N64.5W then continues
to near 27N72W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
noted along within 150 nm S and SE of the front and low. Moderate
to locally fresh SW winds and seas of 4-7 ft are noted south of
the front to 24N between 44W and 70W. The remainder of the
tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad ridge centered on a 1027
mb high near 40W32W, that extends southwestward to just north of
the NE Caribbean. Trade winds across the Atlantic S of 22N and W
of 30W are moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas. However,
fresh northerly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are found in the far
eastern Atlantic off NW Mauritania and southern Western Sahara.
Saharan Air continues to dominate the Atlantic basin N of 15N and
east of the Caribbean, as well as the southern Bahamas, NW
Caribbean and into the SE Gulf of America.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front will weaken
into a trough tonight and gradually dissipate as it lifts
northward through Thu. Central Atlantic high pressure will then
build westward into the area. A weak pressure gradient will
support mainly light to gentle winds, locally moderate, across
much of the area N of 22N through the week and into the weekend.
Moderate to locally fresh easterly trade winds can be expected S
of 22N.

$$
Stripling

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Aug 19 04:27:02 2026

652
AXNT20 KNHC 190426
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Aug 19 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0425 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 28N, south
of 17N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is depicted from 07N to 14N between 24W and 34.5W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 47W, south of
18N, moving westward at around 15 kt. No significant convection
is associated with this wave at this time.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 66W, south
of 18N, moving westward at around 15 kt. Isolated moderate
convection is observed south of 11.5N between 63W and the wave
axis.

The tropical wave previously analyzed over the western Caribbean
is now been discussed in the Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather
Discussion (TWDEP).

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

Th monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W and continues
southwestward to 10N20W to 09N50W. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is evident from 05N to 13N and east of 24W.
Isolated moderate convection is noted from 08N to 14N between
34.5W and 40W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Weak high pressure centered near 27N89.5W supports moderate to
locally fresh W-NW winds across the NE Gulf, and moderate to
locally fresh NE winds across the southern Gulf. Slight seas to 3
ft dominate the basin. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong
convection is depicted over the Bay of Campeche is association to
a surface trough over the area.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the forecast period. A weak pressure pattern will
support mostly gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin.
A diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh to locally
strong winds north and west of the Yucatan peninsula early each
evening. These winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at
night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The subtropical ridge recently north of the Caribbean has shifted
eastward as a frontal system has moved southward of 30N. The
remnants of the ridge extend from the central Atlantic to N of
Puerto Rico along 18N. This weakened pressure pattern is
supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8
ft from 66W into Central America, with locally strong winds
offshore Colombia. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail. Thunderstorms are active across the
coastal waters and inland from Costa Rica to NE Honduras, behind a
tropical wave.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a subtropical
ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh
to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas across the south-
central Caribbean through much of the forecast period. Moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail in the north-central
and eastern Caribbean into the weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or
lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from 31N50W to a 1015 mb low pres near
27N65W, followed by a weak cold front to the southwest. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted ahead of the
stationary front. Moderate SW winds and seas of 4-7 ft are noted
south of the front to 26N between 31W and 65W. The remainder of
the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad ridge centered on a
1027 mb high near 40W33W, that extends southwestward to just
north of the NE Caribbean. Trade winds across the Atlantic S of
21N and W of 30W are moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas.
However, moderate to fresh northerly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are
found in the far eastern Atlantic off NW Mauritania and southern
Western Sahara. Saharan Air continues to dominate the Atlantic
basin N of 12N and east of the Caribbean, as well as the southern
Bahamas, central and NW Caribbean and into the SE Gulf of
America.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned frontal
boundaries will weaken to a frontal trough tonight into Wed.
Elsewhere, weak pressure gradient will support mainly light to
gentle winds, locally moderate, across much of the area north of
22N through the week and into the weekend. Moderate to locally
fresh easterly winds can be expected south of 22N.

$$
KRV

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Aug 19 04:27:56 2026

574
AXNT20 KNHC 190426
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Aug 19 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0425 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 28N, south
of 17N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is depicted from 07N to 14N between 24W and 34.5W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 47W, south of
18N, moving westward at around 15 kt. No significant convection
is associated with this wave at this time.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 66W, south
of 18N, moving westward at around 15 kt. Isolated moderate
convection is observed south of 11.5N between 63W and the wave
axis.

The tropical wave previously analyzed over the western Caribbean
is now been discussed in the Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather
Discussion (TWDEP).

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

Th monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W and continues
southwestward to 10N20W to 09N50W. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is evident from 05N to 13N and east of 24W.
Isolated moderate convection is noted from 08N to 14N between
34.5W and 40W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Weak high pressure centered near 27N89.5W supports moderate to
locally fresh W-NW winds across the NE Gulf, and moderate to
locally fresh NE winds across the southern Gulf. Slight seas to 3
ft dominate the basin. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong
convection is depicted over the Bay of Campeche is association to
a surface trough over the area.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the forecast period. A weak pressure pattern will
support mostly gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin.
A diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh to locally
strong winds north and west of the Yucatan peninsula early each
evening. These winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at
night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The subtropical ridge recently north of the Caribbean has shifted
eastward as a frontal system has moved southward of 30N. The
remnants of the ridge extend from the central Atlantic to N of
Puerto Rico along 18N. This weakened pressure pattern is
supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8
ft from 66W into Central America, with locally strong winds
offshore Colombia. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail. Thunderstorms are active across the
coastal waters and inland from Costa Rica to NE Honduras, behind a
tropical wave.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a subtropical
ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh
to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas across the south-
central Caribbean through much of the forecast period. Moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail in the north-central
and eastern Caribbean into the weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or
lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from 31N50W to a 1015 mb low pres near
27N65W, followed by a weak cold front to the southwest. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted ahead of the
stationary front. Moderate SW winds and seas of 4-7 ft are noted
south of the front to 26N between 31W and 65W. The remainder of
the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad ridge centered on a
1027 mb high near 40W33W, that extends southwestward to just
north of the NE Caribbean. Trade winds across the Atlantic S of
21N and W of 30W are moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas.
However, moderate to fresh northerly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are
found in the far eastern Atlantic off NW Mauritania and southern
Western Sahara. Saharan Air continues to dominate the Atlantic
basin N of 12N and east of the Caribbean, as well as the southern
Bahamas, central and NW Caribbean and into the SE Gulf of
America.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned frontal
boundaries will weaken to a frontal trough tonight into Wed.
Elsewhere, weak pressure gradient will support mainly light to
gentle winds, locally moderate, across much of the area north of
22N through the week and into the weekend. Moderate to locally
fresh easterly winds can be expected south of 22N.

$$
KRV

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Aug 19 09:36:26 2026

831
AXNT20 KNHC 190936
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Aug 19 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0925 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 30W, south
of 17N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is observed from 05N to 12N and between 23W and 33W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 48W, south of
18N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is
associated with this wave at this time.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 67W, south
of 18N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is
associated with this wave at this time.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues southwestward to 09N30W
and to 09N49W. The ITCZ extends from 09N49W to 09N59W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is evident from 04N to 15N
and east of 33W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak high pressure pattern forces gentle to moderate
anticyclonic winds and slight to moderate seas across much of the
Gulf waters. Locally fresh easterly winds are found in the eastern
Bay of Campeche. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are
found in the NE Gulf and Bay of Campeche. Dry weather conditions
are prevalent in the remainder of the basin.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf waters
through the forecast period. A weak pressure pattern will
support mostly gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally
moderate seas across much of the basin. A diurnally induced
surface trough will generate fresh to locally strong winds north
and west of the Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These winds
will spread westward away from the Yucatan at night as the trough
migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean is
supporting fresh to locally strong easterly trade winds and seas
of 5-8 ft in the south-central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas are evident in the north-central
and eastern Caribbean. Light to gentle winds and slight to
moderate seas are found elsewhere. A few showers and isolated
thunderstorms are seen in the SW Caribbean, while dry weather
conditions prevail in the remainder of the basin.

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a subtropical
ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh
to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas across the south-
central Caribbean through much of the forecast period. Moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail in the north-central
and eastern Caribbean into the weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or
lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A frontal boundary remains stationary from 31N50W to a 1015 mb
low pres near 28N63W, followed by a dissipating stationary front.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are affecting the
waters near and ahead of these boundaries. The rest of the SW
North Atlantic, west of 55W, is under the influence of a high
pressure system that supports moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas.

The central and eastern tropical Atlantic are dominated by broad
ridging that sustains moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas.
However, fresh NE winds are present north of the monsoon trough
to 27N and east of 30W.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned frontal boundaries
will weaken to a frontal trough today. Elsewhere, weak pressure
gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds, locally
moderate, across much of the area north of 22N through the week
and into the weekend. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds can
be expected south of 22N, especially off northern Hispaniola.

$$
Delgado

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Aug 19 09:37:18 2026

475
AXNT20 KNHC 190935
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Aug 19 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0925 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 30W, south
of 17N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is observed from 05N to 12N and between 23W and 33W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 48W, south of
18N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is
associated with this wave at this time.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 67W, south
of 18N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is
associated with this wave at this time.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues southwestward to 09N30W
and to 09N49W. The ITCZ extends from 09N49W to 09N59W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is evident from 04N to 15N
and east of 33W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak high pressure pattern forces gentle to moderate
anticyclonic winds and slight to moderate seas across much of the
Gulf waters. Locally fresh easterly winds are found in the eastern
Bay of Campeche. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are
found in the NE Gulf and Bay of Campeche. Dry weather conditions
are prevalent in the remainder of the basin.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf waters
through the forecast period. A weak pressure pattern will
support mostly gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally
moderate seas across much of the basin. A diurnally induced
surface trough will generate fresh to locally strong winds north
and west of the Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These winds
will spread westward away from the Yucatan at night as the trough
migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean is
supporting fresh to locally strong easterly trade winds and seas
of 5-8 ft in the south-central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas are evident in the north-central
and eastern Caribbean. Light to gentle winds and slight to
moderate seas are found elsewhere. A few showers and isolated
thunderstorms are seen in the SW Caribbean, while dry weather
conditions prevail in the remainder of the basin.

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a subtropical
ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh
to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas across the south-
central Caribbean through much of the forecast period. Moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail in the north-central
and eastern Caribbean into the weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or
lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A frontal boundary remains stationary from 31N50W to a 1015 mb
low pres near 28N63W, followed by a dissipating stationary front.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are affecting the
waters near and ahead of these boundaries. The rest of the SW
North Atlantic, west of 55W, is under the influence of a high
pressure system that supports moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas.

The central and eastern tropical Atlantic are dominated by broad
ridging that sustains moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas.
However, fresh NE winds are present north of the monsoon trough
to 27N and east of 30W.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned frontal boundaries
will weaken to a frontal trough today. Elsewhere, weak pressure
gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds, locally
moderate, across much of the area north of 22N through the week
and into the weekend. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds can
be expected south of 22N, especially off northern Hispaniola.

$$
Delgado

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Aug 19 16:47:20 2026

316
AXNT20 KNHC 191646
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Aug 19 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1640 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 32W, south of 17N, moving westward at 10
to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 05N to
10N and between 27W and 33W.

A tropical wave is near 50W, south of 18N, moving westward at 10
to 15 kt. Convection is limited at this time.

A tropical wave is moving across the central Caribbean. Its axis
is along 71W, south of 19N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is near the northern end of the wave
axis, just south of Dominican Republic.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal,
south of Dakar, and continues westward to 11N30W and to 10N48W.
The ITCZ extends from 10N48W to NE Venezuela near 09N62W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is evident from 05N to 12N
and east of 27W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge dominates the Gulf region, anchored by a 1018 mb high pressure
located near 27N90W. This weather pattern supports a gentle to moderate anticyclonic flow with slight to moderate seas. Locally fresh easterly
winds are found in the eastern Bay of Campeche due to a thermal trough.
An area of showers, with embedded thunderstorms, is affecting the SW
and west-central parts of the Gulf. An upper-level low spinning over
NE Mexico is helping to induce this convective activity.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf waters
through the forecast period. A weak pressure pattern will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally moderate
seas across much of the basin. A diurnally induced surface trough
will generate fresh to locally strong winds north and west of the
Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These winds will spread
westward away from the Yucatan at night as the trough migrates
into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Recent scatterometer data indicate fresh to strong winds across
the south-central Caribbean, and moderate to fresh winds across
the remainder of the central part of the basin. Seas are 6 to 8
ft with these winds. Gentle to moderate trades and slight to
moderate seas prevail elsewhere. These winds are the result of the
pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombian
low. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted across the
offshore waters of Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico, including
the Mona Passage. Similar convective activity is affecting parts
of western Panama and Costa Rica. Shallow moisture, embedded in
the trade wind flow, is observed elsewhere producing isolated to
scattered passing showers.

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a subtropical ridge
north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean
through much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas will prevail in the north-central and eastern Caribbean
into the weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight
to moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from near 31N48W to a 1015 mb low pressure
located near 29N62W. A trough extends from the low center to near the
SE Bahamas. A band of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
is associated with these features. Satellite derived winds data show
moderate to fresh S to SW winds within about 150 nm south of the
stationary front between 48W and 50W, and within about 90 nm south
of the front between 59W and 62W. The remainder of the Atlantic
is dominated by the Azores High centered near 40N32W. Under the
influence of this system, mainly gentle to moderate winds are
occurring S of 24N E of 40W, and S of 22N W of 40W, with the
exception of moderate to fresh NE winds from 20N to 24N E of 26W.
Seas are generally moderate E of 70W, and slight to moderate W of
70.

For the forecast west of 55W, the above mentioned stationary front
will weaken to a frontal trough today. Elsewhere, a weak pressure
gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds, locally moderate,
across much of the area north of 22N through the week and into
the weekend. Moderate to locally fresh trades are expected south
of about 22N, especially off northern Hispaniola through the period.

$$
GR

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Aug 19 16:47:26 2026

427
AXNT20 KNHC 191646
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Aug 19 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1640 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 32W, south of 17N, moving westward at 10
to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 05N to
10N and between 27W and 33W.

A tropical wave is near 50W, south of 18N, moving westward at 10
to 15 kt. Convection is limited at this time.

A tropical wave is moving across the central Caribbean. Its axis
is along 71W, south of 19N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is near the northern end of the wave
axis, just south of Dominican Republic.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal,
south of Dakar, and continues westward to 11N30W and to 10N48W.
The ITCZ extends from 10N48W to NE Venezuela near 09N62W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is evident from 05N to 12N
and east of 27W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge dominates the Gulf region, anchored by a 1018 mb high pressure
located near 27N90W. This weather pattern supports a gentle to moderate anticyclonic flow with slight to moderate seas. Locally fresh easterly
winds are found in the eastern Bay of Campeche due to a thermal trough.
An area of showers, with embedded thunderstorms, is affecting the SW
and west-central parts of the Gulf. An upper-level low spinning over
NE Mexico is helping to induce this convective activity.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf waters
through the forecast period. A weak pressure pattern will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally moderate
seas across much of the basin. A diurnally induced surface trough
will generate fresh to locally strong winds north and west of the
Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These winds will spread
westward away from the Yucatan at night as the trough migrates
into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Recent scatterometer data indicate fresh to strong winds across
the south-central Caribbean, and moderate to fresh winds across
the remainder of the central part of the basin. Seas are 6 to 8
ft with these winds. Gentle to moderate trades and slight to
moderate seas prevail elsewhere. These winds are the result of the
pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombian
low. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted across the
offshore waters of Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico, including
the Mona Passage. Similar convective activity is affecting parts
of western Panama and Costa Rica. Shallow moisture, embedded in
the trade wind flow, is observed elsewhere producing isolated to
scattered passing showers.

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a subtropical ridge
north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean
through much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas will prevail in the north-central and eastern Caribbean
into the weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight
to moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from near 31N48W to a 1015 mb low pressure
located near 29N62W. A trough extends from the low center to near the
SE Bahamas. A band of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
is associated with these features. Satellite derived winds data show
moderate to fresh S to SW winds within about 150 nm south of the
stationary front between 48W and 50W, and within about 90 nm south
of the front between 59W and 62W. The remainder of the Atlantic
is dominated by the Azores High centered near 40N32W. Under the
influence of this system, mainly gentle to moderate winds are
occurring S of 24N E of 40W, and S of 22N W of 40W, with the
exception of moderate to fresh NE winds from 20N to 24N E of 26W.
Seas are generally moderate E of 70W, and slight to moderate W of
70.

For the forecast west of 55W, the above mentioned stationary front
will weaken to a frontal trough today. Elsewhere, a weak pressure
gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds, locally moderate,
across much of the area north of 22N through the week and into
the weekend. Moderate to locally fresh trades are expected south
of about 22N, especially off northern Hispaniola through the period.

$$
GR

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Aug 19 16:49:10 2026

538
AXNT20 KNHC 191647
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Aug 19 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1640 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 32W, south of 17N, moving westward at 10
to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 05N to
10N and between 27W and 33W.

A tropical wave is near 50W, south of 18N, moving westward at 10
to 15 kt. Convection is limited at this time.

A tropical wave is moving across the central Caribbean. Its axis
is along 71W, south of 19N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is near the northern end of the wave
axis, just south of Dominican Republic.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal,
south of Dakar, and continues westward to 11N30W and to 10N48W.
The ITCZ extends from 10N48W to NE Venezuela near 09N62W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is evident from 05N to 12N
and east of 27W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge dominates the Gulf region, anchored by a 1018 mb high pressure
located near 27N90W. This weather pattern supports a gentle to moderate anticyclonic flow with slight to moderate seas. Locally fresh easterly
winds are found in the eastern Bay of Campeche due to a thermal trough.
An area of showers, with embedded thunderstorms, is affecting the SW
and west-central parts of the Gulf. An upper-level low spinning over
NE Mexico is helping to induce this convective activity.

For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf waters
through the forecast period. A weak pressure pattern will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally moderate
seas across much of the basin. A diurnally induced surface trough
will generate fresh to locally strong winds north and west of the
Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These winds will spread
westward away from the Yucatan at night as the trough migrates
into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Recent scatterometer data indicate fresh to strong winds across
the south-central Caribbean, and moderate to fresh winds across
the remainder of the central part of the basin. Seas are 6 to 8
ft with these winds. Gentle to moderate trades and slight to
moderate seas prevail elsewhere. These winds are the result of the
pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombian
low. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted across the
offshore waters of Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico, including
the Mona Passage. Similar convective activity is affecting parts
of western Panama and Costa Rica. Shallow moisture, embedded in
the trade wind flow, is observed elsewhere producing isolated to
scattered passing showers.

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a subtropical ridge
north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean
through much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas will prevail in the north-central and eastern Caribbean
into the weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight
to moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from near 31N48W to a 1015 mb low pressure
located near 29N62W. A trough extends from the low center to near the
SE Bahamas. A band of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
is associated with these features. Satellite derived winds data show
moderate to fresh S to SW winds within about 150 nm south of the
stationary front between 48W and 50W, and within about 90 nm south
of the front between 59W and 62W. The remainder of the Atlantic
is dominated by the Azores High centered near 40N32W. Under the
influence of this system, mainly gentle to moderate winds are
occurring S of 24N E of 40W, and S of 22N W of 40W, with the
exception of moderate to fresh NE winds from 20N to 24N E of 26W.
Seas are generally moderate E of 70W, and slight to moderate W of
70.

For the forecast west of 55W, the above mentioned stationary front
will weaken to a frontal trough today. Elsewhere, a weak pressure
gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds, locally moderate,
across much of the area north of 22N through the week and into
the weekend. Moderate to locally fresh trades are expected south
of about 22N, especially off northern Hispaniola through the period.

$$
GR

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Aug 19 22:52:58 2026

660
AXNT20 KNHC 192252
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Aug 20 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 27W, south of 21N, moving westward at 10
to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
observed from 07N to 12N and between 21W and 30W.

A tropical wave is near 58W, south of 18N, moving westward at 10
to 15 kt. Convection is isolated along the ITCZ near the wave at
this time.

A tropical wave is moving across the central Caribbean along 73W,
south of 19N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection extends northeastward across Hispaniola,
the Mona Passage and into the Atlantic N of Puerto Rico, as the
wave interacts with an upper level trough across this area.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W to 11N26W and
to 10.5N48W. The ITCZ extends from 10.5N51W to NE Venezuela near
10N62W. Beyond convection described above with the tropical waves,
scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 06.5N
to 13.5N between 30W and 43W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge dominates the Gulf region, anchored by 1019 mb high
pressure located near 27N89.5W. This pattern supports a gentle to
moderate anticyclonic wind flow across the basin with slight to
moderate seas of generally 3 ft or less. An upper level low center
across the Florida Peninsula and adjacent waters is supporting
scattered showers and thunderstorms across large portions of the
interior that are shifting eastward toward the Atlantic coast.
Another large cluster of moderate to strong convection is across
much of the Florida Panhandle and extends across the nearshore
coastal waters between Apalachicola and Mobile Bay.

For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure over the central
Gulf will prevail over the basin through the forecast period. This
weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to moderate winds
and slight to locally moderate seas. A diurnally induced surface
trough will generate fresh to locally strong winds north and west
of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings. These winds will
shift westward away from the peninsula at night as the trough
migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Recent satellite scatterometer data indicated fresh to strong
winds across the south-central Caribbean, and moderate to fresh
winds across the remainder of the central part of the basin. Seas
are 5 to 8 ft with these winds. Gentle to moderate trades and
slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection extends northeastward across Hispaniola,
the Mona Passage and into the Atlantic N of Puerto Rico. Scattered
showers and a few thunderstorms are occurring across the SW
Caribbean and into coastal portions of southern Nicaragua, Costa
Rica and western Panama. Shallow moisture, embedded in the trade
wind flow ahead of an approaching tropical wave, is producing
scattered showers across the Lesser Antilles and SE Caribbean S
of 16N.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a subtropical
ridge north of the basin and relatively lower pressure in
northern South America will generally support fresh to strong
trades along with rough seas across the south-central Caribbean
through much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas will prevail over the north-central and eastern
Caribbean through the weekend and into early next week, and
increase in coverage over the tropical Atlantic and eastern
Caribbean starting Sun night as a tropical wave moves across those
waters. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from 1018 mb low pressure near 33N48.5W
to 30N50W to a 1016 mb low pressure center located near 29N61W,
then continues as a dissipating frontal trough to just east of
the SE Bahamas near 24N73W. Middle level troughing overhead of the
stationary front is supporting clusters of scattered moderate
isolated strong showers and thunderstorms within 180 nm S of the
front and low between 46W and 62W. Satellite scatterometer data
shows moderate to fresh S to SW winds within about 150 nm south of
the front between 46W and 64W. Seas area 4 to 5 ft within these
winds. The remainder of the Atlantic is dominated by the Azores
High centered near 38N30W, that extends southwestward across 30N
and then a narrow ridge south of the front to near 70W. Under the
influence of this system, mainly gentle to moderate trade winds
are occurring S of 24N E of 40W, and S of 22N W of 40W. However,
small areas of fresh winds are noted approaching the Lesser
Antilles, while moderate to fresh NE winds prevail from 18N to
25N E of 30W. Seas across these areas are 6 to 7 ft. Otherwise,
seas are generally moderate E of 70W, and slight to moderate W of
70W. Saharan Air continues to dominate the Tropical Atlantic N of
13N between Africa and the Lesser Antilles.

For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will begin to
weaken tonight through Thu, and drift northward as high pressure
builds modestly westward into the Bahamas through Fri. Elsewhere,
a weak pressure gradient will support mostly light to gentle
winds over most of the waters north of 23N going into the upcoming
weekend and into early next week. Moderate to locally fresh
trades are expected south of about 22N, especially off the coast
of Hispaniola throughout the period.

$$
Stripling

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Aug 19 22:53:00 2026

703
AXNT20 KNHC 192252
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Aug 20 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 27W, south of 21N, moving westward at 10
to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
observed from 07N to 12N and between 21W and 30W.

A tropical wave is near 58W, south of 18N, moving westward at 10
to 15 kt. Convection is isolated along the ITCZ near the wave at
this time.

A tropical wave is moving across the central Caribbean along 73W,
south of 19N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection extends northeastward across Hispaniola,
the Mona Passage and into the Atlantic N of Puerto Rico, as the
wave interacts with an upper level trough across this area.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W to 11N26W and
to 10.5N48W. The ITCZ extends from 10.5N51W to NE Venezuela near
10N62W. Beyond convection described above with the tropical waves,
scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 06.5N
to 13.5N between 30W and 43W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge dominates the Gulf region, anchored by 1019 mb high
pressure located near 27N89.5W. This pattern supports a gentle to
moderate anticyclonic wind flow across the basin with slight to
moderate seas of generally 3 ft or less. An upper level low center
across the Florida Peninsula and adjacent waters is supporting
scattered showers and thunderstorms across large portions of the
interior that are shifting eastward toward the Atlantic coast.
Another large cluster of moderate to strong convection is across
much of the Florida Panhandle and extends across the nearshore
coastal waters between Apalachicola and Mobile Bay.

For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure over the central
Gulf will prevail over the basin through the forecast period. This
weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to moderate winds
and slight to locally moderate seas. A diurnally induced surface
trough will generate fresh to locally strong winds north and west
of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings. These winds will
shift westward away from the peninsula at night as the trough
migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Recent satellite scatterometer data indicated fresh to strong
winds across the south-central Caribbean, and moderate to fresh
winds across the remainder of the central part of the basin. Seas
are 5 to 8 ft with these winds. Gentle to moderate trades and
slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection extends northeastward across Hispaniola,
the Mona Passage and into the Atlantic N of Puerto Rico. Scattered
showers and a few thunderstorms are occurring across the SW
Caribbean and into coastal portions of southern Nicaragua, Costa
Rica and western Panama. Shallow moisture, embedded in the trade
wind flow ahead of an approaching tropical wave, is producing
scattered showers across the Lesser Antilles and SE Caribbean S
of 16N.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a subtropical
ridge north of the basin and relatively lower pressure in
northern South America will generally support fresh to strong
trades along with rough seas across the south-central Caribbean
through much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas will prevail over the north-central and eastern
Caribbean through the weekend and into early next week, and
increase in coverage over the tropical Atlantic and eastern
Caribbean starting Sun night as a tropical wave moves across those
waters. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from 1018 mb low pressure near 33N48.5W
to 30N50W to a 1016 mb low pressure center located near 29N61W,
then continues as a dissipating frontal trough to just east of
the SE Bahamas near 24N73W. Middle level troughing overhead of the
stationary front is supporting clusters of scattered moderate
isolated strong showers and thunderstorms within 180 nm S of the
front and low between 46W and 62W. Satellite scatterometer data
shows moderate to fresh S to SW winds within about 150 nm south of
the front between 46W and 64W. Seas area 4 to 5 ft within these
winds. The remainder of the Atlantic is dominated by the Azores
High centered near 38N30W, that extends southwestward across 30N
and then a narrow ridge south of the front to near 70W. Under the
influence of this system, mainly gentle to moderate trade winds
are occurring S of 24N E of 40W, and S of 22N W of 40W. However,
small areas of fresh winds are noted approaching the Lesser
Antilles, while moderate to fresh NE winds prevail from 18N to
25N E of 30W. Seas across these areas are 6 to 7 ft. Otherwise,
seas are generally moderate E of 70W, and slight to moderate W of
70W. Saharan Air continues to dominate the Tropical Atlantic N of
13N between Africa and the Lesser Antilles.

For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will begin to
weaken tonight through Thu, and drift northward as high pressure
builds modestly westward into the Bahamas through Fri. Elsewhere,
a weak pressure gradient will support mostly light to gentle
winds over most of the waters north of 23N going into the upcoming
weekend and into early next week. Moderate to locally fresh
trades are expected south of about 22N, especially off the coast
of Hispaniola throughout the period.

$$
Stripling

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 20 04:52:32 2026

453
AXNT20 KNHC 200452
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Aug 20 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0452 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A new tropical wave has been introduced into the 00Z analysis.
This wave is along 26W, south of 18N. Scattered moderated
convection is depicted from 07N to 12N between 24W and 30W.

A tropical wave is along 37.5W, south of 18N, moving westward at
10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
observed from 07N to 14N and between 30W and 43W.

A tropical wave is near 58.5W, south of 19N, moving westward at
10 to 15 kt. Isolated convection is depicted from 12N to 14N
between 55W and 61.5W.

A tropical wave is moving across the central Caribbean along 74W,
south of 19N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection extends northeastward across
western Hispaniola.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N16W and extends
southwestward to 11N24W and to 10N52W. Beyond convection
described above with the tropical waves, numerous moderate
isolated strong convection is noted from 06.5N to 14N and east of
18W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge dominates the Gulf region, anchored by 1017 mb high
pressure located near 25N87W. This pattern supports a gentle to
moderate anticyclonic wind flow across the basin, except for fresh
to locally strong W winds over the NE Gulf and NE winds west of
the Yucatan Peninsula. Slight to moderate seas of generally 3 ft
or less prevail across the basin. An upper level low center
across the Florida Peninsula and adjacent waters is supporting
scattered showers and thunderstorms across portions north of Tampa
that are shifting westward to the NE Gulf. Another cluster of
moderate to strong convection is noted north of 28.5N between 87W
and 39W.

For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over the
central Gulf will prevail over the basin through the forecast
period. A weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to
moderate winds and slight to locally moderate seas across much of
the basin. A diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh
to locally strong winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in
the early evenings. These winds will spread westward away from
the peninsula at night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Fresh to strong winds prevail over the south-central Caribbean,
and moderate to fresh winds across the remainder of the central
part of the basin. Seas are 5 to 8 ft with these winds. Gentle to
moderate trades and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are occurring across
the SW Caribbean and into coastal portions of southern Nicaragua,
Costa Rica and western Panama. Shallow moisture, embedded in the
trade wind flow ahead of an approaching tropical wave, is
producing isolated showers across the Lesser Antilles, south
of 14N.

For the forecast, high pressure north of the Caribbean will force
fresh to locally near gale-force trades along with rough seas
across the south-central Caribbean through much of the forecast
period. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail
over the north-central and eastern Caribbean through the weekend
and into early next week, perhaps increase in coverage over the
tropical Atlantic and eastern Caribbean starting Sun night as a
tropical wave moves across those waters. Elsewhere, moderate or
lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from 1017 mb low pressure near
32N48.5W to 30N48.5W to a 1017 mb low pressure center located
near 29.5N60.5W, then continues as a trough to just east of the
SE Bahamas near 23.5N70W. Middle level troughing overhead of the
stationary front is supporting clusters of scattered moderate
isolated strong showers and thunderstorms S of the front and low
between 47W and 60W. Moderate SW winds prevail south of the front.
Seas area 4 to 6 ft within these winds. The remainder of the
Atlantic is dominated by the Azores High centered near 42N29W,
that extends southwestward across 30N and then a narrow ridge
south of the front to near 74W. Under the influence of this
system, mainly gentle to moderate trade winds are occurring S of
22N E of 40W, and S of 27N W of 40W. However, small areas of
fresh winds are noted approaching the Lesser Antilles, while
moderate to fresh NE winds prevail from 17N to 24N E of 35W. Seas
across these areas are 6 to 8 ft. Otherwise, seas are generally
moderate E of 63W, and slight to moderate W of 63W. Saharan Air
continues to dominate the Tropical Atlantic N of 13N between
Africa and the Lesser Antilles.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned stationary front
will weaken to a trough tonight into Thu. Elsewhere, a weak
pressure gradient will support mostly light to gentle winds over
most of the waters north of 23N going into the upcoming weekend
and into early next week. Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh
trades are expected south of about 22N, especially off northern
Hispaniola through the period.

$$
KRV

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 20 04:52:34 2026

454
AXNT20 KNHC 200452
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Aug 20 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0452 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A new tropical wave has been introduced into the 00Z analysis.
This wave is along 26W, south of 18N. Scattered moderated
convection is depicted from 07N to 12N between 24W and 30W.

A tropical wave is along 37.5W, south of 18N, moving westward at
10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
observed from 07N to 14N and between 30W and 43W.

A tropical wave is near 58.5W, south of 19N, moving westward at
10 to 15 kt. Isolated convection is depicted from 12N to 14N
between 55W and 61.5W.

A tropical wave is moving across the central Caribbean along 74W,
south of 19N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection extends northeastward across
western Hispaniola.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N16W and extends
southwestward to 11N24W and to 10N52W. Beyond convection
described above with the tropical waves, numerous moderate
isolated strong convection is noted from 06.5N to 14N and east of
18W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge dominates the Gulf region, anchored by 1017 mb high
pressure located near 25N87W. This pattern supports a gentle to
moderate anticyclonic wind flow across the basin, except for fresh
to locally strong W winds over the NE Gulf and NE winds west of
the Yucatan Peninsula. Slight to moderate seas of generally 3 ft
or less prevail across the basin. An upper level low center
across the Florida Peninsula and adjacent waters is supporting
scattered showers and thunderstorms across portions north of Tampa
that are shifting westward to the NE Gulf. Another cluster of
moderate to strong convection is noted north of 28.5N between 87W
and 39W.

For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over the
central Gulf will prevail over the basin through the forecast
period. A weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to
moderate winds and slight to locally moderate seas across much of
the basin. A diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh
to locally strong winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in
the early evenings. These winds will spread westward away from
the peninsula at night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Fresh to strong winds prevail over the south-central Caribbean,
and moderate to fresh winds across the remainder of the central
part of the basin. Seas are 5 to 8 ft with these winds. Gentle to
moderate trades and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are occurring across
the SW Caribbean and into coastal portions of southern Nicaragua,
Costa Rica and western Panama. Shallow moisture, embedded in the
trade wind flow ahead of an approaching tropical wave, is
producing isolated showers across the Lesser Antilles, south
of 14N.

For the forecast, high pressure north of the Caribbean will force
fresh to locally near gale-force trades along with rough seas
across the south-central Caribbean through much of the forecast
period. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail
over the north-central and eastern Caribbean through the weekend
and into early next week, perhaps increase in coverage over the
tropical Atlantic and eastern Caribbean starting Sun night as a
tropical wave moves across those waters. Elsewhere, moderate or
lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from 1017 mb low pressure near
32N48.5W to 30N48.5W to a 1017 mb low pressure center located
near 29.5N60.5W, then continues as a trough to just east of the
SE Bahamas near 23.5N70W. Middle level troughing overhead of the
stationary front is supporting clusters of scattered moderate
isolated strong showers and thunderstorms S of the front and low
between 47W and 60W. Moderate SW winds prevail south of the front.
Seas area 4 to 6 ft within these winds. The remainder of the
Atlantic is dominated by the Azores High centered near 42N29W,
that extends southwestward across 30N and then a narrow ridge
south of the front to near 74W. Under the influence of this
system, mainly gentle to moderate trade winds are occurring S of
22N E of 40W, and S of 27N W of 40W. However, small areas of
fresh winds are noted approaching the Lesser Antilles, while
moderate to fresh NE winds prevail from 17N to 24N E of 35W. Seas
across these areas are 6 to 8 ft. Otherwise, seas are generally
moderate E of 63W, and slight to moderate W of 63W. Saharan Air
continues to dominate the Tropical Atlantic N of 13N between
Africa and the Lesser Antilles.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned stationary front
will weaken to a trough tonight into Thu. Elsewhere, a weak
pressure gradient will support mostly light to gentle winds over
most of the waters north of 23N going into the upcoming weekend
and into early next week. Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh
trades are expected south of about 22N, especially off northern
Hispaniola through the period.

$$
KRV

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 20 09:46:36 2026

205
AXNT20 KNHC 200946
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Aug 20 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0935 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 27W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderated convection is
present from 06N to 13N and between 25W and 32W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 40W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is observed from 07N to 15N and between 32W and 47W.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 61W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 15 kt. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms
are evident from 11N to 15N and between 58W and 64W.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 74W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is noted
over the Caribbean waters.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 16N17W and continues southwestward to 11N30W and to
10N51W. The ITCZ extends from 10N51W to 10N60W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring from 04N to
17N and east of 23W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure over the Gulf waters support moderate to locally
fresh easterly winds and seas of 2-4 ft in the eastern and central
Bay of Campeche. Moderate southerly winds and seas of 1-3 ft are
found in the western Gulf waters north of 22N and west of 94W. In
the remainder of the basin, light to gentle winds and slight seas
are prevalent. A few showers are seen in the Bay of Campeche.

For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over the
central Gulf will prevail over the basin through the forecast
period. A weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to
moderate winds and slight to locally moderate seas across much
of the basin. A diurnally induced surface trough will generate
fresh to locally strong winds north and west of the Yucatan
Peninsula in the early evenings. These winds will spread westward
away from the peninsula at night as the trough migrates into the
SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Tight pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge north of the
islands and lower pressures in Colombia supports fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and rough seas in the south-central
Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
found in the north-central and eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. A
few showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring in the SW
Caribbean, especially off Costa Rica and Panama.

For the forecast, high pressure north of the Caribbean will force
fresh to locally near gale-force trades, along with rough seas,
across the south-central Caribbean through much of the forecast
period. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail
over the north-central and eastern Caribbean through the weekend
and into early next week, perhaps increase in coverage over the
tropical Atlantic and eastern Caribbean starting Sun night as a
tropical wave moves across those waters. Elsewhere, moderate or
lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front enters the tropical Atlantic near 31N48W and
continues westward to a 1017 mb low near 30N58W. A trough extends
from the low to 26N69W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
present north of 27N and between 47W and 60W. A few showers are
evident west of 60W and north of 24N. The tropical Atlantic is
dominated by a broad subtropical ridge that supports moderate to
fresh easterly trade winds and moderate seas south of a line from
31N25W to the eastern Bahamas. Light to gentle winds and slight to
moderate seas are noted elsewhere.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned stationary front
will weaken to a trough today. Elsewhere, a weak pressure
gradient will support mostly light to gentle winds over most of
the waters north of 23N going into the upcoming weekend and into
early next week. Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh trades are
expected south of about 23N, especially off northern Hispaniola
through the period.

$$
Delgado

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 20 16:59:30 2026

635
AXNT20 KNHC 201659
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Aug 20 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 29W, south of 18N,
moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderated convection
is present from 06N to 14N and between 25W and 32W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 45W, south of 18N,
moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 07N to 15N and between 32W and 47W.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 64W, south from the
Virgin Islands, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 11N to 15N between 59W and 65W.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 79W, south of 19N,
moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection has
developed from 11N to 14N W of 79W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 16N17W and continues southwestward to 11N30W and to
10N49W. The ITCZ extends from 10N49W to 10N60W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring from 04N to
17N and east of 23W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Outflow from overnight convection in the southeastern U.S. has
moved southward into the far NE Gulf and is inducing scattered
moderate convection offshore the Florida Panhandle. Scattered
moderate convection is also noted in the western Bay of Campeche,
aided by the northern extent of an eastern Pacific tropical wave.
Otherwise, high pressure centered near 26N89W dominates. This is
supporting gentle to moderate anticyclonic winds through the
basin, with slight seas. Some seas to 4 ft are ongoing in the Bay
of Campeche.

For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over the
central Gulf will prevail over the basin through the forecast
period. A weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to
moderate winds and slight to locally moderate seas across much of
the basin. A surface trough will generate fresh to locally strong
winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early
evenings. These winds will spread westward away from the peninsula
at night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection in
the basin.

The pressure gradient between general higher pressure to the
north and low pressure centered over northern Colombia is
supporting fresh to strong trades over the south-central basin,
with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere, except gentle over the NW
basin. Seas are moderate, except rough in the south-central and
slight in the NW.

For the forecast, high pressure north of the Caribbean will force
fresh to locally near gale-force trades and rough seas across the
south-central Caribbean through much of the forecast period.
Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail over the
north-central and eastern Caribbean through the weekend and into
early next week, perhaps increase in coverage over the tropical
Atlantic and eastern Caribbean starting Sun night as a tropical
wave moves across those waters. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
winds and slight to moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Tropical Waves section for information on convection in deep
tropics.

A stationary front enters the tropical Atlantic near 31N48W and
continues westward to 30N58W, where it devolves into a surface
trough and continues to 26N69W. Scattered moderate convection us
noted N of 26N between 47W and 65W and in association with these
features. The rest of the basin is under the influence of
subtropical ridging, supporting moderate or weaker winds and seas,
except for a belt of moderate to fresh trades between 12N and
24N, where seas are 5 to 7 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, a weak pressure gradient will
support mostly light to gentle winds over most of the waters north
of 23N going into the upcoming weekend and into early next week.
Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh trades are expected south of
about 23N, especially off northern Hispaniola through the period.

$$
Konarik

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 20 16:59:40 2026

636
AXNT20 KNHC 201659
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Aug 20 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 29W, south of 18N,
moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderated convection
is present from 06N to 14N and between 25W and 32W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 45W, south of 18N,
moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 07N to 15N and between 32W and 47W.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 64W, south from the
Virgin Islands, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 11N to 15N between 59W and 65W.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 79W, south of 19N,
moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection has
developed from 11N to 14N W of 79W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 16N17W and continues southwestward to 11N30W and to
10N49W. The ITCZ extends from 10N49W to 10N60W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring from 04N to
17N and east of 23W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Outflow from overnight convection in the southeastern U.S. has
moved southward into the far NE Gulf and is inducing scattered
moderate convection offshore the Florida Panhandle. Scattered
moderate convection is also noted in the western Bay of Campeche,
aided by the northern extent of an eastern Pacific tropical wave.
Otherwise, high pressure centered near 26N89W dominates. This is
supporting gentle to moderate anticyclonic winds through the
basin, with slight seas. Some seas to 4 ft are ongoing in the Bay
of Campeche.

For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over the
central Gulf will prevail over the basin through the forecast
period. A weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to
moderate winds and slight to locally moderate seas across much of
the basin. A surface trough will generate fresh to locally strong
winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early
evenings. These winds will spread westward away from the peninsula
at night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection in
the basin.

The pressure gradient between general higher pressure to the
north and low pressure centered over northern Colombia is
supporting fresh to strong trades over the south-central basin,
with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere, except gentle over the NW
basin. Seas are moderate, except rough in the south-central and
slight in the NW.

For the forecast, high pressure north of the Caribbean will force
fresh to locally near gale-force trades and rough seas across the
south-central Caribbean through much of the forecast period.
Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail over the
north-central and eastern Caribbean through the weekend and into
early next week, perhaps increase in coverage over the tropical
Atlantic and eastern Caribbean starting Sun night as a tropical
wave moves across those waters. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
winds and slight to moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Tropical Waves section for information on convection in deep
tropics.

A stationary front enters the tropical Atlantic near 31N48W and
continues westward to 30N58W, where it devolves into a surface
trough and continues to 26N69W. Scattered moderate convection us
noted N of 26N between 47W and 65W and in association with these
features. The rest of the basin is under the influence of
subtropical ridging, supporting moderate or weaker winds and seas,
except for a belt of moderate to fresh trades between 12N and
24N, where seas are 5 to 7 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, a weak pressure gradient will
support mostly light to gentle winds over most of the waters north
of 23N going into the upcoming weekend and into early next week.
Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh trades are expected south of
about 23N, especially off northern Hispaniola through the period.

$$
Konarik

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 20 22:55:28 2026

001
AXNT20 KNHC 202255
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Aug 21 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 33W-34W, south of 22N,
moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderated isolated
strong convection is present from 08N to 13N and between 27W and
32W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 45W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 08N to 13.5N and between 40W and 49W.

A Caribbean tropical wave is along 69W, south of 19N, moving
westward at 15 to 20 kt. Isolated clusters of moderate convection
are noted from 10N to 13N between 63W and 68W.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 83W, south of 20N,
moving westward at around 15 kt. Associated convection is limited
over Central America, while area Caribbean waters are rain free.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19N16.5W and continues southwestward to 11.5N26W
and to 10.5N48W. The ITCZ extends from 10.5N48W to 11N61W.
Outside of convection associated with tropical wave, scattered
moderate convection is occurring from 04N to 16N and east of 25W.
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted elsewhere
from 07.5N to 13.5N between 27W and 51W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A deep layered upper level low over N Florida extends into the far
NW Caribbean and is supporting scattered clusters of moderate to
strong convection across the Florida Panhandle to extreme
southern Mississippi and the nearshore waters, as well as across
interior and eastern portions of the Florida Peninsula. Scattered
showers and a few thunderstorms dots the waters offshore of SE
Louisiana. At the surface, 1019 mb high pressure centered near
25N88W dominates the basin with light to gentle anticyclonic
winds, strongest offshore of the Florida Panhandle and the SW
Gulf. Seas are generally 3 ft or less.

For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over the
central Gulf will prevail over the basin through early next week.
This weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to moderate
winds and slight to locally moderate seas across much of the
basin. A surface trough over the Yucatan will generate fresh to
locally strong winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in
the early evenings. These winds will spread westward away from the
peninsula at night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Tropical Waves section above for information on limited
convection across the basin.

The pressure gradient between weak high pressure centered SW of
Bermuda and low pressure over northern Colombia is supporting
fresh to strong trades over the south- central basin between 65W
and 78W, with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere, except gentle
over the NW basin. Seas are moderate, except 7 to 8 ft in the
south-central portion, and slight in the NW. Saharan Air across
most of the basin is aiding in limiting convection.

For the forecast, high pressure north of the Caribbean will force
fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas across the south-
central Caribbean through much of the forecast period. Moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail over the north-
central and eastern Caribbean through the weekend and into early
next week, and may increase in coverage over the tropical
Atlantic and eastern Caribbean starting Sun night as a tropical
wave moves across those waters. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
winds and slight to moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Tropical Waves section for information on convection in deep
tropics.

A stationary frontal trough enters the tropical Atlantic near
31N50W and continues southwestward to 27N68W. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is noted N of 26N between 46W and 57W,
while scattered showers are within 60 nm of the trough between
57W and 68W. The rest of the basin remains under the influence of
subtropical ridging, supporting moderate or weaker winds and seas,
except for a belt of moderate to fresh trades between 11N and
21N, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. Fresh to locally strong N to NE
wind prevail across the northeastern waters from the Canary
Islands southward to 19N and E of 26W. Seas there are 5 to 8 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and a few
thunderstorms will persist this evening between the northern
Bahamas and Bermuda, and along a trough extending from 29N55W to
27N70W. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient will support mostly
light to gentle winds over most of the waters north of 23N going
into early next week. Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh trades
are expected south of about 23N, especially off northern
Hispaniola through the period.

$$
Stripling

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 20 22:55:28 2026

105
AXNT20 KNHC 202255
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Aug 21 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 33W-34W, south of 22N,
moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderated isolated
strong convection is present from 08N to 13N and between 27W and
32W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 45W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 08N to 13.5N and between 40W and 49W.

A Caribbean tropical wave is along 69W, south of 19N, moving
westward at 15 to 20 kt. Isolated clusters of moderate convection
are noted from 10N to 13N between 63W and 68W.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 83W, south of 20N,
moving westward at around 15 kt. Associated convection is limited
over Central America, while area Caribbean waters are rain free.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19N16.5W and continues southwestward to 11.5N26W
and to 10.5N48W. The ITCZ extends from 10.5N48W to 11N61W.
Outside of convection associated with tropical wave, scattered
moderate convection is occurring from 04N to 16N and east of 25W.
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted elsewhere
from 07.5N to 13.5N between 27W and 51W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A deep layered upper level low over N Florida extends into the far
NW Caribbean and is supporting scattered clusters of moderate to
strong convection across the Florida Panhandle to extreme
southern Mississippi and the nearshore waters, as well as across
interior and eastern portions of the Florida Peninsula. Scattered
showers and a few thunderstorms dots the waters offshore of SE
Louisiana. At the surface, 1019 mb high pressure centered near
25N88W dominates the basin with light to gentle anticyclonic
winds, strongest offshore of the Florida Panhandle and the SW
Gulf. Seas are generally 3 ft or less.

For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over the
central Gulf will prevail over the basin through early next week.
This weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to moderate
winds and slight to locally moderate seas across much of the
basin. A surface trough over the Yucatan will generate fresh to
locally strong winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in
the early evenings. These winds will spread westward away from the
peninsula at night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Tropical Waves section above for information on limited
convection across the basin.

The pressure gradient between weak high pressure centered SW of
Bermuda and low pressure over northern Colombia is supporting
fresh to strong trades over the south- central basin between 65W
and 78W, with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere, except gentle
over the NW basin. Seas are moderate, except 7 to 8 ft in the
south-central portion, and slight in the NW. Saharan Air across
most of the basin is aiding in limiting convection.

For the forecast, high pressure north of the Caribbean will force
fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas across the south-
central Caribbean through much of the forecast period. Moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail over the north-
central and eastern Caribbean through the weekend and into early
next week, and may increase in coverage over the tropical
Atlantic and eastern Caribbean starting Sun night as a tropical
wave moves across those waters. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
winds and slight to moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Tropical Waves section for information on convection in deep
tropics.

A stationary frontal trough enters the tropical Atlantic near
31N50W and continues southwestward to 27N68W. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is noted N of 26N between 46W and 57W,
while scattered showers are within 60 nm of the trough between
57W and 68W. The rest of the basin remains under the influence of
subtropical ridging, supporting moderate or weaker winds and seas,
except for a belt of moderate to fresh trades between 11N and
21N, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. Fresh to locally strong N to NE
wind prevail across the northeastern waters from the Canary
Islands southward to 19N and E of 26W. Seas there are 5 to 8 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and a few
thunderstorms will persist this evening between the northern
Bahamas and Bermuda, and along a trough extending from 29N55W to
27N70W. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient will support mostly
light to gentle winds over most of the waters north of 23N going
into early next week. Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh trades
are expected south of about 23N, especially off northern
Hispaniola through the period.

$$
Stripling

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Aug 21 04:41:02 2026

503
AXNT20 KNHC 210440
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Aug 21 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0437 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 35W, south of 21N,
moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderated isolated
strong convection is present from 07N to 14N and between 28W and
40W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 46W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 09N to 14N and between 40W and 50W.

A Caribbean tropical wave is along 70W, south of 19N, moving
westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is depicted in
association with this wave.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 85.5W, south of 20N,
moving westward at around 15 kt. Associated convection is limited
over Central America, while area Caribbean waters are rain free.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N17W and continues
southwestward to 12N25W and to 11N50W. The ITCZ extends from
11N50W to 10N60W. Outside of convection associated with tropical
wave, scattered moderate convection is occurring from 02N to 07N
and east of 26W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A deep layered upper level low over N Florida extends into the far
NW Caribbean and is supporting scattered moderate convection
across the eastern Gulf. At the surface, 1017 mb high pressure
centered near 25N89W dominates the basin with light to gentle
anticyclonic winds, except for fresh to strong NE winds west of
the Yucatan Peninsula due the pressure gradient associated with a
trough. Seas are generally 3 ft or less.

For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over the
central Gulf will prevail over the basin through early next week.
A weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to moderate
winds and slight to locally moderate seas across much of the
basin. A surface trough will generate fresh to locally strong
winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early
evenings. These winds will spread westward away from the peninsula
at night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection
across the basin.

The pressure gradient between weak high pressure centered S of
Bermuda and low pressure over northern Colombia is supporting
fresh to strong trades over the south- central basin between 69W
and 75W, with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere, except gentle
over the NW basin. Seas are moderate, except 7 to 9 ft in the
south-central portion, and slight in the NW. Saharan Air across
most of the basin is aiding in limiting convection.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient associated to high
pressure north of the Caribbean will lead to fresh to strong trade
winds and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean through
much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate
seas will prevail over the north- central and eastern Caribbean
through the weekend and into early next week. A tropical wave will
move across the tropical Atlantic and into the far eastern
Caribbean early next week enhancing the trade wind flow across
those waters. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Tropical Waves section for information on convection in deep
tropics.

A trough enters the tropical Atlantic near 31N51W and continues
southwestward to 27N66W. A cluster of moderate isolated strong
convection is noted N of 26N between 53W and 58W, while isolated
showers are noted along the trough axis. Isolated moderate
convection is also depicted north of the Bahamas. The rest of the
basin remains under the influence of subtropical ridging,
supporting moderate or weaker winds and seas, except for a belt of
moderate to fresh trades between 12N and 22N, where seas are 5 to
7 ft. Fresh to locally strong N to NE wind prevail across the
northeastern waters from the Canary Islands southward to 18N and E
of 22W. Seas there are 5 to 8 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, a weak pressure gradient will
support mostly light to gentle winds over most of the waters north
of 23N going into early next week. Moderate to fresh trades are
expected south of about 23N, especially off northern Hispaniola
through the period. These trades may pulse to fresh to strong
speeds off northern Hispaniola at night through most of the
forecast period. Meanwhile, the northern portion of tropical wave
is expected to move through the eastern portion of the area early
next week enhancing the trades some.

$$
KRV

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Aug 21 04:41:02 2026

502
AXNT20 KNHC 210440
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Aug 21 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0437 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 35W, south of 21N,
moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderated isolated
strong convection is present from 07N to 14N and between 28W and
40W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 46W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 09N to 14N and between 40W and 50W.

A Caribbean tropical wave is along 70W, south of 19N, moving
westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is depicted in
association with this wave.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 85.5W, south of 20N,
moving westward at around 15 kt. Associated convection is limited
over Central America, while area Caribbean waters are rain free.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N17W and continues
southwestward to 12N25W and to 11N50W. The ITCZ extends from
11N50W to 10N60W. Outside of convection associated with tropical
wave, scattered moderate convection is occurring from 02N to 07N
and east of 26W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A deep layered upper level low over N Florida extends into the far
NW Caribbean and is supporting scattered moderate convection
across the eastern Gulf. At the surface, 1017 mb high pressure
centered near 25N89W dominates the basin with light to gentle
anticyclonic winds, except for fresh to strong NE winds west of
the Yucatan Peninsula due the pressure gradient associated with a
trough. Seas are generally 3 ft or less.

For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over the
central Gulf will prevail over the basin through early next week.
A weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to moderate
winds and slight to locally moderate seas across much of the
basin. A surface trough will generate fresh to locally strong
winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early
evenings. These winds will spread westward away from the peninsula
at night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection
across the basin.

The pressure gradient between weak high pressure centered S of
Bermuda and low pressure over northern Colombia is supporting
fresh to strong trades over the south- central basin between 69W
and 75W, with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere, except gentle
over the NW basin. Seas are moderate, except 7 to 9 ft in the
south-central portion, and slight in the NW. Saharan Air across
most of the basin is aiding in limiting convection.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient associated to high
pressure north of the Caribbean will lead to fresh to strong trade
winds and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean through
much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate
seas will prevail over the north- central and eastern Caribbean
through the weekend and into early next week. A tropical wave will
move across the tropical Atlantic and into the far eastern
Caribbean early next week enhancing the trade wind flow across
those waters. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Tropical Waves section for information on convection in deep
tropics.

A trough enters the tropical Atlantic near 31N51W and continues
southwestward to 27N66W. A cluster of moderate isolated strong
convection is noted N of 26N between 53W and 58W, while isolated
showers are noted along the trough axis. Isolated moderate
convection is also depicted north of the Bahamas. The rest of the
basin remains under the influence of subtropical ridging,
supporting moderate or weaker winds and seas, except for a belt of
moderate to fresh trades between 12N and 22N, where seas are 5 to
7 ft. Fresh to locally strong N to NE wind prevail across the
northeastern waters from the Canary Islands southward to 18N and E
of 22W. Seas there are 5 to 8 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, a weak pressure gradient will
support mostly light to gentle winds over most of the waters north
of 23N going into early next week. Moderate to fresh trades are
expected south of about 23N, especially off northern Hispaniola
through the period. These trades may pulse to fresh to strong
speeds off northern Hispaniola at night through most of the
forecast period. Meanwhile, the northern portion of tropical wave
is expected to move through the eastern portion of the area early
next week enhancing the trades some.

$$
KRV

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Aug 21 10:00:56 2026

458
AXNT20 KNHC 211000
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Aug 21 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0945 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A new far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed near 17W
based on satellite imagery and on model diagnostics. It is moving
westward near 15 kt. Satellite imagery shows an ill-defined mid-
level cyclonic circulation near 11N17W. Increasing scattered
showers and thunderstorms are west of the wave to near 21N from
08N to 10N.

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 37W south of
21N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Increasing scattered moderate
convection is within 150 nm either side of the wave from 08N to
09N and from 12N to 14N.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 48W south of
19N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Increasing scattered moderate
to isolated strong convection is east of the wave to near 45W and
from 10N to 13N.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W south of 19N. It
is moving westward at about 15 kt. No significant convection is
occurring with this wave.

A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 87W south of
20N to inland Central America, and reaches farther south to the
eastern Pacific Ocean. It is moving westward at around 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection has recently formed over the
northwest portion of Honduras and near its coast behind the
wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W and continues
southwestward to 10N22W, then to 12N30W to 11N40W and to 10N49W,
where it transitions to the ITCZ to 10N55W and to 10N60W. Outside
of convection associated with tropical wave, scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is within 60 nm south of the trough
between 32W-35W. Scattered moderate convection is south of the
trough from 06N to 10N between 29W-33W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A mid to upper-level trough stretches from southeastern Georgia
to the NE Gulf and to the northern Yucatan Peninsula. A mid-level
low is near 27N86W. To the southwest of these features, broad
mid to upper-level anticyclonic flow covers the basin south of
about 27N. Plenty of instability is in place over most of the
eastern Gulf providing favorable conditions for the trough
and low to aid in the development of additional showers and
thunderstorms over the NE Gulf through Sat as a couple of
shortwave troughs swing eastward across this same part of the
Gulf.

Otherwise, relatively weak high pressure across the supported by
a 1017 mb high center at 26N91W is providing for generally light
to gentle anticyclonic winds throughout, except for fresh to
strong NE winds west of the Yucatan Peninsula due the pressure
gradient associated with a trough. Seas are generally 3 ft or
less.

For the forecast, the aforementioned weak high pressure centered
over the central Gulf will prevail over the basin through early
next week. A weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to
moderate winds and slight to locally moderate seas across much of
the basin. A surface trough will generate fresh to locally strong
winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early
evenings. These winds will spread westward away from the peninsula
at night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection
across the basin.

The pressure gradient between weak high pressure centered S of
Bermuda and low pressure over northern Colombia is supporting
fresh to strong trades over the south- central basin between 69W
and 75W, with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere, except gentle
over the NW basin. Seas are moderate, except 7 to 9 ft in the
south-central portion as noted in overnight satellite altimeter
data passes. Slight sea state over the northwest part of the sea.

Isolated showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted south of
14N east of 70W.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient associated to relatively
weak high pressure over the western Atlantic will continue to
sustain fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas across the
south-central Caribbean through much of the forecast period.
Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail over the
north- central and eastern Caribbean through the weekend and into
early next week. A tropical wave will move across the tropical
Atlantic and into the far eastern Caribbean early next week
enhancing the trade wind flow across those waters. Elsewhere,
moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are
expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Tropical Waves section for information on convection in deep
tropics.

A weak 1018 mb low is just north of the area near 33N51W, with a
trough extending southwestward to another weak low of 1017 mb near
30N56W. The trough continues from this low to near 27N65W.
Scattered thunderstorms are along and near the trough and 1017 mb
low from 27N to 30N between 55W and 58W. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms are present elsewhere north of 25N between 55W and
78W. The remainder of the basin remains under the influence of
subtropical ridging, generally allowing for moderate or weaker
winds and seas, except for a belt of moderate to fresh trades
between 12N and 22N, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. Fresh to locally
strong north to northeast winds prevail across the northeastern
waters from the Canary Islands southward to near 18N and east of
about 22W. Seas over those waters are 6 to 9 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, the weak pressure gradient in place
will support mostly light to gentle winds over most of the waters
north of 23N going into early next week. Moderate to fresh trades
are expected south of about 23N, especially off northern
Hispaniola through the period. These trades may pulse to fresh to
strong speeds off northern Hispaniola at night through most of the
forecast period. Meanwhile, the northern portion of tropical wave
is expected to move through the eastern portion of the area early
next week enhancing the trades some.

$$
Aguirre

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Aug 21 10:01:02 2026

542
AXNT20 KNHC 211000
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Aug 21 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0945 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A new far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed near 17W
based on satellite imagery and on model diagnostics. It is moving
westward near 15 kt. Satellite imagery shows an ill-defined mid-
level cyclonic circulation near 11N17W. Increasing scattered
showers and thunderstorms are west of the wave to near 21N from
08N to 10N.

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 37W south of
21N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Increasing scattered moderate
convection is within 150 nm either side of the wave from 08N to
09N and from 12N to 14N.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 48W south of
19N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Increasing scattered moderate
to isolated strong convection is east of the wave to near 45W and
from 10N to 13N.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W south of 19N. It
is moving westward at about 15 kt. No significant convection is
occurring with this wave.

A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 87W south of
20N to inland Central America, and reaches farther south to the
eastern Pacific Ocean. It is moving westward at around 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection has recently formed over the
northwest portion of Honduras and near its coast behind the
wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W and continues
southwestward to 10N22W, then to 12N30W to 11N40W and to 10N49W,
where it transitions to the ITCZ to 10N55W and to 10N60W. Outside
of convection associated with tropical wave, scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is within 60 nm south of the trough
between 32W-35W. Scattered moderate convection is south of the
trough from 06N to 10N between 29W-33W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A mid to upper-level trough stretches from southeastern Georgia
to the NE Gulf and to the northern Yucatan Peninsula. A mid-level
low is near 27N86W. To the southwest of these features, broad
mid to upper-level anticyclonic flow covers the basin south of
about 27N. Plenty of instability is in place over most of the
eastern Gulf providing favorable conditions for the trough
and low to aid in the development of additional showers and
thunderstorms over the NE Gulf through Sat as a couple of
shortwave troughs swing eastward across this same part of the
Gulf.

Otherwise, relatively weak high pressure across the supported by
a 1017 mb high center at 26N91W is providing for generally light
to gentle anticyclonic winds throughout, except for fresh to
strong NE winds west of the Yucatan Peninsula due the pressure
gradient associated with a trough. Seas are generally 3 ft or
less.

For the forecast, the aforementioned weak high pressure centered
over the central Gulf will prevail over the basin through early
next week. A weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to
moderate winds and slight to locally moderate seas across much of
the basin. A surface trough will generate fresh to locally strong
winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early
evenings. These winds will spread westward away from the peninsula
at night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection
across the basin.

The pressure gradient between weak high pressure centered S of
Bermuda and low pressure over northern Colombia is supporting
fresh to strong trades over the south- central basin between 69W
and 75W, with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere, except gentle
over the NW basin. Seas are moderate, except 7 to 9 ft in the
south-central portion as noted in overnight satellite altimeter
data passes. Slight sea state over the northwest part of the sea.

Isolated showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted south of
14N east of 70W.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient associated to relatively
weak high pressure over the western Atlantic will continue to
sustain fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas across the
south-central Caribbean through much of the forecast period.
Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail over the
north- central and eastern Caribbean through the weekend and into
early next week. A tropical wave will move across the tropical
Atlantic and into the far eastern Caribbean early next week
enhancing the trade wind flow across those waters. Elsewhere,
moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are
expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Tropical Waves section for information on convection in deep
tropics.

A weak 1018 mb low is just north of the area near 33N51W, with a
trough extending southwestward to another weak low of 1017 mb near
30N56W. The trough continues from this low to near 27N65W.
Scattered thunderstorms are along and near the trough and 1017 mb
low from 27N to 30N between 55W and 58W. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms are present elsewhere north of 25N between 55W and
78W. The remainder of the basin remains under the influence of
subtropical ridging, generally allowing for moderate or weaker
winds and seas, except for a belt of moderate to fresh trades
between 12N and 22N, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. Fresh to locally
strong north to northeast winds prevail across the northeastern
waters from the Canary Islands southward to near 18N and east of
about 22W. Seas over those waters are 6 to 9 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, the weak pressure gradient in place
will support mostly light to gentle winds over most of the waters
north of 23N going into early next week. Moderate to fresh trades
are expected south of about 23N, especially off northern
Hispaniola through the period. These trades may pulse to fresh to
strong speeds off northern Hispaniola at night through most of the
forecast period. Meanwhile, the northern portion of tropical wave
is expected to move through the eastern portion of the area early
next week enhancing the trades some.

$$
Aguirre

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Aug 21 10:44:50 2026

769
AXNT20 KNHC 211044
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Aug 21 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1030 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A new far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed near 17W
based on satellite imagery and on model diagnostics. It is moving
westward near 15 kt. Satellite imagery shows an ill-defined mid-
level cyclonic circulation near 11N17W. Increasing scattered
showers and thunderstorms are west of the wave to near 21N from
08N to 10N.

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 37W south of
21N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Increasing scattered moderate
convection is within 150 nm either side of the wave from 08N to
09N and from 12N to 14N.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 48W south of
19N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Increasing scattered moderate
to isolated strong convection is east of the wave to near 45W and
from 10N to 13N.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W south of 19N. It
is moving westward at about 15 kt. No significant convection is
occurring with this wave.

A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 87W south of
20N to inland Central America, and reaches farther south to the
eastern Pacific Ocean. It is moving westward at around 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection has recently formed over the
northwest portion of Honduras and near its coast behind the
wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W and continues
southwestward to 10N22W, then to 12N30W to 11N40W and to 10N49W,
where it transitions to the ITCZ to 10N55W and to 10N60W. Outside
of convection associated with tropical wave, scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is within 60 nm south of the trough
between 32W-35W. Scattered moderate convection is south of the
trough from 06N to 10N between 29W-33W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A mid to upper-level trough stretches from southeastern Georgia
to the NE Gulf and to the northern Yucatan Peninsula. A mid-level
low is near 27N86W. To the southwest of these features, broad
mid to upper-level anticyclonic flow covers the basin south of
about 27N. Plenty of instability is in place over most of the
eastern Gulf providing favorable conditions for the trough
and low to aid in the development of additional showers and
thunderstorms over the NE Gulf through Sat, and in addition as a
couple of shortwave troughs swing eastward across this same part of
the Gulf.

Otherwise, relatively weak high pressure across the basin supported
by a 1017 mb high center at 26N91W is providing for generally light
to gentle anticyclonic winds throughout, except for fresh to strong
NE winds west of the Yucatan Peninsula due the pressure gradient
associated with a diurnal trough. Seas are generally 3 ft or less.

For the forecast, the aforementioned weak high pressure centered
over the central Gulf will prevail over the basin through early
next week. A weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to
moderate winds and slight to locally moderate seas across much of
the basin. A surface trough will generate fresh to locally strong
winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early
evenings. These winds will spread westward away from the peninsula
at night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection
across the basin.

The pressure gradient between weak high pressure centered S of
Bermuda and low pressure over northern Colombia is supporting
fresh to strong trades over the south- central basin between 69W
and 75W, with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere, except gentle
over the NW basin. Seas are moderate, except 7 to 9 ft in the
south-central portion as noted in overnight satellite altimeter
data passes. Slight sea state over the northwest part of the sea.

Isolated showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted south of
14N east of 70W.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient associated to relatively
weak high pressure over the western Atlantic will continue to
sustain fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas across the
south-central Caribbean through much of the forecast period.
Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail over the
north- central and eastern Caribbean through the weekend and into
early next week. A tropical wave will move across the tropical
Atlantic and into the far eastern Caribbean early next week
enhancing the trade wind flow across those waters. Elsewhere,
moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are
expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Tropical Waves section for information on convection in deep
tropics.

A weak 1018 mb low is just north of the area near 33N51W, with a
trough extending southwestward to another weak low of 1017 mb near
30N56W. The trough continues from this low to near 27N65W.
Scattered thunderstorms are along and near the trough and 1017 mb
low from 27N to 30N between 55W and 58W. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms are present elsewhere north of 25N between 55W and
78W. The remainder of the basin remains under the influence of
subtropical ridging, generally allowing for moderate or weaker
winds and seas, except for a belt of moderate to fresh trades
between 12N and 22N, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. Fresh to locally
strong north to northeast winds prevail across the northeastern
waters from the Canary Islands southward to near 18N and east of
about 22W. Seas over these waters are 6 to 9 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, the weak pressure gradient in place
will support mostly light to gentle winds over most of the waters
north of 23N going into early next week. Moderate to fresh trades
are expected south of about 23N, especially off northern
Hispaniola through the period. These trades may pulse to fresh to
strong speeds off northern Hispaniola at night through most of the
forecast period. Meanwhile, the northern portion of tropical wave
is expected to move through the eastern portion of the area early
next week enhancing the trades some.

$$
Aguirre

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Aug 21 10:45:34 2026

482
AXNT20 KNHC 211045
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Aug 21 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1030 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A new far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed near 17W
based on satellite imagery and on model diagnostics. It is moving
westward near 15 kt. Satellite imagery shows an ill-defined mid-
level cyclonic circulation near 11N17W. Increasing scattered
showers and thunderstorms are west of the wave to near 21N from
08N to 10N.

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 37W south of
21N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Increasing scattered moderate
convection is within 150 nm either side of the wave from 08N to
09N and from 12N to 14N.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 48W south of
19N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Increasing scattered moderate
to isolated strong convection is east of the wave to near 45W and
from 10N to 13N.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W south of 19N. It
is moving westward at about 15 kt. No significant convection is
occurring with this wave.

A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 87W south of
20N to inland Central America, and reaches farther south to the
eastern Pacific Ocean. It is moving westward at around 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection has recently formed over the
northwest portion of Honduras, and near its coast behind the wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W and continues
southwestward to 10N22W, then to 12N30W to 11N40W and to 10N49W,
where it transitions to the ITCZ to 10N55W and to 10N60W. Outside
of convection associated with tropical wave, scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is within 60 nm south of the trough
between 32W-35W. Scattered moderate convection is south of the
trough from 06N to 10N between 29W-33W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A mid to upper-level trough stretches from southeastern Georgia
to the NE Gulf and to the northern Yucatan Peninsula. A mid-level
low is near 27N86W. To the southwest of these features, broad
mid to upper-level anticyclonic flow covers the basin south of
about 27N. Plenty of instability is in place over most of the
eastern Gulf providing favorable conditions for the trough
and low to aid in the development of additional showers and
thunderstorms over the NE Gulf through Sat, and in addition as a
couple of shortwave troughs swing eastward across this same part of
the Gulf.

Otherwise, relatively weak high pressure across the basin supported
by a 1017 mb high center at 26N91W is providing for generally light
to gentle anticyclonic winds throughout, except for fresh to strong
NE winds west of the Yucatan Peninsula due the pressure gradient
associated with a diurnal trough. Seas are generally 3 ft or less.

For the forecast, the aforementioned weak high pressure centered
over the central Gulf will prevail over the basin through early
next week. A weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to
moderate winds and slight to locally moderate seas across much of
the basin. A surface trough will generate fresh to locally strong
winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early
evenings. These winds will spread westward away from the peninsula
at night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection
across the basin.

The pressure gradient between weak high pressure centered S of
Bermuda and low pressure over northern Colombia is supporting
fresh to strong trades over the south- central basin between 69W
and 75W, with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere, except gentle
over the NW basin. Seas are moderate, except 7 to 9 ft in the
south-central portion as noted in overnight satellite altimeter
data passes. Slight sea state over the northwest part of the sea.

Isolated showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted south of
14N east of 70W.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient associated to relatively
weak high pressure over the western Atlantic will continue to
sustain fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas across the
south-central Caribbean through much of the forecast period.
Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail over the
north- central and eastern Caribbean through the weekend and into
early next week. A tropical wave will move across the tropical
Atlantic and into the far eastern Caribbean early next week
enhancing the trade wind flow across those waters. Elsewhere,
moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are
expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Tropical Waves section for information on convection in deep
tropics.

A weak 1018 mb low is just north of the area near 33N51W, with a
trough extending southwestward to another weak low of 1017 mb near
30N56W. The trough continues from this low to near 27N65W.
Scattered thunderstorms are along and near the trough and 1017 mb
low from 27N to 30N between 55W and 58W. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms are present elsewhere north of 25N between 55W and
78W. The remainder of the basin remains under the influence of
subtropical ridging, generally allowing for moderate or weaker
winds and seas, except for a belt of moderate to fresh trades
between 12N and 22N, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. Fresh to locally
strong north to northeast winds prevail across the northeastern
waters from the Canary Islands southward to near 18N and east of
about 22W. Seas over these waters are 6 to 9 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, the weak pressure gradient in place
will support mostly light to gentle winds over most of the waters
north of 23N going into early next week. Moderate to fresh trades
are expected south of about 23N, especially off northern
Hispaniola through the period. These trades may pulse to fresh to
strong speeds off northern Hispaniola at night through most of the
forecast period. Meanwhile, the northern portion of tropical wave
is expected to move through the eastern portion of the area early
next week enhancing the trades some.

$$
Aguirre

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Aug 21 14:15:12 2026

238
AXNT20 KNHC 211414
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Aug 21 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1400 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed near 19W/20W
based on satellite imagery and on model diagnostics. It is moving
westward at 10-15 kt. Satellite imagery continues to show an ill-
defined mid- level cyclonic circulation near 12N19W. Increasing
scattered showers and thunderstorms are near the wave from 09N to
12N between 19W and 21W.

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 41W south of
20N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is
noted near this wave.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 51W south of
20N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is
noted near this wave.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 75W south of 20N. It
is moving westward at about 15 kt. A few thunderstorms are active
near 15N76W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W and continues
southwestward to 14N20W, then to 11N50W. The ITCZ extends from
11N55W to 11N63W. Outside of convection associated with tropical
wave, scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within
60 nm south of the trough between 32W-35W. Scattered moderate
convection is from 10N to 12N between 31W and 38W, and from 09N to
12N between 45W and 48W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A mid to upper-level trough stretches from Georgia southward along
the Florida peninsula. Associated showers and thunderstorms are
active over the north-central Gulf and off far southwest Florida
along a surface trough. Another surface trough is analyzed over
the far southwest Gulf off Veracruz. A 1018 mb high pressure area
is centered over the central Gulf. This pattern is supporting
moderate SE winds over the southwest where seas are 3-5 ft. Light
to gentle breezes and 1-3 ft are noted elsewhere.

For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over the
central Gulf will prevail through early next week. A weak
pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to moderate winds
and slight to locally moderate seas across much of the basin. A
surface trough will generate fresh to locally strong winds north
and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings. These
winds will spread westward away from the peninsula at night as
the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection
across the basin.

The pressure gradient between weak high pressure centered S of
Bermuda and low pressure over northern Colombia is supporting
fresh to strong trades over the south- central basin, with
moderate to fresh trades elsewhere, except gentle over the NW
basin. Seas are moderate, except 7 to 9 ft in the south-central
portion and slight seas over the northwest Caribbean.

For the forecast, the pattern will continue to sustain fresh to
strong trade winds and rough seas across the south-central
Caribbean through much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas will prevail over the north-central and
eastern Caribbean through the weekend and into early next week. A
tropical wave will move across the tropical Atlantic and into the
far eastern Caribbean early next week enhancing the trade wind
flow across those waters. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
slight to moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A weak 1018 mb low is about 480 nm east-southeast of Bermuda near
30N56W, connected by a trough to another low pressure area farther
to the northeast. A second trough is southeast of the first,
extending from 30N49W to 26N65W. Scattered to numerous showers
and thunderstorms are active near these features under diffluent
flow aloft between an upper low to the southeast and an upper
ridge to the northwest. Farther west, scattered showers and
thunderstorms are also active north of 25N east of an upper trough
extending across the Florida peninsula. Elsewhere west of 55W, the
subtropical ridge dominates, anchored by 1021 mb high pressure
between Bermuda and the central Bahamas near 26N68W. Fresh E to SE
winds are funneling along the north coast of Hispaniola south of
the ridge, supporting 3-5 ft seas. Elsewhere west of 55W, the
pattern is supporting gentle to moderate breezes and 2-4 ft.
Farther east, 1028 mb high pressure is centered over southwest of
the Azores, supporting moderate to fresh NE to E winds and 5-7 ft
seas, except fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas off the
coast of Mauritania and Senegal.

For the forecast west of 55W, a weak pressure gradient will
support mostly light to gentle winds over most of the waters north
of 23N going into early next week. Moderate to fresh trades are
expected south of about 23N, especially off northern Hispaniola
through the period. These trades may pulse to fresh to strong
speeds off northern Hispaniola at night through most of the
forecast period. Meanwhile, the northern portion of a tropical
wave is expected to move through the eastern portion of the area
early next week enhancing the trades some.

$$
Christensen

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Aug 21 14:15:12 2026

239
AXNT20 KNHC 211414
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Aug 21 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1400 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed near 19W/20W
based on satellite imagery and on model diagnostics. It is moving
westward at 10-15 kt. Satellite imagery continues to show an ill-
defined mid- level cyclonic circulation near 12N19W. Increasing
scattered showers and thunderstorms are near the wave from 09N to
12N between 19W and 21W.

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 41W south of
20N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is
noted near this wave.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 51W south of
20N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is
noted near this wave.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 75W south of 20N. It
is moving westward at about 15 kt. A few thunderstorms are active
near 15N76W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W and continues
southwestward to 14N20W, then to 11N50W. The ITCZ extends from
11N55W to 11N63W. Outside of convection associated with tropical
wave, scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within
60 nm south of the trough between 32W-35W. Scattered moderate
convection is from 10N to 12N between 31W and 38W, and from 09N to
12N between 45W and 48W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A mid to upper-level trough stretches from Georgia southward along
the Florida peninsula. Associated showers and thunderstorms are
active over the north-central Gulf and off far southwest Florida
along a surface trough. Another surface trough is analyzed over
the far southwest Gulf off Veracruz. A 1018 mb high pressure area
is centered over the central Gulf. This pattern is supporting
moderate SE winds over the southwest where seas are 3-5 ft. Light
to gentle breezes and 1-3 ft are noted elsewhere.

For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over the
central Gulf will prevail through early next week. A weak
pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to moderate winds
and slight to locally moderate seas across much of the basin. A
surface trough will generate fresh to locally strong winds north
and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings. These
winds will spread westward away from the peninsula at night as
the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection
across the basin.

The pressure gradient between weak high pressure centered S of
Bermuda and low pressure over northern Colombia is supporting
fresh to strong trades over the south- central basin, with
moderate to fresh trades elsewhere, except gentle over the NW
basin. Seas are moderate, except 7 to 9 ft in the south-central
portion and slight seas over the northwest Caribbean.

For the forecast, the pattern will continue to sustain fresh to
strong trade winds and rough seas across the south-central
Caribbean through much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas will prevail over the north-central and
eastern Caribbean through the weekend and into early next week. A
tropical wave will move across the tropical Atlantic and into the
far eastern Caribbean early next week enhancing the trade wind
flow across those waters. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
slight to moderate seas are expected.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A weak 1018 mb low is about 480 nm east-southeast of Bermuda near
30N56W, connected by a trough to another low pressure area farther
to the northeast. A second trough is southeast of the first,
extending from 30N49W to 26N65W. Scattered to numerous showers
and thunderstorms are active near these features under diffluent
flow aloft between an upper low to the southeast and an upper
ridge to the northwest. Farther west, scattered showers and
thunderstorms are also active north of 25N east of an upper trough
extending across the Florida peninsula. Elsewhere west of 55W, the
subtropical ridge dominates, anchored by 1021 mb high pressure
between Bermuda and the central Bahamas near 26N68W. Fresh E to SE
winds are funneling along the north coast of Hispaniola south of
the ridge, supporting 3-5 ft seas. Elsewhere west of 55W, the
pattern is supporting gentle to moderate breezes and 2-4 ft.
Farther east, 1028 mb high pressure is centered over southwest of
the Azores, supporting moderate to fresh NE to E winds and 5-7 ft
seas, except fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas off the
coast of Mauritania and Senegal.

For the forecast west of 55W, a weak pressure gradient will
support mostly light to gentle winds over most of the waters north
of 23N going into early next week. Moderate to fresh trades are
expected south of about 23N, especially off northern Hispaniola
through the period. These trades may pulse to fresh to strong
speeds off northern Hispaniola at night through most of the
forecast period. Meanwhile, the northern portion of a tropical
wave is expected to move through the eastern portion of the area
early next week enhancing the trades some.

$$
Christensen

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Aug 21 22:49:34 2026

900
AXNT20 KNHC 212249
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Aug 22 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2245 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 21W/22W, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt.
Some cyclonic circulation is noted near 11N21W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 06N to 12N
between 20W and 25W.

A second tropical wave is along n eastern Atlantic tropical wave
has its axis along 43W/44W south of 20N moving westward at 15 to
20 kt. No significant convection is noted near the wave axis.

A third tropical wave has its axis along 54W/55W south of 20N
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted where the wave meets the ITCZ.

A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean along 77W south of
20N. It is moving westward at about 15 kt. Convection is limited
near the wave axis.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania
near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 11N42W. The ITCZ extends
from 11N45W to 11N61W. Outside of convection associated with the
tropical waves, scattered moderate to isolated strong convection
is from 10N to 14N between 34W and 40W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure continues to dominate the Gulf region with a 1021
mb center near 24N92W. This pattern is supporting mainly light
to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas. The highest seas of
3 to 4 ft are noted over the Bay of Campeche based on altimeter
data. Convection has flared-up over parts of Florida, the north-
central Gulf, and along the coast of Mexico roughly between
Tuxpan and Veracruz. A diffluent pattern aloft is helping to
induce this convective activity.

For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over
the central Gulf will prevail into the middle of next week,
supporting gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally
moderate seas. A surface trough will generate fresh winds north
and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings. These
winds will spread westward away from the peninsula at night as
the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between weak high pressure centered S of
Bermuda and low pressure over northern Colombia is supporting
fresh to strong trades over the most of the central Caribbean,
with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere, with the exception of
gentle winds over the NW part of the basin. Seas are moderate,
except 7 to 9 ft in the south-central Caribbean and slight seas
over the northwest Caribbean. Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms are noted over Cuba. Scattered showers, with
embedded thunderstorms, are seen over the NW Caribbean.
Elsewhere, shallow moisture embedded in the trade winds flow is
moving across the region producing isolated to scattered passing
showers.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient associated with high
pressure over the western Atlantic and low pressure over Colombia
will continue to sustain fresh to strong trade winds and rough
seas across the south-central Caribbean through much of the
forecast period. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas will
prevail over most of the rest of the basin, aside from the
northwest portion where lesser winds will dominate. A tropical
wave will move into the far eastern Caribbean early next week,
enhancing the trade wind flow across those waters.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Three tropical wave are moving westward between W Africa and the
Lesser Antilles. Please, see the Tropical Waves section for more
details.

A weak 1018 mb low is about 480 nm east-southeast of Bermuda near
30N56W. A surface trough extends from the low center to 27N60W to
28N66W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active near
these features. Similar convective activity is observed north of
24N east of 70W. A surface through is analyzed in this area and
extends from 29N74W to 24N80W. A diffluent pattern aloft is also
helping to induce this convection. Elsewhere west of 55W, the
subtropical ridge dominates, anchored by 1021 mb high pressure
between Bermuda and the central Bahamas near 25N67W. Fresh E to
SE winds are funneling along the north coast of Hispaniola south
of the ridge, supporting 3 to 5 ft seas. The remainder of the
Atlantic forecast region is under the influence of a ridge with
a 1028 mb high pressure located SW of the Azores near 35N37W.
This system supports moderate to fresh NE to E winds and seas of
5 to 7 ft, except fresh to locally strong NE winds and rough seas
off the coasts of Mauritania and Senegal.

For the forecast west of 55W, a weak pressure gradient will support
mostly light to gentle winds over most of the waters north of
23N into early next week. Moderate to fresh trades are expected
south of about 23N, highest off northern Hispaniola, through the
period. These trades may pulse to fresh to strong speeds off
northern Hispaniola at night through most of the forecast period.
Meanwhile, the northern portion of a tropical wave is expected
to move through the eastern portion of the area early next week
enhancing the trades some.

$$
GR

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Aug 21 22:49:34 2026

899
AXNT20 KNHC 212249
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Aug 22 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2245 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 21W/22W, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt.
Some cyclonic circulation is noted near 11N21W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 06N to 12N
between 20W and 25W.

A second tropical wave is along n eastern Atlantic tropical wave
has its axis along 43W/44W south of 20N moving westward at 15 to
20 kt. No significant convection is noted near the wave axis.

A third tropical wave has its axis along 54W/55W south of 20N
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted where the wave meets the ITCZ.

A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean along 77W south of
20N. It is moving westward at about 15 kt. Convection is limited
near the wave axis.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania
near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 11N42W. The ITCZ extends
from 11N45W to 11N61W. Outside of convection associated with the
tropical waves, scattered moderate to isolated strong convection
is from 10N to 14N between 34W and 40W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure continues to dominate the Gulf region with a 1021
mb center near 24N92W. This pattern is supporting mainly light
to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas. The highest seas of
3 to 4 ft are noted over the Bay of Campeche based on altimeter
data. Convection has flared-up over parts of Florida, the north-
central Gulf, and along the coast of Mexico roughly between
Tuxpan and Veracruz. A diffluent pattern aloft is helping to
induce this convective activity.

For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over
the central Gulf will prevail into the middle of next week,
supporting gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally
moderate seas. A surface trough will generate fresh winds north
and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings. These
winds will spread westward away from the peninsula at night as
the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between weak high pressure centered S of
Bermuda and low pressure over northern Colombia is supporting
fresh to strong trades over the most of the central Caribbean,
with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere, with the exception of
gentle winds over the NW part of the basin. Seas are moderate,
except 7 to 9 ft in the south-central Caribbean and slight seas
over the northwest Caribbean. Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms are noted over Cuba. Scattered showers, with
embedded thunderstorms, are seen over the NW Caribbean.
Elsewhere, shallow moisture embedded in the trade winds flow is
moving across the region producing isolated to scattered passing
showers.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient associated with high
pressure over the western Atlantic and low pressure over Colombia
will continue to sustain fresh to strong trade winds and rough
seas across the south-central Caribbean through much of the
forecast period. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas will
prevail over most of the rest of the basin, aside from the
northwest portion where lesser winds will dominate. A tropical
wave will move into the far eastern Caribbean early next week,
enhancing the trade wind flow across those waters.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Three tropical wave are moving westward between W Africa and the
Lesser Antilles. Please, see the Tropical Waves section for more
details.

A weak 1018 mb low is about 480 nm east-southeast of Bermuda near
30N56W. A surface trough extends from the low center to 27N60W to
28N66W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active near
these features. Similar convective activity is observed north of
24N east of 70W. A surface through is analyzed in this area and
extends from 29N74W to 24N80W. A diffluent pattern aloft is also
helping to induce this convection. Elsewhere west of 55W, the
subtropical ridge dominates, anchored by 1021 mb high pressure
between Bermuda and the central Bahamas near 25N67W. Fresh E to
SE winds are funneling along the north coast of Hispaniola south
of the ridge, supporting 3 to 5 ft seas. The remainder of the
Atlantic forecast region is under the influence of a ridge with
a 1028 mb high pressure located SW of the Azores near 35N37W.
This system supports moderate to fresh NE to E winds and seas of
5 to 7 ft, except fresh to locally strong NE winds and rough seas
off the coasts of Mauritania and Senegal.

For the forecast west of 55W, a weak pressure gradient will support
mostly light to gentle winds over most of the waters north of
23N into early next week. Moderate to fresh trades are expected
south of about 23N, highest off northern Hispaniola, through the
period. These trades may pulse to fresh to strong speeds off
northern Hispaniola at night through most of the forecast period.
Meanwhile, the northern portion of a tropical wave is expected
to move through the eastern portion of the area early next week
enhancing the trades some.

$$
GR

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 22 03:26:12 2026

077
AXNT20 KNHC 220325
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Aug 22 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0300 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 23W, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted S of 24N
between 22W and 27W.

A second tropical wave is along n eastern Atlantic tropical wave
has its axis along 45W south of 20N, moving westward at 15 to 20
kt. No significant convection is noted near the wave axis.

A third tropical wave has its axis along 56W south of 20N moving
westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is noted near
the wave axis.

A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean along 79W south of
20N, moving westward at about 15 kt. Convection is limited near
the wave axis.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania
near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 11N54W. The ITCZ
extends from 10N46W to 11N54W. Outside of convection associated
with the tropical waves, scattered moderate convection is within
200 nm on either side of the monsoon trough between 34W and 40W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure continues to dominate the Gulf region with a 1017 mb
center near 24N89W. This pattern is supporting mainly light to
gentle winds and slight to moderate seas. The highest seas of 3
ft are noted over the Bay of Campeche based on altimeter data.
Convection has flared-up over parts of Florida, the north-central
Gulf, and along the coast of Mexico roughly between Tuxpan and
Veracruz. A diffluent pattern aloft is helping to induce this
convective activity.

For the forecast, weak high pressure centered over the
central Gulf will prevail into the middle of next week,
supporting gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally
moderate seas. A surface trough will generate fresh to strong
winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early
evenings. These winds will spread westward away from the peninsula
at night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A tropical wave is moving across the western half of the basin.
Refer to the section above for details.

The pressure gradient between weak high pressure centered S of
Bermuda and low pressure over northern Colombia is supporting
fresh to strong trades over the most of the central Caribbean,
with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere, with the exception of
gentle winds over the NW part of the basin. Seas are moderate,
except 7 to 9 ft in the south-central Caribbean and slight seas
over the northwest Caribbean. Shallow moisture embedded in the
trade winds flow is moving across the region producing isolated to
scattered passing showers.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to sustain
fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas across the south-
central Caribbean through much of the forecast period. Moderate to
fresh winds and moderate seas will prevail over most of the rest
of the basin, aside from the northwest basin where lesser winds
will dominate. A tropical wave currently over the tropical
Atlantic is expected to move across the eastern Caribbean Tue
through early Wed, and across the eastern part of the central
Caribbean during the rest of Wed. Another tropical wave may
approach the Lesser Antilles and far eastern Caribbean late on
Wed. These waves will enhance the trade wind flow across those
waters.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Three tropical wave are moving westward between W Africa and the
Lesser Antilles. See the Tropical Waves section above for
details.

A trough is analyzed over Florida, reaching the W Atlantic from
29N78W to 27N80W. To the E, a 1021 mb high is centered near
26N72W. A weak 1018 mb low is centered east-southeast of Bermuda
near 30N56W. A surface trough extends from the low center to
24N64W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active near these
features. A surface through is analyzed from 28N39W to 22N43W with
scattered showers. Elsewhere west of 55W, the subtropical ridge
dominates, anchored by 1021 mb high pressure between Bermuda and
the central Bahamas near 25N67W. Fresh E to SE winds are funneling
along the north coast of Hispaniola south of the ridge,
supporting 3 to 5 ft seas. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast
region is under the influence of a ridge with a 1028 mb high
pressure located SW of the Azores near 35N37W. This system
supports moderate to fresh NE to E winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft,
except fresh to locally strong NE winds and rough seas off the
coasts of Mauritania and Senegal.

For the forecast west of 55W, the weak pressure gradient will
support mostly light to gentle winds over most of the waters north
of 23N into early next week. Moderate to fresh trades are
expected south of about 23N, highest off northern Hispaniola,
through the period. These trades may pulse to fresh to strong
speeds off northern Hispaniola at night through most of the
forecast period. Meanwhile, the northern portion of a tropical
wave is expected to move across the waters S of about 23N and E of
the Bahamas next week freshening the trade winds. Yet, the
northern portion of another tropical wave may move across the SE
portion of the area Wed and Wed night increasing the trades over
those waters.

$$
ERA

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 22 03:26:14 2026

078
AXNT20 KNHC 220325
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Aug 22 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0300 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 23W, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted S of 24N
between 22W and 27W.

A second tropical wave is along n eastern Atlantic tropical wave
has its axis along 45W south of 20N, moving westward at 15 to 20
kt. No significant convection is noted near the wave axis.

A third tropical wave has its axis along 56W south of 20N moving
westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is noted near
the wave axis.

A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean along 79W south of
20N, moving westward at about 15 kt. Convection is limited near
the wave axis.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania
near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 11N54W. The ITCZ
extends from 10N46W to 11N54W. Outside of convection associated
with the tropical waves, scattered moderate convection is within
200 nm on either side of the monsoon trough between 34W and 40W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure continues to dominate the Gulf region with a 1017 mb
center near 24N89W. This pattern is supporting mainly light to
gentle winds and slight to moderate seas. The highest seas of 3
ft are noted over the Bay of Campeche based on altimeter data.
Convection has flared-up over parts of Florida, the north-central
Gulf, and along the coast of Mexico roughly between Tuxpan and
Veracruz. A diffluent pattern aloft is helping to induce this
convective activity.

For the forecast, weak high pressure centered over the
central Gulf will prevail into the middle of next week,
supporting gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally
moderate seas. A surface trough will generate fresh to strong
winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early
evenings. These winds will spread westward away from the peninsula
at night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A tropical wave is moving across the western half of the basin.
Refer to the section above for details.

The pressure gradient between weak high pressure centered S of
Bermuda and low pressure over northern Colombia is supporting
fresh to strong trades over the most of the central Caribbean,
with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere, with the exception of
gentle winds over the NW part of the basin. Seas are moderate,
except 7 to 9 ft in the south-central Caribbean and slight seas
over the northwest Caribbean. Shallow moisture embedded in the
trade winds flow is moving across the region producing isolated to
scattered passing showers.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to sustain
fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas across the south-
central Caribbean through much of the forecast period. Moderate to
fresh winds and moderate seas will prevail over most of the rest
of the basin, aside from the northwest basin where lesser winds
will dominate. A tropical wave currently over the tropical
Atlantic is expected to move across the eastern Caribbean Tue
through early Wed, and across the eastern part of the central
Caribbean during the rest of Wed. Another tropical wave may
approach the Lesser Antilles and far eastern Caribbean late on
Wed. These waves will enhance the trade wind flow across those
waters.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Three tropical wave are moving westward between W Africa and the
Lesser Antilles. See the Tropical Waves section above for
details.

A trough is analyzed over Florida, reaching the W Atlantic from
29N78W to 27N80W. To the E, a 1021 mb high is centered near
26N72W. A weak 1018 mb low is centered east-southeast of Bermuda
near 30N56W. A surface trough extends from the low center to
24N64W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active near these
features. A surface through is analyzed from 28N39W to 22N43W with
scattered showers. Elsewhere west of 55W, the subtropical ridge
dominates, anchored by 1021 mb high pressure between Bermuda and
the central Bahamas near 25N67W. Fresh E to SE winds are funneling
along the north coast of Hispaniola south of the ridge,
supporting 3 to 5 ft seas. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast
region is under the influence of a ridge with a 1028 mb high
pressure located SW of the Azores near 35N37W. This system
supports moderate to fresh NE to E winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft,
except fresh to locally strong NE winds and rough seas off the
coasts of Mauritania and Senegal.

For the forecast west of 55W, the weak pressure gradient will
support mostly light to gentle winds over most of the waters north
of 23N into early next week. Moderate to fresh trades are
expected south of about 23N, highest off northern Hispaniola,
through the period. These trades may pulse to fresh to strong
speeds off northern Hispaniola at night through most of the
forecast period. Meanwhile, the northern portion of a tropical
wave is expected to move across the waters S of about 23N and E of
the Bahamas next week freshening the trade winds. Yet, the
northern portion of another tropical wave may move across the SE
portion of the area Wed and Wed night increasing the trades over
those waters.

$$
ERA

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 22 10:10:44 2026

792
AXNT20 KNHC 221010
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Aug 22 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 25W south
of 19N moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is seen from 06N to 11N between 23W and
27W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 46W south of
20N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is
noted near the wave axis.

Another central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 58W
south of 20N. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No
significant convection is noted near the wave axis.

A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean along 80W south of
20N, It is moving westward near 15 kt. Convection associated with
this wave is confined to the eastern Pacific waters just south of
Panama, which is also where the eastern segment of the East
Pacific monsoon trough is present.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 12N22W, and
westward from there to 12N35W and to 12N46W, where it transitions
to the ITCZ to near 09N55W. Outside of convection associated with
the tropical waves, scattered moderate convection is seen within
about 120 nm south of the trough between 39W and 44W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Relatively weak high pressure continues to dominate the basin
as a weak 1018 mb high center is analyzed near 25N93W. This
pattern is supporting mainly light to gentle winds and seas
of 2 to 3 ft throughout.

A trough extends from north-central Florida south-southwestward to
just south of Tampa and into the eastern Gulf near 25N84W. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are over the NE Gulf section
while isolated showers and thunderstorms are over the north-
central and west-central sections of the Gulf. A northeast to
southwest oriented mid-level trough will help trigger off
additional shower and thunderstorm over the NE Gulf today and
tonight.

For the forecast, the weak high pressure centered over the
central Gulf will prevail into the middle portion of next week.
Its related generally weak pressure gradient will maintain gentle
to moderate winds and slight to locally moderate seas. A surface
trough will generate fresh to locally strong winds north and west
of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings. These winds will
spread westward away from the peninsula at night as the trough
migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the
western Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South
America is sustaining fresh to strong trades primarily over the
south-central Caribbean. Seas in the range of 8 to 10 ft are with
these winds as noted in overnight satellite altimeter data
passes. Overnight satellite scatterometer data passes indicate
moderate to fresh trades elsewhere. Seas are of moderate state
with these trades. Light to gentle trades are over the northwest
part of the basin. Seas there are 2 to 3 ft.

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are over the eastern
Caribbean from 11N to 15N east of 69W to the vicinity of the
Windward Islands. Similar activity is over the far western part
of the sea from 13N to 16N west of 82W to just inland Honduras
and Nicaragua. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are south of
13N between 80W and the coasts of Costa Rica and northern Panama.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient in place will continue
to support fresh to strong trades and resultant rough seas
primarily over the south-central Caribbean well into next week.
Elsewhere across the basin, expect moderate to fresh trades along
with moderate seas through the period. The exception will be in
the northwest portion of the basin, where light to gentle trades
will change little through the period. A tropical wave currently
over the tropical Atlantic is expected to move across the eastern
Caribbean Tue through early Wed, and across the eastern part of
the central Caribbean during the rest of Wed. Another tropical
wave may approach the Lesser Antilles and far eastern Caribbean
late on Wed. These waves will enhance the trade wind flow across
those waters.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A weak 1016 mb low is near 29N56W, with a trough extending
southwestward to near 28N61W. Another trough extends from
the low northeastward to north of the area at 31N49W. Other
troughs are analyzed from near 27N55W to 25N56W, and from
near 27N41W to 22N47W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms remain
active near these features. Otherwise, high pressure is the main
feature across the basin controlling the general wind regime
throughout. A weak 1019 mb high center is located at 30N68W. A
rather weak pressure gradient is allowing for light to gentle
winds over most of the waters north of about 23N while moderate to
fresh trades are south of 23N. Seas west of 45W and also north of
26N west of 24W are 3 to 5 ft per overnight satellite altimeter
data passes and 5 to 7 ft elsewhere, with the exception of higher
seas of 6 to 8 ft off the coasts of Mauritania and Senegal, where
mostly fresh northeast winds are occurring.

For the forecast west of 55W, the weak pressure gradient will
support light to gentle winds over most of the waters north of
about 23N through the period. Moderate to fresh trades are
expected south of about 23N, with winds pulsing to strong speeds
off northern Hispaniola at night well into next week. Meanwhile,
the northern portion of a tropical wave is expected to move across
the waters S of about 23N and E of the Bahamas next week
freshening the trades. Yet, the northern portion of another
tropical wave may move across the SE portion of the area Wed and
Wed night increasing the trades over those waters.

$$
Aguirre

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 22 10:10:46 2026

790
AXNT20 KNHC 221010
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Aug 22 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 25W south
of 19N moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is seen from 06N to 11N between 23W and
27W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 46W south of
20N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is
noted near the wave axis.

Another central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 58W
south of 20N. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No
significant convection is noted near the wave axis.

A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean along 80W south of
20N, It is moving westward near 15 kt. Convection associated with
this wave is confined to the eastern Pacific waters just south of
Panama, which is also where the eastern segment of the East
Pacific monsoon trough is present.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 12N22W, and
westward from there to 12N35W and to 12N46W, where it transitions
to the ITCZ to near 09N55W. Outside of convection associated with
the tropical waves, scattered moderate convection is seen within
about 120 nm south of the trough between 39W and 44W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Relatively weak high pressure continues to dominate the basin
as a weak 1018 mb high center is analyzed near 25N93W. This
pattern is supporting mainly light to gentle winds and seas
of 2 to 3 ft throughout.

A trough extends from north-central Florida south-southwestward to
just south of Tampa and into the eastern Gulf near 25N84W. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are over the NE Gulf section
while isolated showers and thunderstorms are over the north-
central and west-central sections of the Gulf. A northeast to
southwest oriented mid-level trough will help trigger off
additional shower and thunderstorm over the NE Gulf today and
tonight.

For the forecast, the weak high pressure centered over the
central Gulf will prevail into the middle portion of next week.
Its related generally weak pressure gradient will maintain gentle
to moderate winds and slight to locally moderate seas. A surface
trough will generate fresh to locally strong winds north and west
of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings. These winds will
spread westward away from the peninsula at night as the trough
migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the
western Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South
America is sustaining fresh to strong trades primarily over the
south-central Caribbean. Seas in the range of 8 to 10 ft are with
these winds as noted in overnight satellite altimeter data
passes. Overnight satellite scatterometer data passes indicate
moderate to fresh trades elsewhere. Seas are of moderate state
with these trades. Light to gentle trades are over the northwest
part of the basin. Seas there are 2 to 3 ft.

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are over the eastern
Caribbean from 11N to 15N east of 69W to the vicinity of the
Windward Islands. Similar activity is over the far western part
of the sea from 13N to 16N west of 82W to just inland Honduras
and Nicaragua. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are south of
13N between 80W and the coasts of Costa Rica and northern Panama.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient in place will continue
to support fresh to strong trades and resultant rough seas
primarily over the south-central Caribbean well into next week.
Elsewhere across the basin, expect moderate to fresh trades along
with moderate seas through the period. The exception will be in
the northwest portion of the basin, where light to gentle trades
will change little through the period. A tropical wave currently
over the tropical Atlantic is expected to move across the eastern
Caribbean Tue through early Wed, and across the eastern part of
the central Caribbean during the rest of Wed. Another tropical
wave may approach the Lesser Antilles and far eastern Caribbean
late on Wed. These waves will enhance the trade wind flow across
those waters.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A weak 1016 mb low is near 29N56W, with a trough extending
southwestward to near 28N61W. Another trough extends from
the low northeastward to north of the area at 31N49W. Other
troughs are analyzed from near 27N55W to 25N56W, and from
near 27N41W to 22N47W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms remain
active near these features. Otherwise, high pressure is the main
feature across the basin controlling the general wind regime
throughout. A weak 1019 mb high center is located at 30N68W. A
rather weak pressure gradient is allowing for light to gentle
winds over most of the waters north of about 23N while moderate to
fresh trades are south of 23N. Seas west of 45W and also north of
26N west of 24W are 3 to 5 ft per overnight satellite altimeter
data passes and 5 to 7 ft elsewhere, with the exception of higher
seas of 6 to 8 ft off the coasts of Mauritania and Senegal, where
mostly fresh northeast winds are occurring.

For the forecast west of 55W, the weak pressure gradient will
support light to gentle winds over most of the waters north of
about 23N through the period. Moderate to fresh trades are
expected south of about 23N, with winds pulsing to strong speeds
off northern Hispaniola at night well into next week. Meanwhile,
the northern portion of a tropical wave is expected to move across
the waters S of about 23N and E of the Bahamas next week
freshening the trades. Yet, the northern portion of another
tropical wave may move across the SE portion of the area Wed and
Wed night increasing the trades over those waters.

$$
Aguirre

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 22 10:47:16 2026

900
AXNT20 KNHC 221047
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Aug 22 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1030 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 25W south
of 19N moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is seen from 06N to 11N between 23W and
27W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 46W south of
20N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is
noted near the wave axis.

Another central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 58W
south of 20N. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No
significant convection is noted near the wave axis.

A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean along 80W south of
20N, It is moving westward near 15 kt. Convection associated with
this wave is confined to the eastern Pacific waters just south of
Panama, which is also where the eastern segment of the East
Pacific monsoon trough is present.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 12N22W, and
westward from there to 12N35W and to 12N46W, where it transitions
to the ITCZ to near 09N55W. Outside of convection associated with
the tropical waves, scattered moderate convection is seen within
about 120 nm south of the trough between 39W and 44W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Relatively weak high pressure continues to dominate the basin
as a weak 1018 mb high center is analyzed near 25N93W. This
pattern is supporting mainly light to gentle winds and seas
of 2 to 3 ft throughout.

A trough extends from north-central Florida south-southwestward to
just south of Tampa and into the eastern Gulf near 25N84W. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are over the NE Gulf section
while isolated showers and thunderstorms are over the north-
central and west-central sections of the Gulf. A northeast to
southwest oriented mid-level trough will help trigger off
additional shower and thunderstorm over the NE Gulf today and
tonight.

For the forecast, the weak high pressure centered over the
central Gulf will prevail into the middle portion of next week.
Its related generally weak pressure gradient will maintain gentle
to moderate winds and slight to locally moderate seas. A surface
trough will generate fresh to locally strong winds north and west
of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings. These winds will
spread westward away from the peninsula at night as the trough
migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the
western Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South
America is sustaining fresh to strong trades primarily over the
south-central Caribbean. Seas in the range of 8 to 10 ft are with
these trades as noted in overnight satellite altimeter data passes.
Overnight satellite scatterometer data passes indicate moderate to
fresh trades elsewhere. Seas are of moderate state with these
trades. Light to gentle trades are over the northwest part of the
basin. Seas there are 2 to 3 ft.

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are over the eastern
Caribbean from 11N to 15N east of 69W to the vicinity of the
Windward Islands. Similar activity is over the far western part
of the sea from 13N to 16N west of 82W to just inland Honduras
and Nicaragua. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are south of
13N between 80W and the coasts of Costa Rica and northern Panama.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient in place will continue
to support fresh to strong trades and resultant rough seas
primarily over the south-central Caribbean well into next week.
Elsewhere across the basin, expect moderate to fresh trades along
with moderate seas through the period. The exception will be in
the northwest portion of the basin, where light to gentle trades
will change little through the period. A tropical wave currently
over the tropical Atlantic is expected to move across the eastern
Caribbean Tue through early Wed, and across the eastern part of
the central Caribbean during the rest of Wed. Another tropical
wave may approach the Lesser Antilles and far eastern Caribbean
late on Wed. These waves will enhance the trade wind flow across
those waters.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A weak 1016 mb low is near 29N56W, with a trough extending
southwestward to near 28N61W. Another trough extends from
the low northeastward to north of the area at 31N49W. Other
troughs are analyzed from near 27N55W to 25N56W, and from
near 27N41W to 22N47W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms remain
active near these features. Otherwise, high pressure is the main
feature across the basin controlling the general wind regime
throughout. A weak 1019 mb high center is located at 30N68W. A
rather weak pressure gradient is allowing for light to gentle
winds over most of the waters north of about 23N while moderate to
fresh trades are south of 23N. Seas west of 45W and also north of
26N west of 24W are 3 to 5 ft per overnight satellite altimeter
data passes and 5 to 7 ft elsewhere, with the exception of higher
seas of 6 to 8 ft off the coasts of Mauritania and Senegal, where
mostly fresh northeast winds are occurring.

For the forecast west of 55W, the weak pressure gradient will
support light to gentle winds over most of the waters north of
about 23N through the period. Moderate to fresh trades are
expected south of about 23N, with winds pulsing to strong speeds
off northern Hispaniola at night well into next week. Meanwhile,
the northern portion of a tropical wave is expected to move across
the waters S of about 23N and E of the Bahamas next week
freshening the trades. Yet, the northern portion of another
tropical wave may move across the SE portion of the area Wed and
Wed night increasing the trades over those waters.

$$
Aguirre

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 22 14:50:22 2026

423
AXNT20 KNHC 221450
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Aug 22 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1430 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 26W south
of 19N moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is seen from 05N to 10N between 23W
and 27W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 47W south of
20N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is
noted near the wave axis.

Another central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 59W
south of 20N. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No
significant convection is noted near the wave axis.

A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean along 81W south of
20N, It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is active from western Panama to
eastern Nicaragua.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 08N28W, and
northwestward from there to 13N45W and to 13N50W, where it
transitions to the ITCZ to near 12N57W. No significant convection
is noted outside of what is described in the Tropical Waves
section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active along a trough
reaching from northern Georgia to the coast of Louisiana.
Additional showers and thunderstorms are active along a trough off
Veracruz in the southwest Gulf. Elsewhere, ridging prevails
anchored by 1017 mb high pressure near 24N92W. This pattern is
supporting light to gentle breezes and slight seas, except for
moderate winds and 3-5 ft seas over the Bay of Campeche east of
the trough in that area.

For the forecast, the weak high pressure will remain centered
over the basin through the middle of next week, leading to gentle
to moderate winds and generally slight seas. A surface trough will
generate fresh winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in
the early evenings. These winds will spread westward away from the
peninsula each overnight as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the
western Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South
America is sustaining fresh to strong trades primarily over the
south-central Caribbean. Seas in the range of 8 to 9 ft are with
these trades as noted in early morning satellite altimeter data
passes. Overnight satellite scatterometer data passes indicate
moderate to fresh trades elsewhere. Seas are of moderate state
with these trades. Light to gentle trades are over the northwest
part of the basin. Seas there are 2 to 3 ft. In addition to the
showers and thunderstorms from western Panama to eastern Nicaragua
described in the Tropical Wave section above, a cluster of
showers and thunderstorms is active north of Bonaire in the
southeast Caribbean.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic
high pressure and Colombia low pressure will support fresh to
strong trades and resultant rough seas over the south-central
Caribbean through much of next week. Elsewhere, mainly moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light to
gentle winds and slight seas in the NW basin. A pair of tropical
waves crossing the basin next week lead to enhanced winds after
their passages.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

1021 mb high pressure centered between the Bahamas and Bermuda
near 28N70W dominates the far western Atlantic west of 60W.
Moderate SE winds and 3-4 ft seas are noted off Hispaniola and
eastern Cuba, with fresh winds and seas to 5 ft near the northern
entrance to the Windward Passage. Moderate SW winds and 4 ft seas
are noted off northeast Florida, with gentle breezes and slight
seas elsewhere west of 60W. Scattered showers and a few
thunderstorms are active north of 25N and west of 70W, southeast
of an upper trough over the eastern U.S. Farther east, a trough
extends from the north- central Atlantic 1016 mb low pressure near
29N58W to 28N60W. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are active
along this trough. A few thunderstorms are also active near a
trough farther to the south extending from 28N55W to 25N57W.
Elsewhere farther east, the basin in under the influence of broad
1027 mb high pressure centered north of the area near 36N40W. This
pattern is supporting moderate to fresh NE to E winds and 5-7 ft
seas across the basin.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure dominating the
northern parts of the waters will support light to gentle winds N
of 23N through the period. To the south, moderate to fresh trades
will prevail, with locally strong winds pulsing at times offshore
Hispaniola and into the Windward Passage. The northern portion of
a tropical wave will move across the waters S of about 23N and E
of the Bahamas early next week freshening the trades. By Wed, the
northern portion of another tropical wave may move across the SE
portion of the area, increasing the trades over those waters.

$$
Christensen

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 22 14:50:28 2026

545
AXNT20 KNHC 221450
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Aug 22 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1430 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 26W south
of 19N moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is seen from 05N to 10N between 23W
and 27W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 47W south of
20N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is
noted near the wave axis.

Another central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 59W
south of 20N. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No
significant convection is noted near the wave axis.

A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean along 81W south of
20N, It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is active from western Panama to
eastern Nicaragua.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 08N28W, and
northwestward from there to 13N45W and to 13N50W, where it
transitions to the ITCZ to near 12N57W. No significant convection
is noted outside of what is described in the Tropical Waves
section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active along a trough
reaching from northern Georgia to the coast of Louisiana.
Additional showers and thunderstorms are active along a trough off
Veracruz in the southwest Gulf. Elsewhere, ridging prevails
anchored by 1017 mb high pressure near 24N92W. This pattern is
supporting light to gentle breezes and slight seas, except for
moderate winds and 3-5 ft seas over the Bay of Campeche east of
the trough in that area.

For the forecast, the weak high pressure will remain centered
over the basin through the middle of next week, leading to gentle
to moderate winds and generally slight seas. A surface trough will
generate fresh winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in
the early evenings. These winds will spread westward away from the
peninsula each overnight as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the
western Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South
America is sustaining fresh to strong trades primarily over the
south-central Caribbean. Seas in the range of 8 to 9 ft are with
these trades as noted in early morning satellite altimeter data
passes. Overnight satellite scatterometer data passes indicate
moderate to fresh trades elsewhere. Seas are of moderate state
with these trades. Light to gentle trades are over the northwest
part of the basin. Seas there are 2 to 3 ft. In addition to the
showers and thunderstorms from western Panama to eastern Nicaragua
described in the Tropical Wave section above, a cluster of
showers and thunderstorms is active north of Bonaire in the
southeast Caribbean.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic
high pressure and Colombia low pressure will support fresh to
strong trades and resultant rough seas over the south-central
Caribbean through much of next week. Elsewhere, mainly moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light to
gentle winds and slight seas in the NW basin. A pair of tropical
waves crossing the basin next week lead to enhanced winds after
their passages.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

1021 mb high pressure centered between the Bahamas and Bermuda
near 28N70W dominates the far western Atlantic west of 60W.
Moderate SE winds and 3-4 ft seas are noted off Hispaniola and
eastern Cuba, with fresh winds and seas to 5 ft near the northern
entrance to the Windward Passage. Moderate SW winds and 4 ft seas
are noted off northeast Florida, with gentle breezes and slight
seas elsewhere west of 60W. Scattered showers and a few
thunderstorms are active north of 25N and west of 70W, southeast
of an upper trough over the eastern U.S. Farther east, a trough
extends from the north- central Atlantic 1016 mb low pressure near
29N58W to 28N60W. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are active
along this trough. A few thunderstorms are also active near a
trough farther to the south extending from 28N55W to 25N57W.
Elsewhere farther east, the basin in under the influence of broad
1027 mb high pressure centered north of the area near 36N40W. This
pattern is supporting moderate to fresh NE to E winds and 5-7 ft
seas across the basin.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure dominating the
northern parts of the waters will support light to gentle winds N
of 23N through the period. To the south, moderate to fresh trades
will prevail, with locally strong winds pulsing at times offshore
Hispaniola and into the Windward Passage. The northern portion of
a tropical wave will move across the waters S of about 23N and E
of the Bahamas early next week freshening the trades. By Wed, the
northern portion of another tropical wave may move across the SE
portion of the area, increasing the trades over those waters.

$$
Christensen

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 22 22:45:42 2026

920
AXNT20 KNHC 222245
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Aug 23 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2245 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has its axis along 28W south of 19N moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is near the southern end of the wave axis from 05N to
10N between 26W and 32W.

Another tropical wave has its axis along 47W/48W south of 19N
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. A few showers are near the
northern end of the wave axis.

A tropical wave is approaching the Lesser Antilles. Its axis is
along 60W south of 20N. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt.
Convection is limited near the wave axis at this time. However,
moisture associated with this wave is forecast to reach mainly
the Windward Islands tonight into Sun likely increasing the
likelihood of showers.

A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean along 82W south of
20N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. The wave appears to
enhance convection over parts of Panama and Costa Rica as well as
over the Atlantic plains of Nicaragua.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 08N28W, and
northwestward from there to 11N50W. The ITCZ extends from 11N50W
to 11N59W. No significant convection is noted outside of what is
described in the Tropical Waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active across most of the
northern Gulf ahead of surface trough that extends from SE Georgia
to the coast of Louisiana. Additional showers and thunderstorms
are active over the Yucatan Peninsula. Elsewhere, a ridge continues
to dominate the Gulf waters, anchored by 1018 mb high pressure
located near 24N94W. This pattern is supporting light to gentle
winds and slight seas, except for gentle to moderate winds and 3
to 5 ft seas over the Bay of Campeche east of the trough in that
area.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over
the basin into late next week, leading to gentle to moderate
winds and generally slight seas. A surface trough will generate
fresh winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early
evenings, which will pressure further offshore through the Bay of
Campeche during the overnight hours.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
is sustaining fresh to strong trades primarily over the south-
central Caribbean. Seas in the range of 8 to 9 ft are with these
trades as noted in recent altimeter data. Moderate to fresh trades
and moderate seas are elsewhere, except in the NW Caribbean where
light to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are noted.
Convection is flared-up over much of Central America and Cuba,
and over parts of Dominican Republic.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic
high pressure and Colombia low pressure will support fresh to
strong trades and resultant rough seas over the south-central
Caribbean through next week. Elsewhere, mainly moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light to gentle
winds and slight seas in the NW part of the basin. A pair of
tropical waves crossing the Caribbean Sea next week lead to periods
of enhanced winds after their passages.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A 1021 mb high pressure centered between the Bahamas and Bermuda
near 29N68W dominates the western Atlantic west of 60W. A surface
trough extends from 31N75W to 28N80W. Showers and thunderstorms
are associated with this trough. Satellite derived wind data
indicate mainly gentle to moderate winds on either side of the
trough axis. Moderate to locally fresh E to SE winds and seas of
3 to 5 ft are noted off Hispaniola and eastern Cuba, including
approaches to the Windward Passage. Light to gentle winds and
slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere W of 60W. Farther east,
a weak 1016 mb low pressure is located near 29N59W. A trough
extends from the low center to near 27N60W based on scatterometer
data. Scattered showers, with embedded thunderstorms, are ahead
of these features. The remainder of the forecast area in under
the influence of broad 1028 mb high pressure centered north of
the region near 35N41W. This pattern is supporting moderate to
fresh NE to E winds and 5 to 7 ft seas across the basin, with the
exception of fresh to strong N to NE winds and rough seas from
19N to 23N E of 22W to the coasts of Mauritania and Western
Sahara. A cold front is approaching the Madeira Islands. Some
shower activity is along the frontal boundary.

For the forecast west of 55W, weak low pressure that has developed
well SE of Bermuda will drift west through the weekend then lift
northward and out of the region Mon. Otherwise, high pressure
will maintain light to gentle winds N of 23N through the period.
To the south, moderate to fresh trades will prevail, with locally
strong winds pulsing at times offshore Hispaniola and into the
Windward Passage. The northern portion of a tropical wave will
move across the waters S of about 23N and E of the Bahamas early
next week freshening the trades. By Wed, the northern portion of
another tropical wave may move across the SE portion of the area,
increasing the trades over those waters.

$$
GR

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 22 22:45:42 2026

919
AXNT20 KNHC 222245
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Aug 23 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2245 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has its axis along 28W south of 19N moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is near the southern end of the wave axis from 05N to
10N between 26W and 32W.

Another tropical wave has its axis along 47W/48W south of 19N
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. A few showers are near the
northern end of the wave axis.

A tropical wave is approaching the Lesser Antilles. Its axis is
along 60W south of 20N. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt.
Convection is limited near the wave axis at this time. However,
moisture associated with this wave is forecast to reach mainly
the Windward Islands tonight into Sun likely increasing the
likelihood of showers.

A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean along 82W south of
20N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. The wave appears to
enhance convection over parts of Panama and Costa Rica as well as
over the Atlantic plains of Nicaragua.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 08N28W, and
northwestward from there to 11N50W. The ITCZ extends from 11N50W
to 11N59W. No significant convection is noted outside of what is
described in the Tropical Waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active across most of the
northern Gulf ahead of surface trough that extends from SE Georgia
to the coast of Louisiana. Additional showers and thunderstorms
are active over the Yucatan Peninsula. Elsewhere, a ridge continues
to dominate the Gulf waters, anchored by 1018 mb high pressure
located near 24N94W. This pattern is supporting light to gentle
winds and slight seas, except for gentle to moderate winds and 3
to 5 ft seas over the Bay of Campeche east of the trough in that
area.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over
the basin into late next week, leading to gentle to moderate
winds and generally slight seas. A surface trough will generate
fresh winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early
evenings, which will pressure further offshore through the Bay of
Campeche during the overnight hours.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
is sustaining fresh to strong trades primarily over the south-
central Caribbean. Seas in the range of 8 to 9 ft are with these
trades as noted in recent altimeter data. Moderate to fresh trades
and moderate seas are elsewhere, except in the NW Caribbean where
light to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are noted.
Convection is flared-up over much of Central America and Cuba,
and over parts of Dominican Republic.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic
high pressure and Colombia low pressure will support fresh to
strong trades and resultant rough seas over the south-central
Caribbean through next week. Elsewhere, mainly moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light to gentle
winds and slight seas in the NW part of the basin. A pair of
tropical waves crossing the Caribbean Sea next week lead to periods
of enhanced winds after their passages.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A 1021 mb high pressure centered between the Bahamas and Bermuda
near 29N68W dominates the western Atlantic west of 60W. A surface
trough extends from 31N75W to 28N80W. Showers and thunderstorms
are associated with this trough. Satellite derived wind data
indicate mainly gentle to moderate winds on either side of the
trough axis. Moderate to locally fresh E to SE winds and seas of
3 to 5 ft are noted off Hispaniola and eastern Cuba, including
approaches to the Windward Passage. Light to gentle winds and
slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere W of 60W. Farther east,
a weak 1016 mb low pressure is located near 29N59W. A trough
extends from the low center to near 27N60W based on scatterometer
data. Scattered showers, with embedded thunderstorms, are ahead
of these features. The remainder of the forecast area in under
the influence of broad 1028 mb high pressure centered north of
the region near 35N41W. This pattern is supporting moderate to
fresh NE to E winds and 5 to 7 ft seas across the basin, with the
exception of fresh to strong N to NE winds and rough seas from
19N to 23N E of 22W to the coasts of Mauritania and Western
Sahara. A cold front is approaching the Madeira Islands. Some
shower activity is along the frontal boundary.

For the forecast west of 55W, weak low pressure that has developed
well SE of Bermuda will drift west through the weekend then lift
northward and out of the region Mon. Otherwise, high pressure
will maintain light to gentle winds N of 23N through the period.
To the south, moderate to fresh trades will prevail, with locally
strong winds pulsing at times offshore Hispaniola and into the
Windward Passage. The northern portion of a tropical wave will
move across the waters S of about 23N and E of the Bahamas early
next week freshening the trades. By Wed, the northern portion of
another tropical wave may move across the SE portion of the area,
increasing the trades over those waters.

$$
GR

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Aug 23 03:58:50 2026

655
AXNT20 KNHC 230358
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Aug 23 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0330 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has its axis along 30W south of 19N moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is near the southern end of the wave axis from 05N to
10N between 28W and 35W.

Another tropical wave has its axis along 50W south of 19N moving
westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is noted with
this feature at this time.

A tropical wave is over the Lesser Antilles, with axis along 62W
south of 20N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Convection is
limited near the wave axis at this time.

A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean along 84W south of
21N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. The wave appears to enhance
convection over parts of Panama and Costa Rica.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Africa
near 20N17W and continues southwestward to 07N35W. The ITCZ
extends from 07N35W to 07N45W. Aside from the convection described
in the section above, scattered showers are noted along the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over the Yucatan
Peninsula. Elsewhere, a surface ridge continues to dominate the
Gulf waters, anchored by 1018 mb high pressure located near
25N95W. This pattern is supporting light to gentle winds and
slight seas, except for gentle to moderate winds and 3 to 5 ft
seas over the Bay of Campeche east of the trough in that area.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over the
basin into late next week, leading to gentle to moderate winds
and generally slight seas. A surface trough will generate fresh
winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early
evenings, which will pressure further offshore through the Bay
of Campeche during the overnight hours.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
is sustaining fresh to strong trades primarily over the south-
central Caribbean. Seas up to 8 ft are with these trades as noted
in recent altimeter data. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate
seas are elsewhere, except in the NW Caribbean where light to
gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are noted.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to support
fresh to strong trades and rough seas over the south-central
Caribbean through next week. Elsewhere, mainly moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light to gentle
winds and slight seas in the NW part of the basin. A weak tropical
wave just west of the Lesser Antilles will move across the basin
during the upcoming week. Another weak tropical wave will enter
the eastern Caribbean Mon night and reach the western part of the
basin late in the week. Yet, another tropical wave may approach
the Lesser Antilles and far eastern Caribbean late on Wed and move
across the eastern Caribbean Thu and Thu night. The gradient
associated with these waves will lead to periods of enhanced winds
after their passages.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A 1020 mb high pressure centered between the Bahamas and Bermuda
near 28N74W dominates the western Atlantic west of 60W. A surface
trough extends from 31N79W to 24N79W. Showers and thunderstorms
are associated with this trough. Satellite derived wind data
indicate mainly gentle to moderate winds on either side of the
trough axis. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds and seas of 3 to 5
ft are noted off Hispaniola and eastern Cuba, including approaches
to the Windward Passage. Light to gentle winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail elsewhere W of 60W. Farther east, a weak
1018 mb low pressure is located near 30N59W. A trough extends
from the low center to near 28N61W based on scatterometer data.
Scattered showers, with embedded thunderstorms, are ahead of these
features. The remainder of the forecast area in under the
influence of broad 1028 mb high pressure centered north of the
region near 35N42W. This pattern is supporting moderate to fresh
NE to E winds and 5 to 7 ft seas across the basin, with the
exception of fresh to strong N to NE winds and rough seas from 19N
to 23N E of 22W to the coasts of Mauritania and Western Sahara. A
cold front is approaching the Madeira Islands. Some shower
activity is along the frontal boundary.

For the forecast west of 55W, the low will drift westward
on Sun, then accelerate northward early next week. Otherwise,
high pressure will maintain light to gentle winds N of 23N through
the period. To the south, moderate to fresh trades will prevail,
with locally strong winds pulsing at times offshore Hispaniola and
into the Windward Passage. The northern portion of a tropical
wave will move across the waters S of about 23N and E of the
Bahamas early next week freshening the trades. By Wed, the
northern portion of another tropical wave may move across the SE
portion of the area, increasing the trades over those waters.

$$
ERA

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Aug 23 03:58:54 2026

788
AXNT20 KNHC 230358
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Aug 23 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0330 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has its axis along 30W south of 19N moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is near the southern end of the wave axis from 05N to
10N between 28W and 35W.

Another tropical wave has its axis along 50W south of 19N moving
westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is noted with
this feature at this time.

A tropical wave is over the Lesser Antilles, with axis along 62W
south of 20N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Convection is
limited near the wave axis at this time.

A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean along 84W south of
21N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. The wave appears to enhance
convection over parts of Panama and Costa Rica.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Africa
near 20N17W and continues southwestward to 07N35W. The ITCZ
extends from 07N35W to 07N45W. Aside from the convection described
in the section above, scattered showers are noted along the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over the Yucatan
Peninsula. Elsewhere, a surface ridge continues to dominate the
Gulf waters, anchored by 1018 mb high pressure located near
25N95W. This pattern is supporting light to gentle winds and
slight seas, except for gentle to moderate winds and 3 to 5 ft
seas over the Bay of Campeche east of the trough in that area.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over the
basin into late next week, leading to gentle to moderate winds
and generally slight seas. A surface trough will generate fresh
winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early
evenings, which will pressure further offshore through the Bay
of Campeche during the overnight hours.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
is sustaining fresh to strong trades primarily over the south-
central Caribbean. Seas up to 8 ft are with these trades as noted
in recent altimeter data. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate
seas are elsewhere, except in the NW Caribbean where light to
gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are noted.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to support
fresh to strong trades and rough seas over the south-central
Caribbean through next week. Elsewhere, mainly moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light to gentle
winds and slight seas in the NW part of the basin. A weak tropical
wave just west of the Lesser Antilles will move across the basin
during the upcoming week. Another weak tropical wave will enter
the eastern Caribbean Mon night and reach the western part of the
basin late in the week. Yet, another tropical wave may approach
the Lesser Antilles and far eastern Caribbean late on Wed and move
across the eastern Caribbean Thu and Thu night. The gradient
associated with these waves will lead to periods of enhanced winds
after their passages.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A 1020 mb high pressure centered between the Bahamas and Bermuda
near 28N74W dominates the western Atlantic west of 60W. A surface
trough extends from 31N79W to 24N79W. Showers and thunderstorms
are associated with this trough. Satellite derived wind data
indicate mainly gentle to moderate winds on either side of the
trough axis. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds and seas of 3 to 5
ft are noted off Hispaniola and eastern Cuba, including approaches
to the Windward Passage. Light to gentle winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail elsewhere W of 60W. Farther east, a weak
1018 mb low pressure is located near 30N59W. A trough extends
from the low center to near 28N61W based on scatterometer data.
Scattered showers, with embedded thunderstorms, are ahead of these
features. The remainder of the forecast area in under the
influence of broad 1028 mb high pressure centered north of the
region near 35N42W. This pattern is supporting moderate to fresh
NE to E winds and 5 to 7 ft seas across the basin, with the
exception of fresh to strong N to NE winds and rough seas from 19N
to 23N E of 22W to the coasts of Mauritania and Western Sahara. A
cold front is approaching the Madeira Islands. Some shower
activity is along the frontal boundary.

For the forecast west of 55W, the low will drift westward
on Sun, then accelerate northward early next week. Otherwise,
high pressure will maintain light to gentle winds N of 23N through
the period. To the south, moderate to fresh trades will prevail,
with locally strong winds pulsing at times offshore Hispaniola and
into the Windward Passage. The northern portion of a tropical
wave will move across the waters S of about 23N and E of the
Bahamas early next week freshening the trades. By Wed, the
northern portion of another tropical wave may move across the SE
portion of the area, increasing the trades over those waters.

$$
ERA

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Aug 23 10:47:06 2026

679
AXNT20 KNHC 231046
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Aug 23 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1030 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 30W south of
19N moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is within 240 nm west of the southern
portion of the wave axis from 05N to 09N.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 51W south of
20N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is near the northern portion of the wave from 18N to 20N between
the wave and 48W.

An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave has its axis along 63W
south of 20N. It is moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms are noted within 180 nm east of the
wave axis from 12N to 16N, including over some sections of the
Lesser Antilles.

A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 85W south of
21N, and is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Only isolated showers
are near the wave axis. To the south over the far southwestern
section of the basin, numerous strong convection is just offshore
Costa Rica and northern Panama. Some of this activity extends
inland northern Costa Rica.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 20N16W and continues southwestward to 12N23W and
west-southwestward to 08N32W and to 07N40W, where it transitions
to the ITCZ to near 10N48W. Aside from the convection described
in the section above, scattered moderate convection is within
30 nm of the trough between 19W-21W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Relatively weak high pressure, anchored by a 1017 mb high center
over the west-central Gulf is generally allowing for gentle to
moderate winds. Slight seas are present throughout the basin
per buoy observations and a couple of overnight satellite
altimeter data passes.

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms remain quite
active over the Yucatan Peninsula and over southeastern
Mexico. Abundant upper moisture from the eastern Pacific is
advecting eastward over southern Mexico, the southwestern Gulf
and toward the Yucatan Peninsula.

For the forecast, the high pressure will remain centered over
central Gulf through midweek generally maintaining gentle to
moderate winds and generally slight seas. Atlantic high pressure
will then build westward into the central Gulf afterward. A
surface trough will generate fresh winds north and west of the
Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the period. The
trough will push further offshore through the Bay of Campeche
during the overnight hours.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
is sustaining fresh to strong trades primarily over the south-
central Caribbean. Seas up to 8 ft are with these trades as
detected in overnight satellite altimeter data passes. Moderate
to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere, except in the NW
Caribbean where light to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas
are noted.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are over the central part of
the basin from 13N to 19N between 68W and 70W and over the waters
between Jamaica and Haiti, reaching to the Windward Passage.

For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure gradient between
the western Atlantic high pressure and relatively lower pressure
in northern South America will continue to maintain fresh to
strong trades and resultant rough seas over the south-central
Caribbean through next week. Elsewhere, mainly moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light to gentle
winds and slight seas in the NW part of the basin. A weak tropical
wave over the far eastern Caribbean near 63W will move across the
basin during the upcoming week. Another weak tropical wave will
enter the eastern Caribbean Mon night and reach the western part
of the basin late in the week. Yet, another tropical wave may
approach the Lesser Antilles and far eastern Caribbean late on
Wed, then move across the eastern Caribbean Thu and Thu night.
The gradient associated with these waves will lead to periods of
enhanced winds after their passages. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms near these waves may be capable of producing strong
gusty winds.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

High pressure is over the majority of the Atlantic waters. It is
on the weak side over the western half of the basin. A 1019 mb
high center is analyzed near 29N70W. To its east, a surface
trough extends from near 31N58.5W to a weak 1018 mb low pressure
at 30N59W, and continues from the low pressure to 27N61W. This
system is part of a broad low pressure area that is located a few
hundred nautical miles SE of Bermuda. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are present N of 24N betwen 55W and 63W. Moderate
to fresh southeast winds are east of the trough to near 50W while
light and variable winds are west of the trough to near 73W. Seas
are 3 to 5 ft west of about 50W. The remainder of the basin
is under the influence of a broad 1027 mb high pressure that
is analyzed N of he region at 36N42.5W. The related pressure
gradient is sustaining moderate to fresh northeast to east winds
from 10N to 25N east of 50W, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. A cold
front extends from near 31N17W to 30N45W, and extends
northwestward from there to 33N35W. Broken to overcast low to
mid-level clouds along with possible isolated showers are
along and near the frontal boundary.

For the forecast west of 55W, the low pressure SE of Bermuda will
drift westward on Sun, then accelerate northward early next week.
Otherwise, high pressure will maintain light to gentle winds N of
23N through the period. To the south, moderate to fresh trades
will prevail, with locally strong winds pulsing at times offshore
Hispaniola and into the Windward Passage. The northern portion of
a tropical wave will move across the waters S of about 23N and E
of the Bahamas early next week freshening the trades. By Wed, the
northern portion of another tropical wave may move across the SE
portion of the area, increasing the trades over those waters.

$$
Aguirre

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Aug 23 10:47:10 2026

769
AXNT20 KNHC 231046
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Aug 23 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1030 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 30W south of
19N moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is within 240 nm west of the southern
portion of the wave axis from 05N to 09N.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 51W south of
20N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is near the northern portion of the wave from 18N to 20N between
the wave and 48W.

An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave has its axis along 63W
south of 20N. It is moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms are noted within 180 nm east of the
wave axis from 12N to 16N, including over some sections of the
Lesser Antilles.

A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 85W south of
21N, and is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Only isolated showers
are near the wave axis. To the south over the far southwestern
section of the basin, numerous strong convection is just offshore
Costa Rica and northern Panama. Some of this activity extends
inland northern Costa Rica.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 20N16W and continues southwestward to 12N23W and
west-southwestward to 08N32W and to 07N40W, where it transitions
to the ITCZ to near 10N48W. Aside from the convection described
in the section above, scattered moderate convection is within
30 nm of the trough between 19W-21W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Relatively weak high pressure, anchored by a 1017 mb high center
over the west-central Gulf is generally allowing for gentle to
moderate winds. Slight seas are present throughout the basin
per buoy observations and a couple of overnight satellite
altimeter data passes.

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms remain quite
active over the Yucatan Peninsula and over southeastern
Mexico. Abundant upper moisture from the eastern Pacific is
advecting eastward over southern Mexico, the southwestern Gulf
and toward the Yucatan Peninsula.

For the forecast, the high pressure will remain centered over
central Gulf through midweek generally maintaining gentle to
moderate winds and generally slight seas. Atlantic high pressure
will then build westward into the central Gulf afterward. A
surface trough will generate fresh winds north and west of the
Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the period. The
trough will push further offshore through the Bay of Campeche
during the overnight hours.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
is sustaining fresh to strong trades primarily over the south-
central Caribbean. Seas up to 8 ft are with these trades as
detected in overnight satellite altimeter data passes. Moderate
to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere, except in the NW
Caribbean where light to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas
are noted.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are over the central part of
the basin from 13N to 19N between 68W and 70W and over the waters
between Jamaica and Haiti, reaching to the Windward Passage.

For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure gradient between
the western Atlantic high pressure and relatively lower pressure
in northern South America will continue to maintain fresh to
strong trades and resultant rough seas over the south-central
Caribbean through next week. Elsewhere, mainly moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light to gentle
winds and slight seas in the NW part of the basin. A weak tropical
wave over the far eastern Caribbean near 63W will move across the
basin during the upcoming week. Another weak tropical wave will
enter the eastern Caribbean Mon night and reach the western part
of the basin late in the week. Yet, another tropical wave may
approach the Lesser Antilles and far eastern Caribbean late on
Wed, then move across the eastern Caribbean Thu and Thu night.
The gradient associated with these waves will lead to periods of
enhanced winds after their passages. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms near these waves may be capable of producing strong
gusty winds.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

High pressure is over the majority of the Atlantic waters. It is
on the weak side over the western half of the basin. A 1019 mb
high center is analyzed near 29N70W. To its east, a surface
trough extends from near 31N58.5W to a weak 1018 mb low pressure
at 30N59W, and continues from the low pressure to 27N61W. This
system is part of a broad low pressure area that is located a few
hundred nautical miles SE of Bermuda. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are present N of 24N betwen 55W and 63W. Moderate
to fresh southeast winds are east of the trough to near 50W while
light and variable winds are west of the trough to near 73W. Seas
are 3 to 5 ft west of about 50W. The remainder of the basin
is under the influence of a broad 1027 mb high pressure that
is analyzed N of he region at 36N42.5W. The related pressure
gradient is sustaining moderate to fresh northeast to east winds
from 10N to 25N east of 50W, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. A cold
front extends from near 31N17W to 30N45W, and extends
northwestward from there to 33N35W. Broken to overcast low to
mid-level clouds along with possible isolated showers are
along and near the frontal boundary.

For the forecast west of 55W, the low pressure SE of Bermuda will
drift westward on Sun, then accelerate northward early next week.
Otherwise, high pressure will maintain light to gentle winds N of
23N through the period. To the south, moderate to fresh trades
will prevail, with locally strong winds pulsing at times offshore
Hispaniola and into the Windward Passage. The northern portion of
a tropical wave will move across the waters S of about 23N and E
of the Bahamas early next week freshening the trades. By Wed, the
northern portion of another tropical wave may move across the SE
portion of the area, increasing the trades over those waters.

$$
Aguirre

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Aug 23 10:53:36 2026

424
AXNT20 KNHC 231053
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Aug 23 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1045 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 30W south of
19N moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is within 240 nm west of the southern
portion of the wave axis from 05N to 09N.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 51W south of
20N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is near the northern portion of the wave from 18N to 20N between
the wave and 48W.

An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave has its axis along 63W
south of 20N. It is moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms are noted within 180 nm east of the
wave axis from 12N to 16N, including over some sections of the
Lesser Antilles.

A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 85W south of
21N, and is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Only isolated showers
are near the wave axis. To the south over the far southwestern
section of the basin, numerous strong convection is just offshore
Costa Rica and northern Panama. Some of this activity extends
inland northern Costa Rica.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 20N16W and continues southwestward to 12N23W and
west-southwestward to 08N32W and to 07N40W, where it transitions
to the ITCZ to near 10N48W. Aside from the convection described
in the section above, scattered moderate convection is within
30 nm of the trough between 19W-21W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Relatively weak high pressure, anchored by a 1017 mb high center
over the west-central Gulf, is generally allowing for gentle to
moderate winds. Slight seas are present throughout the basin per
buoy observations and a couple of overnight satellite altimeter data
passes.

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms remain quite
active over the Yucatan Peninsula and over southeastern
Mexico. Abundant upper moisture from the eastern Pacific is
advecting eastward over southern Mexico, the southwestern Gulf
and toward the Yucatan Peninsula.

For the forecast, the high pressure will remain centered over
central Gulf through midweek generally maintaining gentle to
moderate winds and generally slight seas. Atlantic high pressure
will then build westward into the central Gulf afterward. A
surface trough will generate fresh winds north and west of the
Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the period. The
trough will push further offshore through the Bay of Campeche
during the overnight hours.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
is sustaining fresh to strong trades primarily over the south-
central Caribbean. Seas up to 8 ft are with these trades as
detected in overnight satellite altimeter data passes. Moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere, except over the
northwestern part of the Caribbean, where light to gentle winds and
slight to moderate seas are present.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are over the central part of the
basin from 13N to 19N between 68W and 70W, and over the waters
between Jamaica and Haiti, reaching to the Windward Passage.

For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure gradient between
the western Atlantic high pressure and relatively lower pressure
in northern South America will continue to maintain fresh to
strong trades and resultant rough seas over the south-central
Caribbean through next week. Elsewhere, mainly moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light to gentle
winds and slight seas in the NW part of the basin. A weak tropical
wave over the far eastern Caribbean near 63W will move across the
basin during the upcoming week. Another weak tropical wave will
enter the eastern Caribbean Mon night and reach the western part
of the basin late in the week. Yet, another tropical wave may
approach the Lesser Antilles and far eastern Caribbean late on
Wed, then move across the eastern Caribbean Thu and Thu night.
The gradient associated with these waves will lead to periods of
enhanced winds after their passages. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms near these waves may be capable of producing strong
gusty winds.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

High pressure is over the majority of the Atlantic waters. It is
on the weak side over the western half of the basin. A 1019 mb
high center is analyzed near 29N70W. To its east, a surface
trough extends from near 31N58.5W to a weak 1018 mb low pressure
at 30N59W, and continues from the low pressure to 27N61W. This
system is part of a broad low pressure area that is located a few
hundred nautical miles SE of Bermuda. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are present N of 24N between 55W and 63W. Moderate
to fresh southeast winds are east of the trough to near 50W while
light and variable winds are west of the trough to near 73W. Seas
are 3 to 5 ft west of about 50W. The remainder of the basin
is under the influence of a broad 1027 mb high pressure that
is analyzed N of he region at 36N42.5W. The related pressure
gradient is sustaining moderate to fresh northeast to east winds
from 10N to 25N east of 50W, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. A cold front
extends from near 31N17W to 30N45W, and continues northwestward from
there to near 33N35W. Broken to overcast low to mid-level clouds
along with possible isolated showers are along and near the frontal
boundary.

For the forecast west of 55W, the low pressure SE of Bermuda will
drift westward on Sun, then accelerate northward early next week.
Otherwise, high pressure will maintain light to gentle winds N of
23N through the period. To the south, moderate to fresh trades
will prevail, with locally strong winds pulsing at times offshore
Hispaniola and into the Windward Passage. The northern portion of
a tropical wave will move across the waters S of about 23N and E
of the Bahamas early next week freshening the trades. By Wed, the
northern portion of another tropical wave may move across the SE
portion of the area, increasing the trades over those waters.

$$
Aguirre

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Aug 23 14:28:38 2026

948
AXNT20 KNHC 231428
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Aug 23 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1300 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 33W south of
19N, moving quickly westward at 20 to 25 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 04N to 09N between 31W and 39W, and from
11N to 13N between 34W and 36W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 53W south of
20N, moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is near the northern portion of the wave from 19N to
23N between 47W and 53W. This wave was seen nicely at the surface
by recent ASCAT scatterometer data.

An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave has its axis along 66W
south of 20N along eastern Puerto Rico to north-central Venezuela,
moving quickly westward at 20 to 25 kt. A small patch of scattered
moderate convection is noted from 14N to 16N between 67W and 71W.

A northwestern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 86W
south of 21N from near the Yucatan Channel to central Honduras,
moving westward at around 10 kt. Only isolated to widely scattered
showers are near the wave axis. To the south over the far
southwestern section of the Caribbean basin, scattered to numerous
moderate to strong convection is noted just behind the wave and
near the eastern extend of the eastern Pacific monsoon trough
from 06N to 13N between 79W and 89W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 16N16W and continues southwestward to 06N42W. The ITCZ
extends from 06N42W to 07N51W, then resumes west of a tropical
wave from 09N55W to the coast of Venezuela at 09N61W. Aside from
the convection described in the section above, scattered moderate
convection is noted from 13N to 17N between 19W and 24N
approaching portions of the Cabo Verde Islands, and from 07N to
10N between 23W and 26W. This convection may be associated with or
out ahead of the next tropical wave to emerge off the coast of
Africa.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Relatively weak high pressure, anchored by a 1018 mb high center
over the north-central Gulf at 27.5N90.5W, is generally allowing
for anticyclonic light to gentle winds across the basin Slight
seas are present throughout the basin per buoy observations.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms remain are active
over the Yucatan Peninsula and the southwestern Gulf offshore
Veracruz, Mexico where a surface trough is present, and due to
abundant upper moisture from the eastern Pacific which continues
to advect eastward over southern Mexico. Isolated to widely
scattered convection is also present near the coast of Florida
just south of Apalachee Bay, and from offshore Tampa Bay west-
southwestward about 300 nm, likely induced by a weak low-level
trough.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over
central Gulf through midweek, with the western Atlantic ridge
building westward into the basin thereafter. This will maintain
gentle to moderate winds and mainly slight seas through the week.
A surface trough will generate fresh winds north and west of the
Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the period. The
trough will push further offshore through the Bay of Campeche
during the overnight hours.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Tropical Waves section above for details on
convection in the basin, mainly confined to the southwest portion.

The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
is sustaining fresh to locally strong trades primarily over the
south-central Caribbean. Seas up to around 8 ft are with these
trades. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere,
except over the northwestern part of the Caribbean north of 20N,
where light to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are
present.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic
high pressure and low pressure in northern South America continue
to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant rough seas over
the south-central Caribbean through the week. Elsewhere, mainly
moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside
from light to gentle winds and slight seas in the NW part of the
basin. Winds will occasionally increase through the week following
passages of a series of relatively weak tropical waves that will
quickly move west across the basin.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Low pressure of 1015 mb, Invest AL95, is centered near 28N60W.
Some fresh to locally strong winds are found near this low, north
of 28N between 55W and 60W. Scattered to numerous moderate
isolated strong convection is present north of 23N between 49W and
62W. Elongated surface troughing extends from north of the area
well offshore the Carolinas through 31N78W to near Fort Pierce,
Florida. Some isolated to widely scattered showers and
thunderstorms are seen on infrared satellite imagery from the
northern Bahamas northward within 120-240 nm either side of the
trough. To the east, a cold front extends from near the Iberian
Peninsula southwestward through 31N16W to 29N26W to 1020 mb low
pressure near 30N29W, then northwestward as a frontal trough.
Limited convection is near these features. Rough seas are found
north of the front. Across the remainder of the basin, high
pressure weak ridging dominates with a 1020 high north of the area
near 35N44W. Moderate to fresh trades are found from 10N to 22N
north of the monsoon trough between the Cabo Verde ISlands and
42W, and in a belt from there to near the low pressure area, AL95.
Winds are moderate or weaker across the remainder of the waters.
Seas are slight north of 20N and west of 60W, and moderate across
the remainder of the waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, the low pressure of 1015 mb
centered near 28N60W is forecast to drift northwest today, then
accelerate northward and out of the basin Mon. There is a low
chance of tropical development of this low over the next 48 hours.
Otherwise, high pressure will maintain light to gentle winds N of
23N through the period. To the south, moderate to fresh trades
will prevail, with locally strong winds pulsing at times offshore
Hispaniola and into the Windward Passage. The northern portion of
a tropical wave will move across the waters S of about 23N and E
of the Bahamas early next week freshening the trades. By Wed, the
northern portion of another tropical wave may move across the SE
portion of the area, increasing the trades over those waters.

$$
Lewitsky

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Aug 23 14:28:38 2026

862
AXNT20 KNHC 231428
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Aug 23 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1300 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 33W south of
19N, moving quickly westward at 20 to 25 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 04N to 09N between 31W and 39W, and from
11N to 13N between 34W and 36W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 53W south of
20N, moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is near the northern portion of the wave from 19N to
23N between 47W and 53W. This wave was seen nicely at the surface
by recent ASCAT scatterometer data.

An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave has its axis along 66W
south of 20N along eastern Puerto Rico to north-central Venezuela,
moving quickly westward at 20 to 25 kt. A small patch of scattered
moderate convection is noted from 14N to 16N between 67W and 71W.

A northwestern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 86W
south of 21N from near the Yucatan Channel to central Honduras,
moving westward at around 10 kt. Only isolated to widely scattered
showers are near the wave axis. To the south over the far
southwestern section of the Caribbean basin, scattered to numerous
moderate to strong convection is noted just behind the wave and
near the eastern extend of the eastern Pacific monsoon trough
from 06N to 13N between 79W and 89W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 16N16W and continues southwestward to 06N42W. The ITCZ
extends from 06N42W to 07N51W, then resumes west of a tropical
wave from 09N55W to the coast of Venezuela at 09N61W. Aside from
the convection described in the section above, scattered moderate
convection is noted from 13N to 17N between 19W and 24N
approaching portions of the Cabo Verde Islands, and from 07N to
10N between 23W and 26W. This convection may be associated with or
out ahead of the next tropical wave to emerge off the coast of
Africa.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Relatively weak high pressure, anchored by a 1018 mb high center
over the north-central Gulf at 27.5N90.5W, is generally allowing
for anticyclonic light to gentle winds across the basin Slight
seas are present throughout the basin per buoy observations.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms remain are active
over the Yucatan Peninsula and the southwestern Gulf offshore
Veracruz, Mexico where a surface trough is present, and due to
abundant upper moisture from the eastern Pacific which continues
to advect eastward over southern Mexico. Isolated to widely
scattered convection is also present near the coast of Florida
just south of Apalachee Bay, and from offshore Tampa Bay west-
southwestward about 300 nm, likely induced by a weak low-level
trough.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over
central Gulf through midweek, with the western Atlantic ridge
building westward into the basin thereafter. This will maintain
gentle to moderate winds and mainly slight seas through the week.
A surface trough will generate fresh winds north and west of the
Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the period. The
trough will push further offshore through the Bay of Campeche
during the overnight hours.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Tropical Waves section above for details on
convection in the basin, mainly confined to the southwest portion.

The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
is sustaining fresh to locally strong trades primarily over the
south-central Caribbean. Seas up to around 8 ft are with these
trades. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere,
except over the northwestern part of the Caribbean north of 20N,
where light to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are
present.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic
high pressure and low pressure in northern South America continue
to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant rough seas over
the south-central Caribbean through the week. Elsewhere, mainly
moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside
from light to gentle winds and slight seas in the NW part of the
basin. Winds will occasionally increase through the week following
passages of a series of relatively weak tropical waves that will
quickly move west across the basin.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Low pressure of 1015 mb, Invest AL95, is centered near 28N60W.
Some fresh to locally strong winds are found near this low, north
of 28N between 55W and 60W. Scattered to numerous moderate
isolated strong convection is present north of 23N between 49W and
62W. Elongated surface troughing extends from north of the area
well offshore the Carolinas through 31N78W to near Fort Pierce,
Florida. Some isolated to widely scattered showers and
thunderstorms are seen on infrared satellite imagery from the
northern Bahamas northward within 120-240 nm either side of the
trough. To the east, a cold front extends from near the Iberian
Peninsula southwestward through 31N16W to 29N26W to 1020 mb low
pressure near 30N29W, then northwestward as a frontal trough.
Limited convection is near these features. Rough seas are found
north of the front. Across the remainder of the basin, high
pressure weak ridging dominates with a 1020 high north of the area
near 35N44W. Moderate to fresh trades are found from 10N to 22N
north of the monsoon trough between the Cabo Verde ISlands and
42W, and in a belt from there to near the low pressure area, AL95.
Winds are moderate or weaker across the remainder of the waters.
Seas are slight north of 20N and west of 60W, and moderate across
the remainder of the waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, the low pressure of 1015 mb
centered near 28N60W is forecast to drift northwest today, then
accelerate northward and out of the basin Mon. There is a low
chance of tropical development of this low over the next 48 hours.
Otherwise, high pressure will maintain light to gentle winds N of
23N through the period. To the south, moderate to fresh trades
will prevail, with locally strong winds pulsing at times offshore
Hispaniola and into the Windward Passage. The northern portion of
a tropical wave will move across the waters S of about 23N and E
of the Bahamas early next week freshening the trades. By Wed, the
northern portion of another tropical wave may move across the SE
portion of the area, increasing the trades over those waters.

$$
Lewitsky

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Aug 23 15:53:14 2026

013
AXNT20 KNHC 231552
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Aug 23 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1300 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 33W south of
19N, moving quickly westward at 20 to 25 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 04N to 09N between 31W and 39W, and from
11N to 13N between 34W and 36W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 53W south of
20N, moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is near the northern portion of the wave from 19N to
23N between 47W and 53W. This wave was seen nicely at the surface
by recent ASCAT scatterometer data.

An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave has its axis along 66W
south of 20N along eastern Puerto Rico to north-central Venezuela,
moving quickly westward at 20 to 25 kt. A small patch of scattered
moderate convection is noted from 14N to 16N between 67W and 71W.

A northwestern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 86W
south of 21N from near the Yucatan Channel to central Honduras,
moving westward at around 10 kt. Only isolated to widely scattered
showers are near the wave axis. To the south over the far
southwestern section of the Caribbean basin, scattered to numerous
moderate to strong convection is noted just behind the wave and
near the eastern extend of the eastern Pacific monsoon trough
from 06N to 13N between 79W and 89W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 16N16W and continues southwestward to 06N42W. The ITCZ
extends from 06N42W to 07N51W, then resumes west of a tropical
wave from 09N55W to the coast of Venezuela at 09N61W. Aside from
the convection described in the section above, scattered moderate
convection is noted from 13N to 17N between 19W and 24N
approaching portions of the Cabo Verde Islands, and from 07N to
10N between 23W and 26W. This convection may be associated with or
out ahead of the next tropical wave to emerge off the coast of
Africa.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Relatively weak high pressure, anchored by a 1018 mb high center
over the north-central Gulf at 27.5N90.5W, is generally allowing
for anticyclonic light to gentle winds across the basin Slight
seas are present throughout the basin per buoy observations.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms remain are active
over the Yucatan Peninsula and the southwestern Gulf offshore
Veracruz, Mexico where a surface trough is present, and due to
abundant upper moisture from the eastern Pacific which continues
to advect eastward over southern Mexico. Isolated to widely
scattered convection is also present near the coast of Florida
just south of Apalachee Bay, and from offshore Tampa Bay west-
southwestward about 300 nm, likely induced by a weak low-level
trough.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over
central Gulf through midweek, with the western Atlantic ridge
building westward into the basin thereafter. This will maintain
gentle to moderate winds and mainly slight seas through the week.
A surface trough will generate fresh winds north and west of the
Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the period. The
trough will push further offshore through the Bay of Campeche
during the overnight hours.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Tropical Waves section above for details on
convection in the basin, mainly confined to the southwest portion.

The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
is sustaining fresh to locally strong trades primarily over the
south-central Caribbean. Seas up to around 8 ft are with these
trades. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere,
except over the northwestern part of the Caribbean north of 20N,
where light to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are
present.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic
high pressure and low pressure in northern South America continue
to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant rough seas over
the south-central Caribbean through the week. Elsewhere, mainly
moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside
from light to gentle winds and slight seas in the NW part of the
basin. Winds will occasionally increase through the week following
passages of a series of relatively weak tropical waves that will
quickly move west across the basin.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Low pressure of 1015 mb, Invest AL95, is centered near 28N60W.
Some fresh to locally strong winds are found near this low, north
of 28N between 55W and 60W. Scattered to numerous moderate
isolated strong convection is present north of 23N between 49W and
62W. Elongated surface troughing extends from north of the area
well offshore the Carolinas through 31N78W to near Fort Pierce,
Florida. Some isolated to widely scattered showers and
thunderstorms are seen on infrared satellite imagery from the
northern Bahamas northward within 120-240 nm either side of the
trough. To the east, a cold front extends from near the Iberian
Peninsula southwestward through 31N16W to 29N26W to 1020 mb low
pressure near 30N29W, then northwestward as a frontal trough.
Limited convection is near these features. Rough seas are found
north of the front. Across the remainder of the basin, high
pressure weak ridging dominates with a 1020 high north of the area
near 35N44W. Moderate to fresh trades are found from 10N to 22N
north of the monsoon trough between the Cabo Verde ISlands and
42W, and in a belt from there to near the low pressure area, AL95.
Winds are moderate or weaker across the remainder of the waters.
Seas are slight north of 20N and west of 60W, and moderate across
the remainder of the waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, the low pressure of 1015 mb
centered near 28N60W is forecast to drift northwest today, then
accelerate northward and out of the basin Mon. There is a low
chance of tropical development of this low over the next 48 hours.
Otherwise, high pressure will maintain light to gentle winds N of
23N through the period. To the south, moderate to fresh trades
will prevail, with locally strong winds pulsing at times offshore
Hispaniola and into the Windward Passage. The northern portion of
a tropical wave will move across the waters S of about 23N and E
of the Bahamas early next week freshening the trades. By Wed, the
northern portion of another tropical wave may move across the SE
portion of the area, increasing the trades over those waters.

$$
Lewitsky

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Aug 23 23:01:50 2026

604
AXNT20 KNHC 232301
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Aug 24 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95): Satellite images indicate that
showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization
associated with an area of low pressure located about 400 miles
southeast of Bermuda. Further development of the low is possible,
and this system could become a short-lived tropical depression
or storm during the next couple of days while it moves northward
and north-northeastward, well northeast of Bermuda. This system
has a medium chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48
hours and 7 days. A band-like of moderate to isolated strong
convection is noted E of the low center from 20N to 30N between
51W and 56W.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at
website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!_0a8Qnw_g6uGiYxckDRNQUk2dFKcYRan58kp_HK8bh6hVUY-uZvHbMnytZYHfFzJXTaB_SUhVbp177SpoX-S7koiVKk$ for more
details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has its axis along 35W south of 19N, moving quickly
westward at 20 to 25 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 04N to 13N between 30W and 40W.

A tropical wave has its axis along 54W south of 20N, moving westward
at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is near the northern
portion of the wave axis. Scatterometer data indicate the wind shift
associated with the wave.

A tropical wave is moving across the eastern Caribbean. Its axis
is along 67W south of 20N extending from western Puerto Rico to
north-central Venezuela, moving quickly westward at 20 to 25 kt.
the wave is enhancing some convective activity over parts of
Puerto Rico and northern Venezuela.

Another tropical wave is over the western Caribbean with axis
along 87W, moving westward at around 10 kt. The wave appears to
support some convective activity over parts of Nicaragua,
Honduras and Costa Rica.

Looking ahead, a tropical wave is expected to move off the west
coast of Africa on Monday, and an area of low pressure could form
in association with the wave early this week. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for development,
and a tropical depression could form by the middle to latter
portions of the week while the system moves generally westward at
15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. In
fact, a cluster of moderate to strong convection, possibly associated
with the next tropical wave, is about to emerge off the west coast
of Africa.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 12N16W and continues westward to 12N30W, then SW to
07N40W. The ITCZ extends from 07N40W to near Trinidad and Tobago.
Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves,
scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 08N between
40W and 50W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Relatively weak high pressure, anchored by a 1018 mb high center
located near 26N92W, is generally allowing for anticyclonic
light to gentle winds across the basin. Slight seas are present
throughout the Gulf waters per buoy observations and altimeter
data. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms remain are
active over the Yucatan Peninsula, and across the Mexican coast
between Veracruz and Tampico where a surface trough is analyzed.
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are also present
over the NE Gulf, and over most of Florida.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over central
Gulf through midweek, with the western Atlantic ridge building
westward into the basin thereafter. This will maintain gentle to
locally moderate winds and slight seas through the week. A surface
trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west of the
Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Two tropical waves are moving across the Caribbean Sea. Please,
see the Tropical Wave section above for more details.

The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
is sustaining fresh to locally strong trades primarily over the
south-central Caribbean. Seas up to around 8 ft are with these
trades. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere,
except over the northwestern part of the Caribbean north of 20N,
where light to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are
present. Convection has flared-up over the Greater Antilles due
to daytime heating, local sea breezes and mountain upslope
lifting. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are occurring over
northern Colombia.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic high
pressure and low pressure in northern South America will continue
to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant rough seas over
the south- central Caribbean this week. Elsewhere, mainly moderate
to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light
to gentle winds and slight seas in the NW basin. Winds will pulse
at times through the week following passages of a series of relatively
weak tropical waves that will quickly move west across the basin.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on low
pressure, Invest AL95, with the potential for tropical cyclone formation.

A trough is analyzed E of Florida and runs from 31N76W to 25N80W.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are noted N of
25N W of 74W in association with this trough. A 1019 mb high
pressure situated near 28N70W dominates the remainder of the SW N
Atlantic, including the Bahamas and W of 60W. A stationary front
crosses between the Madeira and the Canary Islands. A few
showers are along the frontal boundary. Rough seas are found
north of the front. A ridge dominates much of the area between
30W and 60W, with a 1028 high pressure located north of area near
35N44W. Moderate to fresh trades are found from 10N to 20N north
of the monsoon trough between the Cabo Verde Islands and 42W,
and in a belt from there to near the low pressure area, AL95.
Winds are moderate or weaker across the remainder of the waters.
Seas are slight north of 20N and west of 60W, and moderate across
the remainder of the waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned low (AL95) is
forecast to move northward and out of the forecast region tonight
into Mon. Increasing winds and seas are possible tonight over
the far NE waters, with conditions then improving Mon. Elsewhere,
high pressure will maintain mainly gentle winds N of 23N through
the period, with moderate to fresh trades to the south, with
slightly higher winds pulsing at times as the northern extent of
tropical waves most westward across the far southern waters this
week.

$$
GR

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Aug 23 23:01:50 2026

605
AXNT20 KNHC 232301
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Aug 24 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95): Satellite images indicate that
showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization
associated with an area of low pressure located about 400 miles
southeast of Bermuda. Further development of the low is possible,
and this system could become a short-lived tropical depression
or storm during the next couple of days while it moves northward
and north-northeastward, well northeast of Bermuda. This system
has a medium chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48
hours and 7 days. A band-like of moderate to isolated strong
convection is noted E of the low center from 20N to 30N between
51W and 56W.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at
website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!4IGsIiiMOKLQGF4MbFjgiEvRzEeaxLZ7VZE69jYeMajrhEP5w5jzgBvlgfGlPE7ElXTQbpTydtLHud8DiByUbRVTzg4$ for more
details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has its axis along 35W south of 19N, moving quickly
westward at 20 to 25 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 04N to 13N between 30W and 40W.

A tropical wave has its axis along 54W south of 20N, moving westward
at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is near the northern
portion of the wave axis. Scatterometer data indicate the wind shift
associated with the wave.

A tropical wave is moving across the eastern Caribbean. Its axis
is along 67W south of 20N extending from western Puerto Rico to
north-central Venezuela, moving quickly westward at 20 to 25 kt.
the wave is enhancing some convective activity over parts of
Puerto Rico and northern Venezuela.

Another tropical wave is over the western Caribbean with axis
along 87W, moving westward at around 10 kt. The wave appears to
support some convective activity over parts of Nicaragua,
Honduras and Costa Rica.

Looking ahead, a tropical wave is expected to move off the west
coast of Africa on Monday, and an area of low pressure could form
in association with the wave early this week. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for development,
and a tropical depression could form by the middle to latter
portions of the week while the system moves generally westward at
15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. In
fact, a cluster of moderate to strong convection, possibly associated
with the next tropical wave, is about to emerge off the west coast
of Africa.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 12N16W and continues westward to 12N30W, then SW to
07N40W. The ITCZ extends from 07N40W to near Trinidad and Tobago.
Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves,
scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 08N between
40W and 50W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Relatively weak high pressure, anchored by a 1018 mb high center
located near 26N92W, is generally allowing for anticyclonic
light to gentle winds across the basin. Slight seas are present
throughout the Gulf waters per buoy observations and altimeter
data. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms remain are
active over the Yucatan Peninsula, and across the Mexican coast
between Veracruz and Tampico where a surface trough is analyzed.
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are also present
over the NE Gulf, and over most of Florida.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over central
Gulf through midweek, with the western Atlantic ridge building
westward into the basin thereafter. This will maintain gentle to
locally moderate winds and slight seas through the week. A surface
trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west of the
Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Two tropical waves are moving across the Caribbean Sea. Please,
see the Tropical Wave section above for more details.

The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
is sustaining fresh to locally strong trades primarily over the
south-central Caribbean. Seas up to around 8 ft are with these
trades. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere,
except over the northwestern part of the Caribbean north of 20N,
where light to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are
present. Convection has flared-up over the Greater Antilles due
to daytime heating, local sea breezes and mountain upslope
lifting. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are occurring over
northern Colombia.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic high
pressure and low pressure in northern South America will continue
to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant rough seas over
the south- central Caribbean this week. Elsewhere, mainly moderate
to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light
to gentle winds and slight seas in the NW basin. Winds will pulse
at times through the week following passages of a series of relatively
weak tropical waves that will quickly move west across the basin.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on low
pressure, Invest AL95, with the potential for tropical cyclone formation.

A trough is analyzed E of Florida and runs from 31N76W to 25N80W.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are noted N of
25N W of 74W in association with this trough. A 1019 mb high
pressure situated near 28N70W dominates the remainder of the SW N
Atlantic, including the Bahamas and W of 60W. A stationary front
crosses between the Madeira and the Canary Islands. A few
showers are along the frontal boundary. Rough seas are found
north of the front. A ridge dominates much of the area between
30W and 60W, with a 1028 high pressure located north of area near
35N44W. Moderate to fresh trades are found from 10N to 20N north
of the monsoon trough between the Cabo Verde Islands and 42W,
and in a belt from there to near the low pressure area, AL95.
Winds are moderate or weaker across the remainder of the waters.
Seas are slight north of 20N and west of 60W, and moderate across
the remainder of the waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned low (AL95) is
forecast to move northward and out of the forecast region tonight
into Mon. Increasing winds and seas are possible tonight over
the far NE waters, with conditions then improving Mon. Elsewhere,
high pressure will maintain mainly gentle winds N of 23N through
the period, with moderate to fresh trades to the south, with
slightly higher winds pulsing at times as the northern extent of
tropical waves most westward across the far southern waters this
week.

$$
GR

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 24 06:03:12 2026

439
AXNT20 KNHC 240602
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon Aug 24 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95): Showers and thunderstorms
are slowly getting better organized in association with a low
pressure area centered about 400 miles southeast of Bermuda near
29N62W, 1016 mb. Further development of the low is possible, and
this system could become a short-lived tropical depression or
storm during the next couple of days while it moves northward and
north- northeastward, well northeast of Bermuda. This system has
a medium chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48 hours
and 7 days.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at
website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!8TXQYRYch78CCGZnj8jPb_j5maBIjC8-W-tFDIeLTXxIcHxIRJtZ_gL9c4Pd7oWG1Uv5PcBOdYZ4s_QXCq-5iox4y-I$ for more
details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has its axis along 36W south of 19N, moving
quickly westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 10N to 13N between 35W and 41W.

A tropical wave has its axis along 56W south of 20N, moving
westward at around 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
N of 18N between 51W-55W.

A tropical wave is moving across the eastern Caribbean, with axis
along 68W, moving quickly westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers
are noted in the wave environment and N of 17N.

A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean with axis along
90W, moving westward at around 15-20 kt. The wave appears to
support convective activity over the Yucatan peninsula.

Looking ahead, a tropical wave is expected to move off the west
coast of Africa on Monday, and an area of low pressure could form
in association with the wave early this week. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for
development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle to
latter portions of the week while the system moves generally
westward at 15 to 20 kt across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic. This system has a medium chance for tropical formation
in 7 days.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 12N16W and continues westward to 07N50W. The ITCZ
extends from 07N50W to 07N53W. Aside from the convection
associated with the tropical waves, scattered moderate convection
is noted along the monsoon trough E of 21W, and between 35W and
48W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Weak surface ridging, anchored by a 1016 mb high center located
near 27N93W, is generally allowing for anticyclonic light to
gentle winds across the basin. Slight seas are present throughout
the Gulf waters per buoy observations and altimeter data.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms remain are active
over the Yucatan Peninsula, and across the Mexican coast between
Veracruz and Tampico where a surface trough is analyzed. Isolated
to scattered showers and thunderstorms are also present over the
NE Gulf, and over most of Florida.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over
central Gulf through midweek, with the western Atlantic ridge
building westward into the basin thereafter. This will maintain
gentle to moderate winds and slight seas through the week. A
surface trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west of
the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Two tropical waves are moving across the Caribbean Sea. Please,
see the Tropical Wave section above for more details.

The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
is sustaining fresh to strong trades primarily over the south-
central Caribbean. Seas up o 6 ft are with these trades. Moderate
to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere, except over the
northwestern part of the Caribbean north of 20N, where light to
gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are present.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to maintain
fresh to strong trades and resultant rough seas over the south-
central Caribbean this week. Elsewhere, mainly moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light to gentle
winds and slight seas in the NW basin. Winds will pulse at times
through the week following passages of a series of relatively weak
tropical waves that will quickly move west across the basin.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on low
pressure, Invest AL95, with the potential for tropical cyclone formation.

A trough is analyzed E of Florida and runs from 31N76W to 25N80W.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are noted N of
25N W of 74W in association with this trough. A 1019 mb high
pressure situated near 29N68W dominates the remainder of the SW N
Atlantic, including the Bahamas and W of 60W. A stationary front
crosses between the Madeira and the Canary Islands. A few showers
are along the frontal boundary. Rough seas are found north of the
front. A ridge dominates much of the area between 30W and 60W,
with a 1028 high pressure located north of area near 35N47W.
Moderate to fresh trades are found from 10N to 20N north of the
monsoon trough between the Cabo Verde Islands and 42W, and in a
belt from there to near the low pressure area, AL95. Winds are
moderate or weaker across the remainder of the waters. Seas are
slight north of 20N and west of 60W, and moderate across the
remainder of the waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned low (AL95) will
continue developing as it moves northward and north-
northeastward well to the northeast of Bermuda. Increasing winds
and seas are possible tonight over the far NE waters, with
conditions then improving Mon. Elsewhere, high pressure will
maintain mainly gentle winds N of 23N through the period, with
moderate to fresh trades to the south, with slightly higher winds
pulsing at times as the northern extent of tropical waves most
westward across the far southern waters this week.

$$
ERA

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 24 06:03:14 2026

576
AXNT20 KNHC 240602
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon Aug 24 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95): Showers and thunderstorms
are slowly getting better organized in association with a low
pressure area centered about 400 miles southeast of Bermuda near
29N62W, 1016 mb. Further development of the low is possible, and
this system could become a short-lived tropical depression or
storm during the next couple of days while it moves northward and
north- northeastward, well northeast of Bermuda. This system has
a medium chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48 hours
and 7 days.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at
website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!7ubrcUgiCMa3Z0u4xeTZsphww_B7Cpi7TjyMc2RtXIwuzWB8bRUVaeGgtFmfEbZOQsLUi-Ot1u8lVYilzwM0RL9-bk8$ for more
details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has its axis along 36W south of 19N, moving
quickly westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 10N to 13N between 35W and 41W.

A tropical wave has its axis along 56W south of 20N, moving
westward at around 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
N of 18N between 51W-55W.

A tropical wave is moving across the eastern Caribbean, with axis
along 68W, moving quickly westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers
are noted in the wave environment and N of 17N.

A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean with axis along
90W, moving westward at around 15-20 kt. The wave appears to
support convective activity over the Yucatan peninsula.

Looking ahead, a tropical wave is expected to move off the west
coast of Africa on Monday, and an area of low pressure could form
in association with the wave early this week. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for
development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle to
latter portions of the week while the system moves generally
westward at 15 to 20 kt across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic. This system has a medium chance for tropical formation
in 7 days.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 12N16W and continues westward to 07N50W. The ITCZ
extends from 07N50W to 07N53W. Aside from the convection
associated with the tropical waves, scattered moderate convection
is noted along the monsoon trough E of 21W, and between 35W and
48W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Weak surface ridging, anchored by a 1016 mb high center located
near 27N93W, is generally allowing for anticyclonic light to
gentle winds across the basin. Slight seas are present throughout
the Gulf waters per buoy observations and altimeter data.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms remain are active
over the Yucatan Peninsula, and across the Mexican coast between
Veracruz and Tampico where a surface trough is analyzed. Isolated
to scattered showers and thunderstorms are also present over the
NE Gulf, and over most of Florida.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over
central Gulf through midweek, with the western Atlantic ridge
building westward into the basin thereafter. This will maintain
gentle to moderate winds and slight seas through the week. A
surface trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west of
the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Two tropical waves are moving across the Caribbean Sea. Please,
see the Tropical Wave section above for more details.

The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
is sustaining fresh to strong trades primarily over the south-
central Caribbean. Seas up o 6 ft are with these trades. Moderate
to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere, except over the
northwestern part of the Caribbean north of 20N, where light to
gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are present.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to maintain
fresh to strong trades and resultant rough seas over the south-
central Caribbean this week. Elsewhere, mainly moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light to gentle
winds and slight seas in the NW basin. Winds will pulse at times
through the week following passages of a series of relatively weak
tropical waves that will quickly move west across the basin.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on low
pressure, Invest AL95, with the potential for tropical cyclone formation.

A trough is analyzed E of Florida and runs from 31N76W to 25N80W.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are noted N of
25N W of 74W in association with this trough. A 1019 mb high
pressure situated near 29N68W dominates the remainder of the SW N
Atlantic, including the Bahamas and W of 60W. A stationary front
crosses between the Madeira and the Canary Islands. A few showers
are along the frontal boundary. Rough seas are found north of the
front. A ridge dominates much of the area between 30W and 60W,
with a 1028 high pressure located north of area near 35N47W.
Moderate to fresh trades are found from 10N to 20N north of the
monsoon trough between the Cabo Verde Islands and 42W, and in a
belt from there to near the low pressure area, AL95. Winds are
moderate or weaker across the remainder of the waters. Seas are
slight north of 20N and west of 60W, and moderate across the
remainder of the waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned low (AL95) will
continue developing as it moves northward and north-
northeastward well to the northeast of Bermuda. Increasing winds
and seas are possible tonight over the far NE waters, with
conditions then improving Mon. Elsewhere, high pressure will
maintain mainly gentle winds N of 23N through the period, with
moderate to fresh trades to the south, with slightly higher winds
pulsing at times as the northern extent of tropical waves most
westward across the far southern waters this week.

$$
ERA

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 24 11:02:26 2026

994
AXNT20 KNHC 241101
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Aug 24 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1045 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Central Subtropical Atlantic (Invest-AL95): Scattered to numerous
moderate to isolated strong convection located a few hundred
nautical miles southeast of Bermuda are roughly from 26N to 31N
between 55W and 60W. This convection is associated with an area of
low pressure analyzed as a weak 1016 mb low near 29N62W. A trough
extends from the low to north of 31N62W and southwest from the
low to near 28N64W. Further development of the low is possible,
and this system could become a short-lived tropical depression or
storm during the next couple of days while it moves northward and north-northeastward, well northeast of Bermuda. This system has a
medium chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48 hours
and through the next 7 days.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at
website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5B6EKLsoeLajMHUqGaKkyZ-eH-3dZZAcTBLKxIMnYsUKqXPHokwlzrykMbstbi4OMoKIk1lPrZ2td9jfyBmKl4v5qDU$ for more
details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 40W south of
19N. It is moving westward at about 15 to 20 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is from 07N to 14N between 33W and 42W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 58W south of
23N. It is moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is to the northeast of the northern part of the wave from 21N to
25N between 52W and 56W

A central Caribbean tropical wave is near 70W south of 21N moving
westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms
are from 16N to 18N between 69W and 71W. Isolated showers are
elsewhere near the wave.

The earlier tropical wave that was along 90W has moved well west
of the Caribbean into the eastern Pacific. Please see the TWDEP
for details on this wave.

Looking ahead, a tropical wave is expected to move off the west
coast of Africa later today, and an area of low pressure could
form in association with the wave early this week. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for
development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle to
latter portions of the week while the system moves generally
westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. This
system has a medium chance for tropical formation in 7 days.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 15N16W and continues west-soutwhestward to 12N28W to
09N36W to 06N43w and to 07N50W, where it transitions to the
ITCZ to 09N54W. Aside from the convection associated with the
tropical waves, scattered moderate to isolated strong convection
is within 120 nm north of the trough between 42W and 47W. Numerous
moderate isolated strong ahead of the next tropical wave is
present from 07N to 16N between 15W and 22W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Weak surface ridging that is anchored by a 1017 mb high center
located near 26N86W is generally allowing for anticyclonic light
to gentle winds across the basin. Seas of slight state remain
over the basin per overnight buoy observations and satellite
altimeter data passes.

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are confined to
southwest of a line from near Veracruz to 19N91.5W. Isolated
showers and thunderstorms are over the NE Gulf north of 28N
between 87W and 88W, and over some sections of the central Gulf.

For the forecast, the weak high pressure will remain centered
over central Gulf through through Wed, with the western Atlantic
ridge building westward into the basin thereafter. This will
maintain gentle to locally moderate winds and slight seas through
the week. A surface trough will generate locally fresh winds north
and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through
the period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
continues to allow for fresh to strong trades primarily over the
south- central Caribbean. Seas up to 6 ft are with these trades
as indicated by overnight satellite altimeter data. Moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere, except over the
northwestern part of the Caribbean north of 20N, where light to
gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are present.

Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring
from 10N to 14N west of 81.5W to inland the coast of Nicaragua
near 85W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen
south of 14N between 75W and 78W. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are over the Windward Passage and waters, reaching
to near the eastern tip of Cuba.

For the forecast, the previously mentioned pressure gradient
will continue to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant
rough seas over the south-central Caribbean this week. Elsewhere,
mainly moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail,
aside from light to gentle winds and slight seas in the northwest
part of the basin. Winds will pulse at times through the week
following passages of a series of relatively weak tropical waves
that will quickly move west across the basin.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL95, with the potential for tropical
cyclone formation.

A trough extends from near 31N78W southwestward to near Palm
Beach, Florida. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are
along the trough north of about 28N while isolated showers and
thunderstorms are near the trough south of 28N. A 1019 mb high
center located near 30N68W basically controls the general wind
flow pattern over the western half of the basin. To the east, a
large area of scattered moderate convection is noted from 22N to
26N between 52W and 57W, and also from 25N to 31N between 48W and
51W.

Moderate to fresh trades are found from 10N to 20N north of the
monsoon trough between the Cabo Verde Islands and 42W, and in a
belt from there to near the low pressure area, Invest-AL95. Winds
are moderate or weaker across the remainder of the waters. Seas
are of slight state north of about 20N and west of 60W, and of
moderate state over the remainder of the basin.

For the forecast west of 55W, regarding the aforementioned low,
(Invest- AL95), further development of the low is possible, and
this system could become a short-lived tropical depression or
storm during the next couple of days while it moves northward and north-northeastward, well northeast of Bermuda. The fresh to
strong southerly winds will slowly diminish through early early
Tue. Elsewhere, high pressure will maintain mainly gentle winds N
of 23N through the period, with moderate to fresh trades to the
south, with slightly higher winds pulsing at times as the northern
extent of tropical waves most westward across the far southern
waters this week.

$$
Aguirre

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 24 15:54:22 2026

459
AXNT20 KNHC 241553
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon Aug 24 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1430 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Central Subtropical Atlantic (Invest-AL95): A broad 1016 mb area
of low pressure centered a few hundred nautical miles east-
southeast of Bermuda near 30.5N60.5W continues to show signs of
organization. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
noted from 20N to 31N between 48W and 61W. Fresh to strong winds
are noted mainly on the NE side of the low, north of 29N between
55W and 61W where seas are 5 to locally 8 ft just north of the
area. Additional development of the low is possible, and this
system could become a short-lived tropical depression or storm
during the next couple of days while it moves northward and north- northeastward, well northeast of Bermuda. This system has a
medium chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48 hours
and through the next 7 days. Please refer to the latest NHC
Tropical Weather Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!_IPBKGZvly27PD5h3e2z-wLxHj0f_QYimWxDBUnPqhXRKT5MzXKmFaMoRNJhF2zEMcXsQoi75NZ-K8Zr7-yIsOX4F8o$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has emerged off the west
coast of Africa near 18W south of 22N, moving westward 15 to 20 kt.
Scattered to numerous moderate isolated strong convection is
noted from 05N to 17N between 15W and 25W. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for
development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle to
latter portions of the week while the system moves generally
westward at 15 to 20 kt across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic.

An central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 41.5W south
of 19N, moving westward around 15 kt. Please refer to the Monsoon
Trough/ITCZ section below for details on any nearby convection as
it is elongated along the ITCZ axis.

A Tropical N Atlantic offshore waters tropical wave has its axis
along 59W south of 21N, moving westward around 10 kt. Convection
near the wave is limited however some isolated to widely scattered
showers near the axis are possible.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is near 71W south of 21N across
central portions of the Dominican Republic to northwest Venezuela,
moving westward around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 17N to 18.5N between 69W and 72W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 14.5N17W and continues west-soutwhestward to 12N33W.
The ITCZ extends from 12N133W to 10N40W, then resumes west of a
tropical wave from 08N42W to along the coast of northern South
America to 06N50W, with another segment to the west just inland of
the Caribbean coast. Aside from the convection associated with
the tropical waves, scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is noted within 180 nm either side of the ITCZ between
33W and 54W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Weak surface ridging that is anchored by a 1017 mb high center
located near 26N89W is generally allowing for anticyclonic light
to gentle winds across the basin, except moderate in the eastern
Bay of Campeche to the western Yucatan Peninsula. Seas of slight
state remain over the basin per buoy observations. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are confined the Bay of
Campeche south of 21N. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are over
portions of the N-central and NE Gulf due to a weak low level
trough.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over
central Gulf through Wed, with the western Atlantic ridge building
westward into the basin thereafter. This will maintain gentle to
locally moderate winds and slight seas this week. A surface trough
will generate locally fresh winds north and west of the Yucatan
Peninsula in the early evenings through the period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
continues to allow for fresh to strong trades over the central
Caribbean from the coast of Hispaniola to the coasts of NW
Venezuela and northern Colombia. Seas up to 7 ft are with these
trades. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere
from 11N to 18N, with gentle to moderate trades and moderate seas
elsewhere, except slight north of 20N in the lee of Cuba.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring from
09N to 15N between 78.5W and 85W including over portions of
northern Costa Rica and eastern Nicaragua.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic
high pressure and low pressure in northern South America will
continue to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant rough
seas over the south-central Caribbean this week. Elsewhere, mainly
moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside
from light to gentle winds and slight seas in the NW part of the
basin. Winds will pulse at times through the week following
passages of a series of relatively weak tropical waves that will
quickly move west across the basin.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL95, with the potential for tropical
cyclone formation, and on a tropical wave that has recently
emerged off Africa.

A couple of weak surface troughs are analyzed off the coast of the
SE United States and Florida with isolated to widely scattered
showers and thunderstorms from roughly 27N to 31N between 73W and
79W. Moderate to fresh winds are noted from the southern Bahamas
and Turks and Caicos Islands to near the approach to the Windward
Passage with low level troughing in place. Gentle to moderate
winds prevail elsewhere north of 20N and west of 61W. Slight to
moderate seas prevail north of 20N and west of 61W.

Another pair of weak surface troughs are in the NE portion of the
basin from near the Canary Islands westward as the remnants of an
old frontal boundary. No significant convection is noted near
these features. Otherwise, broad high pressure ridging prevails.
Moderate to fresh trades dominate from north of the monsoon trough
and ITCZ between Africa and 56W, with 4 to 7 ft seas. Winds are
mainly moderate and seas moderate across any remainder waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, broad low pressure of 1016 mb
centered near 29N62W is producing scattered moderate convection
and strong winds E of its center to about 52W. This low is
expected to move N and out of the area by tonight, and is showing
signs of tropical organization. Additional development of this
system is possible, and a short- lived tropical depression or
storm could form during the next couple of days well E of Bermuda.
Regardless of development, conditions will improve over area
waters by Tue as the system moves away. Elsewhere,moderate to
fresh trades will prevail S of 23N, with slightly higher winds
pulsing at times as the northern extent of tropical waves most
westward across the far southern waters this week.

$$
Lewitsky

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 24 15:54:22 2026

458
AXNT20 KNHC 241553
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon Aug 24 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1430 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Central Subtropical Atlantic (Invest-AL95): A broad 1016 mb area
of low pressure centered a few hundred nautical miles east-
southeast of Bermuda near 30.5N60.5W continues to show signs of
organization. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
noted from 20N to 31N between 48W and 61W. Fresh to strong winds
are noted mainly on the NE side of the low, north of 29N between
55W and 61W where seas are 5 to locally 8 ft just north of the
area. Additional development of the low is possible, and this
system could become a short-lived tropical depression or storm
during the next couple of days while it moves northward and north- northeastward, well northeast of Bermuda. This system has a
medium chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48 hours
and through the next 7 days. Please refer to the latest NHC
Tropical Weather Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!_N65x82h7aIOuoYwCIX2luOmrpB5kvhzPaxAp7s2p_9xcuVmWEYZ3dxmBCRlI78FByeuXo7MDKz_dgpML4F6hJmErRo$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has emerged off the west
coast of Africa near 18W south of 22N, moving westward 15 to 20 kt.
Scattered to numerous moderate isolated strong convection is
noted from 05N to 17N between 15W and 25W. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for
development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle to
latter portions of the week while the system moves generally
westward at 15 to 20 kt across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic.

An central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 41.5W south
of 19N, moving westward around 15 kt. Please refer to the Monsoon
Trough/ITCZ section below for details on any nearby convection as
it is elongated along the ITCZ axis.

A Tropical N Atlantic offshore waters tropical wave has its axis
along 59W south of 21N, moving westward around 10 kt. Convection
near the wave is limited however some isolated to widely scattered
showers near the axis are possible.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is near 71W south of 21N across
central portions of the Dominican Republic to northwest Venezuela,
moving westward around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 17N to 18.5N between 69W and 72W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 14.5N17W and continues west-soutwhestward to 12N33W.
The ITCZ extends from 12N133W to 10N40W, then resumes west of a
tropical wave from 08N42W to along the coast of northern South
America to 06N50W, with another segment to the west just inland of
the Caribbean coast. Aside from the convection associated with
the tropical waves, scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is noted within 180 nm either side of the ITCZ between
33W and 54W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Weak surface ridging that is anchored by a 1017 mb high center
located near 26N89W is generally allowing for anticyclonic light
to gentle winds across the basin, except moderate in the eastern
Bay of Campeche to the western Yucatan Peninsula. Seas of slight
state remain over the basin per buoy observations. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are confined the Bay of
Campeche south of 21N. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are over
portions of the N-central and NE Gulf due to a weak low level
trough.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over
central Gulf through Wed, with the western Atlantic ridge building
westward into the basin thereafter. This will maintain gentle to
locally moderate winds and slight seas this week. A surface trough
will generate locally fresh winds north and west of the Yucatan
Peninsula in the early evenings through the period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
continues to allow for fresh to strong trades over the central
Caribbean from the coast of Hispaniola to the coasts of NW
Venezuela and northern Colombia. Seas up to 7 ft are with these
trades. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere
from 11N to 18N, with gentle to moderate trades and moderate seas
elsewhere, except slight north of 20N in the lee of Cuba.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring from
09N to 15N between 78.5W and 85W including over portions of
northern Costa Rica and eastern Nicaragua.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic
high pressure and low pressure in northern South America will
continue to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant rough
seas over the south-central Caribbean this week. Elsewhere, mainly
moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside
from light to gentle winds and slight seas in the NW part of the
basin. Winds will pulse at times through the week following
passages of a series of relatively weak tropical waves that will
quickly move west across the basin.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL95, with the potential for tropical
cyclone formation, and on a tropical wave that has recently
emerged off Africa.

A couple of weak surface troughs are analyzed off the coast of the
SE United States and Florida with isolated to widely scattered
showers and thunderstorms from roughly 27N to 31N between 73W and
79W. Moderate to fresh winds are noted from the southern Bahamas
and Turks and Caicos Islands to near the approach to the Windward
Passage with low level troughing in place. Gentle to moderate
winds prevail elsewhere north of 20N and west of 61W. Slight to
moderate seas prevail north of 20N and west of 61W.

Another pair of weak surface troughs are in the NE portion of the
basin from near the Canary Islands westward as the remnants of an
old frontal boundary. No significant convection is noted near
these features. Otherwise, broad high pressure ridging prevails.
Moderate to fresh trades dominate from north of the monsoon trough
and ITCZ between Africa and 56W, with 4 to 7 ft seas. Winds are
mainly moderate and seas moderate across any remainder waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, broad low pressure of 1016 mb
centered near 29N62W is producing scattered moderate convection
and strong winds E of its center to about 52W. This low is
expected to move N and out of the area by tonight, and is showing
signs of tropical organization. Additional development of this
system is possible, and a short- lived tropical depression or
storm could form during the next couple of days well E of Bermuda.
Regardless of development, conditions will improve over area
waters by Tue as the system moves away. Elsewhere,moderate to
fresh trades will prevail S of 23N, with slightly higher winds
pulsing at times as the northern extent of tropical waves most
westward across the far southern waters this week.

$$
Lewitsky

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Aug 25 00:03:02 2026

991
AXNT20 KNHC 250002
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Aug 25 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2330 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Central Subtropical Atlantic (Invest AL95): Satellite-wind data
indicate that the low-level circulation associated with an area of
low pressure centered a few hundred nautical miles east-
southeast of Bermuda remains broad and somewhat elongated. Fresh
to strong southerly winds are noted mainly on the NE side of the
low, north of 25N between 52W and 60W, where seas are 5 to 8 ft,
highest just north of the area. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is noted from 22N to 35N between 52W and 60W.
Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for further
development, but this system could become a short- lived tropical
depression or storm through Tuesday while it moves northward then north-northeastward, and well northeast of Bermuda. By Wednesday,
the low is forecast to move over cold waters, ending its
formation chances. This system has a medium chance of tropical
cyclone formation in the next 48 hours.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): A tropical wave and
associated area of low pressure have exited Africa today, and are
over the far eastern Atlantic a few hundred miles southeast of
the Cabo Verde islands. This system is producing scattered
moderate isolated strong convection from 07N to 14N E of 27W.
Presently these showers and thunderstorms do not show signs of
organization. However, this system could become a tropical
depression during the next few days while it moves westward to
west- northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions could become less
conducive for development by the weekend. This system has a medium
chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 7 days.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!6ZjGWwTJf_aSiLFcsTnedwnTJsx7_ATiROHYwJw4vT8zZO18IL3pE0wGv7PsxGV3llQDLSEgQW_HzMWCfBrevaJS5cM$ for more details on
these features.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave and associated area of low
pressure has moved away from the west coast of Africa , and is
near 19W, and is described above. 1010 mb low pressure is
analyzed near the wave at 11N18.5W.

An central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 43W, south of
19N, moving westward around 15 kt. Please refer to the Monsoon
Trough/ITCZ section below for details on any nearby convection as
it is elongated along the ITCZ axis.

An Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 60W south of 21N,
moving westward around 10 kt. Convection near the wave is limited,
however some widely scattered showers near the axis are occurring
inland over Venezuela.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is near 72W south of 21N to
northwest Venezuela, moving westward around 10 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is noted near the wave over land, across
Hispaniola, and over NW Venezuela and NE Colombia.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 14N16.5W and continues southwestward to low pressure
near 11N18.5W 1010 mb to 12N37W to 08N45W. The ITCZ extends from
08N45W to 06N51W to 08N59W. Aside from the convection associated
with the tropical waves described above, scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is noted from 05N to 13N between 36W
and 57W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A large cluster of moderate to strong thunderstorms has shifted
southward throughout the afternoon and is now along and within
120 nm of the coasts from Panama City, FL to the Atchafalaya Bay,
LA. 1018 mb high pressure is centered over the central Gulf near
26N87W, and is generally producing light to gentle anticyclonic winds
across the basin, except moderate NE winds in the eastern Bay of
Campeche. Slight seas of 3 ft or less prevail over the basin per
buoy observations.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over NE
Gulf through Wed, with the western Atlantic ridge remaining
dominate over the basin thereafter. This will maintain gentle to
locally moderate winds and slight seas into the weekend. A surface
trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west of the
Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between weak high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
continues to allow for moderate to fresh trade winds over the
central Caribbean from the coast of Hispaniola to the coasts of NW
Venezuela and northern Colombia, with a narrow zone of strong
winds along the coasts near the Gulf of Venezuela and far NE
Colombia. Seas are generally 5 to 7 ft with these trades.
Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere from 11N
to 18N, with gentle to moderate trades and moderate seas
elsewhere. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
occurring from 09N to 15.5N W of 80W, including over portions of
northern Costa Rica, and Nicaragua.

For the forecast, the current pattern across the region will
continue to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant rough
seas over the south- central Caribbean this week. Elsewhere,
mainly moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail,
aside from light to gentle winds and slight seas in the NW part of
the basin. Winds will pulse at times through the week following
passages several tropical waves that will quickly move west across
the basin.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL95, with the potential for tropical
cyclone formation, and on Invest AL96, a tropical wave that has
recently emerged off Africa.

A weak surface trough is analyzed across the western Atlantic
extending SW through 31N74W to the NW Bahamas. Isolated to widely
scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are within 60 nm of this
trough. Moderate SW winds are occurring north of this through.
1018 mb high pressure is east of this feature near 29N72W. South
of this high, fresh E-SE winds are noted from the southern
Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands to near the approach to the
Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate winds prevail elsewhere
north of 20N and west of 61W. Slight to moderate seas prevail
north of 20N and west of 61W. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 26N to 31N between 67W and 73W, supported by an upper
level low to the SW of Bermuda.

Elongated low pressure and attendant surface troughs prevail over
the waters N of 23N between 53W and 62W and described above with
Invest AL96.

Another pair of weak surface troughs are in the NE portion of the
basin from near the Canary Islands westward as the remnants of an
old frontal boundary. No significant convection is noted near
these features. Otherwise, broad high pressure ridging prevails.
Moderate to fresh trades dominate from north of the monsoon trough
and ITCZ between Africa and 56W, with 5 to 8 ft seas. Winds are
mainly moderate and seas moderate across any remainder waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, low pressure of 1016 mb centered
near 30N61W is producing scattered moderate convection and strong
S winds E of its center to about 52W. This low is showing signs
of tropical organization, but will move N and out of the area by
tonight. Additional development of this system is possible, and a
short- lived tropical depression or storm could form through Tue
well E or NE of Bermuda. Regardless of development, conditions
will improve over area waters by Tue as the system moves away.
Elsewhere, weak high pressure will prevail, with moderate to
fresh trades will prevail S of 23N, with slightly higher winds
pulsing at times as the northern extent of tropical waves most
westward across the far southern waters into the weekend.

$$
Stripling

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Aug 25 05:21:20 2026

433
AXNT20 KNHC 250520
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Tue Aug 25 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): A tropical wave and
associated area of low pressure is analyzed over the far eastern
Atlantic a few hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde islands.
THe wave extends along 19W and S of 20N, with 1010 mb low
centered near 11N19W. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are
noted from 08N to 15N between 18W-22W. This system could become a
tropical depression during the next few days while it moves
westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 kt across the eastern
and central tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions could
become less conducive for development by the weekend. This system
has a medium chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 7
days.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!73inkvMplmT76YiFmilHaZGAxB_Cg1kyjyr9PJYFvI7vBhA8ZxNIN-ixuC9CQfY9KkJblUFOEei2RIWg5Armoi_sv8M$ for more details on
this feature.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 45W, south of
19N, moving westward around 15 kt. Scattered showers prevail along
the wave axis and S of 15N.

An Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 61W south of 21N,
moving westward around 10 kt. No convection is noted with this
wave at this time.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is near 73W south of 21N to
northwest Venezuela, moving westward around 10 kt. No convection
is noted with this wave at this time.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 11N48W. The
ITCZ extends from 11N48W to 06N51W to 08N59W. Aside from the
convection associated with the tropical waves described above,
scattered moderate convection is noted within 200 nm on either
side of the boundaries.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1016 mb high pressure is centered over the central Gulf near
24N86W, and is generally producing light to gentle anticyclonic
winds across the basin, except moderate NE winds in the eastern
Bay of Campeche. Slight seas of 3 ft or less prevail over the
basin per buoy observations.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over the
central Gulf through Wed, with the western Atlantic ridge
remaining dominate over the basin thereafter. This will maintain
gentle to locally moderate winds and slight seas into the weekend.
A surface trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west
of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the
period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between weak high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
continues to allow for moderate to fresh trade winds over the
central Caribbean from the coast of Hispaniola to the coasts of NW
Venezuela and northern Colombia, with a narrow zone of strong
winds along the coasts near the Gulf of Venezuela and far NE
Colombia. Seas are generally 5 to 7 ft with these trades.
Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere from 11N
to 18N, with gentle to moderate trades and moderate seas
elsewhere. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
occurring from 09N to 15N W of 80W, including over portions of
northern Costa Rica, and Nicaragua.

For the forecast, the current pattern across the region will
continue to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant rough
seas over the south-central Caribbean this week. Elsewhere,
moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside
from light to gentle winds and slight seas in the NW part of the
basin. Winds will pulse at times through the week following
passages several tropical waves that will quickly move west across
the basin.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL96, and tropical wave that emerged off
Africa.

A weak surface trough is analyzed across the western Atlantic
extending SW through 30N75W to 27N79W. Scattered showers are
within 60 nm of this trough. Moderate SW winds are occurring north
of the trough. A 1019 mb high pressure is east of this feature
near 29N70W. South of the high, fresh E-SE winds are noted from
the southern Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands to near the
Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate winds prevail elsewhere north
of 20N and west of 60W. Slight to moderate seas prevail north of
20N and west of 61W. Invest AL95 is currently N of the area. Its
associated trough prevails over the waters N of 26N between 60W
and 62W. Scattered moderate convection prevails E of the trough
mainly N of 24N between 55W-59W. Another weak surface trough is
analyzed in the East Atlantic from 29N32W to 25N34W. No
convection related to this trough. Otherwise, broad high pressure
ridging prevails. Moderate to fresh trades dominate from north of
the monsoon trough and ITCZ between Africa and 56W, with 5 to 8
ft seas. Winds are mainly moderate and seas moderate across any
remainder waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and thunderstorms
in the wake of Invest AL95 prevail north of 24N between 54W and
60W. Fresh to strong south winds are north of 28N between 55W and
59W. These conditions will diminish through Tue as the low,
possibly a tropical cyclone, moves farther away from the forecast
waters. Elsewhere, moderate to at times fresh trades, will prevail
S of about 23N, with slightly higher winds pulsing at times as
the northern extent of tropical waves most westward across the far
southern waters into the weekend.

$$
ERA

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Aug 25 05:21:20 2026

573
AXNT20 KNHC 250521
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Tue Aug 25 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): A tropical wave and
associated area of low pressure is analyzed over the far eastern
Atlantic a few hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde islands.
THe wave extends along 19W and S of 20N, with 1010 mb low
centered near 11N19W. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are
noted from 08N to 15N between 18W-22W. This system could become a
tropical depression during the next few days while it moves
westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 kt across the eastern
and central tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions could
become less conducive for development by the weekend. This system
has a medium chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 7
days.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!4NSKfOolJXFWMxisFKL9bROviS5Y7n1gcco2At0gOp56w6XaZ2clswrYHTX-Oi3xExk9bb8HJFChQvbg-DSkEsHTkC4$ for more details on
this feature.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 45W, south of
19N, moving westward around 15 kt. Scattered showers prevail along
the wave axis and S of 15N.

An Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 61W south of 21N,
moving westward around 10 kt. No convection is noted with this
wave at this time.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is near 73W south of 21N to
northwest Venezuela, moving westward around 10 kt. No convection
is noted with this wave at this time.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 11N48W. The
ITCZ extends from 11N48W to 06N51W to 08N59W. Aside from the
convection associated with the tropical waves described above,
scattered moderate convection is noted within 200 nm on either
side of the boundaries.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1016 mb high pressure is centered over the central Gulf near
24N86W, and is generally producing light to gentle anticyclonic
winds across the basin, except moderate NE winds in the eastern
Bay of Campeche. Slight seas of 3 ft or less prevail over the
basin per buoy observations.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over the
central Gulf through Wed, with the western Atlantic ridge
remaining dominate over the basin thereafter. This will maintain
gentle to locally moderate winds and slight seas into the weekend.
A surface trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west
of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the
period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between weak high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
continues to allow for moderate to fresh trade winds over the
central Caribbean from the coast of Hispaniola to the coasts of NW
Venezuela and northern Colombia, with a narrow zone of strong
winds along the coasts near the Gulf of Venezuela and far NE
Colombia. Seas are generally 5 to 7 ft with these trades.
Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere from 11N
to 18N, with gentle to moderate trades and moderate seas
elsewhere. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
occurring from 09N to 15N W of 80W, including over portions of
northern Costa Rica, and Nicaragua.

For the forecast, the current pattern across the region will
continue to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant rough
seas over the south-central Caribbean this week. Elsewhere,
moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside
from light to gentle winds and slight seas in the NW part of the
basin. Winds will pulse at times through the week following
passages several tropical waves that will quickly move west across
the basin.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL96, and tropical wave that emerged off
Africa.

A weak surface trough is analyzed across the western Atlantic
extending SW through 30N75W to 27N79W. Scattered showers are
within 60 nm of this trough. Moderate SW winds are occurring north
of the trough. A 1019 mb high pressure is east of this feature
near 29N70W. South of the high, fresh E-SE winds are noted from
the southern Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands to near the
Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate winds prevail elsewhere north
of 20N and west of 60W. Slight to moderate seas prevail north of
20N and west of 61W. Invest AL95 is currently N of the area. Its
associated trough prevails over the waters N of 26N between 60W
and 62W. Scattered moderate convection prevails E of the trough
mainly N of 24N between 55W-59W. Another weak surface trough is
analyzed in the East Atlantic from 29N32W to 25N34W. No
convection related to this trough. Otherwise, broad high pressure
ridging prevails. Moderate to fresh trades dominate from north of
the monsoon trough and ITCZ between Africa and 56W, with 5 to 8
ft seas. Winds are mainly moderate and seas moderate across any
remainder waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and thunderstorms
in the wake of Invest AL95 prevail north of 24N between 54W and
60W. Fresh to strong south winds are north of 28N between 55W and
59W. These conditions will diminish through Tue as the low,
possibly a tropical cyclone, moves farther away from the forecast
waters. Elsewhere, moderate to at times fresh trades, will prevail
S of about 23N, with slightly higher winds pulsing at times as
the northern extent of tropical waves most westward across the far
southern waters into the weekend.

$$
ERA

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Aug 25 10:29:20 2026

101
AXNT20 KNHC 251028
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Aug 25 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600| UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): A tropical wave and
associated area of low pressure is analyzed over the far eastern
Atlantic a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde
islands. THe wave extends along 20W/21W and S of 20N, with a
1010 mb low centered along the wave axis near 11N21W. Disorganized
scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is seen from
07N to 12N between 17W and 25W. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for gradual development, and this system is likely to
become a tropical depression during the next few days while it
moves westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and
central tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions could become
less conducive for development by the weekend. This system
has a medium chance of tropical cyclone formation through
the next 7 days.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!4Qtnmzty0ok8VrzSI2mKztQnJagQX9EHHEsUa_u8IAT9cGFsgzuTxyxlnaWKbws1xg2PfKPawmWN3OMiwkcnuyoBpHE$ for more details on
this feature.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 46W south of
20N moving westward around 15 kt. Convection as described below
under Monsoon Trough/ITCZ.

An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 63W south of 21N.
It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No convection is presently
occurring with this wave.

A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 74W south of 21N
to northern Colombia moving westward around 10 kt. No convection
is presently noted with this wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 11N24W and
westward to 12.5N35W to 11N40W and to 09N48W, where it transitions
to the ITCZ to near 07N58W. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is within 120 nm north of the trough between
43W-47W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm north
of the trough between 47W-50W, and within 30 nm of the trough
between 38W-43W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A relatively weak 1017 mb high pressure is centered over the
central Gulf near 25N89W, and is generally producing light to
gentle anticyclonic winds across the basin, except moderate NE
winds in the eastern Bay of Campeche. Slight seas of 3 ft or less
prevail over the basin per buoy observations.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over
the central Gulf through Wed, with the western Atlantic ridge
remaining dominate over the basin thereafter. This will maintain
gentle to locally moderate winds and slight seas into the weekend.
A surface trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west
of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the
period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between weak high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
continues to allow for moderate to fresh trade winds over the
central Caribbean from the coast of Hispaniola to the coasts of
northwestern Venezuela and northern Colombia, with a narrow zone
of strong winds along the coasts near the Gulf of Venezuela and
far NE Colombia. Seas are generally 5 to 7 ft with these trades.
Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere from 11N
to 18N, with gentle to moderate trades and moderate seas
elsewhere.

Scattered to numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is
confined to south of 15N west of 80W, including some of the
inland sections of Nicaragua. Isolated showers and thunderstorms
are elsewhere south of 18N west of 77W.

For the forecast, the current synoptic pattern across the region
will continue to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant
rough seas over the south-central Caribbean through the
rest of the week and into the weekend. Elsewhere, mainly moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light to
gentle winds and slight seas in the NW part of the basin. Winds
will pulse at times through the week following passages several
tropical waves that will quickly move west across the basin. Long
period northeast to east swell from an approaching low pressure
system, or possibly a tropical cyclone, may begin to impact the far
eastern portion of the tropical N Atlantic zone starting Sat.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL96, and a tropical wave that emerged off
the coast of Africa yesterday.

Low pressure of 1015 mb, Invest AL95, is north of the area near
35N60W. Its associated trough extends from the low to 31N61W and
to near 25N64W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection
and fresh to strong south winds persist to the E of the trough
mainly N of 24N between 55W and 58W. In the eastern Atlantic,
another weak surface trough is analyzed from near 29N32W to
25N34W. No convection is active with this trough. Otherwise,
broad high pressure ridging prevails. A 1019 mb high pressure is
over the western Atlantic at 29N69W. South of this feature, fresh
east to southeast winds are over the waters from the southern
Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands to near the Windward Passage.
Gentle to moderate winds prevail elsewhere north of 20N and west
of 60W. Slight to moderate seas prevail north of 20N and west of
61W. Moderate to fresh trades dominate from north of the monsoon
trough and ITCZ between Africa and 56W, with 5 to 8 ft seas as
noted in overnight satellite altimeter data passes. Winds are
mainly moderate and seas moderate across any remainder waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned fresh to strong
south winds and the convective activity N of 24N between 55W and
58W will slowly diminish through early this evening as Invest AL95
moves farther away from the forecast waters. Elsewhere, moderate
to at times fresh trades, will prevail S of about 23N, with
slightly higher winds pulsing at times as the northern extent of
tropical waves most westward across the far southern waters into
the weekend. Long period northeast to east swell from an
approaching low pressure system, or possibly a tropical cyclone,
may begin to impact the far SE portion of the area starting Sat.

$$
Aguirre

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Aug 25 10:29:20 2026

102
AXNT20 KNHC 251029
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Aug 25 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600| UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): A tropical wave and
associated area of low pressure is analyzed over the far eastern
Atlantic a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde
islands. THe wave extends along 20W/21W and S of 20N, with a
1010 mb low centered along the wave axis near 11N21W. Disorganized
scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is seen from
07N to 12N between 17W and 25W. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for gradual development, and this system is likely to
become a tropical depression during the next few days while it
moves westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and
central tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions could become
less conducive for development by the weekend. This system
has a medium chance of tropical cyclone formation through
the next 7 days.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!7NxUX2665vy5Z7vNRmVOyUKpApQLTwCaBbdfVhpwoTlca4kCzO2-P46jOKP5v_scC5zqYTNzaFRudUC91elDSCGTysg$ for more details on
this feature.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 46W south of
20N moving westward around 15 kt. Convection as described below
under Monsoon Trough/ITCZ.

An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 63W south of 21N.
It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No convection is presently
occurring with this wave.

A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 74W south of 21N
to northern Colombia moving westward around 10 kt. No convection
is presently noted with this wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 11N24W and
westward to 12.5N35W to 11N40W and to 09N48W, where it transitions
to the ITCZ to near 07N58W. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is within 120 nm north of the trough between
43W-47W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm north
of the trough between 47W-50W, and within 30 nm of the trough
between 38W-43W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A relatively weak 1017 mb high pressure is centered over the
central Gulf near 25N89W, and is generally producing light to
gentle anticyclonic winds across the basin, except moderate NE
winds in the eastern Bay of Campeche. Slight seas of 3 ft or less
prevail over the basin per buoy observations.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over
the central Gulf through Wed, with the western Atlantic ridge
remaining dominate over the basin thereafter. This will maintain
gentle to locally moderate winds and slight seas into the weekend.
A surface trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west
of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the
period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between weak high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
continues to allow for moderate to fresh trade winds over the
central Caribbean from the coast of Hispaniola to the coasts of
northwestern Venezuela and northern Colombia, with a narrow zone
of strong winds along the coasts near the Gulf of Venezuela and
far NE Colombia. Seas are generally 5 to 7 ft with these trades.
Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere from 11N
to 18N, with gentle to moderate trades and moderate seas
elsewhere.

Scattered to numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is
confined to south of 15N west of 80W, including some of the
inland sections of Nicaragua. Isolated showers and thunderstorms
are elsewhere south of 18N west of 77W.

For the forecast, the current synoptic pattern across the region
will continue to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant
rough seas over the south-central Caribbean through the
rest of the week and into the weekend. Elsewhere, mainly moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light to
gentle winds and slight seas in the NW part of the basin. Winds
will pulse at times through the week following passages several
tropical waves that will quickly move west across the basin. Long
period northeast to east swell from an approaching low pressure
system, or possibly a tropical cyclone, may begin to impact the far
eastern portion of the tropical N Atlantic zone starting Sat.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL96, and a tropical wave that emerged off
the coast of Africa yesterday.

Low pressure of 1015 mb, Invest AL95, is north of the area near
35N60W. Its associated trough extends from the low to 31N61W and
to near 25N64W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection
and fresh to strong south winds persist to the E of the trough
mainly N of 24N between 55W and 58W. In the eastern Atlantic,
another weak surface trough is analyzed from near 29N32W to
25N34W. No convection is active with this trough. Otherwise,
broad high pressure ridging prevails. A 1019 mb high pressure is
over the western Atlantic at 29N69W. South of this feature, fresh
east to southeast winds are over the waters from the southern
Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands to near the Windward Passage.
Gentle to moderate winds prevail elsewhere north of 20N and west
of 60W. Slight to moderate seas prevail north of 20N and west of
61W. Moderate to fresh trades dominate from north of the monsoon
trough and ITCZ between Africa and 56W, with 5 to 8 ft seas as
noted in overnight satellite altimeter data passes. Winds are
mainly moderate and seas moderate across any remainder waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned fresh to strong
south winds and the convective activity N of 24N between 55W and
58W will slowly diminish through early this evening as Invest AL95
moves farther away from the forecast waters. Elsewhere, moderate
to at times fresh trades, will prevail S of about 23N, with
slightly higher winds pulsing at times as the northern extent of
tropical waves most westward across the far southern waters into
the weekend. Long period northeast to east swell from an
approaching low pressure system, or possibly a tropical cyclone,
may begin to impact the far SE portion of the area starting Sat.

$$
Aguirre

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Aug 25 10:42:50 2026

086
AXNT20 KNHC 251042
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Aug 25 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600| UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1030 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): A tropical wave and
associated area of low pressure is analyzed over the far eastern
Atlantic a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde
islands. THe wave extends along 20W/21W and S of 20N, with a
1010 mb low centered along the wave axis near 11N21W. Disorganized
scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is seen from
07N to 12N between 17W and 25W. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for gradual development, and this system is likely to
become a tropical depression during the next few days while it
moves westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and
central tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions could become
less conducive for development by the weekend. This system
has a medium chance of tropical cyclone formation through
the next 7 days.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!55dYbiKLDp3Egcnii7YuJIAML-7xx_uY_XwGuVr6gUPXibIto8BkZagdtFi2eOAhJP--YQDvaZt6_TxTdJSQbWFSZYc$ for more details on
this feature.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 46W south of
20N moving westward around 15 kt. Convection as described below
under Monsoon Trough/ITCZ.

An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 63W south of 21N.
It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No convection is presently
occurring with this wave.

A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 74W south of 21N
to northern Colombia moving westward around 10 kt. No convection
is presently noted with this wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 11N24W and
westward to 12.5N35W to 11N40W and to 09N48W, where it transitions
to the ITCZ to near 07N58W. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is within 120 nm north of the trough between
43W-47W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm north
of the trough between 47W-50W, and within 30 nm of the trough
between 38W-43W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A relatively weak 1017 mb high pressure is centered over the
central Gulf near 25N89W, and is generally producing light to
gentle anticyclonic winds across the basin, except moderate NE
winds in the eastern Bay of Campeche. Slight seas of 3 ft or less
prevail over the basin per buoy observations and recent satellite
altimeter satellite data passes.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over
the central Gulf through Wed, with the western Atlantic ridge
remaining dominate over the basin thereafter. This will maintain
gentle to locally moderate winds and slight seas into the weekend.
A surface trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west
of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the
period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between weak high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
continues to allow for moderate to fresh trade winds over the
central Caribbean from the coast of Hispaniola to the coasts of
northwestern Venezuela and northern Colombia, with a narrow zone
of strong winds along the coasts near the Gulf of Venezuela and
far NE Colombia. Seas are generally 5 to 7 ft with these trades.
Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere from 11N
to 18N, with gentle to moderate trades and moderate seas
elsewhere.

Scattered to numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is
confined to south of 15N west of 80W, including some of the
inland sections of Nicaragua. Isolated showers and thunderstorms
are elsewhere south of 18N west of 77W.

For the forecast, the current synoptic pattern across the region
will continue to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant
rough seas over the south-central Caribbean through the
rest of the week and into the weekend. Elsewhere, mainly moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light to
gentle winds and slight seas in the NW part of the basin. Winds
will pulse at times through the week following passages several
tropical waves that will quickly move west across the basin. Long
period northeast to east swell from an approaching low pressure
system, or possibly a tropical cyclone, may begin to impact the far
eastern portion of the tropical N Atlantic zone starting Sat.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL96, and a tropical wave that emerged off
the coast of Africa yesterday.

Low pressure of 1015 mb, Invest AL95, is north of the area near
35N60W. Its associated trough extends from the low to 31N61W and to
near 24N64W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection and
fresh to strong south winds persist to the E of the trough N of 24N
between 55W and 58W. In the eastern Atlantic, another weak surface
trough is analyzed from near 29N32W to 25N34W. No convection is
active with this trough. Otherwise, broad high pressure ridging
prevails. A 1019 mb high pressure is over the western Atlantic at
29N69W. South of this feature, fresh east to southeast winds are
over the waters from the southern Bahamas and Turks and Caicos
Islands to near the Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate winds and
slight to moderate seas remain elsewhere north of 20N and west of
61W. Moderate to fresh trades dominate from north of the monsoon
trough and ITCZ between Africa and 56W, with 5 to 8 ft seas as noted
in overnight satellite altimeter data passes. Winds are mainly
moderate and seas moderate across any remainder waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned fresh to strong
south winds and the convective activity N of 24N between 55W and
58W will slowly diminish through early this evening as Invest AL95
moves farther away from the forecast waters. Elsewhere, moderate
to at times fresh trades, will prevail S of about 23N, with
slightly higher winds pulsing at times as the northern extent of
tropical waves most westward across the far southern waters into
the weekend. Long period northeast to east swell from an
approaching low pressure system, or possibly a tropical cyclone,
may begin to impact the far SE portion of the area starting Sat.

$$
Aguirre

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Aug 25 11:05:26 2026

205
AXNT20 KNHC 251105
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Aug 25 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600| UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1045 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): A tropical wave and
associated area of low pressure is analyzed over the far eastern
Atlantic a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde
islands. THe wave extends along 20W/21W and S of 20N, with a
1010 mb low centered along the wave axis near 11N21W. Disorganized
scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is seen from
07N to 12N between 17W and 25W. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for gradual development, and this system is likely to
become a tropical depression during the next few days while it
moves westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and
central tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions could become
less conducive for development by the weekend. This system
has a medium chance of tropical cyclone formation through
the next 7 days.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!8cpp3XhoEcWMhKOmUPzoprw__7k7v_iNfnHjqKyLw1W5M-pjb4ooAJ2WU6_LIwXL4ODMD-dXvJW4hrpFg8AL2ykmL4I$ for more details on
this feature.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 46W south of
20N moving westward around 15 kt. Convection as described below
under Monsoon Trough/ITCZ.

An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 63W south of 21N.
It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No convection is presently
occurring with this wave.

A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 74W south of 21N
to northern Colombia moving westward around 10 kt. No convection
is presently noted with this wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 11N24W and
westward to 12.5N35W to 11N40W and to 09N48W, where it transitions
to the ITCZ to near 07N58W. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is within 120 nm north of the trough between
43W-47W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm north
of the trough between 47W-50W, and within 30 nm of the trough
between 38W-43W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A relatively weak 1017 mb high pressure is centered over the
central Gulf near 25N89W, and is generally producing light to
gentle anticyclonic winds across the basin, except moderate NE
winds in the eastern Bay of Campeche. Slight seas of 3 ft or less
prevail over the basin per buoy observations and recent satellite
altimeter satellite data passes.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over
the central Gulf through Wed, with the western Atlantic ridge
remaining dominate over the basin thereafter. This will maintain
gentle to locally moderate winds and slight seas into the weekend.
A surface trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west
of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the
period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between weak high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
continues to allow for moderate to fresh trade winds over the
central Caribbean from the coast of Hispaniola to the coasts of
northwestern Venezuela and northern Colombia, with a narrow zone
of strong winds along the coasts near the Gulf of Venezuela and
far NE Colombia. Seas are generally 5 to 7 ft with these trades.
Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere from 11N
to 18N, with gentle to moderate trades and moderate seas
elsewhere.

Scattered to numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is
confined to south of 15N west of 80W, including some of the
inland sections of Nicaragua. Isolated showers and thunderstorms
are elsewhere south of 18N west of 77W.

For the forecast, the current synoptic pattern across the region
will continue to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant
rough seas over the south-central Caribbean through the
rest of the week and into the weekend. Elsewhere, mainly moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light to
gentle winds and slight seas in the NW part of the basin. Winds
will pulse at times through the week following passages several
tropical waves that will quickly move west across the basin. Long
period northeast to east swell from an approaching low pressure
system, or possibly a tropical cyclone, may begin to impact the far
eastern portion of the tropical N Atlantic zone starting Sat.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL96, and a tropical wave that emerged off
the coast of Africa yesterday.

Low pressure of 1015 mb, Invest AL95, is north of the area near
35N60W. Its associated trough extends from the low to 31N61W and to
near 24N64W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection and
fresh to strong south winds persist to the E of the trough N of 24N
between 55W and 58W. In the eastern Atlantic, another weak surface
trough is analyzed from near 29N32W to 25N34W. No convection is
active with this trough. Otherwise, broad high pressure ridging
prevails. A 1019 mb high center is over the western Atlantic at
29N69W. To the south of this feature, fresh east to southeast winds
are over the waters from the southern Bahamas and Turks and Caicos
Islands to near the Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate winds and
slight to moderate seas remain elsewhere north of 20N and west of
61W. Moderate to fresh trades dominate from north of the monsoon
trough and ITCZ between Africa and 56W, with 5 to 8 ft seas as noted
in overnight satellite altimeter data passes. Winds are mainly
moderate and seas moderate across any remainder waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned fresh to strong
south winds and the convective activity N of 24N between 55W and
58W will slowly diminish through early this evening as Invest AL95
moves farther away from the forecast waters. Elsewhere, moderate
to at times fresh trades, will prevail S of about 23N, with
slightly higher winds pulsing at times as the northern extent of
tropical waves most westward across the far southern waters into
the weekend. Long period northeast to east swell from an approaching
low pressure system, Invest AL96, or possibly a tropical cyclone,
may begin to impact the far SE portion of the area starting Sat.

$$
Aguirre

= = = = = = =
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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Aug 25 15:46:24 2026

549
AXNT20 KNHC 251546
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Aug 25 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1430 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): An area of low pressure
of 1009 mb is at 12N23W a few hundred miles south-southeast of
the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection
is occurring from 09N-14N between 21W-26W. Peak winds are near 25
kt and seas to 7 ft. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
gradual development, and this system is likely to become a
tropical depression during the next day or two while it moves
westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions could become less
conducive for development by the weekend. Formation chance through
48 hours is high.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!7GIV5J6_5migF75x20uxtsRK9pCTHL5iwt_GIoqy7-O6XnLpjwNK7KR3UwfkKb6F5Sspj5hAhP8xBTIAFXOgBWU4yck$ for more details on
this feature.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 23W from 06N-21N,
moving westward around 15 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated
strong convection is occurring from 09N-14N between 21W-26W. This
system is Invest AL96, which is discussed in detail above.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 50W south of
17N moving westward around 15 kt. No significant deep convection
is occurring in association with this wave.

An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 68W south of 20N.
It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No convection is presently
occurring with this wave.

A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 81W south of 20N
to Panama moving westward around 10 kt. Scattered moderate and
isolated strong convection is occurring south of 16N west of 80W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Mauritania near
19N16W to the 1009 mb low at 12N23W, then westward to 11N41W. The
ITCZ begins at 11N41W to 10N49W, where it breaks for an tropical
wave, then begins again at 10N51W to coastal Guyana at 08N59W.
Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is occurring
from 09N-14N between 21W-26W. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring from 08N-12N between 29W-38W and from 08N-11N west of
55W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak 1017 mb high is centered over the central Gulf near 24N87W
contributing toward moderate or weaker winds with seas 1-4 ft this
morning. A 1015 mb at 30N86W along a trough extending from 30N86W
to 28N87W is accompanied by scattered moderate convection north
of 28N east of 90W.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over
the central Gulf through Wed, with the western Atlantic ridge
remaining dominate over the basin thereafter. This will maintain
gentle to locally moderate winds and slight seas into the weekend.
A surface trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west
of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the
period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between the Bermuda-Azores High north of the
area and the 1008 mb Colombian Low is forcing fresh to strong
trades over the central Caribbean with seas 6-9 ft. Elsewhere
winds are moderate or weaker with seas 2-5 ft. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is occurring south of 16N west of
80W.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic high
pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
will continue to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant
rough seas over the south-central Caribbean through the rest of
the week and into the weekend. Winds may be near gale-force in the
Gulf of Venezuela at night starting tonight, and northwest of
Colombia at night starting Wed night. Elsewhere, mainly moderate
to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light
to gentle winds and slight seas in the NW part of the basin. Winds
will pulse at times through the week following passages several
tropical waves that will quickly move west across the basin. Long
period northeast to east swell from an approaching low pressure
system, Invest AL96, or possibly a tropical cyclone, may begin to
impacts to the far eastern portion of the tropical N Atlantic
zone starting Sat.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL96, and a tropical wave that emerged off
the coast of Africa yesterday.

A 1030 mb Bermuda-Azores High is centered north of our waters a
42N41W. The pressure gradient between the northward-displaced high
and lower pressure over the ITCZ and monsoon trough is only
forcing gentle to moderate trades with seas 3-7 ft. An upper-level
trough north of the Greater Antilles is forcing scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection north of 22N between 54W-61W.

For the forecast west of 55W, an elongated trough from north of
the area to 29N63W will support showers and thunderstorms over the
waters north of 22N and east of 61W through at least tonight.
High pressure dominates the remainder of the waters with mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas north of 23N
through the remainder of the week. Moderate to at times fresh
trades, will prevail south of 23N, with slightly higher winds
pulsing at times as the northern extent of tropical waves most
westward across the far southern waters into the weekend. Long
period northeast to east swell from an approaching low pressure
system, Invest AL96, or possibly a tropical cyclone, may begin to
impact the far SE portion of the area starting Sat.

$$
Landsea

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Aug 25 15:46:24 2026

548
AXNT20 KNHC 251546
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Aug 25 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1430 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): An area of low pressure
of 1009 mb is at 12N23W a few hundred miles south-southeast of
the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection
is occurring from 09N-14N between 21W-26W. Peak winds are near 25
kt and seas to 7 ft. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
gradual development, and this system is likely to become a
tropical depression during the next day or two while it moves
westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions could become less
conducive for development by the weekend. Formation chance through
48 hours is high.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!95IDijGYMqosf0BwPjBy-ROBH4U7KpB8qbFRnlEl5t0mkrEDVv1pew1d4o16kfuPd8jHdgMNmr83K82BxsrleYEuEJQ$ for more details on
this feature.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 23W from 06N-21N,
moving westward around 15 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated
strong convection is occurring from 09N-14N between 21W-26W. This
system is Invest AL96, which is discussed in detail above.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 50W south of
17N moving westward around 15 kt. No significant deep convection
is occurring in association with this wave.

An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 68W south of 20N.
It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No convection is presently
occurring with this wave.

A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 81W south of 20N
to Panama moving westward around 10 kt. Scattered moderate and
isolated strong convection is occurring south of 16N west of 80W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Mauritania near
19N16W to the 1009 mb low at 12N23W, then westward to 11N41W. The
ITCZ begins at 11N41W to 10N49W, where it breaks for an tropical
wave, then begins again at 10N51W to coastal Guyana at 08N59W.
Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is occurring
from 09N-14N between 21W-26W. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring from 08N-12N between 29W-38W and from 08N-11N west of
55W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak 1017 mb high is centered over the central Gulf near 24N87W
contributing toward moderate or weaker winds with seas 1-4 ft this
morning. A 1015 mb at 30N86W along a trough extending from 30N86W
to 28N87W is accompanied by scattered moderate convection north
of 28N east of 90W.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over
the central Gulf through Wed, with the western Atlantic ridge
remaining dominate over the basin thereafter. This will maintain
gentle to locally moderate winds and slight seas into the weekend.
A surface trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west
of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the
period.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between the Bermuda-Azores High north of the
area and the 1008 mb Colombian Low is forcing fresh to strong
trades over the central Caribbean with seas 6-9 ft. Elsewhere
winds are moderate or weaker with seas 2-5 ft. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is occurring south of 16N west of
80W.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic high
pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
will continue to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant
rough seas over the south-central Caribbean through the rest of
the week and into the weekend. Winds may be near gale-force in the
Gulf of Venezuela at night starting tonight, and northwest of
Colombia at night starting Wed night. Elsewhere, mainly moderate
to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light
to gentle winds and slight seas in the NW part of the basin. Winds
will pulse at times through the week following passages several
tropical waves that will quickly move west across the basin. Long
period northeast to east swell from an approaching low pressure
system, Invest AL96, or possibly a tropical cyclone, may begin to
impacts to the far eastern portion of the tropical N Atlantic
zone starting Sat.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL96, and a tropical wave that emerged off
the coast of Africa yesterday.

A 1030 mb Bermuda-Azores High is centered north of our waters a
42N41W. The pressure gradient between the northward-displaced high
and lower pressure over the ITCZ and monsoon trough is only
forcing gentle to moderate trades with seas 3-7 ft. An upper-level
trough north of the Greater Antilles is forcing scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection north of 22N between 54W-61W.

For the forecast west of 55W, an elongated trough from north of
the area to 29N63W will support showers and thunderstorms over the
waters north of 22N and east of 61W through at least tonight.
High pressure dominates the remainder of the waters with mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas north of 23N
through the remainder of the week. Moderate to at times fresh
trades, will prevail south of 23N, with slightly higher winds
pulsing at times as the northern extent of tropical waves most
westward across the far southern waters into the weekend. Long
period northeast to east swell from an approaching low pressure
system, Invest AL96, or possibly a tropical cyclone, may begin to
impact the far SE portion of the area starting Sat.

$$
Landsea

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Aug 25 23:40:38 2026

147
AXNT20 KNHC 252340
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Aug 25 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): A 1008 mb area of low
pressure is near 12N23.5W, a few hundred miles south of the Cabo
Verde Islands, and is producing scattered moderate isolated
strong convection from 08.5N 14N between 24W and 29W. Peak winds
are near 25 kt with seas to 7 ft in the vicinity of the low.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development,
and this system is likely to become a tropical depression during
the next day or two while it moves westward to west-northwestward
across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Environmental
conditions could become less conducive for development by the
weekend. Formation chance through 48 hours is high.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!4SbUMk5Ncvq6r4Mn1WX1q2ECgaCmVOfh5FLW9k87jWKIIkAEcRYUTp89dTNOapZPddLsQ2VItKRLagtwEjXkl1gqHE8$ for more details on
this feature.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 24W from 06N-21N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated
strong convection is occurring from 08.5N 14N between 24W and 29W.
This system is Invest AL96, which is discussed in detail above.

An Atlantic tropical wave is near 54W south of 17N, moving
westward around 15 kt. No significant deep convection is occurring
in association with this wave.

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 69W south of 20N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. No convection is presently occurring with
this wave.

A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 82W, south of 20N
to Cost Rica, moving westward around 10 kt. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is occurring south of 17N between
80W and 87W. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong convection
is across the Eastern Tropical Pacific from 04N to 09N E of 90W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Mauritania near
19N16W to the 1008 mb low at 12N23.5W, then westward to 13N41W to
12N47W. The ITCZ begins at 12N47W to 08N59W. Scattered moderate
convection is occurring from 08N-13N between 31W-40W and from
11N-14N between 40W-51W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Northerly middle level winds across the northern Gulf coast
continue to push scattered moderate isolated strong convection
across northern portions of the Gulf, southward to the area from
25N to 29N between 85W and 93W. The most intense convection there
is occurring across SE Louisiana and the adjacent coastal waters.
A weak 1018 mb high is centered over the NW Gulf near 29N94W,
contributing toward moderate or weaker winds with seas 1-3 ft
this afternoon. A surface trough extends from a frontal system in
central Georgia, southwestward through the central Florida
Panhandle to 25N88W, while a second trough is across the central
Bay of Campeche. Modest convection accompanies both of these
troughs.

For the forecast, weak and broad high pressure will dominate the
basin through the remainder of the week and into the upcoming
weekend with mainly moderate or weaker winds and slight seas.
Winds may pulse to moderate to fresh with locally moderate seas
offshore of the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due
to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each
night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between the 1020 mb Bermuda High near
29N67W and the 1006 mb Colombian Low is forcing an expanding area
of fresh to strong trades over the central Caribbean, from south
of Jamaica and Hispaniola to South America, where seas are 6 to 9
ft, and to 10 ft along the NE coast of Colombia. Elsewhere winds
are moderate or weaker with seas 3-5 ft. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is occurring south of 17N west of 80W.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient across the Caribbean basin will
support fresh to strong winds south of 18N through the next
several days, along with rough seas. Winds will pulse to minimal
gale force in the Gulf of Venezuela and off northern Colombia
during the next couple of evenings with locally very rough seas.
Mainly moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will dominate
the eastern Caribbean, with gentle to moderate winds and slight to
moderate seas in the NW Caribbean. Winds will pulse to fresh near
the Windward Passage. Looking ahead, low pressure, Invest AL96,
in the eastern Atlantic, has the potential to develop into a
tropical cyclone and bring increasing winds and seas to portions
of the Tropical N Atlantic this weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL96, and the tropical wave that emerged off
the coast of Africa yesterday.

A 1029 mb Azores High is centered north of our waters a 41N40W.
The pressure gradient between the northward-displaced high and
lower pressure over the ITCZ and monsoon trough is only forcing
moderate trades across the Tropical Atlantic west of 35W, with
seas 4-7 ft. A middle Atlantic upper-level trough north of the
Greater Antilles along about 60W is forcing scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection north of 21N between 57W-62W.

East of 35W, a cold front is approaching the area from the north,
along 31N, and has squashed the ridge that has dominated that area
in recent days. Winds extending from the Canary Islands to north
of the Cabo Verdes are only moderate to fresh N of 16N and E of
35W, with seas of 5-8 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, an elongated deep layered trough
from north of the area southward along about 61W will continue to
support showers and thunderstorms over the waters north of 20N
between 55W and 61W through at Thu. Moderate high pressure
dominates the remainder of the waters with mainly moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas north of 23N through the
remainder of the week. Moderate to fresh trades will prevail
south of 23N, with slightly higher winds pulsing at times as the
northern extent of tropical waves most westward across the far
southern waters into the weekend. Looking ahead, low pressure,
Invest AL96, in the eastern Atlantic has the potential to develop
into a tropical cyclone and bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters by late Sat into Sun.

$$
Stripling

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Aug 25 23:40:38 2026

146
AXNT20 KNHC 252340
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Aug 25 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): A 1008 mb area of low
pressure is near 12N23.5W, a few hundred miles south of the Cabo
Verde Islands, and is producing scattered moderate isolated
strong convection from 08.5N 14N between 24W and 29W. Peak winds
are near 25 kt with seas to 7 ft in the vicinity of the low.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development,
and this system is likely to become a tropical depression during
the next day or two while it moves westward to west-northwestward
across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Environmental
conditions could become less conducive for development by the
weekend. Formation chance through 48 hours is high.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!91f3PIEK6PWZrl2ZoD8qTyhbeb_BtCwpEC-nfaFc8m82e-qBKEda0vxDC-a8cvRe6nb9JVoq1nNhC__EDRDEAl_OMgw$ for more details on
this feature.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 24W from 06N-21N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated
strong convection is occurring from 08.5N 14N between 24W and 29W.
This system is Invest AL96, which is discussed in detail above.

An Atlantic tropical wave is near 54W south of 17N, moving
westward around 15 kt. No significant deep convection is occurring
in association with this wave.

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 69W south of 20N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. No convection is presently occurring with
this wave.

A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 82W, south of 20N
to Cost Rica, moving westward around 10 kt. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is occurring south of 17N between
80W and 87W. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong convection
is across the Eastern Tropical Pacific from 04N to 09N E of 90W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Mauritania near
19N16W to the 1008 mb low at 12N23.5W, then westward to 13N41W to
12N47W. The ITCZ begins at 12N47W to 08N59W. Scattered moderate
convection is occurring from 08N-13N between 31W-40W and from
11N-14N between 40W-51W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Northerly middle level winds across the northern Gulf coast
continue to push scattered moderate isolated strong convection
across northern portions of the Gulf, southward to the area from
25N to 29N between 85W and 93W. The most intense convection there
is occurring across SE Louisiana and the adjacent coastal waters.
A weak 1018 mb high is centered over the NW Gulf near 29N94W,
contributing toward moderate or weaker winds with seas 1-3 ft
this afternoon. A surface trough extends from a frontal system in
central Georgia, southwestward through the central Florida
Panhandle to 25N88W, while a second trough is across the central
Bay of Campeche. Modest convection accompanies both of these
troughs.

For the forecast, weak and broad high pressure will dominate the
basin through the remainder of the week and into the upcoming
weekend with mainly moderate or weaker winds and slight seas.
Winds may pulse to moderate to fresh with locally moderate seas
offshore of the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due
to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each
night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between the 1020 mb Bermuda High near
29N67W and the 1006 mb Colombian Low is forcing an expanding area
of fresh to strong trades over the central Caribbean, from south
of Jamaica and Hispaniola to South America, where seas are 6 to 9
ft, and to 10 ft along the NE coast of Colombia. Elsewhere winds
are moderate or weaker with seas 3-5 ft. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is occurring south of 17N west of 80W.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient across the Caribbean basin will
support fresh to strong winds south of 18N through the next
several days, along with rough seas. Winds will pulse to minimal
gale force in the Gulf of Venezuela and off northern Colombia
during the next couple of evenings with locally very rough seas.
Mainly moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will dominate
the eastern Caribbean, with gentle to moderate winds and slight to
moderate seas in the NW Caribbean. Winds will pulse to fresh near
the Windward Passage. Looking ahead, low pressure, Invest AL96,
in the eastern Atlantic, has the potential to develop into a
tropical cyclone and bring increasing winds and seas to portions
of the Tropical N Atlantic this weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL96, and the tropical wave that emerged off
the coast of Africa yesterday.

A 1029 mb Azores High is centered north of our waters a 41N40W.
The pressure gradient between the northward-displaced high and
lower pressure over the ITCZ and monsoon trough is only forcing
moderate trades across the Tropical Atlantic west of 35W, with
seas 4-7 ft. A middle Atlantic upper-level trough north of the
Greater Antilles along about 60W is forcing scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection north of 21N between 57W-62W.

East of 35W, a cold front is approaching the area from the north,
along 31N, and has squashed the ridge that has dominated that area
in recent days. Winds extending from the Canary Islands to north
of the Cabo Verdes are only moderate to fresh N of 16N and E of
35W, with seas of 5-8 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, an elongated deep layered trough
from north of the area southward along about 61W will continue to
support showers and thunderstorms over the waters north of 20N
between 55W and 61W through at Thu. Moderate high pressure
dominates the remainder of the waters with mainly moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas north of 23N through the
remainder of the week. Moderate to fresh trades will prevail
south of 23N, with slightly higher winds pulsing at times as the
northern extent of tropical waves most westward across the far
southern waters into the weekend. Looking ahead, low pressure,
Invest AL96, in the eastern Atlantic has the potential to develop
into a tropical cyclone and bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters by late Sat into Sun.

$$
Stripling

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Aug 25 23:44:40 2026

634
AXNT20 KNHC 252344 CCA
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Aug 26 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): A 1008 mb area of low
pressure is near 12N23.5W, a few hundred miles south of the Cabo
Verde Islands, and is producing scattered moderate isolated
strong convection from 08.5N 14N between 24W and 29W. Peak winds
are near 25 kt with seas to 7 ft in the vicinity of the low.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development,
and this system is likely to become a tropical depression during
the next day or two while it moves westward to west-northwestward
across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Environmental
conditions could become less conducive for development by the
weekend. Formation chance through 48 hours is high.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!4fk2dKSnaOAommCUZfB6cbW-gcWl5987vz6jR5VxAe8ZYZZWc-tZEQxeUjjn0D87Sn5A-rUOccMgzvn4KrOYLLmcnUU$ for more details on
this feature.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 24W from 06N-21N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated
strong convection is occurring from 08.5N 14N between 24W and 29W.
This system is Invest AL96, which is discussed in detail above.

An Atlantic tropical wave is near 54W south of 17N, moving
westward around 15 kt. No significant deep convection is occurring
in association with this wave.

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 69W south of 20N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. No convection is presently occurring with
this wave.

A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 82W, south of 20N
to Cost Rica, moving westward around 10 kt. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is occurring south of 17N between
80W and 87W. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong convection
is across the Eastern Tropical Pacific from 04N to 09N E of 90W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Mauritania near
19N16W to the 1008 mb low at 12N23.5W, then westward to 13N41W to
12N47W. The ITCZ begins at 12N47W to 08N59W. Scattered moderate
convection is occurring from 08N-13N between 31W-40W and from
11N-14N between 40W-51W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Northerly middle level winds across the northern Gulf coast
continue to push scattered moderate isolated strong convection
across northern portions of the Gulf, southward to the area from
25N to 29N between 85W and 93W. The most intense convection there
is occurring across SE Louisiana and the adjacent coastal waters.
A weak 1018 mb high is centered over the NW Gulf near 29N94W,
contributing toward moderate or weaker winds with seas 1-3 ft
this afternoon. A surface trough extends from a frontal system in
central Georgia, southwestward through the central Florida
Panhandle to 25N88W, while a second trough is across the central
Bay of Campeche. Modest convection accompanies both of these
troughs.

For the forecast, weak and broad high pressure will dominate the
basin through the remainder of the week and into the upcoming
weekend with mainly moderate or weaker winds and slight seas.
Winds may pulse to moderate to fresh with locally moderate seas
offshore of the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due
to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each
night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between the 1020 mb Bermuda High near
29N67W and the 1006 mb Colombian Low is forcing an expanding area
of fresh to strong trades over the central Caribbean, from south
of Jamaica and Hispaniola to South America, where seas are 6 to 9
ft, and to 10 ft along the NE coast of Colombia. Elsewhere winds
are moderate or weaker with seas 3-5 ft. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is occurring south of 17N west of 80W.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient across the Caribbean basin will
support fresh to strong winds south of 18N through the next
several days, along with rough seas. Winds will pulse to minimal
gale force in the Gulf of Venezuela and off northern Colombia
during the next couple of evenings with locally very rough seas.
Mainly moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will dominate
the eastern Caribbean, with gentle to moderate winds and slight to
moderate seas in the NW Caribbean. Winds will pulse to fresh near
the Windward Passage. Looking ahead, low pressure, Invest AL96,
in the eastern Atlantic, has the potential to develop into a
tropical cyclone and bring increasing winds and seas to portions
of the Tropical N Atlantic this weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL96, and the tropical wave that emerged off
the coast of Africa yesterday.

A 1029 mb Azores High is centered north of our waters a 41N40W.
The pressure gradient between the northward-displaced high and
lower pressure over the ITCZ and monsoon trough is only forcing
moderate trades across the Tropical Atlantic west of 35W, with
seas 4-7 ft. A middle Atlantic upper-level trough north of the
Greater Antilles along about 60W is forcing scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection north of 21N between 57W-62W.

East of 35W, a cold front is approaching the area from the north,
along 31N, and has squashed the ridge that has dominated that area
in recent days. Winds extending from the Canary Islands to north
of the Cabo Verdes are only moderate to fresh N of 16N and E of
35W, with seas of 5-8 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, an elongated deep layered trough
from north of the area southward along about 61W will continue to
support showers and thunderstorms over the waters north of 20N
between 55W and 61W through at Thu. Moderate high pressure
dominates the remainder of the waters with mainly moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas north of 23N through the
remainder of the week. Moderate to fresh trades will prevail
south of 23N, with slightly higher winds pulsing at times as the
northern extent of tropical waves most westward across the far
southern waters into the weekend. Looking ahead, low pressure,
Invest AL96, in the eastern Atlantic has the potential to develop
into a tropical cyclone and bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters by late Sat into Sun.

$$
Stripling

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Aug 26 05:08:10 2026

931
AXNT20 KNHC 260507
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Aug 26 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): An area of low pressure
located along a tropical wave a few hundred miles south-southwest
of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce showers and
thunderstorms displaced southwest of its center from 08N to 14N
between 24W and 29W. Peak winds are near 25 kt with seas to 7 ft
in the vicinity of the low. This activity has changed little in
organization tonight, but environmental conditions remain somewhat
favorable for gradual development over the next couple of days. A
tropical depression is likely to form over the next day or two as
the system moves westward to west- northwestward across the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic, though environmental
conditions are forecast to become less favorable for development
by this weekend. Formation chance through 48 hours is high.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!8ISsgDnsyWHtoWDkFhYiRr1NAjedhG0H42tj8IOc93QkmR_k9eQ01CmlrInveyP2F4vy0mhM-zDaOVX3qzWB1_JvQ6U$ for more details on
this feature.

South Central Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient
between Atlantic high pressure north of the basin and low pressure
over northern Colombia will support pulsing winds to gale force
in the Gulf of Venezuela and off northern Colombia tonight and Wed
evening and night, with locally very rough seas.

Please refer to the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued
by the National Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!8ISsgDnsyWHtoWDkFhYiRr1NAjedhG0H42tj8IOc93QkmR_k9eQ01CmlrInveyP2F4vy0mhM-zDaOVX3qzWBW6YrESc$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An Atlantic tropical wave is near 56W south of 21N, moving
westward around 15 kt. No significant deep convection is occurring
in association with this wave.

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 71W south of 20N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. No convection is presently occurring with
this wave.

A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 86W, south of 21N,
moving westward around 20 kt. Scattered showers prevailing the
wave environment.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Africa near 22N17W
to 13N45W. The ITCZ continues from 13N45W to 11N53W. Scattered
showers are noted along the monsoon trough between 34W-40W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Northerly mid-level winds across the northern Gulf coast continue
to push scattered showers across northern portions of the Gulf,
southward to the area N of 28N between 88W and 93W. A 1015 mb
high is centered over the NW Gulf near 29N93W, while a 1016 mb
high is analyzed near 26N84W. Moderate or weaker winds with seas
1-3 ft prevail across the basin.

For the forecast, weak and broad high pressure ridging will
dominate the basin through the remainder of the week and the
upcoming weekend with mainly moderate or weaker winds and slight
seas. Winds may pulse to moderate to fresh with locally moderate
seas offshore of the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings
due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula
each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in
effect for the S-central Caribbean.

Outside of the gale area, the pressure gradient between the 1020
mb Bermuda High near 28N66W and the 1007 mb Colombian Low is
forcing an expanding area of fresh to strong trades over the
central Caribbean, from south of Jamaica and Hispaniola to South
America, where seas are 6 to 9 ft. Elsewhere winds are moderate
or weaker with seas 3-5 ft. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is occurring south of 17N west of 80W.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to support
fresh to strong winds across the Caribbean south of 18N through
the next several days, along with rough seas. Winds will pulse to
minimal gale force in the Gulf of Venezuela and off northern
Colombia tonight and Wed evening and night with locally very rough
seas. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will dominate
the eastern Caribbean, with gentle to moderate winds and slight to
moderate seas in the NW Caribbean. Winds will pulse to fresh near
the Windward Passage. Looking ahead, low pressure, Invest AL96,
in the eastern Atlantic has the potential to develop into a
tropical cyclone and bring increasing winds and seas to portions
of the Tropical N Atlantic this weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL96, and the tropical wave that emerged off
the coast of Africa yesterday.

A 1029 mb Azores High is centered north of our waters a 41N40W.
The pressure gradient between the northward-displaced high and
lower pressure over the ITCZ and monsoon trough is only forcing
moderate trades across the Tropical Atlantic west of 35W, with
seas 4-7 ft. A mid Atlantic deep layer trough north of the
Greater Antilles along 60W is forcing scattered moderate
convection north of 23N between 56W-59W.

East of 40W, a stationary front is analyzed along 30N. Surface
ridging prevails elsewhere. Winds extending from the Canary
Islands to north of the Cabo Verdes are only moderate to fresh N
of 16N and E of 35W, with seas of 5-8 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, the elongated deep layered trough
will continue to support showers and thunderstorms over the waters
north of 20N between 55W and 61W through at Thu. Moderate high
pressure dominates the remainder of the waters with mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas north of 23N
through the remainder of the week. Moderate to fresh trades will
prevail south of 23N, with slightly higher winds pulsing at times
as the northern extent of tropical waves most westward across the
far southern waters into the weekend. Looking ahead, low pressure,
Invest AL96, in the eastern Atlantic has the potential to develop
into a tropical cyclone and bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters by late Sat into Sun.

$$
ERA

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Aug 26 05:08:14 2026

065
AXNT20 KNHC 260507
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Aug 26 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): An area of low pressure
located along a tropical wave a few hundred miles south-southwest
of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce showers and
thunderstorms displaced southwest of its center from 08N to 14N
between 24W and 29W. Peak winds are near 25 kt with seas to 7 ft
in the vicinity of the low. This activity has changed little in
organization tonight, but environmental conditions remain somewhat
favorable for gradual development over the next couple of days. A
tropical depression is likely to form over the next day or two as
the system moves westward to west- northwestward across the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic, though environmental
conditions are forecast to become less favorable for development
by this weekend. Formation chance through 48 hours is high.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!-zRsznMj1qtXeHSNql_w3DlxontcsOGxkE8bqd0ykhNbYzBmqQ91LjR2MpVTiCJjp15ul2HGSEOjM1Cnda069F4wGsM$ for more details on
this feature.

South Central Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient
between Atlantic high pressure north of the basin and low pressure
over northern Colombia will support pulsing winds to gale force
in the Gulf of Venezuela and off northern Colombia tonight and Wed
evening and night, with locally very rough seas.

Please refer to the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued
by the National Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!-zRsznMj1qtXeHSNql_w3DlxontcsOGxkE8bqd0ykhNbYzBmqQ91LjR2MpVTiCJjp15ul2HGSEOjM1Cnda06OakUfWo$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An Atlantic tropical wave is near 56W south of 21N, moving
westward around 15 kt. No significant deep convection is occurring
in association with this wave.

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 71W south of 20N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. No convection is presently occurring with
this wave.

A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 86W, south of 21N,
moving westward around 20 kt. Scattered showers prevailing the
wave environment.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Africa near 22N17W
to 13N45W. The ITCZ continues from 13N45W to 11N53W. Scattered
showers are noted along the monsoon trough between 34W-40W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Northerly mid-level winds across the northern Gulf coast continue
to push scattered showers across northern portions of the Gulf,
southward to the area N of 28N between 88W and 93W. A 1015 mb
high is centered over the NW Gulf near 29N93W, while a 1016 mb
high is analyzed near 26N84W. Moderate or weaker winds with seas
1-3 ft prevail across the basin.

For the forecast, weak and broad high pressure ridging will
dominate the basin through the remainder of the week and the
upcoming weekend with mainly moderate or weaker winds and slight
seas. Winds may pulse to moderate to fresh with locally moderate
seas offshore of the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings
due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula
each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in
effect for the S-central Caribbean.

Outside of the gale area, the pressure gradient between the 1020
mb Bermuda High near 28N66W and the 1007 mb Colombian Low is
forcing an expanding area of fresh to strong trades over the
central Caribbean, from south of Jamaica and Hispaniola to South
America, where seas are 6 to 9 ft. Elsewhere winds are moderate
or weaker with seas 3-5 ft. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is occurring south of 17N west of 80W.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to support
fresh to strong winds across the Caribbean south of 18N through
the next several days, along with rough seas. Winds will pulse to
minimal gale force in the Gulf of Venezuela and off northern
Colombia tonight and Wed evening and night with locally very rough
seas. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will dominate
the eastern Caribbean, with gentle to moderate winds and slight to
moderate seas in the NW Caribbean. Winds will pulse to fresh near
the Windward Passage. Looking ahead, low pressure, Invest AL96,
in the eastern Atlantic has the potential to develop into a
tropical cyclone and bring increasing winds and seas to portions
of the Tropical N Atlantic this weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL96, and the tropical wave that emerged off
the coast of Africa yesterday.

A 1029 mb Azores High is centered north of our waters a 41N40W.
The pressure gradient between the northward-displaced high and
lower pressure over the ITCZ and monsoon trough is only forcing
moderate trades across the Tropical Atlantic west of 35W, with
seas 4-7 ft. A mid Atlantic deep layer trough north of the
Greater Antilles along 60W is forcing scattered moderate
convection north of 23N between 56W-59W.

East of 40W, a stationary front is analyzed along 30N. Surface
ridging prevails elsewhere. Winds extending from the Canary
Islands to north of the Cabo Verdes are only moderate to fresh N
of 16N and E of 35W, with seas of 5-8 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, the elongated deep layered trough
will continue to support showers and thunderstorms over the waters
north of 20N between 55W and 61W through at Thu. Moderate high
pressure dominates the remainder of the waters with mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas north of 23N
through the remainder of the week. Moderate to fresh trades will
prevail south of 23N, with slightly higher winds pulsing at times
as the northern extent of tropical waves most westward across the
far southern waters into the weekend. Looking ahead, low pressure,
Invest AL96, in the eastern Atlantic has the potential to develop
into a tropical cyclone and bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters by late Sat into Sun.

$$
ERA

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Aug 26 10:18:20 2026

250
AXNT20 KNHC 261017
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Aug 26 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0955 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): An area of low pressure
associated with a tropical wave, located a few hundred miles
south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, is producing showers
and thunderstorms that are displaced to the southwest of its
center. Environmental conditions remain somewhat favorable for
development over the next couple of days, and a tropical
depression is likely to form over the next day or two as the
system moves westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and
central tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions are forecast
to become less favorable by this weekend, potentially ending its
chances for development. Formation chance through 48 hours and 7
days is high.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!4FTa0ggP9AI2J1E-4M9aERboNcFjHnpDAGXvDC0bT3hAsAZRuSNw8aRgW3Mhr3v954v48Tqz32Cw_p41kOsrfs4b_hk$ for more details on
this feature.

Caribbean Gale Warning: Tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean Sea and lower
pressures in northern Colombia will support fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and rough seas through the forecast period.
Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight and Thu night off Colombia
and in the Gulf of Venezuela, along with locally very rough seas.

Please refer to the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued
by the National Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!4FTa0ggP9AI2J1E-4M9aERboNcFjHnpDAGXvDC0bT3hAsAZRuSNw8aRgW3Mhr3v954v48Tqz32Cw_p41kOsrla_qVFY$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 57W, south of 21N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant deep convection is
occurring in association with this wave.

A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 72W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No convection is observed with
this wave.

For information on the tropical wave previously described in the
western Caribbean, please read the Eastern Pacific Tropical
Weather Discussion.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Senegal near 21N16W
to 13N43W. The ITCZ continues from 13N43W to 11N55W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring from 05N to
18N and east of 19W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A few showers are noted in the Florida Straits, while generally
dry conditions are present in the remainder of the Gulf waters. A
weak high pressure system over the central Gulf maintains moderate
or weaker winds and slight seas across much of the basin.

For the forecast, a weak pressure pattern will persist across the Gulf
waters through the forecast period, supporting moderate or weaker
winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong
with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due
to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each
night. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms may increase
across the northern Gulf waters late this week into the weekend as
an upper level trough passes to the north.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Special Features section for details on the Gale
Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela.

Divergence aloft and tropical moisture combine to produce
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the NW
Caribbean and off Nicaragua, Costa Rica and Panama. Dry conditions
prevail elsewhere. Outside of the Gale Warning area, fresh to
strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas are noted in the
north-central and SW Caribbean. Moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas are prevalent in the rest of the basin.

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge north of the islands and lower pressures in northern
Colombia will support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and
rough seas through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-
force tonight and Thu night off Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela, along with locally very rough seas. Meanwhile, winds
will pulse to fresh to locally strong in the Windward Passage at
night. Looking ahead, an area of low pressure, Invest AL96,
currently located in the eastern Atlantic, has a high chance of
tropical development over the next 7 days. The system may bring
increasing winds and seas to portions of the Tropical N Atlantic
this weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a high chance of
development.

Divergence aloft supports scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms west of 75W, affecting the Florida coast and NW
Bahamas. Farther east, a weak surface trough along 59W is
producing scattered showers between 55W and 60W and north of 24N.
The rest of the basin is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge.
Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and seas of 4-8 ft are
noted east of 60W. Meanwhile, moderate or lighter winds and slight
to moderate seas are found west of 60W. However, gusty winds and
higher seas are likely near the stronger storms.

For the forecast west of 55W, an elongated trough extending from
north of the area southward to 27N along 59W will continue to
support scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms through
today. The subtropical ridge will dominate the remainder of the SW
N Atlantic waters through the next several days, supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds
will pulse to fresh to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at
night. Looking ahead, an area of low pressure, Invest AL96,
currently located in the eastern Atlantic, has a high chance of
tropical development over the next 7 days. The system may bring
increasing winds and seas to portions of the southeast waters this
weekend.

$$
Delgado

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Aug 26 10:18:20 2026

321
AXNT20 KNHC 261018
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Aug 26 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0955 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): An area of low pressure
associated with a tropical wave, located a few hundred miles
south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, is producing showers
and thunderstorms that are displaced to the southwest of its
center. Environmental conditions remain somewhat favorable for
development over the next couple of days, and a tropical
depression is likely to form over the next day or two as the
system moves westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and
central tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions are forecast
to become less favorable by this weekend, potentially ending its
chances for development. Formation chance through 48 hours and 7
days is high.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!_p6NKEDecJUTb0DJNXSxtXFkdEthiHKkOovJ-NVYmL3t_sNl7_awFakZmpB7osR5dMIBgHGAePrXGk_wjDfTNkExzlM$ for more details on
this feature.

Caribbean Gale Warning: Tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean Sea and lower
pressures in northern Colombia will support fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and rough seas through the forecast period.
Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight and Thu night off Colombia
and in the Gulf of Venezuela, along with locally very rough seas.

Please refer to the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued
by the National Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!_p6NKEDecJUTb0DJNXSxtXFkdEthiHKkOovJ-NVYmL3t_sNl7_awFakZmpB7osR5dMIBgHGAePrXGk_wjDfTFbzMLb0$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 57W, south of 21N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant deep convection is
occurring in association with this wave.

A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 72W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No convection is observed with
this wave.

For information on the tropical wave previously described in the
western Caribbean, please read the Eastern Pacific Tropical
Weather Discussion.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Senegal near 21N16W
to 13N43W. The ITCZ continues from 13N43W to 11N55W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring from 05N to
18N and east of 19W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A few showers are noted in the Florida Straits, while generally
dry conditions are present in the remainder of the Gulf waters. A
weak high pressure system over the central Gulf maintains moderate
or weaker winds and slight seas across much of the basin.

For the forecast, a weak pressure pattern will persist across the Gulf
waters through the forecast period, supporting moderate or weaker
winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong
with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due
to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each
night. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms may increase
across the northern Gulf waters late this week into the weekend as
an upper level trough passes to the north.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Special Features section for details on the Gale
Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela.

Divergence aloft and tropical moisture combine to produce
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the NW
Caribbean and off Nicaragua, Costa Rica and Panama. Dry conditions
prevail elsewhere. Outside of the Gale Warning area, fresh to
strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas are noted in the
north-central and SW Caribbean. Moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas are prevalent in the rest of the basin.

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge north of the islands and lower pressures in northern
Colombia will support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and
rough seas through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-
force tonight and Thu night off Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela, along with locally very rough seas. Meanwhile, winds
will pulse to fresh to locally strong in the Windward Passage at
night. Looking ahead, an area of low pressure, Invest AL96,
currently located in the eastern Atlantic, has a high chance of
tropical development over the next 7 days. The system may bring
increasing winds and seas to portions of the Tropical N Atlantic
this weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a high chance of
development.

Divergence aloft supports scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms west of 75W, affecting the Florida coast and NW
Bahamas. Farther east, a weak surface trough along 59W is
producing scattered showers between 55W and 60W and north of 24N.
The rest of the basin is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge.
Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and seas of 4-8 ft are
noted east of 60W. Meanwhile, moderate or lighter winds and slight
to moderate seas are found west of 60W. However, gusty winds and
higher seas are likely near the stronger storms.

For the forecast west of 55W, an elongated trough extending from
north of the area southward to 27N along 59W will continue to
support scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms through
today. The subtropical ridge will dominate the remainder of the SW
N Atlantic waters through the next several days, supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds
will pulse to fresh to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at
night. Looking ahead, an area of low pressure, Invest AL96,
currently located in the eastern Atlantic, has a high chance of
tropical development over the next 7 days. The system may bring
increasing winds and seas to portions of the southeast waters this
weekend.

$$
Delgado

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Aug 26 17:35:28 2026

048
AXNT20 KNHC 261735
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Aug 26 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1732 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): An area of low pressure,
associated with a tropical wave, is located a few hundred miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Showers and
thunderstorms associated with this system have changed little in
organization over the past several hours. Environmental conditions
are somewhat favorable for development over the next couple of
days, and a tropical depression could form over the next day or
two as the system moves westward to west-northwestward near 20 mph
across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Environmental
conditions are forecast to become less conducive by this weekend,
potentially ending its chances for development. Environmental
conditions are forecast to become less favorable by this weekend,
potentially ending its chances for development. Formation chance
through 48 hours and 7 days is medium.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!7LYfVcEdXSNCZVY88phwDQBB0dfrrxEc-2lwNfReJBo_pAoVZlm9bWcgjZ9DqAeg5GXjcDo0qUVq0jom1JB2CUjoocA$ for more details on
this feature.

Caribbean Gale Warning: Tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean Sea and lower
pressures in northern Colombia will support fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and rough seas through the forecast period.
Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight and Thu night off Colombia
and in the Gulf of Venezuela, along with locally very rough seas.

Please refer to the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued
by the National Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!7LYfVcEdXSNCZVY88phwDQBB0dfrrxEc-2lwNfReJBo_pAoVZlm9bWcgjZ9DqAeg5GXjcDo0qUVq0jom1JB2-lpRFw4$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 59W, south of 21N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant deep convection is
occurring in association with this wave.

A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 75W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers are depicted
over the Windward Passage and between Jamaica and eastern Cuba.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends southwestward from 17N16W to 09N33W to
10N43W. The ITCZ continues from 10N43W to 11N57W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring from 05N to
13N and east of 20W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted
from 10N to 15N between 50W and 57W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Scattered showers prevail north of 25.5N, while generally dry
conditions are present in the remainder of the Gulf waters. A weak
high pressure system over the NE Gulf maintains moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas across much of the basin.

For the forecast, a weak pressure pattern will persist across the
Gulf waters through the forecast period, supporting moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally
strong with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings
due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula
each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Special Features section for details on the Gale
Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela.

Divergence aloft and tropical moisture combine to produce
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Gulf of
Honduras, Costa Rica and Panama offshore waters. Dry conditions
prevail elsewhere. Outside of the Gale Warning area, fresh to
strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas are noted in the
north- central and SW Caribbean. Moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas are prevalent in the rest of the basin.

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas
through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale- force
tonight and Thu night off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with locally very rough seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to
locally strong in the Windward Passage at night. An area of low
pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the eastern Atlantic
has a medium chance of tropical development over the next 7 days.
The system may bring increasing winds and seas to portions of the
Tropical N Atlantic this weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a high chance of
development.

Divergence aloft supports scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms west of 70W, affecting the Florida coast and NW
Bahamas. Farther east, a weak surface trough along 58W is
producing scattered showers between 56W and 60W and north of 23N.
The rest of the basin is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge.
Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and seas of 4-7 ft are
noted east of 60W. Meanwhile, moderate or lighter winds and slight
to moderate seas are found west of 60W. However, gusty winds and
higher seas are likely near the stronger storms.

For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge, and
associated weak pressure gradient, will dominate the SW N Atlantic
waters through the next several days. This will support mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds will
pulse to fresh to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at night.
An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the
eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical development over
the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters this weekend.

$$
KRV

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Aug 26 17:35:30 2026

194
AXNT20 KNHC 261735
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Aug 26 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1732 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): An area of low pressure,
associated with a tropical wave, is located a few hundred miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Showers and
thunderstorms associated with this system have changed little in
organization over the past several hours. Environmental conditions
are somewhat favorable for development over the next couple of
days, and a tropical depression could form over the next day or
two as the system moves westward to west-northwestward near 20 mph
across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Environmental
conditions are forecast to become less conducive by this weekend,
potentially ending its chances for development. Environmental
conditions are forecast to become less favorable by this weekend,
potentially ending its chances for development. Formation chance
through 48 hours and 7 days is medium.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!9YRJmbrxwTtiaDUPeuLpJOCXHYrczLZODmVG_hctAKezrR4yQERPJv7kBTWx0s_8o8nYUPNwReFKuHqkkp2UkzuHJ9w$ for more details on
this feature.

Caribbean Gale Warning: Tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean Sea and lower
pressures in northern Colombia will support fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and rough seas through the forecast period.
Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight and Thu night off Colombia
and in the Gulf of Venezuela, along with locally very rough seas.

Please refer to the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued
by the National Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!9YRJmbrxwTtiaDUPeuLpJOCXHYrczLZODmVG_hctAKezrR4yQERPJv7kBTWx0s_8o8nYUPNwReFKuHqkkp2UpdVVono$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 59W, south of 21N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant deep convection is
occurring in association with this wave.

A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 75W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers are depicted
over the Windward Passage and between Jamaica and eastern Cuba.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends southwestward from 17N16W to 09N33W to
10N43W. The ITCZ continues from 10N43W to 11N57W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring from 05N to
13N and east of 20W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted
from 10N to 15N between 50W and 57W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Scattered showers prevail north of 25.5N, while generally dry
conditions are present in the remainder of the Gulf waters. A weak
high pressure system over the NE Gulf maintains moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas across much of the basin.

For the forecast, a weak pressure pattern will persist across the
Gulf waters through the forecast period, supporting moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally
strong with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings
due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula
each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Special Features section for details on the Gale
Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela.

Divergence aloft and tropical moisture combine to produce
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Gulf of
Honduras, Costa Rica and Panama offshore waters. Dry conditions
prevail elsewhere. Outside of the Gale Warning area, fresh to
strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas are noted in the
north- central and SW Caribbean. Moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas are prevalent in the rest of the basin.

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas
through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale- force
tonight and Thu night off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with locally very rough seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to
locally strong in the Windward Passage at night. An area of low
pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the eastern Atlantic
has a medium chance of tropical development over the next 7 days.
The system may bring increasing winds and seas to portions of the
Tropical N Atlantic this weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a high chance of
development.

Divergence aloft supports scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms west of 70W, affecting the Florida coast and NW
Bahamas. Farther east, a weak surface trough along 58W is
producing scattered showers between 56W and 60W and north of 23N.
The rest of the basin is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge.
Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and seas of 4-7 ft are
noted east of 60W. Meanwhile, moderate or lighter winds and slight
to moderate seas are found west of 60W. However, gusty winds and
higher seas are likely near the stronger storms.

For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge, and
associated weak pressure gradient, will dominate the SW N Atlantic
waters through the next several days. This will support mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds will
pulse to fresh to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at night.
An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the
eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical development over
the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters this weekend.

$$
KRV

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Aug 26 23:27:34 2026

999
AXNT20 KNHC 262327
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Aug 7 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): An 1008 mb area of low
pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is located a few
hundred nautical miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands
near 12.5N31W. Showers and thunderstorms associated with this
system have changed little in organization over the past several
hours. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong convection is
noted within roughly 150 nm of the center of AL96. Associated
winds and seas will spread west of 35W into the High Seas Forecast
area overnight into early Thu. Environmental conditions are
somewhat favorable for development over the next couple of days,
and a tropical depression could form over the next day or two as
the system moves westward to west- northwestward near 20 mph
across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Environmental
conditions are forecast to become less conducive by this weekend,
potentially ending its chances for development. This system has a
medium chance of tropical cyclone formation through the next 48
hours and 7 days. Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather
Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!_QNwJnSAG4DPeyrHKdth47Hyv_Bx6hBjYfWSxJ52r6i5lOJER0kfmR54zXm_vsy9zIfMpurzWlkkrk6-c9LuWHTNu6U$ for more details on
this feature.

Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas
through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight and Thu night off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with locally very rough seas. Please refer to the latest
HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at
website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!_QNwJnSAG4DPeyrHKdth47Hyv_Bx6hBjYfWSxJ52r6i5lOJER0kfmR54zXm_vsy9zIfMpurzWlkkrk6-c9LuVSH0tng$ for more
details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 31W west of the Cabo
Verde Islands, south of 21N, and is associated with Invest AL96.
Please refer to the Special Features section above for more
details and the potential for tropical cyclone formation.

A Tropical N Atlantic tropical wave is along 61W moving across the
Lesser Antilles and into the far eastern Caribbean Sea, south of
22N, moving quickly westward at around 25 kt. No significant deep
convection is occurring in association with this wave over water,
but it may be assisting with some convection over portions of
Venezuela.

A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 77W, south of 21N
over eastern Cuba to portions of Jamaica to near the border of
Colombia and Panama, moving quickly westward around 20 kt. No
significant deep convection is occurring in association with this
wave over water.

A tropical wave has departed the NW Caribbean Sea, now over the
central Yucatan Peninsula to the far eastern Pacific Ocean, and is
helping to enhance convection over portions of the peninsula to
near the coast of the NW Caribbean Sea.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends southwestward from 18N17W to 1008 mb
low pressure, Invest AL96, near 12.5N31W to 10.5N45W. The ITCZ
extends from 10.5N45W to 13N60W. Other than the convection
described above with Invest AL96, no significant deep convection
is present near the monsoon trough and ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Isolated to widely scattered showers prevail north of mainly 23N,
while generally dry conditions are present in the remainder of
the Gulf waters, except in the Bay of Campeche where a weak
surface trough is supporting scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Weak ridging prevails across the remainder of the
basin at the surface supporting mainly gentle winds, to moderate
in the Bay of Campeche and the Straits of Florida. Seas are slight
across the basin.

For the forecast, a weak pressure pattern will persist across the
Gulf waters through the forecast period, supporting moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally
strong with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings
due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula
each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia and in the Gulf
of Venezuela.

Divergence aloft and tropical moisture combine to produce
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Gulf of
Honduras, Costa Rica and Panama nearshore waters. Dry conditions
prevail elsewhere over water, while diurnal thunderstorm activity
is over portions of Cuba and Hispaniola. Outside of the Gale
Warning area, fresh to strong easterly trade winds and moderate
seas are noted elsewhere from 11N to 18N between 68W and 80W with
6 to 9 ft seas. Moderate to locally fresh trades prevail across
the remainder of the waters from 11N to 18N, with gentle to
locally moderate trades elsewhere. Seas are slight in the NW
Caribbean, and moderate across the remainder of the waters.

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas
through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight and Thu night off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with locally very rough seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to
locally strong in the Windward Passage at night. An area of low
pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the eastern Atlantic
has a medium chance of tropical development over the next 7 days.
The system may bring increasing winds and seas to portions of the
Tropical N Atlantic this weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a medium chance of
tropical cyclone formation.

Divergence aloft supports scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms from roughly 27N to 31N between 64W and 77W, and is
also enhancing diurnal activity over portions of the western
Bahamas and Florida Peninsula. A weak surface trough runs from
north of the waters through 31N58W to 25N63W. Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms are found within 90-120 nm either side
of the trough. To the east, a cold front extends from the Iberian
Peninsula to just northwest of the Canary Islands to 30N35W with
no noticeable convective activity near the boundary. Fresh to
strong winds associated with Invest AL96 are found from 10N to 22N
between 27W and 36W, with rough to very rough seas from 09N to 19N
between 26W and 33W. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere north
of the monsoon trough to 24N between 26W and 40W, with fresh
northerly winds funneling along the coast of Africa from 18N to
26N to the east of 23W. Moderate or weaker winds dominate the
remainder of the offshore and open waters. Mainly slight seas are
west of 70W, with mainly moderate seas across the remainder of the
waters, except also slight withing about 150 nm ahead/south of the
cold front mentioned.

For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge, and
associated weak pressure gradient, will dominate the SW N Atlantic
waters over the next several days. This will support mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds will
pulse to fresh to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at night.
An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the
eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical development over
the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters this weekend.

$$
Lewitsky

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Aug 26 23:27:36 2026

998
AXNT20 KNHC 262327
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Aug 7 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): An 1008 mb area of low
pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is located a few
hundred nautical miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands
near 12.5N31W. Showers and thunderstorms associated with this
system have changed little in organization over the past several
hours. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong convection is
noted within roughly 150 nm of the center of AL96. Associated
winds and seas will spread west of 35W into the High Seas Forecast
area overnight into early Thu. Environmental conditions are
somewhat favorable for development over the next couple of days,
and a tropical depression could form over the next day or two as
the system moves westward to west- northwestward near 20 mph
across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Environmental
conditions are forecast to become less conducive by this weekend,
potentially ending its chances for development. This system has a
medium chance of tropical cyclone formation through the next 48
hours and 7 days. Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather
Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5lL9gI8AxYvO-VRcpywNG-QZV-f3GBJqoLHaMjDKbvfE5MvhhGrxPsfvlSxlSlU9Tw55qrqfKdImR9uUSheS6g1ojpI$ for more details on
this feature.

Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas
through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight and Thu night off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with locally very rough seas. Please refer to the latest
HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at
website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5lL9gI8AxYvO-VRcpywNG-QZV-f3GBJqoLHaMjDKbvfE5MvhhGrxPsfvlSxlSlU9Tw55qrqfKdImR9uUSheSA2oKubM$ for more
details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 31W west of the Cabo
Verde Islands, south of 21N, and is associated with Invest AL96.
Please refer to the Special Features section above for more
details and the potential for tropical cyclone formation.

A Tropical N Atlantic tropical wave is along 61W moving across the
Lesser Antilles and into the far eastern Caribbean Sea, south of
22N, moving quickly westward at around 25 kt. No significant deep
convection is occurring in association with this wave over water,
but it may be assisting with some convection over portions of
Venezuela.

A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 77W, south of 21N
over eastern Cuba to portions of Jamaica to near the border of
Colombia and Panama, moving quickly westward around 20 kt. No
significant deep convection is occurring in association with this
wave over water.

A tropical wave has departed the NW Caribbean Sea, now over the
central Yucatan Peninsula to the far eastern Pacific Ocean, and is
helping to enhance convection over portions of the peninsula to
near the coast of the NW Caribbean Sea.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends southwestward from 18N17W to 1008 mb
low pressure, Invest AL96, near 12.5N31W to 10.5N45W. The ITCZ
extends from 10.5N45W to 13N60W. Other than the convection
described above with Invest AL96, no significant deep convection
is present near the monsoon trough and ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Isolated to widely scattered showers prevail north of mainly 23N,
while generally dry conditions are present in the remainder of
the Gulf waters, except in the Bay of Campeche where a weak
surface trough is supporting scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Weak ridging prevails across the remainder of the
basin at the surface supporting mainly gentle winds, to moderate
in the Bay of Campeche and the Straits of Florida. Seas are slight
across the basin.

For the forecast, a weak pressure pattern will persist across the
Gulf waters through the forecast period, supporting moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally
strong with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings
due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula
each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia and in the Gulf
of Venezuela.

Divergence aloft and tropical moisture combine to produce
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Gulf of
Honduras, Costa Rica and Panama nearshore waters. Dry conditions
prevail elsewhere over water, while diurnal thunderstorm activity
is over portions of Cuba and Hispaniola. Outside of the Gale
Warning area, fresh to strong easterly trade winds and moderate
seas are noted elsewhere from 11N to 18N between 68W and 80W with
6 to 9 ft seas. Moderate to locally fresh trades prevail across
the remainder of the waters from 11N to 18N, with gentle to
locally moderate trades elsewhere. Seas are slight in the NW
Caribbean, and moderate across the remainder of the waters.

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas
through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight and Thu night off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with locally very rough seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to
locally strong in the Windward Passage at night. An area of low
pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the eastern Atlantic
has a medium chance of tropical development over the next 7 days.
The system may bring increasing winds and seas to portions of the
Tropical N Atlantic this weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a medium chance of
tropical cyclone formation.

Divergence aloft supports scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms from roughly 27N to 31N between 64W and 77W, and is
also enhancing diurnal activity over portions of the western
Bahamas and Florida Peninsula. A weak surface trough runs from
north of the waters through 31N58W to 25N63W. Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms are found within 90-120 nm either side
of the trough. To the east, a cold front extends from the Iberian
Peninsula to just northwest of the Canary Islands to 30N35W with
no noticeable convective activity near the boundary. Fresh to
strong winds associated with Invest AL96 are found from 10N to 22N
between 27W and 36W, with rough to very rough seas from 09N to 19N
between 26W and 33W. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere north
of the monsoon trough to 24N between 26W and 40W, with fresh
northerly winds funneling along the coast of Africa from 18N to
26N to the east of 23W. Moderate or weaker winds dominate the
remainder of the offshore and open waters. Mainly slight seas are
west of 70W, with mainly moderate seas across the remainder of the
waters, except also slight withing about 150 nm ahead/south of the
cold front mentioned.

For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge, and
associated weak pressure gradient, will dominate the SW N Atlantic
waters over the next several days. This will support mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds will
pulse to fresh to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at night.
An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the
eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical development over
the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters this weekend.

$$
Lewitsky

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 27 05:23:44 2026

132
AXNT20 KNHC 270523
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Aug 27 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): A 1007 mb low pressure,
associated with a tropical wave, is located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Showers and
thunderstorms associated with this system have slightly improved
in organization over the last several hours. However, recently
received satellite wind data suggests that the circulation is not
yet well-defined. Environmental conditions are somewhat favorable
for development over the next couple of days, and a tropical
depression could form within the next day or two as the system
moves westward to west-northwestward near 20 kt across the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic. However, environmental
conditions are expected to become less conducive by this weekend,
potentially ending its chances for development. This system has a
medium chance of tropical cyclone formation through the next 48
hours and 7 days.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather
Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!6wZaeP69nA-4WnRaLMKmHBMilgO3GBcTVl6xFpgzsWBPKP5W0j77NkRlj5UkGi_9op5is2jSiJDqiYMie2Gr-Ii9nHY$ for more details on
this feature.

Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas
through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight and Thu night off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with locally very rough seas.

Please refer to the latest
HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at
website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!6wZaeP69nA-4WnRaLMKmHBMilgO3GBcTVl6xFpgzsWBPKP5W0j77NkRlj5UkGi_9op5is2jSiJDqiYMie2Gr79OZ6qs$ for more
details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A Tropical N Atlantic tropical wave is along 62W moving across
the Lesser Antilles and into the far eastern Caribbean Sea, south
of 21N, moving quickly westward at 15-20 kt. No significant deep
convection is occurring in association with this wave over water.

A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 78W, south of 20N,
moving quickly westward at 15-20 kt. No significant deep
convection is occurring in association with this wave over water.

A tropical wave has departed the NW Caribbean Sea, now over the
central Yucatan Peninsula to the far eastern Pacific Ocean, and is
helping to enhance convection over portions of the peninsula.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends southwestward from 19N16W to 1008 mb
low pressure, Invest AL96, near 13N33W to 14N43W. The ITCZ
extends from 14N43W to 11N60W. Other than the convection
described above with Invest AL96, scattered showers are noted
along the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Dry conditions are present across the basin as a weak ridging
prevails, anchored by a 1015 mb high near 27N93W. Light to gentle
winds prevail across the area, with slight seas.

For the forecast, weak pressure pattern will persist across the Gulf
waters through the forecast period, supporting moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to
locally strong with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the
evenings due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the
peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia and in the Gulf
of Venezuela.

Divergence aloft and tropical moisture combine to produce
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Costa Rica
and Panama nearshore waters. Dry conditions prevail elsewhere over
water. Outside of the Gale Warning area, fresh to strong easterly
trade winds and moderate seas are noted elsewhere from 11N to 18N
between 68W and 80W with 6 to 9 ft seas. Moderate to fresh trades
prevail across the remainder of the waters from 11N to 18N, with
gentle to moderate trades elsewhere. Seas are slight in the NW
Caribbean, and moderate across the remainder of the waters.

For the forecast, the tight pressure gradient will support fresh
to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas through the forecast
period. Winds will pulse again to gale-force on Thu night off
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela, along with locally very
rough seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to strong in the Windward
Passage at night. An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently
located in the eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical
development over the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing
winds and seas to portions of the Tropical N Atlantic this
weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a medium chance of
tropical cyclone formation.

Divergence aloft supports scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms from roughly 27N to 31N and W of 79W. A weak
surface trough runs from north of the waters through 31N57W to
24N61W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are found
within 90-120 nm either side of the trough. To the east, a cold
front is analyzed N of 27N and E of 42W with no noticeable
convective activity near the boundary. Fresh to strong winds
associated with Invest AL96 are found from 10N to 22N between 27W
and 36W, with rough to very rough seas from 09N to 19N between 26W
and 33W. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere north of the
monsoon trough to 24N between 26W and 40W, with fresh northerly
winds funneling along the coast of Africa from 18N to 26N to the
east of 23W. Moderate or weaker winds dominate the remainder of
the offshore and open waters. Slight seas are west of 70W, with
mainly moderate seas across the remainder of the waters, except
also slight withing about 150 nm ahead/south of the cold front
mentioned.

For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge, and
associated weak pressure gradient, will dominate the SW N Atlantic
waters over the next several days. This will support mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds will
pulse to fresh to strong off northern Hispaniola at night. An
area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the
eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical development over
the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters this weekend.

$$
ERA

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 27 05:23:46 2026

214
AXNT20 KNHC 270523
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Aug 27 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): A 1007 mb low pressure,
associated with a tropical wave, is located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Showers and
thunderstorms associated with this system have slightly improved
in organization over the last several hours. However, recently
received satellite wind data suggests that the circulation is not
yet well-defined. Environmental conditions are somewhat favorable
for development over the next couple of days, and a tropical
depression could form within the next day or two as the system
moves westward to west-northwestward near 20 kt across the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic. However, environmental
conditions are expected to become less conducive by this weekend,
potentially ending its chances for development. This system has a
medium chance of tropical cyclone formation through the next 48
hours and 7 days.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather
Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!9URJ5BNGTXobRhLbMjx73RRnf2dNnR0I_oQDXnYmMM7XLl9EtAX_2nuYsPY0LxvoF7QuKkPNzx36DsYSAAT84yeucuI$ for more details on
this feature.

Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas
through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight and Thu night off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with locally very rough seas.

Please refer to the latest
HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at
website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!9URJ5BNGTXobRhLbMjx73RRnf2dNnR0I_oQDXnYmMM7XLl9EtAX_2nuYsPY0LxvoF7QuKkPNzx36DsYSAAT88oPo5V4$ for more
details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A Tropical N Atlantic tropical wave is along 62W moving across
the Lesser Antilles and into the far eastern Caribbean Sea, south
of 21N, moving quickly westward at 15-20 kt. No significant deep
convection is occurring in association with this wave over water.

A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 78W, south of 20N,
moving quickly westward at 15-20 kt. No significant deep
convection is occurring in association with this wave over water.

A tropical wave has departed the NW Caribbean Sea, now over the
central Yucatan Peninsula to the far eastern Pacific Ocean, and is
helping to enhance convection over portions of the peninsula.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends southwestward from 19N16W to 1008 mb
low pressure, Invest AL96, near 13N33W to 14N43W. The ITCZ
extends from 14N43W to 11N60W. Other than the convection
described above with Invest AL96, scattered showers are noted
along the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Dry conditions are present across the basin as a weak ridging
prevails, anchored by a 1015 mb high near 27N93W. Light to gentle
winds prevail across the area, with slight seas.

For the forecast, weak pressure pattern will persist across the Gulf
waters through the forecast period, supporting moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to
locally strong with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the
evenings due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the
peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia and in the Gulf
of Venezuela.

Divergence aloft and tropical moisture combine to produce
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Costa Rica
and Panama nearshore waters. Dry conditions prevail elsewhere over
water. Outside of the Gale Warning area, fresh to strong easterly
trade winds and moderate seas are noted elsewhere from 11N to 18N
between 68W and 80W with 6 to 9 ft seas. Moderate to fresh trades
prevail across the remainder of the waters from 11N to 18N, with
gentle to moderate trades elsewhere. Seas are slight in the NW
Caribbean, and moderate across the remainder of the waters.

For the forecast, the tight pressure gradient will support fresh
to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas through the forecast
period. Winds will pulse again to gale-force on Thu night off
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela, along with locally very
rough seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to strong in the Windward
Passage at night. An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently
located in the eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical
development over the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing
winds and seas to portions of the Tropical N Atlantic this
weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a medium chance of
tropical cyclone formation.

Divergence aloft supports scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms from roughly 27N to 31N and W of 79W. A weak
surface trough runs from north of the waters through 31N57W to
24N61W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are found
within 90-120 nm either side of the trough. To the east, a cold
front is analyzed N of 27N and E of 42W with no noticeable
convective activity near the boundary. Fresh to strong winds
associated with Invest AL96 are found from 10N to 22N between 27W
and 36W, with rough to very rough seas from 09N to 19N between 26W
and 33W. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere north of the
monsoon trough to 24N between 26W and 40W, with fresh northerly
winds funneling along the coast of Africa from 18N to 26N to the
east of 23W. Moderate or weaker winds dominate the remainder of
the offshore and open waters. Slight seas are west of 70W, with
mainly moderate seas across the remainder of the waters, except
also slight withing about 150 nm ahead/south of the cold front
mentioned.

For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge, and
associated weak pressure gradient, will dominate the SW N Atlantic
waters over the next several days. This will support mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds will
pulse to fresh to strong off northern Hispaniola at night. An
area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the
eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical development over
the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters this weekend.

$$
ERA

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 27 08:44:54 2026

324
AXNT20 KNHC 270844
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Aug 27 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): A 1007 mb low pressure,
associated with a tropical wave, is located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Satellite imagery
indicate that showers and thunderstorms associated
with an area of low pressure, located several hundred miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, have become better
organized tonight. If the current trends continue, advisories could
be initiated on a short-lived tropical depression or storm later
today. However, environmental conditions are expected to become
hostile beginning on Friday, likely ending its chances for
development. This system has a high chance of tropical cyclone
formation through the next 48 hours and 7 days.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather
Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!4AHs6pDHTpGtI86sN60PRsTkF6H6ZKhqmgImxTDAPSr46Hw0YiW5fGRw2CvHUu5aVhFs1-RDF4NvTxPiLFCJ1_omT8w$ for more details on
this feature.

Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas
through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight and Thu night off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with locally very rough seas.

Please refer to the latest
HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at
website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!4AHs6pDHTpGtI86sN60PRsTkF6H6ZKhqmgImxTDAPSr46Hw0YiW5fGRw2CvHUu5aVhFs1-RDF4NvTxPiLFCJpwLUAEc$ for more
details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A Tropical N Atlantic tropical wave is along 62W moving across
the Lesser Antilles and into the far eastern Caribbean Sea, south
of 21N, moving quickly westward at 15-20 kt. No significant deep
convection is occurring in association with this wave over water.

A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 78W, south of 20N,
moving quickly westward at 15-20 kt. No significant deep
convection is occurring in association with this wave over water.

A tropical wave has departed the NW Caribbean Sea, now over the
central Yucatan Peninsula to the far eastern Pacific Ocean, and is
helping to enhance convection over portions of the peninsula.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends southwestward from 19N16W to 1008 mb
low pressure, Invest AL96, near 13N33W to 14N43W. The ITCZ
extends from 14N43W to 11N60W. Other than the convection
described above with Invest AL96, scattered showers are noted
along the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Dry conditions are present across the basin as a weak ridging
prevails, anchored by a 1015 mb high near 27N93W. Light to gentle
winds prevail across the area, with slight seas.

For the forecast, weak pressure pattern will persist across the Gulf
waters through the forecast period, supporting moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to
locally strong with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the
evenings due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the
peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia and in the Gulf
of Venezuela.

Divergence aloft and tropical moisture combine to produce
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Costa Rica
and Panama nearshore waters. Dry conditions prevail elsewhere over
water. Outside of the Gale Warning area, fresh to strong easterly
trade winds and moderate seas are noted elsewhere from 11N to 18N
between 68W and 80W with 6 to 9 ft seas. Moderate to fresh trades
prevail across the remainder of the waters from 11N to 18N, with
gentle to moderate trades elsewhere. Seas are slight in the NW
Caribbean, and moderate across the remainder of the waters.

For the forecast, the tight pressure gradient will support fresh
to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas through the forecast
period. Winds will pulse again to gale-force on Thu night off
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela, along with locally very
rough seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to strong in the Windward
Passage at night. An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently
located in the eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical
development over the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing
winds and seas to portions of the Tropical N Atlantic this
weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a medium chance of
tropical cyclone formation.

Divergence aloft supports scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms from roughly 27N to 31N and W of 79W. A weak
surface trough runs from north of the waters through 31N57W to
24N61W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are found
within 90-120 nm either side of the trough. To the east, a cold
front is analyzed N of 27N and E of 42W with no noticeable
convective activity near the boundary. Fresh to strong winds
associated with Invest AL96 are found from 10N to 22N between 27W
and 36W, with rough to very rough seas from 09N to 19N between 26W
and 33W. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere north of the
monsoon trough to 24N between 26W and 40W, with fresh northerly
winds funneling along the coast of Africa from 18N to 26N to the
east of 23W. Moderate or weaker winds dominate the remainder of
the offshore and open waters. Slight seas are west of 70W, with
mainly moderate seas across the remainder of the waters, except
also slight withing about 150 nm ahead/south of the cold front
mentioned.

For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge, and
associated weak pressure gradient, will dominate the SW N Atlantic
waters over the next several days. This will support mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds will
pulse to fresh to strong off northern Hispaniola at night. An
area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the
eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical development over
the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters this weekend.

$$
ERA

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 27 10:11:50 2026

522
AXNT20 KNHC 271011
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Aug 27 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1005 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): Satellite imagery
indicate that showers and thunderstorms associated with an area
of low pressure, located several hundred miles west-southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands, have become better organized tonight. If
the current trends continue, advisories could be initiated on a
short-lived tropical depression or storm later today. However,
environmental conditions are expected to become hostile beginning
on Friday, likely ending its chances for development. This system
has a high chance of tropical cyclone formation through the next
48 hours and 7 days.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather
Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5AswU2bPfzHkZDzGPmzmS_pnPaZ37egOeExff9Hv8TVkeetAKVJD-J0H4S2RXh6dPBUzngT0LXEv2nEQLuZlTvGIP80$ for more details on
this feature.

Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough to very
rough seas through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight off Colombia.

Please refer to the latest
HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at
website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5AswU2bPfzHkZDzGPmzmS_pnPaZ37egOeExff9Hv8TVkeetAKVJD-J0H4S2RXh6dPBUzngT0LXEv2nEQLuZl4lib2aw$ for more
details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 64W, south of
21N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is
observed with this wave.

A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 80W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant deep convection is
occurring with this wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Mauritania near
19N16W to 11N38W. The ITCZ continues from 11N38W to 10N59W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring from
04N to 15N and east of 23W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted in the northern
Gulf waters and off western Florida. A weak pressure gradient
across the basin supports light to gentle winds and moderate
seas.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
waters through early next week, supporting moderate or weaker
winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong
with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each
night. A frontal boundary will meander near the northern Gulf
waters during the next few days producing scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms. Mariners can expect gusty winds and higher
seas associated with these storms.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia.

A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are evident in the Gulf
of Honduras, SE Caribbean and off Panama and Costa Rica. Drier
conditions are noted elsewhere. Outside of the Gale Warning area,
fresh to strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas are present
in the north-central Caribbean. Moderate to locally fresh trades
and moderate seas are occurring in the Windward Passage and the
rest of the Caribbean south of 18N. North of 18N, light to gentle
winds and slight seas are prevalent.

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh
to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas to locally very
rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through the forecast
period. Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight off Colombia.
Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong in the Windward
Passage at night. An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently
located in the eastern Atlantic has a high chance of tropical
development over the next couples of days. The system will bring
increasing winds and seas to portions of the Tropical N Atlantic
this weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a high chance of
tropical cyclone formation.

A surface trough located SE of Bermuda is producing a few showers
north of 26N and between 58W and 63W. Similar convection is found
in the waters off NE Florida. The SW North Atlantic is dominated
by a weak high pressure area that supports moderate or lighter
winds and moderate seas, west of 60W.

A cold front extends from Morocco to 26N22W to 28N34W, followed by
a stationary front north of our area. Broad high pressure also
prevails across the central and eastern tropical Atlantic,
maintaining moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas.

For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will dominate
the SW N Atlantic waters over the next several days supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds
will pulse to fresh to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at
night. An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in
the eastern Atlantic has a high chance of tropical development
over the next couple of days. The system will bring increasing
winds and seas to portions of the southeast waters this weekend.

$$
Delgado

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 27 10:11:50 2026

596
AXNT20 KNHC 271011
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Aug 27 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1005 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): Satellite imagery
indicate that showers and thunderstorms associated with an area
of low pressure, located several hundred miles west-southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands, have become better organized tonight. If
the current trends continue, advisories could be initiated on a
short-lived tropical depression or storm later today. However,
environmental conditions are expected to become hostile beginning
on Friday, likely ending its chances for development. This system
has a high chance of tropical cyclone formation through the next
48 hours and 7 days.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather
Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!7rMHHKC-o00KPScYwqv3eF5XEJbPeYOFU7Q--ccJc_FGIrHW5959EQj2Hem9miQT7RbYsPTXNDDTk7mLrDn-uQVdMGs$ for more details on
this feature.

Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough to very
rough seas through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight off Colombia.

Please refer to the latest
HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at
website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!7rMHHKC-o00KPScYwqv3eF5XEJbPeYOFU7Q--ccJc_FGIrHW5959EQj2Hem9miQT7RbYsPTXNDDTk7mLrDn-4Qz56rk$ for more
details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 64W, south of
21N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is
observed with this wave.

A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 80W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant deep convection is
occurring with this wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Mauritania near
19N16W to 11N38W. The ITCZ continues from 11N38W to 10N59W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring from
04N to 15N and east of 23W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted in the northern
Gulf waters and off western Florida. A weak pressure gradient
across the basin supports light to gentle winds and moderate
seas.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
waters through early next week, supporting moderate or weaker
winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong
with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each
night. A frontal boundary will meander near the northern Gulf
waters during the next few days producing scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms. Mariners can expect gusty winds and higher
seas associated with these storms.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia.

A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are evident in the Gulf
of Honduras, SE Caribbean and off Panama and Costa Rica. Drier
conditions are noted elsewhere. Outside of the Gale Warning area,
fresh to strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas are present
in the north-central Caribbean. Moderate to locally fresh trades
and moderate seas are occurring in the Windward Passage and the
rest of the Caribbean south of 18N. North of 18N, light to gentle
winds and slight seas are prevalent.

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh
to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas to locally very
rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through the forecast
period. Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight off Colombia.
Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong in the Windward
Passage at night. An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently
located in the eastern Atlantic has a high chance of tropical
development over the next couples of days. The system will bring
increasing winds and seas to portions of the Tropical N Atlantic
this weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a high chance of
tropical cyclone formation.

A surface trough located SE of Bermuda is producing a few showers
north of 26N and between 58W and 63W. Similar convection is found
in the waters off NE Florida. The SW North Atlantic is dominated
by a weak high pressure area that supports moderate or lighter
winds and moderate seas, west of 60W.

A cold front extends from Morocco to 26N22W to 28N34W, followed by
a stationary front north of our area. Broad high pressure also
prevails across the central and eastern tropical Atlantic,
maintaining moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas.

For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will dominate
the SW N Atlantic waters over the next several days supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds
will pulse to fresh to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at
night. An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in
the eastern Atlantic has a high chance of tropical development
over the next couple of days. The system will bring increasing
winds and seas to portions of the southeast waters this weekend.

$$
Delgado

= = = = = = =
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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 27 10:12:42 2026

314
AXNT20 KNHC 271012
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Aug 27 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1005 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): Satellite imagery
indicate that showers and thunderstorms associated with an area
of low pressure, located several hundred miles west-southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands, have become better organized tonight. If
the current trends continue, advisories could be initiated on a
short-lived tropical depression or storm later today. However,
environmental conditions are expected to become hostile beginning
on Friday, likely ending its chances for development. This system
has a high chance of tropical cyclone formation through the next
48 hours and 7 days.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook issued by
the National Hurricane Center at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!_9M5qzf8aLX8wKog30nsKlvsBrYHhAk2evxLLZL92uOShlJRg1AViUqcBHjf3s3KpknR5ykXm_wkIScyLyz4J-cTF_4$ for more details on
this feature.

Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough to very
rough seas through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight off Colombia.

Please refer to the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!_9M5qzf8aLX8wKog30nsKlvsBrYHhAk2evxLLZL92uOShlJRg1AViUqcBHjf3s3KpknR5ykXm_wkIScyLyz4RcbL718$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 64W, south of
21N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is
observed with this wave.

A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 80W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant deep convection is
occurring with this wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Mauritania near
19N16W to 11N38W. The ITCZ continues from 11N38W to 10N59W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring from
04N to 15N and east of 23W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted in the northern
Gulf waters and off western Florida. A weak pressure gradient
across the basin supports light to gentle winds and moderate
seas.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
waters through early next week, supporting moderate or weaker
winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong
with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each
night. A frontal boundary will meander near the northern Gulf
waters during the next few days producing scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms. Mariners can expect gusty winds and higher
seas associated with these storms.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia.

A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are evident in the Gulf
of Honduras, SE Caribbean and off Panama and Costa Rica. Drier
conditions are noted elsewhere. Outside of the Gale Warning area,
fresh to strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas are present
in the north-central Caribbean. Moderate to locally fresh trades
and moderate seas are occurring in the Windward Passage and the
rest of the Caribbean south of 18N. North of 18N, light to gentle
winds and slight seas are prevalent.

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh
to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas to locally very
rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through the forecast
period. Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight off Colombia.
Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong in the Windward
Passage at night. An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently
located in the eastern Atlantic has a high chance of tropical
development over the next couples of days. The system will bring
increasing winds and seas to portions of the Tropical N Atlantic
this weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a high chance of
tropical cyclone formation.

A surface trough located SE of Bermuda is producing a few showers
north of 26N and between 58W and 63W. Similar convection is found
in the waters off NE Florida. The SW North Atlantic is dominated
by a weak high pressure area that supports moderate or lighter
winds and moderate seas, west of 60W.

A cold front extends from Morocco to 26N22W to 28N34W, followed by
a stationary front north of our area. Broad high pressure also
prevails across the central and eastern tropical Atlantic,
maintaining moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas.

For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will dominate
the SW N Atlantic waters over the next several days supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds
will pulse to fresh to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at
night. An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in
the eastern Atlantic has a high chance of tropical development
over the next couple of days. The system will bring increasing
winds and seas to portions of the southeast waters this weekend.

$$
Delgado

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--- scorpsmtpd
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