• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0889

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri May 29 01:54:34 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 290154
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 290153=20
    ORZ000-WAZ000-290330-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0889
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0853 PM CDT Thu May 28 2026

    Areas affected...north-central Oregon

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 248...

    Valid 290153Z - 290330Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 248
    continues.

    SUMMARY...While isolated occurrences of marginally severe hail
    and/or damaging winds remain possible, an overall decrease in storm
    intensity is expected through 03 UTC. Remaining valid portions of
    the watch will likely be allowed to expire at that time.

    DISCUSSION...A cluster of strong thunderstorms is ongoing as of
    01:45 UTC across a small part of north-central OR, namely Morrow and
    Gilliam Counties. Latest objective analysis suggests that the local
    environment remains at least marginally unstable with increasing
    convective inhibition. As such, the expectation is for a gradual
    decrease in storm intensity through 03 UTC. Prior to the time,
    constructive storm interactions could lead to periods of
    intensification, with an associated risk for marginally severe hail
    and/or wind gusts.

    Should current storm trends continue, the remaining valid portion of
    Severe Thunderstorm Watch 248 will likely be allowed to expire at 03
    UTC.

    ..Mead.. 05/29/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5KFEKIa0tsnzcGCxBHNGXb_PBwCApgAHy63qIkIbLRn7Avl2PUKoXp5dZtngiEEOin2gJ4_TS= o_yWpWLhoTYw-VDGFQ$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...PDT...PQR...

    LAT...LON 45841955 45341944 45101967 44952059 44832120 45272158
    45572150 45712118 45782021 45841955=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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